{"id":18132,"date":"2024-12-12T02:38:40","date_gmt":"2024-12-12T02:38:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/?p=15054"},"modified":"2024-12-12T02:38:40","modified_gmt":"2024-12-12T02:38:40","slug":"week-ahead-rates-rebounds-revelations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/jp-asia\/week_ahead\/18132\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6765\u9031\u306e\u5c55\u671b\uff1a\u91d1\u5229\u3001\u53cd\u767a\u3001\u5553\u793a"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/jp-asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/29\/2024\/12\/shutterstock_2259460629-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15055\" style=\"width:1450px;height:auto\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>11\u6708\u306e\u975e\u8fb2\u696d\u90e8\u9580\u96c7\u7528\u7d71\u8a08\u306e\u767a\u8868\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u3001\u30c8\u30ec\u30fc\u30c0\u30fc\u3089\u306f\u3001\u4eca\u5f8c\u306e\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u3084\u30c8\u30e9\u30f3\u30d7\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u306e\u8cbf\u6613\u95a2\u7a0e\u306e\u52d5\u5411\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308bFRB\u306e\u91d1\u5229\u6c7a\u5b9a\u306b\u6ce8\u76ee\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The latest jobs data nudged the Federal Reserve closer to lowering interest rates later this month, but didn\u2019t quite seal the deal with a key inflation report looming <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/W9f11nV0zN\">https:\/\/t.co\/W9f11nV0zN<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/1865130802511597785?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 6, 2024<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4ee5\u524d\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u901a\u308a\u300111\u6708\u306f22\u4e077000\u4eba\u306e\u96c7\u7528\u304c\u8ffd\u52a0\u3055\u308c\u300110\u6708\u306e\u30dc\u30fc\u30a4\u30f3\u30b0\u793e\u306e\u30b9\u30c8\u30e9\u30a4\u30ad\u3084\u30cf\u30ea\u30b1\u30fc\u30f3\u30fb\u30df\u30eb\u30c8\u30f3\u306b\u3088\u308b\u6df7\u4e71\u304b\u3089\u56de\u5fa9\u3057\u305f\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u5931\u696d\u7387\u306f4.2%\u306b\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u3001\u52b4\u50cd\u529b\u53c2\u52a0\u7387\u306f\u4f4e\u4e0b\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306f\u3001\u8868\u9762\u4e0b\u3067\u306e\u4e0d\u7a4f\u306a\u72b6\u6cc1\u3092\u793a\u3059\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u306a\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u696d\u754c\u9593\u3067\u56de\u5fa9\u304c\u4e0d\u5747\u4e00\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u6307\u6458\u3057\u3001\u3053\u306e\u5831\u544a\u66f8\u306f\u3001\u30d8\u30eb\u30b9\u30b1\u30a2\u3001\u30ec\u30b8\u30e3\u30fc\u3001\u30db\u30b9\u30d4\u30bf\u30ea\u30c6\u30a3\u304c\u96c7\u7528\u5897\u52a0\u3092\u727d\u5f15\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3001\u5c0f\u58f2\u696d\u90e8\u9580\u306f\u505c\u6ede\u3057\u305f\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8cc3\u91d1\u306e\u4f38\u3073\u306f\u524d\u5e74\u6bd44%\u3067\u5b89\u5b9a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u5fc3\u7406\u306f\u3001FRB\u304c12\u6708\u306e\u4f1a\u5408\u3067\u91d1\u5229\u30920.25%\u5f15\u304d\u4e0b\u3052\u308b\u7528\u610f\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u5506\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u3053\u308c\u306f\u3088\u308a\u5e83\u7bc4\u306a\u7de9\u548c\u30b5\u30a4\u30af\u30eb\u3068\u4e00\u81f4\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5931\u696d\u7387\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u3068\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u304c\u793a\u5506\u3059\u308b\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u78ba\u7387\u304c 