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Assumptions And War 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Positioning For Lower Rates<\/h3>\n<p>\u5f15\u304d\u7de0\u3081\u7684\u306a\u91d1\u5229\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u306f\u3001\u7d71\u8a08\u306b\u3082\u306f\u3063\u304d\u308a\u8868\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u30022026\u5e741\u301c3\u6708\u671f\u306e\u6700\u65b0\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3067\u306f\u3001\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7269\u4fa1\u6307\u6570\uff08CPI\u3001\u5bb6\u8a08\u304c\u8cfc\u5165\u3059\u308b\u30e2\u30ce\u3084\u30b5\u30fc\u30d3\u30b9\u306e\u4fa1\u683c\u306e\u52d5\u304d\uff09\u4e0a\u6607\u7387\u306f\u524d\u5e74\u6bd43.2%\u307e\u3067\u4f4e\u4e0b\u3057\u3001RBA\u306e\u76ee\u6a19\u30ec\u30f3\u30b8\u306b\u8fd1\u3065\u3044\u305f\u3002\u4e00\u65b9\u3001\u4f01\u696d\u304c\u9700\u8981\u6e1b\u901f\u306b\u5bfe\u5fdc\u3059\u308b\u4e2d\u3067\u3001\u5931\u696d\u7387\u306f4.4%\u3078\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u666f\u6c17\u6e1b\u901f\u306b\u3088\u308a\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u5fc3\u7406\u306f2025\u5e74\u306e\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u5c40\u9762\u304b\u3089\u4e00\u8ee2\u3057\u305f\u3002\u91d1\u5229\u5148\u7269\u5e02\u5834\uff08\u5c06\u6765\u306e\u91d1\u5229\u6c34\u6e96\u3092\u7e54\u308a\u8fbc\u3080\u5e02\u5834\uff09\u3067\u306f\u3001\u5e74\u5185\u306bRBA\u304c25bp\u306e\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u3092\u5c11\u306a\u304f\u3068\u30822\u56de\u884c\u3046\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u9ad8\u3044\u3068\u306e\u898b\u65b9\u304c\u53cd\u6620\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u7126\u70b9\u306f\u300c\u3069\u3053\u307e\u3067\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u3059\u308b\u304b\u300d\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u300c\u3044\u3064\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u5c40\u9762\u306b\u5165\u308b\u304b\u300d\u306b\u79fb\u3063\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u3046\u3057\u305f\u898b\u901a\u3057\u3092\u8e0f\u307e\u3048\u3001\u30c8\u30ec\u30fc\u30c0\u30fc\u306f\u3001\u8c6a\u5dde3\u5e74\u56fd\u50b5\u5148\u7269\uff08YT\uff09\u306a\u3069\u3067\u91d1\u5229\u4f4e\u4e0b\u3092\u60f3\u5b9a\u3057\u305f\u30dd\u30b8\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u3092\u691c\u8a0e\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3002\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u89b3\u6e2c\u304c\u5f37\u307e\u308c\u3070\u3001\u3053\u3046\u3057\u305f\u5148\u7269\u4fa1\u683c\u306f\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u3084\u3059\u304f\u3001RBA\u306e\u6b21\u306e\u4e00\u624b\u3092\u76f4\u63a5\u7684\u306b\u7e54\u308a\u8fbc\u3080\u624b\u6bb5\u3068\u306a\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u682a\u5f0f\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u30dc\u30e9\u30c6\u30a3\u30ea\u30c6\u30a3\uff08\u4fa1\u683c\u5909\u52d5\u306e\u5927\u304d\u3055\uff09\u3082\u6ce8\u76ee\u70b9\u3060\u3002\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u6642\u671f\u306e\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9f\u6027\u306f\u3001\u76f8\u5834\u306e\u6025\u5909\u52d5\u3092\u62db\u304d\u3084\u3059\u3044\u3002ASX200\uff08\u8c6a\u5dde\u4e3b\u8981\u682a\u4fa1\u6307\u6570\uff09\u30aa\u30d7\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u3092\u7528\u3044\u305f\u30b9\u30c8\u30e9\u30c9\u30eb\uff08\u540c\u3058\u6a29\u5229\u884c\u4f7f\u4fa1\u683c\u3067\u30b3\u30fc\u30eb\u3068\u30d7\u30c3\u30c8\u3092\u540c\u6642\u306b\u8cb7\u3046\u6226\u7565\uff09\u306f\u3001\u4e0a\u306b\u3082\u4e0b\u306b\u3082\u5927\u304d\u304f\u52d5\u3044\u305f\u969b\u306b\u5229\u76ca\u3092\u72d9\u3048\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3001\u4e0d\u900f\u660e\u611f\u304c\u5f37\u3044\u5c40\u9762\u3067\u306e\u624b\u6bb5\u3068\u306a\u308a\u5f97\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>RBA\u304c\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u306b\u5411\u304b\u3046\u4e00\u65b9\u3067\u3001\u7c73\u9023\u90a6\u6e96\u5099\u5236\u5ea6\u7406\u4e8b\u4f1a\uff08FRB\uff09\u304c\u636e\u3048\u7f6e\u304d\u3092\u7d9a\u3051\u308c\u3070\u3001\u91d1\u878d\u653f\u7b56\u306e\u65b9\u5411\u6027\u306e\u9055\u3044\u304c\u62e1\u5927\u3057\u3001\u8c6a\u30c9\u30eb\u306b\u4e0b\u62bc\u3057\u5727\u529b\u304c\u304b\u304b\u308a\u3084\u3059\u3044\u3002\u8c6a\u30c9\u30eb\uff0f\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\uff08AUD\/USD\uff09\u306e\u58f2\u308a\uff08\u30b7\u30e7\u30fc\u30c8\uff09\u3092\u691c\u8a0e\u3059\u308b\u4f59\u5730\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306f\u901a\u8ca8\u5148\u7269\u3001\u307e\u305f\u306fAUD\/USD\u306e\u30d7\u30c3\u30c8\u30aa\u30d7\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\uff08\u4e00\u5b9a\u4fa1\u683c\u3067\u58f2\u308b\u6a29\u5229\uff09\u8cfc\u5165\u306a\u3069\u3067\u5b9f\u884c\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>RBA\u306f4.35%\u30783\u4f1a\u5408\u9023\u7d9a\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u3082\u3001\u539f\u6cb9\u6025\u843d\u3067CPI\u920d\u5316\u30fb\u5931\u696d\u7387\u4e0a\u6607\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u8996\u7dda\u306f\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u3078\u8ee2\u63db\u3001\u8c6a\u50b5\u8cb7\u3044\u30fbASX\u30aa\u30d7\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u30fb\u8c6a\u30c9\u30eb\u58f2\u308a\u304c\u7126\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":116,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[40],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46498","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- 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