{"id":46974,"date":"2026-05-15T02:05:54","date_gmt":"2026-05-15T02:05:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/46974\/"},"modified":"2026-05-15T02:05:54","modified_gmt":"2026-05-15T02:05:54","slug":"td%e8%a8%bc%e5%88%b8%e3%80%81%e3%82%a4%e3%83%a9%e3%83%b3%e6%83%85%e5%8b%a2%e3%81%ab%e3%82%88%e3%82%8b%e3%82%a4%e3%83%b3%e3%83%95%e3%83%ac%e3%81%a7%e5%88%a9%e4%b8%8b%e3%81%92%e8%a6%8b%e9%80%81%e3%82%8a","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/jp-asia\/live-updates\/46974\/","title":{"rendered":"TD\u8a3c\u5238\u3001\u30a4\u30e9\u30f3\u60c5\u52e2\u306b\u3088\u308b\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u3067\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u898b\u9001\u308a\u304c\u7d9a\u304d\u3001FRB\u306f2026\u5e74\u3082\u653f\u7b56\u91d1\u5229\u3092\u636e\u3048\u7f6e\u304f\u3068\u4e88\u60f3"},"content":{"rendered":"

TD\u30bb\u30ad\u30e5\u30ea\u30c6\u30a3\u30fc\u30ba\u306e\u30a8\u30b3\u30ce\u30df\u30b9\u30c8\uff08\u30aa\u30b9\u30ab\u30fc\u30fb\u30e0\u30cb\u30e7\u30b9\u6c0f\u7387\u3044\u308b\u30c1\u30fc\u30e0\uff09\u306f\u7c73\u9023\u90a6\u6e96\u5099\u5236\u5ea6\u7406\u4e8b\u4f1a\uff08FRB\uff09\u306e\u898b\u901a\u3057\u3092\u4fee\u6b63\u3057\u30012026\u5e74\u306f\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u304c\u884c\u308f\u308c\u306a\u3044\u3068\u4e88\u60f3\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u80cc\u666f\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3001\u30a4\u30e9\u30f3\u60c5\u52e2\u306b\u4f34\u3046\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u5727\u529b\u306e\u9577\u671f\u5316\u3001\u539f\u6cb9\u4fa1\u683c\u306e\u9ad8\u6b62\u307e\u308a\u3001\u4f9b\u7d66\u7db2\uff08\u30b5\u30d7\u30e9\u30a4\u30c1\u30a7\u30fc\u30f3\uff09\u306e\u6df7\u4e71\u3092\u6319\u3052\u3001\u7269\u4fa1\u4e0a\u6607\u7387\u306e\u920d\u5316\uff08\u30c7\u30a3\u30b9\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\uff1a\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u7387\u304c\u4f4e\u4e0b\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\uff09\u304c\u9032\u307f\u306b\u304f\u3044\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e00\u65b9\u3067\u30012027\u5e74\u306b\u306f\u91d1\u878d\u653f\u7b56\u306e\u7de9\u548c\uff08\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\uff09\u3092\u4e88\u60f3\u3057\u3001\u666f\u6c17\u3092\u904e\u71b1\u3082\u51b7\u3048\u8fbc\u307f\u3082\u3057\u306a\u3044\u3068\u3055\u308c\u308b\u300c\u4e2d\u7acb\u91d1\u5229\uff08\u30cb\u30e5\u30fc\u30c8\u30e9\u30eb\u91d1\u5229\uff09\u300d\u3067\u3042\u308b3%\u3078\u306e\u63a5\u8fd1\u3092\u60f3\u5b9a\u3059\u308b\u30022027\u5e743\u6708\u304b\u3089\u5408\u8a0875bp\uff08\u30d9\u30fc\u30b7\u30b9\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\uff1d\u91d1\u52290.01%\uff09\u306e\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u3092\u898b\u8fbc\u3080\u304c\u3001\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u306b\u8e0f\u307f\u5207\u308b\u6761\u4ef6\u306f\u53b3\u3057\u304f\u306a\u3063\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001FRB\u306f\u3088\u308a\u9577\u304f\u636e\u3048\u7f6e\u304f\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3068\u4ed8\u3051\u52a0\u3048\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