86% \u306b\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u305f\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3001\u3053\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u3092\u88cf\u4ed8\u3051\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">\u4eca\u9031\u306e\u5e02\u5834\u52d5\u5411<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3053\u308c\u3089\u306e\u6df7\u5408\u30b7\u30b0\u30ca\u30eb\u304c\u5e02\u5834\u5168\u4f53\u306b\u3069\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304b\u3092\u898b\u3066\u307f\u307e\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>USD \u30a4\u30f3\u30c7\u30c3\u30af\u30b9 (USDX) \u306f 105.40 \u30be\u30fc\u30f3\u304b\u3089\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u300112 \u6708\u306e\u4f1a\u5408\u3067\u9023\u90a6\u6e96\u5099\u5236\u5ea6\u7406\u4e8b\u4f1a\u304c\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u3092\u884c\u3046\u3068\u3044\u3046\u30c8\u30ec\u30fc\u30c0\u30fc\u306e\u4e88\u60f3\u3092\u53cd\u6620\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/jp-asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/29\/2026\/03\/image-5-1024x551.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15990\" style=\"width:1450px;height:auto\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e0a\u6607\u304c\u7d9a\u304f\u5834\u5408\u3001106.55 \u307e\u305f\u306f 107.00 \u4ed8\u8fd1\u306e\u6c34\u6e96\u304c\u4e3b\u8981\u306a\u62b5\u6297\u30be\u30fc\u30f3\u3068\u306a\u308a\u3001104.90 \u307e\u305f\u306f 104.30 \u3078\u306e\u5f15\u304d\u623b\u3057\u306f\u8cb7\u3044\u306e\u6a5f\u4f1a\u3068\u306a\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>EUR\/USD \u306f\u4e0b\u5411\u304d\u306e\u50be\u5411\u3092\u7dad\u6301\u3057\u30011.0630 \u30a8\u30ea\u30a2\u304b\u3089\u4e0b\u843d\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002\u30c8\u30ec\u30fc\u30c0\u30fc\u306f\u3001\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u306a\u30b5\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u3068\u3057\u3066 1.0490 \u3068 1.0440 \u3092\u6ce8\u610f\u6df1\u304f\u76e3\u8996\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/jp-asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/29\/2026\/03\/1_image-6-1024x551.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15991\" style=\"width:1450px;height:auto\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e0a\u5411\u304d\u53cd\u8ee2\u306f 1.0710 \u3067\u62b5\u6297\u306b\u76f4\u9762\u3059\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308a\u3001\u305d\u3053\u3067\u5f31\u6c17\u306e\u95a2\u5fc3\u304c\u518d\u6d6e\u4e0a\u3059\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u540c\u69d8\u306b\u3001GBP\/USD\u3082\u4e0b\u843d\u3057\u30011.2820\u30be\u30fc\u30f3\u3092\u4e0b\u56de\u3063\u305f\u3002\u76ee\u6a19\u306f\u73fe\u57281.2680\u306b\u96c6\u4e2d\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304c\u3001\u56de\u5fa9\u52aa\u529b\u306f1.2865\u307e\u305f\u306f1.2900\u4ed8\u8fd1\u3067\u9006\u98a8\u306b\u898b\u821e\u308f\u308c\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/JPY\u306f151.40\u4ed8\u8fd1\u3067\u306e\u58f2\u308a\u304c\u52e2\u3044\u3092\u5897\u3055\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u305f\u3081\u3001\u56de\u5fa9\u529b\u3092\u793a\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e0a\u6607\u306e\u52e2\u3044\u304c\u5897\u3059\u4e2d\u3001\u30da\u30a2\u306f152.50\u3092\u8a66\u3059\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b\u304c\u3001\u4e0b\u843d\u3059\u308c\u3070146.60\u307e\u305f\u306f146.20\u30ec\u30d9\u30eb\u306b\u6ce8\u76ee\u304c\u96c6\u307e\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e00\u65b9\u3001USD\/CHF\u306f0.8715\u304b\u3089\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u3001\u4e0a\u6607\u5e45\u3092\u62e1\u5927\u3057\u305f\u30020.8835\u306e\u62b5\u6297\u30ec\u30d9\u30eb\u306f\u3001\u53cd\u8ee2\u306e\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3092\u76e3\u8996\u3059\u308b\u30c8\u30ec\u30fc\u30c0\u30fc\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u9818\u57df\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/jp-asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/29\/2026\/03\/image-7-1024x550.