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by VT Markets
Sep 4, 2026
다음 주 미국 경제지표는 에너지 비용 상승에 힘입어 헤드라인 인플레이션이 완만하게 반등하는 모습을 보일 것으로 예상되는 반면, 근원 물가 압력은 비교적 억제된 수준을 유지할 전망이다. 기존 주택 판매도 고금리 모기지로 인해 주택 구입 여력이 계속 약화되고 수요가 위축되면서 추가 둔화가 예상된다.
유럽에서는 ECB가 에너지·식품 인플레이션의 확산 여부를 점검하는 가운데 금리를 25bp 인상할 것으로 예상된다. 영국은 6월 반등 이후 7월 성장률이 둔화됐음을 보여줄 가능성이 크다.
라틴아메리카에서는 멕시코의 인플레이션이 소폭 상승해 Banxico의 금리 동결 기조가 장기간 이어질 여건을 뒷받침할 것으로 예상된다. 반면 브라질은 인플레이션이 추가로 완화되며 중앙은행의 추가 금리 인하 가능성에 힘을 실을 것으로 보인다.
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