{"id":53388,"date":"2026-09-01T20:21:22","date_gmt":"2026-09-01T20:21:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/jp-asia\/uncategorized\/53388\/"},"modified":"2026-09-01T20:21:22","modified_gmt":"2026-09-01T20:21:22","slug":"td%e3%82%bb%e3%82%ad%e3%83%a5%e3%83%aa%e3%83%86%e3%82%a3%e3%83%bc%e3%82%ba%e3%80%81%e7%b1%b3%e3%83%89%e3%83%ab%e3%81%ab%e5%bc%b1%e6%b0%97%e5%a7%bf%e5%8b%a2%e3%82%92%e7%b6%ad%e6%8c%81%e2%80%959","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/jp-asia\/live-updates\/td%e3%82%bb%e3%82%ad%e3%83%a5%e3%83%aa%e3%83%86%e3%82%a3%e3%83%bc%e3%82%ba%e3%80%81%e7%b1%b3%e3%83%89%e3%83%ab%e3%81%ab%e5%bc%b1%e6%b0%97%e5%a7%bf%e5%8b%a2%e3%82%92%e7%b6%ad%e6%8c%81%e2%80%959\/","title":{"rendered":"TD\u30bb\u30ad\u30e5\u30ea\u30c6\u30a3\u30fc\u30ba\u3001\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u306b\u5f31\u6c17\u59ff\u52e2\u3092\u7dad\u6301\u20159\u6708FOMC\u306e\u636e\u3048\u7f6e\u304d\u3068\u4e2d\u9593\u9078\u6319\u3092\u80cc\u666f\u3068\u3057\u305f\u70ba\u66ff\u5909\u52d5\u3092\u6ce8\u8996"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>TD\u30bb\u30ad\u30e5\u30ea\u30c6\u30a3\u30fc\u30ba\uff08TD Securities\uff09\u306e\u30de\u30af\u30ed\u30c1\u30fc\u30e0\u306f\u3001\u30a6\u30a9\u30fc\u30b7\u30e5\u8b70\u9577\u306e\u30b8\u30e3\u30af\u30bd\u30f3\u30db\u30fc\u30eb\u8b1b\u6f14\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u3066\u5e02\u5834\u304c\u30bf\u30ab\u6d3e\u7684\u306a\u30b7\u30b0\u30ca\u30eb\u3092\u7e54\u308a\u8fbc\u3093\u3060\u5f8c\u3082\u3001\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u5f31\u6c17\u30d0\u30a4\u30a2\u30b9\u3092\u7dad\u6301\u3057\u305f\u3002\u4eca\u5f8c\u767a\u8868\u3055\u308c\u308b\u7c73\u7d4c\u6e08\u6307\u6a19\u304cFRB\u30929\u6708\u306e\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u636e\u3048\u7f6e\u304d\u3078\u3068\u8a98\u5c0e\u3059\u308b\u3068\u898b\u8fbc\u307f\u3001\u30de\u30af\u30ed\u30fb\u30d5\u30a1\u30f3\u30c0\u30e1\u30f3\u30bf\u30eb\u30ba\u3068\u7c73\u4e2d\u9593\u9078\u6319\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u304c\u70ba\u66ff\u3092\u5de6\u53f3\u3059\u308b\u4e2d\u3001\u5e74\u672b\u306b\u304b\u3051\u3066\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u5e83\u7bc4\u306a\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u306f\u5f31\u542b\u3080\u3068\u307f\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u540c\u884c\u306f\u3001\u8a00\u8449\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306f\u7269\u8a9e\u3092\u30ea\u30bb\u30c3\u30c8\u3059\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u306f\u4f4e\u3044\u3068\u3057\u3001\u6301\u7d9a\u7684\u306a\u53cd\u767a\u306b\u306f\u3001\u3088\u308a\u660e\u78ba\u306a\u653f\u7b56\u9762\u3067\u306e\u5b9f\u884c\u3068\u3001\u6307\u6a19\u306e\u4e0a\u632f\u308c\u30b5\u30d7\u30e9\u30a4\u30ba\u306e\u518d\u6765\u304c\u5fc5\u8981\u3060\u3068\u4e3b\u5f35\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u30ec\u30a4\u30d0\u30fc\u30fb\u30c7\u30fc\u4ee5\u964d\u306f\u4e2d\u9593\u9078\u6319\u306b\u95a2\u5fc3\u304c\u79fb\u308b\u898b\u901a\u3057