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15992\" style=\"width:1450px;height:auto\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>AUD\/USD\u3068NZD\/USD\u306f\u3001\u6700\u521d\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u5f8c\u3001\u4fa1\u683c\u5909\u52d5\u304c\u6291\u5236\u3055\u308c\u305f\u3002AUD\/USD\u306f0.6347\u3092\u4e0b\u56de\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308a\u3001\u30b5\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u306f0.6250\u4ed8\u8fd1\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3068\u4e88\u60f3\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3002 NZD\/USD\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306f\u3001\u5f31\u6c17\u306e\u52e2\u3044\u304c\u5f37\u307e\u308c\u3070\u3001\u6ce8\u76ee\u306f0.5710\u307e\u305f\u306f0.5690\u306b\u79fb\u308b\u3068\u307f\u3089\u308c\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u539f\u6cb9\uff08WTI\uff09\u4fa1\u683c\u306f\u5f15\u304d\u7d9a\u304d\u5727\u529b\u306b\u3055\u3089\u3055\u308c\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u539f\u6cb9\u306f68.174\u3092\u4e0b\u56de\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u3055\u3089\u306b\u4e0b\u843d\u3059\u308c\u3070\u3001\u5b9f\u8cea\u7684\u306a\u56de\u5fa9\u306e\u524d\u306b66.938\u3001\u3055\u3089\u306b\u306f65.508\u3092\u8a66\u3059\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308b\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u306a\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u91d1\u306f\u5f15\u304d\u7d9a\u304d\u72ed\u3044\u7bc4\u56f2\u3067\u63a8\u79fb\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u58f2\u308a\u610f\u6b32\u306f2680\u4ed8\u8fd1\u3067\u4f9d\u7136\u3068\u3057\u3066\u5f37\u3044\u304c\u3001\u4fa1\u683c\u304c\u5f8c\u9000\u3059\u308c\u3070\u3001\u8cb7\u3044\u624b\u306f2585\u307e\u305f\u306f2565\u3067\u53c2\u5165\u3059\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/jp-asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/29\/2026\/03\/image-8.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15996\" style=\"width:1450px;height:auto\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>S&amp;P500\u304c\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u306a\u30bb\u30f3\u30c1\u30e1\u30f3\u30c8\u3092\u5b9a\u7fa9\u3059\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u9ad8\u30446130\u30ec\u30d9\u30eb\u306b\u8fd1\u3065\u304f\u4e2d\u3001\u682a\u5f0f\u5e02\u5834\u306f\u5c90\u8def\u306b\u7acb\u305f\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The Nasdaq and S&amp;P 500 hit record closing highs, fueled by upbeat forecasts and promising US jobs data that could see the Fed cut rates <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ysW85XxJap\">https:\/\/t.co\/ysW85XxJap<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/iSSdYmfvHD\">pic.twitter.com\/iSSdYmfvHD<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Reuters\/status\/1865173122623648033?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 6, 2024<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u306f\u30c8\u30ec\u30fc\u30c0\u30fc\u304c\u6ce8\u8996\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u30ec\u30d9\u30eb\u3067\u3042\u308b100,000\u4ed8\u8fd1\u3067\u5b89\u5b9a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u52e2\u3044\u304c\u6301\u7d9a\u3059\u308c\u3070\u3001\u6697\u53f7\u901a\u8ca8\u306f107,530\u307e\u305f\u306f110,420\u306b\u62bc\u3057\u4e0a\u3052\u3089\u308c\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b\u304c\u300197,000\u307e\u305f\u306f95,000\u3078\u306e\u4e0b\u843d\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u306f\u4f9d\u7136\u3068\u3057\u3066\u6b8b\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5929\u7136\u30ac\u30b9\uff08NatGas\uff09\u306f2.70\u304b\u3089\u306e\u56de\u5fa9\u3092\u62e1\u5927\u3057\u30012.95\u30683.03\u306b\u62b5\u6297\u304c\u8feb\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u4fa1\u683c\u304c\u53cd\u8ee2\u3057\u305f\u5834\u5408\u30012.70\u30682.55\u306f\u8cb7\u3044\u610f\u6b32\u306e\u56de\u5fa9\u3092\u652f\u3048\u308b\u30be\u30fc\u30f3\u3068\u3057\u3066\u6a5f\u80fd\u3059\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading 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