{"id":69445,"date":"2026-10-08T04:02:58","date_gmt":"2026-10-08T04:02:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-latam\/uncategorized\/nikkei-225-extends-losing-streak-as-oil-prices-and-rate-concerns-weigh-on-japanese-stocks\/"},"modified":"2026-10-08T04:02:58","modified_gmt":"2026-10-08T04:02:58","slug":"nikkei-225-extends-losing-streak-as-oil-prices-and-rate-concerns-weigh-on-japanese-stocks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-latam\/analysis\/nikkei-225-extends-losing-streak-as-oil-prices-and-rate-concerns-weigh-on-japanese-stocks\/","title":{"rendered":"Le Nikkei 225 prolonge sa s\u00e9rie de replis, les prix du p\u00e9trole et les craintes sur les taux pesant sur les actions japonaises"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ac71435e444c.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Points cl\u00e9s<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le Nikkei 225 \u00e9volue pr\u00e8s de <strong>69 520<\/strong>, en baisse de 0,23 %, et peine \u00e0 repasser durablement au-dessus de 70 000.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La hausse du p\u00e9trole et le risque d\u2019inflation p\u00e8sent sur le moral des investisseurs. La forte d\u00e9pendance du Japon aux importations d\u2019\u00e9nergie du Moyen-Orient renforce les craintes sur les b\u00e9n\u00e9fices des entreprises.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La trajectoire des <strong>taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat<\/strong> (le co\u00fbt de l\u2019argent) de la Banque du Japon, encore incertaine, ajoute de la pression.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les rendements \u00e9lev\u00e9s des bons du Tr\u00e9sor am\u00e9ricain (les int\u00e9r\u00eats vers\u00e9s par l\u2019\u00c9tat am\u00e9ricain) et la perspective d\u2019une Fed plus stricte r\u00e9duisent l\u2019app\u00e9tit pour le risque au niveau mondial.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le support \u00e0 <strong>69 500<\/strong> est surveill\u00e9. Un retour <strong>au-dessus de 69 600<\/strong> am\u00e9liorerait la lecture technique \u00e0 court terme.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mouvement de march\u00e9<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le Nikkei 225 subit de nouvelles ventes, les investisseurs r\u00e9\u00e9valuant les perspectives \u00e9conomiques du Japon avec la hausse de l\u2019\u00e9nergie, le durcissement mon\u00e9taire et l\u2019incertitude g\u00e9opolitique. L\u2019indice cote autour de <strong>69 520,97<\/strong>, en baisse de 157 points (-0,23 %). Le plus haut de s\u00e9ance s\u2019est \u00e9tabli \u00e0 70 011,97 et le plus bas \u00e0 69 236,97. Apr\u00e8s un rebond depuis 69 370 vers 69 600, le mouvement s\u2019est essouffl\u00e9, sans d\u00e9passement durable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019indice reste <strong>juste au-dessus de 69 500<\/strong>, zone de support imm\u00e9diat (niveau o\u00f9 les acheteurs d\u00e9fendent souvent les cours). Une cassure en dessous ouvrirait la voie vers <strong>69 450\u201369 400<\/strong>. Un retour vers <strong>69 600<\/strong> signalerait un mieux \u00e0 court terme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi les march\u00e9s surveillent<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le repli s\u2019explique par des prises de b\u00e9n\u00e9fices (vente apr\u00e8s une hausse) sur les valeurs technologiques et des semi-conducteurs. Advantest, Tokyo Electron et Kioxia ont recul\u00e9, des investisseurs r\u00e9duisant leur exposition apr\u00e8s le rallye pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Japanese stocks fell for a second day, tracking a Wall Street selloff as persistently high oil prices revived inflation concerns and weighed on equities near record highs <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/bb8p32PWhX\">https:\/\/t.co\/bb8p32PWhX<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/2108022120902959431?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 8, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La hausse du p\u00e9trole reste un sujet central. Le Brent a \u00e9volu\u00e9 <strong>au-dessus de 100 $<\/strong> le baril, sur fond de perturbations d\u2019approvisionnement au Moyen-Orient. Le Japon importe environ 94 % de son p\u00e9trole brut du Moyen-Orient, ce qui expose les entreprises \u00e0 la volatilit\u00e9 des prix de l\u2019\u00e9nergie. Des co\u00fbts plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s peuvent r\u00e9duire les marges (le profit apr\u00e8s co\u00fbts), surtout chez les industriels, les compagnies a\u00e9riennes et le transport.