Turner says PBoC holds USD/CNY near 6.90, supporting the renminbi versus rupee, yen and euro

    by VT Markets
    /
    Mar 31, 2026
    The People’s Bank of China has kept USD/CNY steady at about 6.90 during the current crisis. This has helped the renminbi avoid sharp falls seen in other currencies. Over the month, the renminbi is up 3.5% against the Indian rupee. It has also outperformed peers such as the Japanese yen and the euro.

    Renminbi As A Store Of Value

    The currency stability is linked to an aim of presenting the renminbi as a long-term store of value. It is also aligned with efforts to support its role as a global reserve currency. USD/CNY is expected to continue trading near 6.90 during the conflict. The piece notes it was produced using an AI tool and reviewed by an editor. The People’s Bank of China is deliberately keeping the USD/CNY exchange rate stable near the 6.90 level. We have seen the pair trade within a tight 6.88 to 6.92 band throughout March 2026, a clear sign of intervention. This policy aims to project strength and position the renminbi as a safe haven currency. This stability is notable when we compare it to other currencies, which have seen significant moves. For example, the Japanese yen has weakened considerably, with USD/JPY climbing over 4% this month alone as market volatility picked up. The renminbi, by contrast, is being managed to outperform its peers during this period of global stress.

    Low Volatility Trading Strategies

    For derivative traders, this suggests that strategies built on low volatility could be profitable in the coming weeks. We believe selling options to collect premium is a viable approach. An iron condor or a short straddle centered around the 6.90 strike price would benefit from the currency pair remaining in its tight range. This is a familiar pattern, as we saw the central bank employ a similar strategy during the global trade tensions in the second half of 2025. Back then, the PBOC also held the line, rewarding traders who bet on stability rather than a breakout. History indicates this is a reliable policy tool for them during uncertain times. The key is to watch the central bank’s daily fixing for any hints of a policy change. As long as the fix remains consistent, we expect implied volatility in USD/CNY options to stay suppressed. Any significant deviation outside the recent range would be a signal to reconsider these low-volatility positions. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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