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\u91d1\u306f\u65e5\u4e2d\u5b89\u5024\u306e4,684\u30c9\u30eb\u304b\u3089\u7d044,730\u30c9\u30eb\u3078\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u305f\u3002\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u304c\u5f31\u542b\u3093\u3060\u305f\u3081\u3060\u3002\u30c9\u30eb\u6307\u6570\uff08DXY\uff1d\u8907\u6570\u901a\u8ca8\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u5f37\u3055\u3092\u793a\u3059\u6307\u6570\uff09\u306f98.80\u307e\u3067\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u305f\u5f8c\u300198.57\u8fd1\u8fba\u3067\u63a8\u79fb\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30db\u30eb\u30e0\u30ba\u6d77\u5ce1\u3067\u7dca\u5f35\u304c\u9ad8\u307e\u308a\u3001\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\uff08\u7269\u4fa1\u4e0a\u6607\uff09\u61f8\u5ff5\u304c\u7d9a\u3044\u305f\u3002\u540c\u6d77\u5ce1\u3067\u306f\u3001\u7c73\u6d77\u8ecd\u3068\u30a4\u30e9\u30f3\u306e\u53cc\u65b9\u306b\u3088\u308a\u6d77\u4e0a\u8f38\u9001\u304c\u5b9f\u8cea\u7684\u306b\u59a8\u3052\u3089\u308c\u308b\u300c\u4e8c\u91cd\u306e\u5c01\u9396\u300d\u306b\u76f4\u9762\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u30c9\u30ca\u30eb\u30c9\u30fb\u30c8\u30e9\u30f3\u30d7\u6c0f\u306f\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u304c\u6d77\u5ce1\u3092\u300c\u5b8c\u5168\u306b\u652f\u914d\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u300d\u3068\u8ff0\u3079\u3001\u30db\u30eb\u30e0\u30ba\u6d77\u5ce1\u3067\u6a5f\u96f7\uff08\u6d77\u4e0a\u306b\u8a2d\u7f6e\u3057\u8239\u3092\u7206\u7834\u3059\u308b\u5175\u5668\uff09\u3092\u6577\u8a2d\u3059\u308b\u8239\u8236\u306f\u300c\u6483\u3066\u300d\u3068\u6d77\u8ecd\u306b\u547d\u3058\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

Strait Of Hormuz Risks<\/h3>\n

\u30ef\u30b7\u30f3\u30c8\u30f3\u30fb\u30dd\u30b9\u30c8\u306f\u56fd\u9632\u7dcf\u7701\uff08\u30da\u30f3\u30bf\u30b4\u30f3\uff09\u306e\u8a55\u4fa1\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3001\u6a5f\u96f7\u3092\u5b8c\u5168\u306b\u9664\u53bb\uff08\u6383\u6d77\uff09\u3059\u308b\u306b\u306f\u6700\u9577\u30676\u30ab\u6708\u304b\u304b\u308a\u5f97\u308b\u3068\u5831\u3058\u305f\u3002\u8239\u4f1a\u793e\u304a\u3088\u3073\u30bf\u30b9\u30cb\u30e0\u901a\u4fe1\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3068\u3001\u30a4\u30e9\u30f3\u9769\u547d\u9632\u885b\u968a\uff08IRGC\uff1d\u30a4\u30e9\u30f3\u306e\u8ecd\u4e8b\u7d44\u7e54\uff09\u304c\u6c34\u66dc\u65e5\u306b2\u96bb\u3092\u62ff\u6355\uff08\u3060\u307b\uff1d\u5f37\u5236\u7684\u306b\u62bc\u53ce\uff09\u3057\u305f\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n

\u539f\u6cb9\u9ad8\u306f\u3001\u91d1\u5229\u304c\u9ad8\u3044\u6c34\u6e96\u306b\u9577\u304f\u3068\u3069\u307e\u308b\u3068\u306e\u898b\u65b9\u3092\u5f37\u3081\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u5229\u606f\u304c\u4ed8\u304b\u306a\u3044\u91d1\uff08\u7121\u5229\u56de\u308a\u8cc7\u7523\uff09\u3078\u306e\u9700\u8981\u3092\u6291\u3048\u308b\u8981\u56e0\u306b\u306a\u308a\u3084\u3059\u3044\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u306f\u3001\u505c\u6226\u5ef6\u9577\u304c\u793a\u3055\u308c\u305f\u3082\u306e\u306e\u30a4\u30e9\u30f3\u5f53\u5c40\u304c\u6b63\u5f0f\u306b\u53d7\u3051\u5165\u308c\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3053\u3068\u3082\u3042\u308a\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u3068\u30a4\u30e9\u30f3\u306e\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u306a\u5354\u8b70\u518d\u958b\u306b\u61d0\u7591\u7684\u3060\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7c73\u6307\u6a19\u3067\u306f\u3001\u65b0\u898f\u5931\u696d\u4fdd\u967a\u7533\u8acb\u4ef6\u6570\u304c21.4\u4e07\u4ef6\u3068\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u4e88\u60f3\u306e21.2\u4e07\u4ef6\u3092\u4e0a\u56de\u308a\u3001\u524d\u56de\u306e20.8\u4e07\u4ef6\u304b\u3089\u5897\u52a0\u3057\u305f\u3002S&P\u30b0\u30ed\u30fc\u30d0\u30eb\u306e\u88fd\u9020\u696dPMI\uff08\u8cfc\u8cb7\u62c5\u5f53\u8005\u666f\u6c17\u6307\u6570\uff1d\u4f01\u696d\u306e\u666f\u6cc1\u611f\u3092\u793a\u3059\u6307\u6570\uff09\u306f52.3\u304b\u308954\u3078\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u300147\u30ab\u6708\u3076\u308a\u306e\u9ad8\u6c34\u6e96\u3002\u30b5\u30fc\u30d3\u30b9\u696dPMI\u308249.8\u304b\u308951.3\u3078\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

