{"id":47203,"date":"2026-05-19T01:47:31","date_gmt":"2026-05-19T01:47:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/47203\/"},"modified":"2026-05-19T01:47:31","modified_gmt":"2026-05-19T01:47:31","slug":"sp500%e3%81%ae%e8%aa%bf%e6%95%b4%e3%81%af%e3%80%8c%e6%9c%80%e7%b5%825%e6%b3%a2%e3%81%ae%e4%b8%8a%e6%98%87%e7%9b%b8%e5%a0%b4%e3%80%8d%e3%81%ae%e5%b8%83%e7%9f%b3%e3%80%811000%e3%83%9d%e3%82%a4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/jp-asia\/live-updates\/47203\/","title":{"rendered":"S&P500\u306e\u8abf\u6574\u306f\u300c\u6700\u7d425\u6ce2\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u76f8\u5834\u300d\u306e\u5e03\u77f3\u30011,000\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u4e0b\u843d\u524d\u306b"},"content":{"rendered":"

5\u67087\u65e5\u3001S&P500\u304c7,340\u30c9\u30eb\u8fd1\u8fba\u306b\u3042\u3063\u305f\u6642\u70b9\u306e\u66f4\u65b0\u3067\u306f\u3001\u300c\u5c0f\u3055\u306a\u7b2c3\u6ce2\u306e\u7d42\u76e4\uff08\u7070\u8272\u306eW-iii\uff09\u307e\u305f\u306f\u6700\u7d42\u306e\u7b2c5\u6ce2\u304c\u8fd1\u3065\u3044\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u4e0a\u6607\u304c\u7d42\u76e4\u306b\u5dee\u3057\u304b\u304b\u308b\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u304c\u3042\u308b\u300d\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u305d\u306e\u5f8c\u3001\u6307\u6570\u306f7,356\u30c9\u30eb\u307e\u3067\u4e0b\u843d\u3057\u3001\u66f4\u65b0\u4ee5\u964d\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u5206\u3092\u6253\u3061\u6d88\u3057\u305f\u3002\u5148\u9031\u6728\u66dc\u306e\u9ad8\u50247,517\u30c9\u30eb\u306b\u5411\u3051\u3066\u9752\u306e9\u6ce2\u3092\u5f62\u6210\u3057\u3001\u30d5\u30a3\u30dc\u30ca\u30c3\u30c1\u30fb\u30a8\u30af\u30b9\u30c6\u30f3\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\uff08\u5024\u5e45\u306e\u6bd4\u7387\u304b\u3089\u4e0a\u5024\u306e\u76ee\u5b89\u3092\u6e2c\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5\uff09\u306e323.6\u301c361.8%\u30be\u30fc\u30f3\u306b\u5230\u9054\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

