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Outlook And Market Positioning<\/h3>\n<p>\u30e9\u30dc\u30d0\u30f3\u30af\u306f\u3001\u7c73\u9023\u90a6\u6e96\u5099\u5236\u5ea6\u7406\u4e8b\u4f1a\uff08FRB\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u306e\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u304c\u5e74\u5185\u306b\u8ffd\u52a0\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\uff08\u653f\u7b56\u91d1\u5229\u3092\u5f15\u304d\u4e0b\u3052\u308b\u3053\u3068\uff09\u3092\u884c\u3046\u3068\u4e88\u60f3\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306b\u3088\u308a\u30013\u301c6\u30ab\u6708\u306e\u671f\u9593\u3067\u306f\u3001\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u306f\u30e6\u30fc\u30ed\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u7de9\u3084\u304b\u306b\u4e0b\u843d\u3059\u308b\uff08\u30e6\u30fc\u30ed\u9ad8\u30fb\u30c9\u30eb\u5b89\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3068\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u307e\u305f\u30e9\u30dc\u30d0\u30f3\u30af\u306f\u3001\u30e6\u30fc\u30ed\u306e\u8cb7\u3044\u6301\u3061\uff08\u30ed\u30f3\u30b0\uff09\u304c\u6628\u5e74\u306e\u6c34\u6e96\u307e\u3067\u623b\u308b\u3068\u306f\u898b\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3002\u3055\u3089\u306b\u3001\u5e74\u5f8c\u534a\u306b\u30e6\u30fc\u30ed\uff0f\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\uff08EUR\/USD\u30011\u30e6\u30fc\u30ed\u3092\u8cb7\u3046\u306e\u306b\u5fc5\u8981\u306a\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u91cf\uff09\u304c\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u3066\u3082\u3001\u5f37\u3044\u78ba\u4fe1\u3092\u4f34\u3044\u306b\u304f\u3044\u3068\u8ff0\u3079\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>Implications For Derivatives And Hedging<\/h3>\n<p>\u30c7\u30ea\u30d0\u30c6\u30a3\u30d6\uff08\u91d1\u878d\u6d3e\u751f\u5546\u54c1\u3002\u682a\u4fa1\u3084\u91d1\u5229\u3001\u70ba\u66ff\u306a\u3069\u306e\u5024\u52d5\u304d\u3092\u57fa\u306b\u3057\u305f\u53d6\u5f15\uff09\u53d6\u5f15\u3092\u884c\u3046\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u306f\u3001\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u30b3\u30fc\u30eb\u30aa\u30d7\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\uff08\u3042\u3089\u304b\u3058\u3081\u6c7a\u3081\u305f\u4fa1\u683c\u3067\u8cb7\u3046\u6a29\u5229\uff09\u3092\u8cb7\u3046\u3001\u307e\u305f\u306fEUR\/USD\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u901a\u8ca8\u30da\u30a2\u3067\u30d7\u30c3\u30c8\u30aa\u30d7\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\uff08\u3042\u3089\u304b\u3058\u3081\u6c7a\u3081\u305f\u4fa1\u683c\u3067\u58f2\u308b\u6a29\u5229\uff09\u3092\u8cb7\u3046\u6226\u7565\u304c\u9078\u629e\u80a2\u3068\u306a\u308b\u3002FRB\u304c\u300c\u91d1\u5229\u3092\u9ad8\u3044\u6c34\u6e96\u3067\u9577\u304f\u7dad\u6301\uff08higher for