{"id":69736,"date":"2026-10-14T07:59:45","date_gmt":"2026-10-14T07:59:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-latam\/uncategorized\/us-dollar-trades-near-102-ahead-of-key-cpi-release\/"},"modified":"2026-10-14T07:59:45","modified_gmt":"2026-10-14T07:59:45","slug":"us-dollar-trades-near-102-ahead-of-key-cpi-release","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-latam\/analysis\/us-dollar-trades-near-102-ahead-of-key-cpi-release\/","title":{"rendered":"Le dollar am\u00e9ricain \u00e9volue autour de 102, dans l\u2019attente de la publication cruciale de l\u2019indice des prix \u00e0 la consommation (IPC)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6acf0695bdc42.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Points cl\u00e9s<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>L\u2019indice du dollar am\u00e9ricain (DXY), qui mesure la valeur du dollar face \u00e0 un panier de grandes devises, \u00e9volue autour de 102 le 14 octobre, apr\u00e8s un repli depuis le plus haut de 18 mois atteint lundi \u00e0 102,37.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Mardi, le dollar a recul\u00e9 d\u2019environ 0,37%, p\u00e9nalis\u00e9 par la baisse du p\u00e9trole et par l\u2019\u00e9volution des anticipations sur la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale (Fed), la banque centrale des \u00c9tats-Unis.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019inflation CPI \u00ab\u00a0headline\u00a0\u00bb am\u00e9ricaine (indice des prix \u00e0 la consommation, mesure globale incluant \u00e9nergie et alimentation) est attendue \u00e0 3,6% sur un an en septembre, contre 3,4% pr\u00e9c\u00e9demment.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Des rendements obligataires am\u00e9ricains (Treasuries) \u00e9lev\u00e9s continuent de soutenir le dollar.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Un CPI plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 que pr\u00e9vu pourrait faire monter \u00e0 la fois le dollar et les rendements, tandis qu\u2019un chiffre plus faible pourrait relancer les ventes de dollars.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019or, l\u2019EURUSD (euro\/dollar) et l\u2019USDJPY (dollar\/yen) pourraient conna\u00eetre des mouvements plus marqu\u00e9s apr\u00e8s les donn\u00e9es, le temps que les intervenants ajustent leurs positions.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Prochain catalyseur\u00a0: le CPI am\u00e9ricain (14 octobre), puis le PPI am\u00e9ricain (indice des prix \u00e0 la production, un indicateur de l\u2019inflation \u00ab\u00a0en amont\u00a0\u00bb) le 15 octobre.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mouvement de march\u00e9<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Apr\u00e8s une hausse jusqu\u2019\u00e0 un<strong> plus haut de 18 mois \u00e0 102,37 <\/strong>lundi, le dollar a perdu son \u00e9lan mardi. Le DXY a c\u00e9d\u00e9 environ <strong>0,37%<\/strong>, la baisse des prix du p\u00e9trole r\u00e9duisant une partie des craintes d\u2019inflation, tandis que les anticipations sur la Fed ont chang\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Lors de la derni\u00e8re s\u00e9ance, l\u2019indice consolide dans un couloir \u00e9troit juste sous 102. En intraday (au cours de la journ\u00e9e), la volatilit\u00e9 est rest\u00e9e \u00e9lev\u00e9e\u00a0: l\u2019indice a gliss\u00e9 vers la zone des <strong>101,86<\/strong> avant de remonter vers 101,90. Cela sugg\u00e8re que des acheteurs d\u00e9fendent encore les replis avant une publication macro\u00e9conomique majeure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ce que surveillent les investisseurs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019attention se porte sur le CPI de septembre. L\u2019inflation globale est attendue en hausse \u00e0<strong> 3,6% sur un an<\/strong> apr\u00e8s 3,4%, ce qui indiquerait que les tensions sur les prix restent difficiles \u00e0 faire reculer. Ce rapport est d\u00e9terminant, car l\u2019inflation est l\u2019\u00e9l\u00e9ment central dans les attentes de politique mon\u00e9taire de la Fed (niveau des taux directeurs).