\u3067\u3001\u8b70\u4f1a\u306e\u306d\u3058\u308c\uff08\u30b0\u30ea\u30c3\u30c9\u30ed\u30c3\u30af\uff09\u4e0b\u3067\u306f\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u306f\u300c\u3084\u3084\u5f31\u3044\u301c\u4e2d\u7acb\u300d\u3067\u63a8\u79fb\u3059\u308b\u3068\u4e88\u6e2c\u3002\u300c\u30d6\u30eb\u30fc\u30a6\u30a7\u30fc\u30d6\uff08\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u306e\u5927\u52dd\uff09\u300d\u306f\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u306a\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u9ad8\u304c\u8d77\u304d\u308b\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u3068\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3065\u3051\u3001TD\u306f\u5236\u5ea6\u9762\u306e\u4fe1\u8a8d\u6539\u5584\u3068\u8d85\u9577\u671f\u7c73\u56fd\u50b5\u306e\u30bf\u30fc\u30e0\u30d7\u30ec\u30df\u30a2\u30e0\u4f4e\u4e0b\u3092\u7406\u7531\u306b\u6319\u3052\u3001USD\/CNH\uff08\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\uff0f\u30aa\u30d5\u30b7\u30e7\u30a2\u4eba\u6c11\u5143\uff09\u306e\u30ed\u30f3\u30b0\u3067\u3053\u308c\u306b\u5099\u3048\u308b\u69cb\u3048\u3092\u793a\u3057\u305f\u3002\u5bfe\u7167\u7684\u306b\u3001\u5171\u548c\u515a\u304c\u8b70\u4f1a\u306e\u5b8c\u5168\u652f\u914d\u3092\u7dad\u6301\u3059\u308b\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u306f\u901a\u8ca8\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u6700\u3082\u5f31\u6c17\u3060\u3068\u8aac\u660e\u3002TD\u306f\u3001\u5b63\u7bc0\u6027\u3001\u70ba\u66ff\u30d0\u30ea\u30e5\u30a8\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u30012018\u5e74\u306e\u985e\u4f3c\u5c40\u9762\u3092\u5f15\u304d\u5408\u3044\u306b\u3001\u5206\u5272\u653f\u5e9c\u306e\u4e0b\u3067USD\/SEK\uff08\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\uff0f\u30b9\u30a6\u30a7\u30fc\u30c7\u30f3\u30af\u30ed\u30fc\u30ca\uff09\u306e\u4e0b\u843d\u3092\u9078\u597d\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n<h3>US Dollar Outlook and Trading Strategies<\/h3>\n\n<p>2026\u5e749\u6708\u5165\u308a\u306b\u3042\u305f\u308a\u3001\u30c7\u30ea\u30d0\u30c6\u30a3\u30d6\u30fb\u30c8\u30ec\u30fc\u30c0\u30fc\u306b\u306f\u4eca\u5f8c\u6570\u9031\u9593\u3001\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u5b89\u306b\u5099\u3048\u305f\u30dd\u30b8\u30b7\u30e7\u30cb\u30f3\u30b0\u3092\u63a8\u5968\u3059\u308b\u3002\u30b8\u30e3\u30af\u30bd\u30f3\u30db\u30fc\u30eb\u3067\u306fFRB\u304b\u3089\u30bf\u30ab\u6d3e\u7684\u306a\u767a\u8a00\u3082\u3042\u3063\u305f\u3082\u306e\u306e\u3001\u7c73\u7d4c\u6e08\u6307\u6a19\u306e\u920d\u5316\u306f9\u670817\u65e5\u306e\u653f\u7b56\u6c7a\u5b9a\u4f1a\u5408\u3067\u306e\u636e\u3048\u7f6e\u304d\u3092\u5f37\u304f\u793a\u5506\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u73fe\u6642\u70b9\u3067FF\u91d1\u5229\u5148\u7269\u306f\u7d0480%\u306e\u78ba\u7387\u3067\u300c\u4e00\u6642\u505c\u6b62\uff08\u636e\u3048\u7f6e\u304d\uff09\u300d\u3092\u7e54\u308a\u8fbc\u3093\u3067\u304a\u308a\u3001\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u6301\u7d9a\u7684\u306a\u4e0a\u6607\u30e2\u30e1\