{"id":23808,"date":"2025-09-08T08:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-09-08T08:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/?p=23808"},"modified":"2025-09-08T08:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-09-08T08:00:00","slug":"week-ahead-markets-hang-on-us-job-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/week_ahead\/week-ahead-markets-hang-on-us-job-data\/","title":{"rendered":"Week ahead: Markets hang on US job data"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"536\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/USA-2-1024x536.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23813\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/USA-2-1024x536.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/USA-2-300x157.png 300w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/USA-2-768x402.png 768w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/USA-2-500x262.png 500w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/USA-2-400x209.png 400w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/USA-2-350x183.png 350w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/USA-2-200x105.png 200w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/USA-2.png 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><br><br>Markets diverge: weak US labour data lifts rate cut bets, a probe into Fed Governor Cook adds uncertainty, and Trump hits Japan with new tariffs. The UK and Europe track political risks as Russia eyes a fuel export ban. Gold demand climbs, Nasdaq tightens crypto rules, and tech focus falls on Nvidia\u2019s China chips and DeepSeek\u2019s year-end launch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>KEY INDICATORS<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Markets and commodities<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dollar Index rebounds, up 0.15% to 98.29.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>US Treasury yields decline across the curve; 10-year at 4.162%, 2-year at 3.598%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Gold ends seven-day rally, down 0.38% to $3,545.78\/oz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Silver slips below $41, down 1.32% to $40.67\/oz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>WTI down 0.76% to $63.07; Brent down 0.88% to $66.69.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Global equities<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>US stocks rally; Dow +0.77%, S&amp;P 500 +0.83%, Nasdaq +0.98%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tesla +1%, Intel +2%, while C3.ai falls over 7%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index down 1.1%; Alibaba -4%, NIO -3%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>European stocks mostly higher; DAX +0.74%, FTSE 100 +0.42%, Euro Stoxx 50 +0.41%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Central banks and data<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Bank of Japan will hold a market operations meeting on 16 October.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Bank of England seeks feedback on plans to strengthen gilt repo market resilience.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ecb.europa.eu\/home\/html\/index.en.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" title=\"European Central Bank\">European Central Bank<\/a> will decide on interest rates on 11 September, with inflation and growth in focus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Federal Reserve officials\u2019 commentary ahead of the next FOMC meeting remains crucial.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>US CPI on 11 September is the main inflation gauge for Fed expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>US PPI on 10 September offers an early signal of producer inflation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>US jobless claims remain a key labour market stress indicator.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>University of Michigan consumer sentiment on 12 September is a key gauge of confidence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Europe and the UK face ongoing debates on fiscal risks and bond yields.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"727\" height=\"560\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182633.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23809\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182633.jpg 727w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182633-300x231.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182633-389x300.jpg 389w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182633-400x308.jpg 400w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182633-350x270.jpg 350w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182633-200x154.jpg 200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 727px) 100vw, 727px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>MARKET MOVERS<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>EUR\/USD<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"592\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182644-1024x592.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23810\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182644-1024x592.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182644-300x173.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182644-768x444.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182644-500x289.jpg 500w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182644-400x231.jpg 400w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182644-350x202.jpg 350w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182644-200x116.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182644.jpg 1503w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Primary trend: <\/strong>Bullish, with pullbacks likely to find support before buyers return.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Support level:<\/strong> 1.1645 (secondary: 1.1660)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Resistance zone: <\/strong>1.1725 (secondary: 1.1740)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Long strategy:<\/strong> Enter longs near 1.1645 support, target 1.1725 initially, extend towards 1.1740, stop-loss below 1.1645.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Short strategy:<\/strong> Consider tactical shorts on rallies into 1.1725\u20131.1740 resistance, target 1.1660 initially, extend back to 1.1645 if momentum stalls.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Range trade:<\/strong> Buy dips near support and sell rallies near resistance if price consolidates between 1.1645\u20131.1740.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Risk management:<\/strong> Keep stops tight given the prevailing bullish bias.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>GBP\/JPY<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"604\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182653-1024x604.