{"id":44213,"date":"2026-04-08T04:28:09","date_gmt":"2026-04-08T04:28:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/44213\/"},"modified":"2026-04-08T04:28:09","modified_gmt":"2026-04-08T04:28:09","slug":"%e3%83%88%e3%83%a9%e3%83%b3%e3%83%97%e6%b0%8f%e3%81%8c%e3%82%a4%e3%83%a9%e3%83%b3%e6%94%bb%e6%92%83%e3%82%922%e9%80%b1%e9%96%93%e5%bb%b6%e6%9c%9f%e3%80%81aud%ef%bc%8fusd%e3%81%af0-6970%e3%81%8b","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/jp-asia\/live-updates\/44213\/","title":{"rendered":"\u30c8\u30e9\u30f3\u30d7\u6c0f\u304c\u30a4\u30e9\u30f3\u653b\u6483\u30922\u9031\u9593\u5ef6\u671f\u3001AUD\uff0fUSD\u306f0.6970\u304b\u30890.7060\u8fd1\u8fba\u30781.3\uff05\u4e0a\u6607"},"content":{"rendered":"

AUD\/USD\u306f\u706b\u66dc\u65e5\u306b1.3\uff05\u8d85\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u3001\u304a\u3088\u305d0.6970\u304b\u3089\u5f15\u3051\u306b\u304b\u3051\u30660.7060\u8fd1\u8fba\u307e\u3067\u4e0a\u4f38\u3057\u305f\u3002\u80cc\u666f\u306b\u306f\u3001\u30a4\u30e9\u30f3\u3078\u306e\u8ecd\u4e8b\u884c\u52d5\u30922\u9031\u9593\u505c\u6b62\u3059\u308b\u52d5\u304d\u304c\u3042\u308a\u3001WTI\uff08\u7c73\u56fd\u7523\u539f\u6cb9\u306e\u4ee3\u8868\u7684\u306a\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u306f1\u30d0\u30ec\u30eb\uff1d106\u30c9\u30eb\u8d85\u304b\u308990\u30c9\u30eb\u5272\u308c\u3078\u4e0b\u843d\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

WTI\u306f\u30012\u6708\u4e0b\u65ec\u306e\u30db\u30eb\u30e0\u30ba\u6d77\u5ce1\uff08\u4e2d\u6771\u306e\u4e3b\u8981\u306a\u77f3\u6cb9\u8f38\u9001\u30eb\u30fc\u30c8\uff09\u6df7\u4e71\u524d\u306e\u7d0458\u30c9\u30eb\u306b\u6bd4\u3079\u308b\u3068\u3001\u306a\u304a\u7d0455\uff05\u9ad8\u3044\u6c34\u6e96\u306b\u3042\u308b\u3002AUD\/USD\u306f\u30014\u6642\u9593\u8db3\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\u306e200\u671f\u9593EMA\uff08\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\u3002\u76f4\u8fd1\u306e\u4fa1\u683c\u3092\u3088\u308a\u91cd\u304f\u898b\u3066\u5e73\u5747\u3092\u53d6\u308b\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\uff09\u3067\u3042\u308b0.6970\u8fd1\u8fba\u3092\u518d\u3073\u4e0a\u56de\u308a\u3001\u3053\u3053\u6570\u9031\u9593\u3067\u6700\u3082\u5f37\u30441\u65e5\u4e0a\u6607\u3068\u306a\u3063\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