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La Banque du Japon entretient aussi l\u2019incertitude. L\u2019inflation \u00ab core \u00bb (inflation hors \u00e9l\u00e9ments tr\u00e8s volatils, comme l\u2019\u00e9nergie et certains aliments) \u00e0 Tokyo a acc\u00e9l\u00e9r\u00e9 \u00e0 2,7 % en septembre, ce qui renforce l\u2019id\u00e9e d\u2019une hausse des taux. Des taux plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s augmentent le co\u00fbt du cr\u00e9dit et peuvent peser sur la valorisation des actions (prix jug\u00e9 \u00e9lev\u00e9 ou non). En parall\u00e8le, les rendements am\u00e9ricains \u00e9lev\u00e9s et l\u2019anticipation d\u2019une Fed plus restrictive affaiblissent l\u2019app\u00e9tit mondial pour le risque.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Niveaux techniques cl\u00e9s<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/VANTAGE-NIKKEI225\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">NIKKEI225 chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"VANTAGE:NIKKEI225\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Niveau<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Zone<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Importance technique<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>69 600<\/td><td>R\u00e9sistance imm\u00e9diate<\/td><td>Zone de sommets r\u00e9p\u00e9t\u00e9s en s\u00e9ance et d\u2019\u00e9checs de hausse<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>69 550<\/td><td>R\u00e9sistance de court terme<\/td><td>Zone de rebond r\u00e9cent o\u00f9 la hausse a perdu de la force<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>69 500<\/td><td>Support imm\u00e9diat<\/td><td>Niveau psychologique et zone de stabilisation r\u00e9cente<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>69 450<\/td><td>Support secondaire<\/td><td>Zone d\u2019anciennes r\u00e9actions des prix en s\u00e9ance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>69 400<\/td><td>Support inf\u00e9rieur<\/td><td>Zone de reprise plus t\u00f4t et niveau rond important<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le Nikkei 225 \u00e9volue pr\u00e8s de <strong>69 520<\/strong>, entre le support \u00e0 69 500 et la r\u00e9sistance autour de 69 550. La moyenne mobile \u00e0 9 p\u00e9riodes (moyenne des cours sur 9 jours, utilis\u00e9e pour lire la tendance) s\u2019aplatit apr\u00e8s la hausse pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente, signe d\u2019un essoufflement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Un franchissement durable <strong>au-dessus de 69 550<\/strong> pourrait ramener un test de <strong>69 600<\/strong>. \u00c0 l\u2019inverse, si 69 500 c\u00e8de, l\u2019indice pourrait reculer vers 69 450 puis 69 400.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Sc\u00e9narios haussier et baissier<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ac7143758bcc.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Sc\u00e9nario<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D\u00e9clencheur<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Mouvement potentiel<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Cassure haussi\u00e8re<\/td><td>Franchir et tenir au-dessus de 69 550<\/td><td>Peut favoriser un mouvement vers 69 600 si les achats reprennent<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rebond haussier<\/td><td>Rebond depuis 69 500<\/td><td>Les acheteurs peuvent tenter de reprendre 69 550 en d\u00e9fendant le support<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Cassure baissi\u00e8re<\/td><td>Passage durable sous 69 500<\/td><td>Peut ouvrir 69 450 puis 69 400<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Baisse prolong\u00e9e<\/td><td>Rupture sous 69 400<\/td><td>Peut accentuer la pression vers le creux visible proche de 69 370<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Un sc\u00e9nario haussier suppose une d\u00e9fense de 69 500 et un d\u00e9passement net de la r\u00e9sistance. Un volume d\u2019\u00e9changes plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 (plus de transactions, donc un signal plus cr\u00e9dible) renforcerait le mouvement. \u00c0 l\u2019inverse, une cassure sous 69 500, avec des ventes en hausse, indiquerait un retour de la pression vendeuse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Avertissement<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Les niveaux de prix et sc\u00e9narios refl\u00e8tent l\u2019analyse de l\u2019auteur au moment de la r\u00e9daction. Ils ne constituent pas un conseil d\u2019investissement ni une recommandation officielle de VT Markets. \u00c0 chacun de faire sa propre analyse et de g\u00e9rer le risque.