Top Forex Pairs to Watch in Q3 2025

    by VT Markets
    /
    Jun 26, 2025

    Choosing the best currency pairs to trade in the Forex market can be challenging. Investors typically analyze the strength of a currency before making their decisions. A strong currency is likely to appreciate, which can lead to attractive returns. Additionally, investors need to consider the liquidity of the currency pair before choosing to trade it. Keep reading to discover the best Forex pairs for beginners in the market.

    Here are three FX pairs that deserve your attention this quarter

    USD/JPY – Policy Divergence in the Spotlight

    The USD/JPY pair continues to ride the divergence wave between the Federal Reserve’s hawkish pause and the Bank of Japan’s gradual normalization. After the BoJ’s historic exit from negative interest rates earlier this year, traders are closely watching for signs of further tightening or the lack of it.

    1. Price Action: USD/JPY remains in a tight bullish range between 152–160, with resistance near 159.50.
    2. Risk Factor: BoJ intervention threats are increasing as the yen weakens past historical pain points.
    3. What to Watch: Any surprise in US CPI or Japanese wage data may trigger sharp volatility.

    EUR/USD – A Game of Patience

    The ECB has already begun its rate-cutting cycle, while the Fed is still holding firm. That divergence has created a push-pull dynamic in EUR/USD, with every piece of macro data (especially inflation) now under the microscope.

    1. Price Action: The pair is trading sideways between 1.07–1.09, testing key Fibonacci retracement zones.
    2. Watch Closely: A clean break above 1.10 could invite a bullish breakout, especially if US data softens.
    3. Macro Triggers: Eurozone wage growth, US retail sales, and Fed forward guidance.

    GBP/USD – Under Pressure

    The British pound is wobbling under the weight of weak UK economic data and a cautious Bank of England. UK inflation has cooled from double digits to below 4%, and manufacturing PMI readings have dipped into contraction.

    1. Price Action: From 1.28 highs, GBP/USD has dropped to test 1.24, with 1.23 acting as key support.
    2. Downside Risk: The BoE’s reluctance to remain hawkish may deepen the GBP slide.
    3. Short-Term Setup: Look for consolidation near 1.25; a break below could open 1.22.

    Market Dynamics to Watch in Q3

    Beyond individual pairs, macro themes will continue to dominate price action. Global yield spreads remain a key contributor, especially as the US maintains higher interest rates while Europe and the UK pivot towards easing. This situation not only generates directional momentum but also creates opportunities for carry trades, particularly in JPY crosses such as AUD/JPY and NZD/JPY, where traders may pursue yield differentials.

    Risk sentiment tied to geopolitical developments (Ukraine, the Middle East, and US-China trade relations) and US election-driven volatility may cause unexpected swings. Currencies like CHF and USD tend to outperform in such uncertain environments. Traders should keep an eye on VIX spikes, equity pullbacks, and bond yield fluctuations to gauge when the markets may flip from risk-on to risk-off.

    Bottom Line

    Q3 2025 presents not just volatility but opportunity. With central banks diverging, macro data surprising, and geopolitics intensifying, traders need to be agile, informed, and technically sound. Focus on high-conviction pairs, stay alert to sentiment changes, and always have your risk management tight.

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