4\u6642\u9593\u8db3\u3067\u306f\u3001XAU\/USD\uff08\u91d1\u306e\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u5efa\u3066\u4fa1\u683c\uff09\u306f20\u671f\u9593SMA\uff08\u5358\u7d14\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff1d\u4e00\u5b9a\u671f\u9593\u306e\u5e73\u5747\u4fa1\u683c\uff09\u3067\u3042\u308b\u7d044,756\u30c9\u30eb\u3092\u4e0b\u56de\u308b\u3002RSI\uff0814\uff09\uff08\u76f8\u5bfe\u529b\u6307\u6570\uff1d\u8cb7\u308f\u308c\u904e\u304e\u30fb\u58f2\u3089\u308c\u904e\u304e\u3092\u793a\u3059\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u306f41\u8fd1\u8fba\u3001ATR\uff0814\uff09\uff08\u5e73\u5747\u771f\u306e\u5024\u5e45\uff1d\u4fa1\u683c\u5909\u52d5\u306e\u5927\u304d\u3055\u3092\u793a\u3059\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u306f38\u8fd1\u8fba\u3002\u4e0b\u5024\u652f\u6301\u306f4,677\u30c9\u30eb\u4ed8\u8fd1\u3001\u4e0a\u5024\u62b5\u6297\u306f4,834\u30c9\u30eb\u4ed8\u8fd1\u3002<\/p>\n

Technical Levels And Macro Drivers<\/h3>\n

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\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u306e\u4e3b\u56e0\u306f\u3001\u30db\u30eb\u30e0\u30ba\u6d77\u5ce1\u3067\u306e\u8f38\u9001\u6df7\u4e71\u304c\u7d9a\u304d\u3001\u539f\u6cb9\u4fa1\u683c\u304c\u9ad8\u6b62\u307e\u308a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u70b9\u306b\u3042\u308b\u3002WTI\u539f\u6cb9\uff08\u7c73\u56fd\u7523\u539f\u6cb9\u306e\u4ee3\u8868\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u304c1\u30d0\u30ec\u30eb115\u30c9\u30eb\u8d85\u3067\u63a8\u79fb\u3059\u308b\u306a\u304b\u3001\u30a8\u30cd\u30eb\u30ae\u30fc\u30b3\u30b9\u30c8\u304c\u4e16\u754c\u306e\u8ca1\u30fb\u30b5\u30fc\u30d3\u30b9\u4fa1\u683c\u306b\u6ce2\u53ca\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u65e9\u671f\u89e3\u6c7a\u306e\u5146\u3057\u306f\u4e4f\u3057\u304f\u3001\u5404\u56fd\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u304c\u4e3b\u8981\u30c6\u30fc\u30de\u3067\u3042\u308a\u7d9a\u3051\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u9ad8\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n

2025\u5e74\u3092\u901a\u3058\u305f\u5927\u5e45\u306a\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u306f\u3001\u3053\u306e\u30a8\u30cd\u30eb\u30ae\u30fc\u554f\u984c\u3078\u306e\u5bfe\u5fdc\u3068\u3057\u3066\u4f4d\u7f6e\u4ed8\u3051\u3089\u308c\u308b\u3002\u7d50\u679c\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3001FRB\u306f\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u3092\u691c\u8a0e\u3057\u306b\u304f\u3044\u74b0\u5883\u306b\u7f6e\u304b\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u6700\u8fd1\u306eFRB\u9ad8\u5b98\u767a\u8a00\u3082\u3001\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u6291\u5236\u3092\u6700\u512a\u5148\u3059\u308b\u59ff\u52e2\u3092\u88dc\u5f37\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5730\u653f\u5b66\u7684\u7dca\u5f35\u304c\u7d9a\u304f\u305f\u3081\u3001\u91d1\u4fa1\u683c\u304c\u4e0b\u843d\u57fa\u8abf\u3067\u3082\u3001\u5909\u52d5\u306f\u5927\u304d\u3044\u72b6\u614b\u304c\u7d9a\u304d\u3084\u3059\u3044\u3002Cboe\u91d1\u30dc\u30e9\u30c6\u30a3\u30ea\u30c6\u30a3\u6307\u6570\uff08GVZ\uff1d\u91d1\u306e\u5c06\u6765\u306e\u5909\u52d5\u898b\u901a\u3057\u3092\u793a\u3059\u6307\u6570\uff09\u306f20\u8d85\u3067\u63a8\u79fb\u3057\u30012025\u5e74\u521d\u306e\u5e02\u5834\u6df7\u4e71\u4ee5\u6765\u3001\u7d99\u7d9a\u7684\u306b\u306f\u898b\u3089\u308c\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u6c34\u6e96\u306b\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

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