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Des rendements des Treasuries \u00e9lev\u00e9s ont \u00e9t\u00e9 un pilier de la solidit\u00e9 du dollar\u00a0: une variation des anticipations d\u2019inflation peut donc modifier rapidement le sentiment. Le PPI du 15 octobre apportera un deuxi\u00e8me signal sur l\u2019inflation et pourrait prolonger la volatilit\u00e9 jusqu\u2019\u00e0 jeudi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Niveaux techniques cl\u00e9s<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/PEPPERSTONE-USDX\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">USDX chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"PEPPERSTONE:USDX\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Niveau<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Type<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Importance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>102,37<\/td><td>R\u00e9sistance<\/td><td>Plus haut de 18 mois atteint lundi<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>102,00<\/td><td>Pivot \/ niveau psychologique<\/td><td>Niveau \u00ab\u00a0rond\u00a0\u00bb cl\u00e9\u00a0; le repasser et s\u2019y maintenir favorise les acheteurs<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>101,99<\/td><td>R\u00e9sistance intraday<\/td><td>Plus haut de s\u00e9ance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>101,86<\/td><td>Support intraday<\/td><td>Plus bas de s\u00e9ance<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le niveau le plus important au-dessus est <strong>102,37<\/strong>, le plus haut de 18 mois de lundi. Les acheteurs n\u2019ont pas r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 franchir ce plafond avant le repli du dollar\u00a0: un retour vers cette zone pourrait donc attirer des ventes. Une cl\u00f4ture nette au-dessus signalerait un regain de force. Juste en dessous, <strong>102,00<\/strong> joue le r\u00f4le de pivot, c\u2019est-\u00e0-dire un niveau charni\u00e8re. Avec un DXY autour de <strong>101,9<\/strong>, repasser et conserver 102,00 montrerait que les acheteurs reprennent la main. \u00c0 l\u2019inverse, des rejets r\u00e9p\u00e9t\u00e9s sous 102,00 fragiliseraient le dollar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le seuil de <strong>101,99<\/strong> correspond au plus haut de la s\u00e9ance et constitue une premi\u00e8re r\u00e9sistance. En bas du range, <strong>101,86<\/strong> est le plus bas de s\u00e9ance et le support le plus proche. S\u2019il c\u00e8de, un repli plus marqu\u00e9 devient plus probable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Sc\u00e9narios haussier et baissier<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6acf0697307af.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Sc\u00e9nario<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D\u00e9clencheur<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confirmation<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Haussier<\/td><td>Un CPI \u00e0 3,6% sur un an ou plus, qui fait monter les rendements des Treasuries et renforce l\u2019id\u00e9e d\u2019une Fed \u00ab\u00a0restrictive\u00a0\u00bb (taux \u00e9lev\u00e9s plus longtemps)<\/td><td>Le DXY repasse au-dessus de 102,00 et s\u2019y maintient, avec une pouss\u00e9e vers 102,37\u00a0; une cl\u00f4ture au-dessus de 102,37 ouvre la voie \u00e0 de nouveaux sommets sur plusieurs mois<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Baissier<\/td><td>Un CPI sous 3,6% sur un an, qui d\u00e9tend les rendements et r\u00e9duit les paris sur une Fed \u00ab\u00a0restrictive\u00a0\u00bb<\/td><td>Le DXY passe sous 101,86 (plus bas de s\u00e9ance) et s\u2019y maintient\u00a0; les vendeurs visent un repli plus profond\u00a0; l\u2019or et l\u2019EURUSD pourraient se renforcer<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pour qu\u2019un sc\u00e9nario haussier se mette en place, l\u2019indice doit repasser au-dessus de <strong>102,00<\/strong> et viser un nouveau test de<strong> 102,37.<\/strong> Une cl\u00f4ture au-dessus de 102,37 ouvrirait la voie \u00e0 de nouveaux plus hauts sur plusieurs mois.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dans un sc\u00e9nario baissier, le DXY passerait sous le <strong>plus bas de s\u00e9ance \u00e0 101,86<\/strong>, avec un objectif de repli plus marqu\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Avertissement<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Les niveaux de prix et sc\u00e9narios de march\u00e9 ci-dessus refl\u00e8tent l\u2019analyse de l\u2019auteur au moment de la r\u00e9daction. Ils ne constituent pas un conseil en investissement ni une recommandation officielle de VT Markets. Chaque intervenant doit r\u00e9aliser sa propre analyse et g\u00e9rer son risque.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pr\u00e9vision DXY\u00a0: quels moteurs de march\u00e9\u00a0?