u30f3\u30bf\u30e0\u3092\u6291\u5236\u3059\u308b\u306f\u305a\u3060\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u30c7\u30ea\u30d0\u30c6\u30a3\u30d6\u6226\u7565\u3068\u3057\u3066\u306f\u3001\u4e00\u6642\u7684\u306a\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u623b\u308a\u5c40\u9762\u3092\u58f2\u308a\u3067\u8ffd\u968f\uff08\u4e0a\u6607\u3092\u6253\u3061\u6d88\u3059\uff09\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u63a8\u5968\u3059\u308b\u3002\u7279\u306bG10\u3067\u306f\u30b9\u30a6\u30a7\u30fc\u30c7\u30f3\u30af\u30ed\u30fc\u30ca\uff08SEK\uff09\u3084\u8c6a\u30c9\u30eb\uff08AUD\uff09\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u6709\u52b9\u3060\u3002\u65b0\u8208\u56fd\u3067\u306f\u3001\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u30e1\u30ad\u30b7\u30b3\u30da\u30bd\uff08MXN\uff09\u304a\u3088\u3073\u5357\u30a2\u30d5\u30ea\u30ab\u30e9\u30f3\u30c9\uff08ZAR\uff09\u306e\u30b3\u30fc\u30eb\u30aa\u30d7\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u8cb7\u3044\u304c\u3001\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u30fb\u30ea\u30ef\u30fc\u30c9\u306e\u89b3\u70b9\u3067\u975e\u5e38\u306b\u9b45\u529b\u7684\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u904e\u53bb30\u5e74\u306e\u5b63\u7bc0\u6027\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306b\u3088\u308c\u3070\u3001\u30c9\u30eb\u6307\u6570\uff08DXY\uff09\u306f\u4e2d\u9593\u9078\u6319\u307e\u3067\u306e\u76f4\u8fd12\u30ab\u6708\u3067\u5e73\u57471.5%\u4e0b\u843d\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u3053\u306e\u5f31\u6c17\u30d0\u30a4\u30a2\u30b9\u3092\u88cf\u4ed8\u3051\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n<h3>Midterm Election Scenarios and Derivative Positioning<\/h3>\n\n<p>\u30ec\u30a4\u30d0\u30fc\u30fb\u30c7\u30fc\u4ee5\u964d\u306b\u7c73\u4e2d\u9593\u9078\u6319\u304c\u8fd1\u3065\u304f\u306b\u3064\u308c\u3001\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9f\u6027\u304c\u70ba\u66ff\u5e02\u5834\u3092\u4e3b\u5c0e\u3059\u308b\u5c40\u9762\u3068\u306a\u308b\u3002\u30d9\u30fc\u30b9\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u306f\u8b70\u4f1a\u306e\u306d\u3058\u308c\uff08\u4e0a\u4e0b\u9662\u306e\u5206\u5272\uff09\u3067\u3001\u6b74\u53f2\u7684\u306b\u306f\u7acb\u6cd5\u306e\u505c\u6ede\uff08\u30b0\u30ea\u30c3\u30c9\u30ed\u30c3\u30af\uff09\u3092\u901a\u3058\u3066\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u306f\u300c\u3084\u3084\u5f31\u3044\u300d\u5c55\u958b\u3068\u306a\u308a\u3084\u3059\u3044\u3002\u3053\u306e\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u3067\u306f\u3001\u30b9\u30a6\u30a7\u30fc\u30c7\u30f3\u306e\u30d0\u30ea\u30e5\u30a8\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u9762\u306e\u5999\u5473\u3068\u5e74\u672b\u306b\u304b\u3051\u3066\u306e\u5f37\u3044\u5b63\u7bc0\u6027\u3092\u8e0f\u307e\u3048\u3001SEK\u30b3\u30fc\u30eb\u30aa\u30d7\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306e\u8cb7\u3044\uff08USD\/SEK\u306e\u58f2\u308a\uff09\u3092\u9078\u597d\u3059\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