longer\uff09\u300d\u3059\u308b\u59ff\u52e2\u3092\u793a\u3059\u306a\u304b\u3001\u901a\u8ca8\u30aa\u30d7\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306e\u30a4\u30f3\u30d7\u30e9\u30a4\u30c9\u30fb\u30dc\u30e9\u30c6\u30a3\u30ea\u30c6\u30a3\uff08\u5e02\u5834\u304c\u7e54\u308a\u8fbc\u3080\u4e88\u60f3\u5909\u52d5\u7387\u3002\u6570\u5b57\u304c\u9ad8\u3044\u307b\u3069\u5024\u52d5\u304d\u304c\u5927\u304d\u3044\u3068\u898b\u3089\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\uff09\u306f\u30013\u30ab\u6708\u7269\u30677.5%\u524d\u5f8c\u306b\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u3053\u3046\u3057\u305f\u74b0\u5883\u3067\u306f\u3001\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u9ad8\u306e\u7d99\u7d9a\u3084\u30e6\u30fc\u30ed\u5b89\u3067\u5229\u76ca\u3092\u72d9\u3046\u6226\u7565\u304c\u6a5f\u80fd\u3057\u3084\u3059\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u30e6\u30fc\u30ed\u306e\u8cb7\u3044\u6301\u3061\u3092\u7a4d\u307f\u4e0a\u3052\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u6027\u306f\u5c0f\u3055\u3044\u3002EUR\/USD\u306f\u8db3\u5143\u30671.0550\u3092\u4e0a\u56de\u3063\u3066\u7dad\u6301\u3057\u306b\u304f\u304f\u3001\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u3066\u3082\u77ed\u671f\u9593\u306b\u3068\u3069\u307e\u308a\u3084\u3059\u3044\u3002\u305d\u306e\u305f\u3081\u3001\u5148\u7269\u4e88\u7d04\uff08\u30d5\u30a9\u30ef\u30fc\u30c9\u3001\u5c06\u6765\u306e\u70ba\u66ff\u30ec\u30fc\u30c8\u3092\u3042\u3089\u304b\u3058\u3081\u6c7a\u3081\u308b\u76f8\u5bfe\u53d6\u5f15\uff09\u3067\u30e6\u30fc\u30ed\u5efa\u3066\u58f2\u4e0a\u50b5\u6a29\uff08\u5c06\u6765\u53d7\u3051\u53d6\u308b\u30e6\u30fc\u30ed\uff09\u3092\u30d8\u30c3\u30b8\uff08\u640d\u5931\u3092\u6291\u3048\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306e\u53d6\u5f15\uff09\u3059\u308b\u3001\u3042\u308b\u3044\u306fEUR\/USD\u306e\u5148\u7269\uff08\u5c06\u6765\u306e\u58f2\u8cb7\u3092\u7d04\u675f\u3059\u308b\u53d6\u5f15\uff09\u3067\u58f2\u308a\u5efa\u3066\uff08\u30b7\u30e7\u30fc\u30c8\u3001\u4e0b\u843d\u3092\u898b\u8fbc\u3093\u3067\u4fdd\u6709\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\uff09\u3092\u7dad\u6301\u3059\u308b\u306e\u304c\u59a5\u5f53\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u304c\u5b89\u5168\u8cc7\u7523\u3068\u3055\u308c\u308b\u70b9\u3082\u3001\u8cbf\u6613\u6469\u64e6\u3084\u5730\u57df\u306e\u4e0d\u5b89\u5b9a\u5316\u304c\u7d9a\u304f\u5c40\u9762\u3067\u306f\u91cd\u8981\u3060\u3002\u80cc\u666f\u306b\u306f\u3001\u4ed6\u901a\u8ca8\u3088\u308a\u3082\u306f\u308b\u304b\u306b\u539a\u3044\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u69cb\u9020\u7684\u306a\u5f37\u307f\u304c\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u4e0b\u652f\u3048\u3068\u306a\u308a\u3001\u4eee\u306bFRB\u304c\u5c06\u6765\u65b9\u91dd\u8ee2\u63db\uff08\u30d4\u30dc\u30c3\u30c8\u3001\u91d1\u878d\u653f\u7b56\u306e\u65b9\u5411\u3092\u5909\u3048\u308b\u3053\u3068\uff09\u3057\u3066\u3082\u3001\u5927\u5e45\u306a\u4e0b\u843d\u306f\u9650\u5b9a\u7684\u306b\u306a\u308a\u3084\u3059\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u30c9\u30eb\u6307\u6570\u306f100\u30fb200\u65e5\u7dda\u304c\u4e0a\u5024\u62b5\u6297\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u306f\u4e2d\u6771\u7dca\u5f35\u3067\u3082\u30ed\u30f3\u30b0\u7a4d\u307f\u5897\u3057\u614e\u91cd\u3002FRB\u8ffd\u52a0\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u30673\u301c6\u30ab\u6708\u306f\u30e6\u30fc\u30ed\u9ad8\u4f59\u5730\u3082\u3001\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u304c\u4e0b\u652f\u3048\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":116,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[40],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46430","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- 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