Fed Guidance Shifts In 2026<\/h3>\n

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\u307e\u305f\u3001\u30c9\u30c3\u30c8\u30fb\u30d7\u30ed\u30c3\u30c8\uff08FOMC\u53c2\u52a0\u8005\u304c\u60f3\u5b9a\u3059\u308b\u5c06\u6765\u306e\u653f\u7b56\u91d1\u5229\u898b\u901a\u3057\u3092\u70b9\u3067\u793a\u3057\u305f\u56f3\uff09\u306e\u4e2d\u592e\u5024\u306f\u30012026\u5e74\u306b\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u3092\u7e54\u308a\u8fbc\u307e\u306a\u3044\u5185\u5bb9\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3068\u4e88\u60f3\u3059\u308b\u3002\u3055\u3089\u306b\u3001\u4e00\u90e8\u53c2\u52a0\u8005\u306f2027\u5e74\u306e\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u3092\u898b\u901a\u3059\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b\u4e00\u65b9\u3001\u6210\u9577\u4e0b\u632f\u308c\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u3092\u8e0f\u307e\u3048\u308b\u3068\u3001\u6b21\u306e\u4e00\u624b\u306f\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u3088\u308a\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u306e\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u9ad8\u3044\u3068\u306e\u898b\u65b9\u3082\u7dad\u6301\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u540c\u793e\u306f\u300c2026\u5e74\u306eFRB\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u306f\u306a\u3044\u300d\u3068\u306e\u898b\u65b9\u306b\u6539\u3081\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u3082\u6025\u901f\u306b\u518d\u8a55\u4fa1\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u6307\u6458\u3059\u308b\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u306b\u306f\u30012026\u5e7412\u6708\u9650\u306eSOFR\u5148\u7269\uff08\u62c5\u4fdd\u4ed8\u304d\u7fcc\u65e5\u7269\u8abf\u9054\u91d1\u5229\uff1dSOFR\u3092\u57fa\u6e96\u306b\u3057\u305f\u91d1\u5229\u5148\u7269\uff09\u306e\u5229\u56de\u308a\u304c\u8db3\u5143\u3067\u7d045.4%\u3068\u306a\u308a\u3001\u6570\u30ab\u6708\u524d\u307e\u3067\u7e54\u308a\u8fbc\u307e\u308c\u3066\u3044\u305f50bp\u5206\u306e\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u89b3\u6e2c\u304c\u6d88\u3048\u305f\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3002\u300c\u9ad8\u91d1\u5229\u304c\u9577\u304f\u7d9a\u304f\uff08higher for longer\uff09\u300d\u304c\u4e3b\u8981\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u306b\u306a\u308a\u3064\u3064\u3042\u308b\u3068\u3059\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6226\u7565\u9762\u3067\u306f\u3001FRB\u304c\u5f53\u9762\u52d5\u304d\u306b\u304f\u3044\u3068\u306e\u524d\u63d0\u304b\u3089\u3001SOFR\u5148\u7269\u306e\u77ed\u671f\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u65b9\u5411\u30b3\u30fc\u30eb\uff08\u8cb7\u3046\u6a29\u5229\uff1d\u30b3\u30fc\u30eb\u30aa\u30d7\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\uff09\u3092\u58f2\u308b\u53d6\u5f15\u3092\u4e2d\u6838\u306b\u636e\u3048\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3002\u305f\u3060\u3057\u3001MOVE\u6307\u6570\uff08\u7c73\u56fd\u50b5\u306e\u91d1\u5229\u5909\u52d5\u306e\u5927\u304d\u3055\u3092\u793a\u3059\u6307\u6570\uff09\u304c115\u3092\u4e0a\u56de\u3063\u3066\u9ad8\u6b62\u307e\u308a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3001\u30bf\u30ab\u6d3e\u30b5\u30d7\u30e9\u30a4\u30ba\uff08\u60f3\u5b9a\u4ee5\u4e0a\u306b\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u5bc4\u308a\uff09\u306b\u5099\u3048\u30012026\u5e74\u5f8c\u534a\u301c2027\u5e74\u521d\u306e\u5927\u5e45\u306b\u96e2\u308c\u305f\u884c\u4f7f\u4fa1\u683c\u306e\u30b3\u30fc\u30eb\uff08\u9060\u3044\u30a2\u30a6\u30c8\u30fb\u30aa\u30d6\u30fb\u30b6\u30fb\u30de\u30cd\u30fc\uff09\u3092\u8cb7\u3063\u3066\u30d8\u30c3\u30b8\uff08\u4fdd\u967a\uff09\u3092\u304b\u3051\u308b\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u30aa\u30d7\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u5e02\u5834\u306f\u5e74\u672b\u307e\u3067\u306e\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u78ba\u7387\u309215%\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3068\u898b\u7a4d\u3082\u3063\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u5c0f\u3055\u304f\u306f\u306a\u3044\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u3068\u3057\u3066\u7121\u8996\u3067\u304d\u306a\u3044\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n

Positioning For Higher For Longer<\/h3>\n

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