Risk Sentiment And Oil Shock<\/h3>\n

\u5e02\u5834\u306f\u3001\u30a8\u30cd\u30eb\u30ae\u30fc\u30b3\u30b9\u30c8\u4e0a\u6607\u3092\u80cc\u666f\u306b\u30015\u6708\u4f1a\u5408\u3067RBA\uff08\u8c6a\u6e96\u5099\u9280\u884c\uff09\u304c\u653f\u7b56\u91d1\u5229\u30924.35\uff05\u3001\u307e\u305f\u306f\u305d\u308c\u4ee5\u4e0a\u306b\u5f15\u304d\u4e0a\u3052\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3092\u7e54\u308a\u8fbc\u307f\u3064\u3064\u3042\u3063\u305f\u3002\u8c6a\u5dde\u3067\u306f\u3001S&P\u30b0\u30ed\u30fc\u30d0\u30eb\u7dcf\u5408PMI\uff08\u8cfc\u8cb7\u62c5\u5f53\u8005\u666f\u6c17\u6307\u6570\u3002\u4f01\u696d\u306e\u666f\u6cc1\u611f\u3092\u793a\u3059\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u306e3\u6708\u5024\u304c47\u304b\u308946.6\u3078\u4f4e\u4e0b\u3002\u4e00\u65b9\u3001TD-MI\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u30b2\u30fc\u30b8\uff08\u7269\u4fa1\u52d5\u5411\u3092\u793a\u3059\u6307\u6570\uff09\u306f\u524d\u6708\u6bd41.3\uff05\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u3001\u524d\u5e74\u6bd4\u30823.6\uff05\u304b\u30894.3\uff05\u3078\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u505c\u6b62\u306f\u3001\u30c8\u30e9\u30f3\u30d7\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u304c\u8a2d\u5b9a\u3057\u305f\u65e5\u672c\u6642\u9593\u6c34\u66dc\u5348\u524d\uff08GMT\u6df1\u591c\uff09\u306e\u671f\u9650\u3092\u524d\u306b\u767a\u8868\u3055\u308c\u305f\u3002\u30d1\u30ad\u30b9\u30bf\u30f3\u9996\u76f8\u304c\u505c\u6b62\u306e\u4ef2\u4ecb\u5f79\u3068\u306a\u308a\u3001\u30a4\u30e9\u30f3\u5074\u306f10\u9805\u76ee\u306e\u63d0\u6848\u3092\u63d0\u793a\u3002\u30a4\u30e9\u30f3\u306f\u3053\u308c\u306b\u5148\u7acb\u3061\u300145\u65e5\u9593\u306e\u505c\u6226\u6848\u3092\u62d2\u5426\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

S&P500\u5148\u7269\u306f1.1\uff05\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u3001\u30ca\u30b9\u30c0\u30c3\u30af\u5148\u7269\u30821.2\uff05\u4e0a\u6607\u3002\u5b89\u5168\u8cc7\u7523\u3068\u3055\u308c\u308b\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u9700\u8981\uff08\u4e0d\u900f\u660e\u611f\u304c\u5f37\u3044\u3068\u8cb7\u308f\u308c\u3084\u3059\u3044\u901a\u8ca8\u3078\u306e\u9700\u8981\uff09\u304c\u5f8c\u9000\u3057\u305f\u3002\u7c73\u56fd\u306e2\u6708\u8010\u4e45\u8ca1\u53d7\u6ce8\u306f1.4\uff05\u6e1b\u5c11\u3057\u305f\u4e00\u65b9\u3001\u8f38\u9001\u6a5f\u5668\u3092\u9664\u304f\u6307\u6a19\u306f0.8\uff05\u5897\u3068\u306a\u3063\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6c34\u66dc\u65e5\u306bFOMC\u8b70\u4e8b\u8981\u65e8\uff08\u7c73\u9023\u90a6\u516c\u958b\u5e02\u5834\u59d4\u54e1\u4f1a\u306e\u4f1a\u5408\u5185\u5bb9\u3092\u307e\u3068\u3081\u305f\u6587\u66f8\uff09\u306e\u516c\u8868\u304c\u4e88\u5b9a\u3055\u308c\u3001FRB\uff08\u7c73\u9023\u90a6\u6e96\u5099\u5236\u5ea6\u7406\u4e8b\u4f1a\uff09\u9ad8\u5b98\u306e\u30c7\u30a4\u30ea\u30fc\u3001\u30a6\u30a9\u30e9\u30fc\u4e21\u6c0f\u306e\u767a\u8a00\u3082\u63a7\u3048\u308b\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u306f\u30012\u6708\u4e0b\u65ec\u4ee5\u964d\u3001\u671f\u9650\u304c4\u56de\u5909\u66f4\u3055\u308c\u305f\u30db\u30eb\u30e0\u30ba\u6d77\u5ce1\u3067\u3001\u8239\u8236\u8f38\u9001\u304c\u518d\u958b\u3055\u308c\u308b\u304b\u6ce8\u8996\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30c6\u30af\u30cb\u30ab\u30eb\u9762\u3067\u306f\u3001\u30b9\u30c8\u30ad\u30e3\u30b9\u30c6\u30a3\u30af\u30b9\u30fb\u30aa\u30b7\u30ec\u30fc\u30bf\u30fc\uff08\u76f8\u5834\u306e\u904e\u71b1\u611f\u3092\u6e2c\u308b\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u304c\u8cb7\u308f\u308c\u904e\u304e\u570f\u306b\u8fd1\u3065\u3044\u3066\u3044\u308b\u30020.7000\u3092\u7dad\u6301\u3067\u304d\u308c\u30700.7120\u304c\u8996\u91ce\u306b\u5165\u308b\u4e00\u65b9\u30010.6970\u3092\u518d\u3073\u4e0b\u56de\u308c\u30700.6900\u306b\u6ce8\u76ee\u304c\u623b\u308a\u3084\u3059\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n

