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by VT Markets
Aug 8, 2026
USD/CNH는 큰 움직임 없이 6.7457~6.7518 범위에서 등락한 뒤 6.7483에 보합 마감했다. 모멘텀 지표가 뚜렷한 방향성을 보여주지 않는 가운데, 최근 흐름에서 6.7420 하향 돌파나 6.7550 저항 테스트에 실패하면서 단기적으로는 6.7450~6.7550의 좁은 장중 박스권에서 조정(횡보) 국면을 이어갈 가능성이 크다는 평가다.
향후 1~3주 관점에서는 달러가 완만하게 추가 하락할 가능성이 우세하며, 6.7640을 상향 돌파하지 않는 한 하단 목표로 6.7300이 여전히 주목된다.
1~3개월의 중장기 관점에서 의미 있는 회복세가 지속되려면 21주 지수이동평균(EMA)인 6.8430 상향 돌파가 필요하다는 분석이다.
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