{"id":69206,"date":"2026-10-02T06:51:20","date_gmt":"2026-10-02T06:51:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/uncategorized\/us-futures-gain-as-sp500-holds-near-7680-ahead-of-jobs-data\/"},"modified":"2026-10-02T06:51:20","modified_gmt":"2026-10-02T06:51:20","slug":"us-futures-gain-as-sp500-holds-near-7680-ahead-of-jobs-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/analysis\/us-futures-gain-as-sp500-holds-near-7680-ahead-of-jobs-data\/","title":{"rendered":"I futures USA in rialzo mentre l\u2019S&#038;P 500 resta vicino a quota 7.680 in attesa dei dati sull\u2019occupazione"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6abf2e5fc4a23.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Punti chiave<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>L\u2019SP500 scambia intorno a <strong>7.680,60<\/strong>, in rialzo di circa <strong>0,07%<\/strong> nel grafico mostrato.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>I <strong>nonfarm payrolls<\/strong> USA (i nuovi posti di lavoro creati in quasi tutti i settori, esclusa l\u2019agricoltura) dovrebbero indicare circa <strong>90.000 nuovi occupati a settembre<\/strong>, rispetto a 162.000 ad agosto, con il tasso di disoccupazione atteso stabile intorno al 4,1%.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>I rendimenti dei Treasury e il prezzo del petrolio restano rischi importanti per le azioni. Il rendimento del <strong>Treasury decennale<\/strong> USA (il tasso di interesse dei titoli di Stato a 10 anni) ha toccato brevemente circa <strong>5,34% gioved\u00ec<\/strong>, il livello pi\u00f9 alto dal 2002.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La direzione futura dell\u2019SP500 potrebbe dipendere da come il dato sul lavoro influenzer\u00e0 le attese su ulteriori rialzi dei tassi della Federal Reserve.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Movimento di mercato<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019SP500 scambia intorno a <strong>7.680,60<\/strong> dopo una seduta di breve periodo molto volatile. L\u2019indice si \u00e8 mosso vicino a <strong>7.685\u20137.686<\/strong> prima di scendere gradualmente. Le vendite (cio\u00e8 ordini che spingono i prezzi al ribasso) sono poi accelerate, portando le quotazioni verso l\u2019area <strong>7.677\u20137.678<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Successivamente sono tornati i compratori su quei minimi. L\u2019indice \u00e8 risalito verso <strong>7.681<\/strong>, mentre la <strong>media mobile a 9 periodi<\/strong> (una linea che \u201csmussa\u201d i prezzi recenti per evidenziare la tendenza) si \u00e8 appiattita e ha iniziato a girare al rialzo. L\u2019azione dei prezzi pi\u00f9 recente indica un <strong>recupero di breve dentro un ritracciamento intraday<\/strong> (correzione all\u2019interno della giornata), non un breakout rialzista confermato.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Perch\u00e9 i trader osservano questi dati<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I dati di venerd\u00ec sui nonfarm payrolls probabilmente influenzeranno i <strong>future<\/strong> USA (contratti che fissano oggi un prezzo per comprare o vendere in futuro) e l\u2019SP500, offrendo indicazioni sulle condizioni di mercato. Il report di settembre \u00e8 atteso alle <strong>8:30 ET del 2 ottobre<\/strong>. Il consenso di mercato stima circa <strong>89.000 nuovi posti<\/strong>, in calo dai 162.000 di agosto, con la disoccupazione vista stabile al 4,1%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 Friday\u2019s US jobs report is the only major labor read before the October FOMC meeting. Forecast: 89K vs 162K prior.<br><br>The previous NFP release beat expectations, eased labor concerns, repriced rate hike odds, and pushed USD higher. <br><br>Another surprise could move markets again. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/wXmbLDnlkW\">pic.twitter.com\/wXmbLDnlkW<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Forex Factory (@ForexFactory) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/ForexFactory\/status\/2105675132832305386?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 1, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Anche le aspettative sui <strong>tassi della Fed<\/strong> ne risentiranno: un mercato del lavoro solido lascia pi\u00f9 spazio a rialzi dei tassi, soprattutto perch\u00e9 l\u2019inflazione resta sopra l\u2019obiettivo annuo del 2% della banca centrale. I recenti rialzi dei <strong>rendimenti dei Treasury<\/strong> (tassi di interesse dei titoli di Stato USA) hanno inoltre aumentato la tensione sui mercati, con il decennale tornato sopra il 5%, massimo dal 2002.