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c0 court terme, le principal moteur est l\u2019inflation am\u00e9ricaine. Un CPI de septembre \u00e0 3,6% sur un an ou au-dessus renforcerait le sc\u00e9nario d\u2019une Fed plus restrictive, ferait monter les rendements des Treasuries et soutiendrait la demande de dollars. Le DXY r\u00e9agit fortement aux \u00e9carts de rendement (diff\u00e9rence de taux\/obligations entre les \u00c9tats-Unis et les autres grandes \u00e9conomies)\u00a0: quand les rendements am\u00e9ricains montent plus vite que ceux des autres pays, cela tend \u00e0 soutenir l\u2019indice. Le PPI apportera une deuxi\u00e8me lecture de l\u2019inflation\u00a0: un chiffre \u00e9lev\u00e9 pourrait prolonger le mouvement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c0 l\u2019inverse, un CPI plus faible r\u00e9duirait les attentes de hausse de taux, ferait baisser les rendements et pourrait relancer les ventes de dollars. La baisse des prix du p\u00e9trole peut aussi peser sur le dollar, car une \u00e9nergie moins ch\u00e8re r\u00e9duit la pression inflationniste et donne moins de raisons \u00e0 la Fed de maintenir une politique agressive. Un changement de ton des responsables de la Fed peut produire le m\u00eame effet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tradez le DXY avec VT Markets<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Avec VT Markets, les investisseurs peuvent acc\u00e9der \u00e0 des CFD sur devises (contrats sur diff\u00e9rence, des produits d\u00e9riv\u00e9s qui r\u00e9pliquent un prix sans d\u00e9tenir l\u2019actif) ainsi qu\u2019aux principales paires de change, \u00e0 l\u2019or, au p\u00e9trole, aux indices, aux actions, aux ETF et \u00e0 d\u2019autres march\u00e9s mondiaux de CFD depuis une seule plateforme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cela permet de suivre les mouvements d\u2019ensemble du dollar et de comparer l\u2019\u00e9volution de l\u2019USDJPY, de l\u2019EURUSD, du XAUUSD (cours de l\u2019or en dollars) et des march\u00e9s de l\u2019\u00e9nergie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Utilisez les outils graphiques de VT Markets pour surveiller les supports, les r\u00e9sistances, les moyennes mobiles (moyenne d\u2019un prix sur une p\u00e9riode, pour lisser les variations) et les cassures (breakouts, franchissements d\u2019un niveau) \u00e0 mesure que se dessine le prochain sc\u00e9nario sur l\u2019USDX.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>FAQ<\/strong><\/summary>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Qu\u2019est-ce que l\u2019indice du dollar (DXY)\u00a0?<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le DXY mesure la valeur du dollar face \u00e0 un panier de grandes devises, notamment l\u2019euro, le yen et la livre sterling.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Pourquoi le CPI fait-il bouger le dollar\u00a0?<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le CPI indique \u00e0 quelle vitesse les prix augmentent. Une inflation plus \u00e9lev\u00e9e accro\u00eet la probabilit\u00e9 d\u2019une politique mon\u00e9taire plus restrictive de la Fed (taux plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s), ce qui fait monter les rendements et tend \u00e0 soutenir le dollar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Que se passe-t-il pour l\u2019or si le CPI est \u00e9lev\u00e9\u00a0?<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019or est souvent sous pression quand le dollar et les rendements montent, et il a tendance \u00e0 progresser quand ils reculent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Quelles paires de devises sont les plus touch\u00e9es\u00a0?<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019EURUSD et l\u2019USDJPY r\u00e9agissent le plus directement, tout comme l\u2019or, car ces march\u00e9s sont sensibles aux variations du dollar et des rendements.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Commencez \u00e0 trader d\u00e8s maintenant \u2014 cliquez <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-latam\/trade-now\/\">ici<\/a> pour cr\u00e9er votre compte r\u00e9el VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Suspense sur le dollar : le DXY consolide autour de 102 apr\u00e8s un pic \u00e0 18 mois. Tout se joue avec le CPI am\u00e9ricain (attendu 3,6%) et les rendements, avant le PPI jeudi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69735,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69736","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Suspense sur le dollar : le DXY consolide autour de 102 apr\u00e8s un pic \u00e0 18 mois. 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