Fibonacci Extension Signals Late Stage Rally Risk<\/h3>\n

\u672c\u6587\u3067\u306f\u3001123\u301c161.8%\u304c\u3088\u308a\u4e00\u822c\u7684\u306a\u7b2c3\u6ce2\u306e\u76ee\u6a19\u3067\u3042\u308b\u4e00\u65b9\u3001323.6\u301c361.8%\u306f\u300c\u5ef6\u9577\u3055\u308c\u305f\u7b2c3\u6ce2\u300d\uff08\u901a\u5e38\u3088\u308a\u5927\u304d\u304f\u4f38\u3073\u305f\u7b2c3\u6ce2\uff09\u3067\u3088\u304f\u898b\u3089\u308c\u308b\u6c34\u6e96\u3060\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u3055\u3089\u306b\u3001\u7b2c5\u6ce2\u306f176.4\u301c200%\u306b\u9054\u3057\u3084\u3059\u3044\u3068\u3057\u3001\u3088\u308a\u5927\u304d\u306a\u9ed2\u306eW-3\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u7dd1\u306eW-5\u5185\u306e\u7070\u8272W-iii\u304c\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3092\u793a\u5506\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u307e\u305f\u3001\u4e0a\u6607\u5c40\u9762\u3067\u306f\u30a2\u30c9\u30d0\u30f3\u30b9\uff0f\u30c7\u30a3\u30af\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u30fb\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\uff08\u4e0a\u6607\u9298\u67c4\u6570\u3068\u4e0b\u843d\u9298\u67c4\u6570\u306e\u5dee\u3067\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u5e83\u304c\u308a\u3092\u6e2c\u308b\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u3067\u53c2\u52a0\u8005\u304c\u6e1b\u3063\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3068\u5831\u544a\u3057\u3001\u4fa1\u683c\u304c\u53cd\u5fdc\u3059\u308b\u307e\u3067\u7d044\u9031\u9593\u304b\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u30022024\u5e745\u670813\u65e5\u301c6\u670810\u65e5\uff08\u5404\u9031\u672b\uff09\u306b\u304b\u3051\u3066\u306e\u904e\u53bb\u306e4\u9031\u9593\u306e\u4e56\u96e2\u3067\u306f\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5f8c\u3055\u3089\u306b\u7d044.5%\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u305f\u5f8c\u3001\u7d0410%\u306e\u8abf\u6574\u3068\u306a\u3063\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u60f3\u5b9a\u3068\u3057\u3066\u306f\u3001\u5c0f\u3055\u306a\u7b2c4\u6ce2\u306e\u62bc\u3057\uff08\u7070\u8272W-iv\uff09\u304c7,310\u301c7,420\u30c9\u30eb\u307e\u3067\u5165\u308b\uff08\u3053\u308c\u306f\u3059\u3067\u306b\u8d77\u304d\u305f\uff09\u3068\u3044\u3046\u6d41\u308c\u306e\u5f8c\u3001\u7b2c5\u6ce2\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\uff08\u7070\u8272W-v\uff09\u3067376.4\u301c400.0%\u306e7,650\u301c7,720\u30c9\u30eb\u3092\u76ee\u6307\u3059\u3002\u305d\u306e\u5f8c\u30011,000\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u8d85\u306e\u4e0b\u843d\u76f8\u5834\uff08\u30d9\u30a2\u5e02\u5834\uff1d\u4e0b\u843d\u57fa\u8abf\u306e\u76f8\u5834\uff09\u3092\u898b\u8fbc\u3080\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

S&P500\u306f\u60f3\u5b9a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u652f\u6301\u5e2f\uff08\u30b5\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\uff1d\u4e0b\u5024\u306e\u76ee\u5b89\uff09\u3067\u3042\u308b7,310\u301c7,420\u30c9\u30eb\u307e\u3067\u62bc\u3057\u30015\u6708\u521d\u65ec\u306e\u5b89\u5024\u570f\u3092\u5b9f\u8cea\u7684\u306b\u8a66\u3057\u305f\u3002\u3053\u306e\u4e0b\u843d\u5c40\u9762\u306f\u77ed\u671f\u306e\u8cb7\u3044\u5834\u306b\u306a\u308a\u5f97\u308b\u3002\u77ed\u671f\u306e\u30b3\u30fc\u30eb\u30aa\u30d7\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\uff08\u4e0a\u6607\u6642\u306b\u5229\u76ca\u304c\u51fa\u3084\u3059\u3044\u6a29\u5229\uff09\u3092\u8cb7\u3046\u3001\u307e\u305f\u306f\u5f37\u6c17\u306e\u30b3\u30fc\u30eb\u30fb\u30b9\u30d7\u30ec\u30c3\u30c9\uff08\u30b3\u30fc\u30eb\u306e\u8cb7\u3044\u3068\u58f2\u308a\u3092\u7d44\u307f\u5408\u308f\u305b\u3001\u30b3\u30b9\u30c8\u3068\u5229\u76ca\u3092\u6291\u3048\u305f\u6226\u7565\uff09\u3067\u3001\u60f3\u5b9a\u3055\u308c\u308b\u6700\u5f8c\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u3092\u72d9\u3046\u9078\u629e\u80a2\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6307\u6570\u306f\u6700\u7d42\u7684\u306a\u7b2c5\u6ce2\u306b\u5411\u3051\u305f\u5c0f\u3055\u306a\u7b2c4\u6ce2\u306e\u62bc\u3057\u306b\u3042\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u9ad8\u3044\u3002\u5206\u6790\u3067\u306f\u3001\u4eca\u5f8c\u6570\u9031\u9593\u30677,650\u301c7,720\u30c9\u30eb\u304c\u76ee\u6a19\u306b\u306a\u308a\u5f97\u308b\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306b\u3088\u308a\u3001\u7a4d\u307f\u4e0a\u304c\u3063\u3066\u304d\u305f\u5927\u304d\u306a\u4e0a\u6607\u69cb\u9020\u304c\u5b8c\u7d50\u3059\u308b\u3068\u307f\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

