{"id":17243,"date":"2025-07-18T03:37:49","date_gmt":"2025-07-18T03:37:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ed%81%ac%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%86%a0%ed%8d%bc-%ec%9b%94%eb%9f%ac%eb%8a%94-25%eb%b2%a0%ec%9d%b4%ec%8b%9c%ec%8a%a4-%ed%8f%ac%ec%9d%b8%ed%8a%b8-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98%eb%a5%bc-%ec%a0%9c\/"},"modified":"2025-07-18T03:37:49","modified_gmt":"2025-07-18T03:37:49","slug":"%ed%81%ac%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%86%a0%ed%8d%bc-%ec%9b%94%eb%9f%ac%eb%8a%94-25%eb%b2%a0%ec%9d%b4%ec%8b%9c%ec%8a%a4-%ed%8f%ac%ec%9d%b8%ed%8a%b8-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98%eb%a5%bc-%ec%a0%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ed%81%ac%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%86%a0%ed%8d%bc-%ec%9b%94%eb%9f%ac%eb%8a%94-25%eb%b2%a0%ec%9d%b4%ec%8b%9c%ec%8a%a4-%ed%8f%ac%ec%9d%b8%ed%8a%b8-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98%eb%a5%bc-%ec%a0%9c\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud06c\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud1a0\ud37c \uc6d4\ub7ec\ub294 25\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc81c\uc548\ud588\ub2e4; \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ube14\ub799\uc544\uc6c3 \uae30\uac04\uc774 \ub2e4\uac00\uc624\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\ubc29 \uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4 \uc704\uc6d0 Christopher Waller\ub294 2025\ub144 7\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f0\ubc29 \uacf5\uac1c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc704\uc6d0\ud68c\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 0.25% \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc778\ud558\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc81c\uc548\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \ub610\ud55c \uc7a5\uae30 \uc5f0\ubc29 \uae30\uae08 \uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \uc5b8\uae09\ud558\uc600\uc73c\ub098, 3%\uac00 \uc801\uc808\ud574 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc6d4\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub9ac\ud2b8 \uc800\ub110\uc740 Waller\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc744 \uc774\ubc88 \ub2ec \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 7\uc6d4 18\uc77c \uae08\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0 \uc608\uc815\ub41c \uc5f0\uc900 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc790\ub294 \uc5c6\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 \ubabb\ud55c \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \uc788\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uc5f0\ubc29 \uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4 \ube14\ub799\uc544\uc6c3 \uae30\uac04<\/h3>\n\n\uc5f0\ubc29 \uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uc758 &#8216;\ube14\ub799\uc544\uc6c3&#8217; \uae30\uac04\uc740 2025\ub144 7\uc6d4 19\uc77c \ud1a0\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc791\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc815\ucc45\uc740 FOMC \ucc38\uac00\uc790\uc640 \uc9c1\uc6d0\uc774 \uacf5\uac1c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc1c\uc5b8\ud558\uac70\ub098 \uc778\ud130\ubdf0\ub97c \ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\uba70, FOMC \ud68c\uc758 \ub450 \uc8fc \uc804 \ud1a0\uc694\uc77c\ubd80\ud130 \uc2dc\uc791\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\nWaller \ucd1d\uc7ac\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub54c, \uc774\ubc88 \ub2ec 0.25% \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uae30\ubcf8 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub85c \uc0bc\uc544\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. CME FedWatch \ub3c4\uad6c\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc778\ud558\uc758 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 92%\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc5b4\uc81c \uc544\uce68 65%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \uc218\uce58\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc740 \ube14\ub799\uc544\uc6c3 \uae30\uac04 \uc9c1\uc804\uc73c\ub85c, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ubcf4\ub0b4\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc6b0\ub9ac\uc758 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub54c, \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc0b4\ud3b4\ubcf4\uc544\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. 9\uc6d4 SOFR \uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uc5ec \ub0ae\uc740 \uc608\uc0c1 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc120\ubb3c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucf5c \uc635\uc158 \uad6c\ub9e4\ub294 \uc5ec\ub984 \ub3d9\uc548 \uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud655\uc815\ub41c \ud558\ub77d \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uba85\ud655\ud55c \ubc29\ubc95\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uacbd\uc81c \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc640 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784 \uc77c\uce58<\/h3>\n\n\uc774 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \uacbd\uc81c \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc640 \uc77c\uce58\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 4.1%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uace0, \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\uc218(CPI)\ub294 \uc5f0\uc728 2.8%\ub85c \uac10\uc18c\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc218\uce58\ub294 \uc704\uc6d0\ud68c\uac00 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc644\ud654 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc744 \uc2dc\uc791\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. Waller \ucd1d\uc7ac\ub294 \ubcf8\uc9c8\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c \ub300\ub85c \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774\ub7f0 \ud328\ud134\uc744 \uc608\uc804\uc5d0 \ubcf4\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4, 2019\ub144 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc804, \uad00\uacc4\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 \uacf5\uc801 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ud655\uace0\ud788 \ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubc1c\ud45c \ub2f9\uc77c\uc758 \ud63c\ub780\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751\uc758 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc904\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uadf8\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc744 \uc704\uc6d0\ud68c\uc758 \uc758\ub3c4\ub41c \ud589\ub3d9\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \ubd80\ub4dc\ub7fd\uac8c \uc548\ub0b4\ud558\ub294 \ub3c4\uad6c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \uc8fc\uc2dd \uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc774 \uc870\uc131\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\ub300\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. S&#038;P 500\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc774\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5, \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 SPY ETF\uc758 \ucf5c \uc635\uc158 \uad6c\ub9e4\uac00 \ub354 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \uc815\ucc45 \ubcc0\ud654\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub35c \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc774\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4ed\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774 \uc774\uc81c \ub35c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\ud574\uc9c4 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ucc44\uad8c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uac10\uc18c\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uad6d\ucc44 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ucd94\uc801\ud558\ub294 MOVE \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uadf8\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \uc774\ud6c4 5% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uc5ec, FOMC \ud68c\uc758 \uc804\uc5d0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc313\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ub354 \uc800\ub834\ud574\uc9d1\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">\uadc0\ud558\uc758 \ub77c\uc774\ube0c VT Markets \uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uc0dd\uc131\ud558\uc138\uc694<\/a>\u00a0\uadf8\ub9ac\uace0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">\uc9c0\uae08 \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694<\/a>.<\/b>\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\r\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\r\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c \uc774\uc0ac \ud06c\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud1a0\ud37c \uc6d4\ub7ec\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uba70, \ucd5c\uadfc \uacbd\uc81c \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc640 \ud568\uaed8 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uc870\uc815\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce60\uae4c\uc694? &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17243","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17243","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17243"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17243\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17243"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17243"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17243"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}