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23811\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182653-1024x604.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182653-300x177.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182653-768x453.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182653-500x295.jpg 500w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182653-400x236.jpg 400w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182653-350x206.jpg 350w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182653-200x118.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182653.jpg 1498w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Primary trend: <\/strong>Broadly bullish, but weakening momentum signals risk of near-term reversal.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Support level:<\/strong> 198.8 (secondary: 198.5)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance zone: 200.0 (secondary: 201.0)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Long strategy:<\/strong> Enter longs only if price holds above 198.8 support, target 200.5 initially, extend towards 201.0, stop-loss below 198.8.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Short strategy:<\/strong> Sell into rallies near 200.0 resistance, target 198.8 initially, extend back to 198.5 if momentum stalls, stop-loss above 200.0.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Range trade:<\/strong> Buy dips near support and sell rallies near resistance if price consolidates between 198.5\u2013200.0.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Risk management:<\/strong> Keep stops tight given the potential for a breakout.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>DAX 40<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"591\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182701-1024x591.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23812\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182701-1024x591.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182701-300x173.png 300w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182701-768x443.png 768w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182701-500x289.png 500w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182701-400x231.png 400w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182701-350x202.png 350w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182701-200x115.png 200w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2025\/09\/20250905-182701.png 1505w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Primary trend:<\/strong> Bullish, but current levels limit the risk\/reward profile.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Support level:<\/strong> 23,640 (secondary: 23,800)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Resistance zone:<\/strong> 24,080 (secondary: 24,150)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Long strategy:<\/strong> Enter longs on dips near 23,640 support, target 24,080 initially, extend towards 24,150, stop-loss below 23,640.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Short strategy:<\/strong> Consider tactical shorts if rallies stall near 24,080\u201324,150 resistance, target 23,800 initially, extend back to 23,640 if momentum stalls, stop-loss above 24,150.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Range trade:<\/strong> Buy dips near support and sell rallies near resistance if price consolidates between 23,640\u201324,150.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Risk management:<\/strong> Keep stops tight given the prevailing bullish bias.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>NEWS HEADLINES<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>US developments<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ADP jobs report shows 54k in August, below the 65k expected, while jobless claims rise to 237k, the highest since June.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Justice Department launches a criminal probe into Federal Reserve Governor Cook over a mortgage case.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fed nominee Milan says the central bank should not be under presidential control.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fed\u2019s Williams warns of rising labour market risks and supports gradual rate cuts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nasdaq will tighten scrutiny of listed firms\u2019 cryptocurrency investments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Elon Musk will skip Trump\u2019s White House tech CEO dinner.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Global trade and politics<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump signs an order imposing 15% tariffs on nearly all Japanese goods under a new trade deal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Norway holds parliamentary elections on 8 September, with implications for regional stability and energy policy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The UN General Assembly opens on 9 September as a key diplomatic forum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Macron is expected to avoid a snap election if PM Bayrou loses a confidence vote.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Political risks in the Eurozone continue to weigh on sentiment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.net\/trade-now\/?utm_campaign=account_c&amp;utm_source=dma&amp;utm_medium=website\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"here\">here<\/a> to open account and start trading.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Markets diverge: weak US labour data lifts rate cut bets, a probe into Fed Governor Cook adds uncertainty, and Trump hits Japan with new tariffs. The UK and Europe track political risks as Russia eyes a fuel export ban. Gold demand climbs, Nasdaq tightens crypto rules, and tech focus falls on Nvidia\u2019s China chips and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/week_ahead\/week-ahead-markets-hang-on-us-job-data\/\" class=\"read-more\">Continue Reading<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":23813,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[29],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23808","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-week_ahead"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23808","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/102"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23808"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23808\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/23813"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23808"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23808"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/it-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23808"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}