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">U.S. Treasury yields hit their highest level in more than two decades on Thursday as a global bond sell-off deepened.<br><br>Read more: <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/0xV9b5qXPv\">https:\/\/t.co\/0xV9b5qXPv<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/4DYr6NwTuQ\">pic.twitter.com\/4DYr6NwTuQ<\/a><\/p>&mdash; CNBC (@CNBC) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CNBC\/status\/2105637168467300611?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 1, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Il petrolio aggiunge un\u2019ulteriore fonte di incertezza. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/analysis\/oil-surges-4-as-middle-east-supply-risks-keep-prices-elevated\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">I prezzi sono balzati del 4%<\/a> dopo indiscrezioni secondo cui gli Stati Uniti starebbero inviando pi\u00f9 truppe in Medio Oriente, alimentando i timori di inflazione perch\u00e9 i costi dell\u2019energia restano elevati.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The U.S. military is planning for a possible surge of thousands of naval forces to the Middle East in coming weeks, as President Trump considers renewing strikes on Iran after the midterm elections, U.S. officials said. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/O9DcmJwDZP\">https:\/\/t.co\/O9DcmJwDZP<\/a><\/p>&mdash; The Washington Post (@washingtonpost) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/washingtonpost\/status\/2105810030721138824?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 2, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Livello chiave per il trading<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/VANTAGE-SP500\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">SP500 chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"VANTAGE:SP500\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Livello<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Significato<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7.686<\/td><td>Resistenza principale di breve e area dei massimi di seduta (una \u201cresistenza\u201d \u00e8 una zona in cui il prezzo tende a fermarsi perch\u00e9 aumentano le vendite)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7.684<\/td><td>Resistenza secondaria<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7.682<\/td><td>Prima resistenza da monitorare<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7.680<\/td><td>Area di pivot immediata (livello \u201cspartiacque\u201d tra rialzo e ribasso nel breve)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7.678<\/td><td>Primo supporto (un \u201csupporto\u201d \u00e8 una zona in cui il prezzo tende a reggere perch\u00e9 aumentano gli acquisti)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7.676\u20137.677<\/td><td>Zona di supporto intraday chiave<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Il livello <strong>7.680<\/strong> \u00e8 particolarmente importante nel brevissimo termine. Il prezzo ha oscillato pi\u00f9 volte in quest\u2019area, rendendola una linea di demarcazione tra recupero e ritorno della debolezza.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Impostazioni rialziste e ribassiste<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6abf2e612af57.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Scenario<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Segnale di attivazione<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Obiettivi potenziali<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Cosa potrebbe indicare<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rialzista<\/td><td>Tenuta sopra 7.682<\/td><td>7.684, poi 7.686<\/td><td>I compratori estendono il rimbalzo e mettono alla prova i massimi precedenti<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Ribassista<\/td><td>Discesa sotto 7.678<\/td><td>7.676\u20137.677<\/td><td>Il recupero perde forza e tornano i venditori<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Disclaimer<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>I livelli di prezzo e gli scenari sopra riflettono la valutazione dell\u2019autore al momento della stesura. Non sono consulenza finanziaria n\u00e9 una raccomandazione ufficiale di VT Markets. I trader dovrebbero fare le proprie analisi e gestire con attenzione il rischio.