Lessons From The April 2025 Rally<\/h3>\n

2025\u5e744\u6708\u521d\u65ec\u306eAUD\/USD\u6025\u9a30\u3092\u632f\u308a\u8fd4\u308b\u3068\u3001\u5730\u653f\u5b66\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u306e\u5909\u5316\u3068\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u9078\u597d\uff08\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u304c\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u8cc7\u7523\u3092\u8cb7\u3044\u3084\u3059\u3044\u72b6\u614b\uff09\u306e\u8ee2\u63db\u306b\u3001\u3053\u306e\u901a\u8ca8\u30da\u30a2\u304c\u3044\u304b\u306b\u654f\u611f\u304b\u304c\u5206\u304b\u308b\u3002\u7c73\u56fd\u3068\u30a4\u30e9\u30f3\u306e\u7dca\u5f35\u7de9\u548c\u3067\u539f\u6cb9\u4fa1\u683c\u304c\u6025\u843d\u3057\u3001RBA\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u306e\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u898b\u901a\u3057\uff08\u7269\u4fa1\u4e0a\u6607\u7387\u306e\u5148\u884c\u304d\uff09\u304c\u5927\u304d\u304f\u5909\u308f\u3063\u305f\u3002\u60f3\u5b9a\u5916\u306e\u300c\u548c\u5e73\u306b\u3088\u308b\u597d\u6750\u6599\u300d\u304c\u51fa\u308c\u3070\u3001\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u5b89\u5168\u8cc7\u7523\u8cb7\u3044\u30dd\u30b8\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u304c\u6025\u901f\u306b\u89e3\u6d88\u3055\u308c\u3084\u3059\u304f\u3001\u540c\u69d8\u306e\u5909\u52d5\u304c\u8d77\u304d\u5f97\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6628\u5e74\u306f\u30a8\u30cd\u30eb\u30ae\u30fc\u4fa1\u683c\u306e\u4f4e\u4e0b\u3067RBA\u3078\u306e\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u5727\u529b\u304c\u548c\u3089\u3044\u3060\u304c\u3001\u8db3\u5143\u306f\u72b6\u6cc1\u304c\u7570\u306a\u308b\u3002RBA\u306f\u653f\u7b56\u91d1\u5229\uff08\u30ad\u30e3\u30c3\u30b7\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30c8\uff09\u30924.35\uff05\u30677\u4f1a\u5408\u9023\u7d9a\u636e\u3048\u7f6e\u304d\u3068\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u57fa\u8abf\u7684\u306a\u7269\u4fa1\u3092\u793a\u3059\u6307\u6a19\u3067\u3042\u308b\u30c8\u30ea\u30e0\u5e73\u5747CPI\uff08\u5916\u308c\u5024\u3092\u9664\u3044\u3066\u7b97\u51fa\u3059\u308b\u7269\u4fa1\u6307\u6570\uff09\u30823.7\uff05\u307e\u3067\u3057\u304b\u4f4e\u4e0b\u3057\u3066\u304a\u3089\u305a\u3001\u76ee\u6a19\u3092\u306a\u304a\u4e0a\u56de\u308b\u3002\u91d1\u878d\u5f15\u304d\u7de0\u3081\uff08\u9ad8\u91d1\u5229\u3067\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u3092\u6291\u3048\u308b\u653f\u7b56\uff09\u304c\u7d9a\u304f\u306a\u304b\u3067\u3001\u5546\u54c1\u4fa1\u683c\u304c\u6025\u843d\u3059\u308c\u3070\u3001RBA\u304c\u30cf\u30c8\u6d3e\uff08\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u306b\u524d\u5411\u304d\uff09\u59ff\u52e2\u3078\u50be\u304f\u4f59\u5730\u304c\u751f\u307e\u308c\u3084\u3059\u3044\u3002\u91d1\u5229\u30b9\u30ef\u30c3\u30d7\uff08\u91d1\u5229\u306e\u53d7\u3051\u6255\u3044\u3092\u4ea4\u63db\u3057\u3001\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u30fb\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u89b3\u6e2c\u3092\u53d6\u5f15\u306b\u53cd\u6620\u3057\u3084\u3059\u3044\u91d1\u878d\u5546\u54c1\uff09\u3067\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u306b\u8ced\u3051\u308b\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u6750\u6599\u306b\u306a\u308a\u5f97\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

