Bearish Roadmap The bearish roadmap identifies 6709.25 to 6691.25 as key levels, including VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) and liquidity pools. For the bullish outlook, the roadmap sees key levels at 6717.75 to 6729.5. VWAP serves as a fair value benchmark, while Value Areas denote significant previous trading zones, guiding trading strategies. In the wider market, the S&P 500’s performance reflects global market trends, with flat EUR movements and turbulent cryptocurrency trading. Trade strategies focus on securing profits and effectively managing stops to maximise gains and minimise risks. Because the market is trading below the 6713 level, an immediate bearish bias is present for derivative traders. In the short term, this means looking for strategies that benefit from a downward move toward the 6705.25 and 6702.75 targets. This may involve buying puts (contracts giving the right to sell an asset) or opening short futures positions while using the 6716 level as a clear signal for invalidation. Economic Data & Market Volatility This hesitation in the market is understandable given recent economic data. The last Consumer Price Index report for August 2025 showed inflation holding steady at 3.4%, slightly above expectations and complicating the Federal Reserve’s policy path. With an upcoming FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting, many are waiting for clearer guidance on interest rates. Adding to the uncertainty, the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) has ticked up from its lows, recently trading around 16. This indicates an increase in the cost of options (contracts giving the right to buy or sell an asset) and reflects growing caution. The simultaneous crash in cryptocurrency markets also suggests a broader reduction in risk appetite among speculators. For the coming week, traders could prepare for this uncertainty by using options. If we remain below 6713, buying puts with near-term expirations could capture downward momentum. Conversely, if buyers reclaim the 6716 level, it would indicate a potential continuation of the bull market, making call options (contracts giving the right to buy an asset) appealing. Looking ahead over the next few weeks, we should watch for support to form, possibly around the lower swing target of 6663. We observed a similar consolidation in the fourth quarter of 2024 before the market began its strong advance this year. If support holds, selling put spreads (options strategies that involve buying and selling puts) below the market could be an effective way to collect premiums while positioning for the next upward move.

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