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Divisions And Market Pricing<\/h3>\n<p>\u539f\u6cb9\u4fa1\u683c\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u306b\u52a0\u3048\u3001FRB\u5185\u90e8\u306e\u610f\u898b\u5bfe\u7acb\u304c\u76ee\u7acb\u3063\u305f\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u7e54\u308a\u8fbc\u307f\uff08\u5148\u7269\u3084\u30aa\u30d7\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u4fa1\u683c\u306b\u53cd\u6620\u3055\u308c\u305f\u5e02\u5834\u4e88\u60f3\uff09\u306f\u300c\u91d1\u5229\u304c\u3088\u308a\u9ad8\u304f\u306a\u308b\u300d\u65b9\u5411\u3078\u50be\u3044\u305f\u3002\u5f15\u3051\u6642\u70b9\u3067\u306f\u300112\u6708\u9650\u306e\u5148\u7269\u304c3bp\uff08bp\uff1d0.01%\uff1d0.01\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\uff09\u306e\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u3092\u7e54\u308a\u8fbc\u307f\u3001\u5e74\u5185\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u306f\u307b\u307c\u4fa1\u683c\u304b\u3089\u6d88\u3048\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5148\u7269\u306f\u73fe\u5728\u3001\u6765\u5e744\u6708\u307e\u3067\u306bFRB\u304c\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u3059\u308b\u78ba\u7387\u309255%\u3068\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u5225\u9014\u3001\u30d1\u30a6\u30a8\u30eb\u6c0f\u306f\u8b70\u9577\u4efb\u671f\u304c5\u670815\u65e5\u306b\u7d42\u4e86\u3057\u305f\u5f8c\u3082\u3001FRB\u7406\u4e8b\uff08\u653f\u7b56\u6c7a\u5b9a\u306b\u95a2\u308f\u308b\u7406\u4e8b\uff09\u3068\u3057\u3066\u6b8b\u308b\u898b\u901a\u3057\u3060\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5e02\u5834\u3067\u306f\u3001\u6628\u5e74\u306e\u6025\u6fc0\u306a\u300c\u30bf\u30ab\u6d3e\u65b9\u5411\u3078\u306e\u7e54\u308a\u8fbc\u307f\u76f4\u3057\u300d\uff08\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u671f\u5f85\u304c\u5f8c\u9000\u3057\u3001\u91d1\u5229\u898b\u901a\u3057\u304c\u4e00\u6c17\u306b\u4e0a\u65b9\u4fee\u6b63\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3053\u3068\uff09\u3092\u60f3\u8d77\u3059\u3079\u304d\u3060\u3002FRB\u304c\u636e\u3048\u7f6e\u304d\u3092\u6c7a\u3081\u305f\u4e00\u65b9\u3067\u3001\u7570\u4f8b\u306e4\u8005\u53cd\u5bfe\u304c\u660e\u3089\u304b\u306b\u306a\u3063\u305f\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3001\u5c06\u6765\u306e\u5e02\u5834\u5909\u52d5\uff08\u30dc\u30e9\u30c6\u30a3\u30ea\u30c6\u30a3\uff09\u304c\u5927\u304d\u304f\u306a\u308a\u5f97\u308b\u30b7\u30b0\u30ca\u30eb\u306b\u306a\u3063\u305f\u3002\u8db3\u5143\u3067\u3082\u30015\u6708\u306eFOMC\u3067\u3001\u6839\u5f37\u3044\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\uff08\u7269\u4fa1\u4e0a\u6607\uff09\u304c\u7d9a\u304f\u4e2d\u3067\u306e\u5bfe\u5fdc\u3092\u5de1\u308a\u3001\u540c\u69d8\u306e\u4e80\u88c2\u304c\u8868\u9762\u5316\u3059\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>Positioning For A Hawkish Surprise<\/h3>\n<p>\u73fe\u6642\u70b9\u3067\u5e02\u5834\u306f\u30019\u6708\u4f1a\u5408\u307e\u3067\u306b\u5c11\u306a\u304f\u3068\u30821\u56de\u306e\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u304c\u884c\u308f\u308c\u308b\u78ba\u7387\u3092\u9ad8\u304f\u898b\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001CME FedWatch 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