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Previsione SP500<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Il prossimo dato NFP influenzer\u00e0 i future USA e l\u2019SP500 perch\u00e9 orienta le attese sulla politica della Federal Reserve e sui rendimenti dei Treasury. Un report sul lavoro pi\u00f9 forte delle attese potrebbe rafforzare l\u2019idea di un\u2019economia USA ancora solida, aumentando la probabilit\u00e0 di un rialzo dei tassi e spingendo i rendimenti pi\u00f9 in alto. Entrambi i fattori tendono a pesare sulle valutazioni azionarie e a mettere pressione sull\u2019SP500.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Un dato moderatamente pi\u00f9 debole potrebbe favorire le azioni se riduce le aspettative di rialzi dei tassi senza far dubitare della crescita. Un numero molto debole, invece, potrebbe avere un effetto incerto: rendimenti in calo possono sostenere inizialmente l\u2019azionario, ma segnali di indebolimento del mercato del lavoro possono aumentare i timori di recessione.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Per i trader \u00e8 fondamentale capire se i NFP indicano un raffreddamento graduale del mercato del lavoro (che pu\u00f2 ridurre la pressione sui tassi) oppure un rallentamento pi\u00f9 marcato, che riaccende le preoccupazioni sull\u2019economia USA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Fai trading sull\u2019SP500 con VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Gli eventi macroeconomici influenzano in larga misura i future USA come l\u2019S&amp;P 500. \u00c8 utile seguire i dati chiave perch\u00e9 le aspettative di mercato cambiano rapidamente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Con VT Markets \u00e8 possibile accedere all\u2019SP500 e ad altri <strong>CFD<\/strong> sugli indici (contratti derivati che replicano il prezzo e permettono di operare senza possedere l\u2019attivit\u00e0) insieme a forex, oro, petrolio, CFD su azioni, CFD su ETF (fondi quotati) e altri mercati globali su un\u2019unica piattaforma. Questo consente di seguire i movimenti generali e confrontare quanto accade tra titoli tecnologici, commodity (materie prime), valute e altre principali classi di attivo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary>FAQ<\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">A quanto scambia ora l\u2019SP500?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Il grafico mostra l\u2019SP500 intorno a <strong>7.680,60<\/strong>, in aumento di circa lo 0,07% al momento della rilevazione.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quali sono i principali livelli dell\u2019SP500 da monitorare?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La resistenza immediata \u00e8 in area <strong>7.682<\/strong>, seguita da 7.684 e 7.686. Il primo supporto \u00e8 intorno a <strong>7.678<\/strong>, con un supporto intraday pi\u00f9 forte tra 7.676 e 7.677.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Come possono i nonfarm payrolls influenzare l\u2019SP500?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Un dato sul lavoro forte pu\u00f2 aumentare le attese di una politica monetaria pi\u00f9 restrittiva (tassi pi\u00f9 alti) e spingere al rialzo i rendimenti dei Treasury, fattori che possono pesare sulle azioni. Un dato pi\u00f9 debole pu\u00f2 ridurre la pressione sui tassi, anche se un numero insolitamente basso pu\u00f2 aumentare i timori sulla crescita.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quando esce il report USA sui nonfarm payrolls di settembre?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Il Bureau of Labor Statistics (l\u2019ente statistico del lavoro USA) ha programmato il report sull\u2019occupazione di settembre 2026 per <strong>venerd\u00ec 2 ottobre 2026 alle 8:30 ET<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Inizia a fare trading ora \u2014 clicca <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/trade-now\/\">qui<\/a> per creare il tuo conto reale VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Occhi sull\u2019SP500: quota 7.680 in lieve rialzo, ma la vera partita \u00e8 sui Nonfarm Payrolls (attesi ~90mila). Treasury decennale al 5,34% e petrolio alto: rischi. Livelli chiave 7.680\/7.678.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69205,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[30],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69206","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Occhi sull\u2019SP500: quota 7.680 in lieve rialzo, ma la vera partita \u00e8 sui Nonfarm Payrolls (attesi ~90mila). Treasury decennale al 5,34% e petrolio alto: rischi. 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