Positioning For Final Rally Then Major Downturn<\/h3>\n

\u3053\u306e\u898b\u65b9\u306f\u5e02\u5834\u5185\u90e8\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3067\u3082\u88dc\u5f37\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3002CBOE VIX\uff08\u682a\u4fa1\u306e\u4e88\u60f3\u5909\u52d5\u7387\uff1d\u4e0d\u5b89\u5fc3\u7406\u3092\u793a\u3059\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u306f\u6bd4\u8f03\u7684\u4f4e\u4f4d\u3067\u3001\u5148\u9031\u306f15.2\u3067\u5f15\u3051\u305f\u3002\u4eca\u56de\u306e\u4e0b\u843d\u304c\u5e83\u7bc4\u306a\u30d1\u30cb\u30c3\u30af\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3082\u306e\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u3059\u3002\u3055\u3089\u306b\u3001\u682a\u5f0f\u306e\u30d7\u30c3\u30c8\uff0f\u30b3\u30fc\u30eb\u6bd4\u7387\uff08\u4e0b\u3052\u3078\u306e\u5099\u3048\uff1d\u30d7\u30c3\u30c8\u3068\u4e0a\u6607\u72d9\u3044\uff1d\u30b3\u30fc\u30eb\u306e\u6bd4\u7387\u3002\u4e0a\u6607\u3059\u308b\u3068\u30d8\u30c3\u30b8\u9700\u8981\u304c\u5f37\u3044\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u3059\uff09\u306f\u91d1\u66dc\u306b0.68\u307e\u3067\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u3001\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u306a\u5e95\u5024\u4ed8\u8fd1\u3067\u898b\u3089\u308c\u3084\u3059\u3044\u30d8\u30c3\u30b8\u306e\u5897\u52a0\u3092\u793a\u3057\u305f\u3002\u4e0a\u6607\u306e\u5e83\u304c\u308a\u304c\u7d30\u3063\u3066\u3044\u305f\u4e00\u65b9\u3001\u8db3\u5143\u306e\u62bc\u3057\u76ee\u306f\u6b21\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u306b\u5411\u3051\u305f\u571f\u53f0\u3092\u4f5c\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

2026\u5e74\u306e\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u8996\u70b9\u3067\u632f\u308a\u8fd4\u308b\u3068\u30012024\u5e745\u301c6\u6708\u306b\u3082\u4f3c\u305f\u5f62\u304c\u898b\u3089\u308c\u305f\u3002\u5f53\u6642\u3082\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u5e83\u304c\u308a\u306e\u60aa\u5316\u306e\u5f8c\u306b\u6700\u5f8c\u306e4.5%\u4e0a\u6607\u304c\u3042\u308a\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5f8c\u306b10%\u306e\u8abf\u6574\u3067\u4e0a\u6607\u5206\u304c\u5931\u308f\u308c\u305f\u3002\u3053\u306e\u524d\u4f8b\u306f\u3001\u300c\u3082\u3046\u4e00\u6bb5\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u306e\u5f8c\u306b\u3001\u3088\u308a\u5927\u304d\u306a\u4e0b\u843d\u300d\u304c\u8d77\u304d\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u898b\u7acb\u3066\u3092\u88dc\u5f37\u3059\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3063\u3066\u30017,650\u301c7,720\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u76ee\u6a19\u306b\u8fd1\u3065\u3044\u305f\u6bb5\u968e\u3067\u3001\u6226\u7565\u306e\u5207\u308a\u66ff\u3048\u306b\u5099\u3048\u308b\u3079\u304d\u3060\u3002\u30d7\u30ed\u30c6\u30af\u30c6\u30a3\u30d6\u30fb\u30d7\u30c3\u30c8\uff08\u4fdd\u967a\u3068\u3057\u3066\u306e\u30d7\u30c3\u30c8\u8cb7\u3044\uff09\u3084\u5f31\u6c17\u306e\u30d7\u30c3\u30c8\u30fb\u30b9\u30d7\u30ec\u30c3\u30c9\uff08\u30d7\u30c3\u30c8\u306e\u8cb7\u3044\u3068\u58f2\u308a\u306e\u7d44\u307f\u5408\u308f\u305b\u3067\u4e0b\u843d\u306b\u5099\u3048\u308b\uff09\u304c\u3001\u5927\u304d\u306a\u4e0b\u843d\u306b\u5099\u3048\u308b\u624b\u6bb5\u306b\u306a\u308b\u30021,000\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u8d85\u306e\u4e0b\u843d\u306f\u3001\u9069\u5207\u306b\u5099\u3048\u305f\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u5927\u304d\u306a\u6a5f\u4f1a\u306b\u306a\u308a\u5f97\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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