2025\u5e74\u306b\u5206\u304b\u3063\u305f\u306e\u306f\u3001\u898b\u51fa\u3057\u30cb\u30e5\u30fc\u30b9\u3060\u3051\u3067\u5927\u304d\u304f\u52d5\u3044\u3066\u3082\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5f8c\u306e\u7d99\u7d9a\u306b\u306f\u88cf\u4ed8\u3051\u304c\u5fc5\u8981\u3068\u3044\u3046\u70b9\u3060\u3002\u5f53\u6642\u306f\u8239\u8236\u8f38\u9001\uff08\u5b9f\u969b\u306e\u7269\u6d41\uff09\u306e\u518d\u958b\u304c\u78ba\u8a8d\u6750\u6599\u3060\u3063\u305f\u3002\u73fe\u5728\u306f\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u306e\u30b3\u30a2PCE\uff08\u5909\u52d5\u3057\u3084\u3059\u3044\u54c1\u76ee\u3092\u9664\u3044\u305f\u500b\u4eba\u6d88\u8cbb\u652f\u51fa\u7269\u4fa1\u6307\u6570\uff09\u304c3.0\uff05\u306b\u3042\u308a\u3001FRB\u304c\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u306b\u614e\u91cd\u306a\u59ff\u52e2\u3092\u5d29\u3057\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3053\u3068\u3082\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u3092\u4e0b\u652f\u3048\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u898b\u51fa\u3057\u4e3b\u5c0e\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u3092\u8ffd\u3044\u304b\u3051\u308b\u306e\u306f\u614e\u91cd\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3079\u304d\u3060\u3002\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u3092\u9650\u5b9a\u3059\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3001\u77ed\u671f\u306eAUD\/USD\u30b3\u30fc\u30eb\u30fb\u30b9\u30d7\u30ec\u30c3\u30c9\uff08\u4e0a\u6607\u6642\u306e\u5229\u76ca\u3092\u72d9\u3046\u30aa\u30d7\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u3092\u7d44\u307f\u5408\u308f\u305b\u3001\u30b3\u30b9\u30c8\u3068\u640d\u5931\u4e0a\u9650\u3092\u6291\u3048\u308b\u6226\u7565\uff09\u3067\u4e0a\u632f\u308c\u306b\u5099\u3048\u308b\u9078\u629e\u80a2\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

2025\u5e74\u306e\u52d5\u304d\u306e\u4e2d\u5fc3\u306f\u3001WTI\u304c106\u30c9\u30eb\u8d85\u304b\u308990\u30c9\u30eb\u5272\u308c\u3078\u6025\u843d\u3057\u305f\u3053\u3068\u3060\u3063\u305f\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306f\u8c6a\u5dde\u306e\u4ea4\u6613\u6761\u4ef6\uff08\u8f38\u51fa\u4fa1\u683c\u3068\u8f38\u5165\u4fa1\u683c\u306e\u6bd4\u7387\uff09\u3068\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u671f\u5f85\u306b\u76f4\u7d50\u3059\u308b\u3002\u8db3\u5143\u306eWTI\u306f\u4f9b\u7d66\u30bf\u30a4\u30c8\uff08\u4f9b\u7d66\u304c\u903c\u8feb\uff09\u3068\u9700\u8981\u306e\u5e95\u5805\u3055\u3092\u80cc\u666f\u306b92\u30c9\u30eb\u8fd1\u8fba\u3067\u63a8\u79fb\u3059\u308b\u304c\u3001\u6628\u5e74\u306f\u6570\u56de\u306e\u53d6\u5f15\u306715\uff05\u4e0b\u843d\u3057\u305f\u8a18\u61b6\u304c\u91cd\u8981\u3060\u3002\u30a8\u30cd\u30eb\u30ae\u30fc\u3092\u8cb7\u3044\u6301\u3061\uff08\u30ed\u30f3\u30b0\uff09\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u306f\u3001\u539f\u6cb9\u5148\u7269\u306e\u30d7\u30c3\u30c8\uff08\u4e0b\u843d\u6642\u306b\u5229\u76ca\u304c\u51fa\u308b\u30aa\u30d7\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\uff09\u3067\u30d8\u30c3\u30b8\uff08\u640d\u5931\u3092\u6291\u3048\u308b\u5099\u3048\uff09\u3092\u691c\u8a0e\u3057\u3084\u3059\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n

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