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by VT Markets
Aug 24, 2026
2차급 미국 경제지표들은 전반적으로 수요와 인플레이션 압력이 완화되고 있다는 시각을 뒷받침했으며, 이에 따라 연방준비제도(Fed)가 다음 회의에서 금리를 인상해야 한다는 압박도 일부 줄었다. 9월 이전에 공개될 선행성 지표가 많지 않은 만큼 정책 방향 전환의 문턱은 높아 보이며, 기준 시나리오는 금리가 동결될 것이라는 전망이 유지되고 있다.
별도로, 트럼프 행정부는 늘어나는 부채 부담의 실질적 비용을 낮춘다는 논리를 내세워 차입비용 인하를 요구하는 정치적 압박을 가해왔으며, 이는 정책 환경의 배경으로 작용해왔다.
시장에서는 달러화가 하락 편향을 이어갔고, 현재로서는 바닥을 확인했다는 신호는 뚜렷하지 않다.
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