u4e00\u65b9\u3067\u3001\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u304c\u5b8c\u5168\u52dd\u5229\u3059\u308b\u300c\u30d6\u30eb\u30fc\u30a6\u30a7\u30fc\u30d6\u300d\u306e\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u3082\u60f3\u5b9a\u3057\u3066\u304a\u304f\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u5834\u5408\u3001\u9577\u671f\u7c73\u56fd\u50b5\u5229\u56de\u308a\u306e\u8abf\u6574\u3092\u4f34\u3044\u3001\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u306b\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u9ad8\u304c\u6025\u4f38\u3059\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002\u3053\u3046\u3057\u305f\u7279\u5b9a\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u30d8\u30c3\u30b8\u3068\u3057\u3066\u306f\u3001USD\/CNH\uff08\u5bfe\u4eba\u6c11\u5143\uff09\u306e\u30b3\u30fc\u30eb\u30aa\u30d7\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u3092\u30ed\u30f3\u30b0\u3067\u4fdd\u6709\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u63d0\u6848\u3059\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u30dd\u30b8\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306f\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u306e\u5236\u5ea6\u9762\u3067\u306e\u4fe1\u8a8d\u306e\u6025\u56de\u5fa9\u3084\u30bf\u30fc\u30e0\u30d7\u30ec\u30df\u30a2\u30e0\u306e\u5909\u5316\u306b\u4f34\u3046\u6025\u306a\u30c9\u30eb\u9ad8\u304b\u3089\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u30d5\u30a9\u30ea\u30aa\u3092\u5b88\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u4ed6\u65b9\u3067\u3001\u5171\u548c\u515a\u304c\u8b70\u4f1a\u306e\u5b8c\u5168\u652f\u914d\u3092\u7dad\u6301\u3059\u308b\u5834\u5408\u3001\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\uff08\u30b0\u30ea\u30fc\u30f3\u30d0\u30c3\u30af\uff09\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u6700\u3082\u5f31\u6c17\u306a\u7d50\u679c\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3068\u4e88\u60f3\u3059\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u3067\u306f\u3001\u5148\u9032\u56fd\u30fb\u65b0\u8208\u56fd\u306e\u53cc\u65b9\u3067\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u30b7\u30e7\u30fc\u30c8\u3092\u7a4d\u6975\u7684\u306b\u7a4d\u307f\u5897\u3059\u3079\u304d\u3060\u3002\u30b9\u30c8\u30e9\u30af\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c9\u30fb\u30aa\u30d7\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u3092\u6d3b\u7528\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3001\u3053\u3046\u3057\u305f\u653f\u6cbb\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u306e\u5206\u5c90\u306b\u5bfe\u5fdc\u3057\u3064\u3064\u3001\u521d\u671f\u30d7\u30ec\u30df\u30a2\u30e0\uff08\u652f\u6255\u984d\uff09\u3092\u6291\u3048\u305f\u904b\u7528\u304c\u53ef\u80fd\u3068\u306a\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\u4eca\u3059\u3050\u53d6\u5f15\u3092\u59cb\u3081\u307e\u3057\u3087\u3046 \u2014 VT Markets\u306e\u30ea\u30a2\u30eb\u53e3\u5ea7\u3092\u958b\u8a2d\u3059\u308b\u306b\u306f<a 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