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Nikkei 225 : quels moteurs ?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le Nikkei 225 pourrait subir une pression suppl\u00e9mentaire si les tensions au Moyen-Orient s\u2019aggravent et si le p\u00e9trole continue de monter. Une \u00e9nergie plus ch\u00e8re augmente les co\u00fbts d\u2019exploitation et peut d\u00e9grader les anticipations de b\u00e9n\u00e9fices. De nouvelles hausses de taux de la Banque du Japon p\u00e8seraient aussi sur le sentiment. Une inflation persistante, combin\u00e9e \u00e0 un cr\u00e9dit plus co\u00fbteux, peut freiner l\u2019investissement et peser sur les actions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c0 l\u2019inverse, l\u2019indice pourrait se reprendre si le p\u00e9trole recule ou si l\u2019inflation se stabilise. Un resserrement mon\u00e9taire plus progressif (hausse des taux plus lente) de la Banque du Japon pourrait soutenir la confiance. Un retour de la demande sur la technologie et les semi-conducteurs apporterait aussi un appui.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trader le Nikkei 225 avec VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les investisseurs qui souhaitent suivre le march\u00e9 actions japonais peuvent acc\u00e9der \u00e0 l\u2019indice Nikkei 225 via des CFD (contrats qui r\u00e9pliquent la variation d\u2019un prix, sans d\u00e9tenir l\u2019actif) chez VT Markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Trader des <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cfd-shares\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">CFD<\/a> sur indices permet de se positionner \u00e0 la hausse comme \u00e0 la baisse, sans acheter les actions sous-jacentes. Les plateformes VT Markets permettent de suivre le march\u00e9, d\u2019utiliser des indicateurs techniques (outils bas\u00e9s sur les prix pass\u00e9s) et de g\u00e9rer le risque.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary>FAQ<\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi le Nikkei 225 baisse-t-il ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le Nikkei 225 est p\u00e9nalis\u00e9 par la hausse du p\u00e9trole, les inqui\u00e9tudes sur les taux au Japon et aux \u00c9tats-Unis, et des prises de b\u00e9n\u00e9fices sur les grandes valeurs technologiques et des semi-conducteurs. L\u2019incertitude g\u00e9opolitique p\u00e8se aussi sur le moral mondial.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Le Nikkei 225 peut-il repasser au-dessus de 70 000 ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Un retour au-dessus de 70 000 reste possible si le p\u00e9trole se stabilise, si la pression sur les taux s\u2019all\u00e8ge et si la demande pour les actions japonaises s\u2019am\u00e9liore. Mais l\u2019indice doit d\u2019abord franchir 69 550 puis 69 600.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Comment le p\u00e9trole influence-t-il le Nikkei 225 ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le Japon d\u00e9pend fortement des importations d\u2019\u00e9nergie. Un p\u00e9trole plus cher augmente les co\u00fbts de production et de transport, r\u00e9duit les marges et alimente l\u2019inflation. Cela p\u00e8se souvent sur les actions japonaises, m\u00eame si certaines entreprises li\u00e9es \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9nergie peuvent en profiter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quel est l\u2019impact de la Banque du Japon sur le Nikkei 225 ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La Banque du Japon influence les actions via ses d\u00e9cisions de taux et sa politique mon\u00e9taire (sa mani\u00e8re de contr\u00f4ler le co\u00fbt du cr\u00e9dit et la liquidit\u00e9). Des taux plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s augmentent les co\u00fbts de financement et peuvent peser sur les valorisations, tandis qu\u2019une politique moins restrictive peut soutenir les cours.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Commencez \u00e0 trader d\u00e8s maintenant \u2014 cliquez <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-latam\/trade-now\/\">ici<\/a> pour cr\u00e9er votre compte r\u00e9el VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sous pression, le Nikkei stagne vers 69 520 (-0,23 %) : p\u00e9trole \u00e0 +100 $, risques d\u2019inflation et incertitudes BoJ\/Fed minent l\u2019app\u00e9tit. Le support 69 500 devient crucial.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69444,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69445","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Sous pression, le Nikkei stagne vers 69 520 (-0,23 %) : p\u00e9trole \u00e0 +100 $, risques d\u2019inflation et incertitudes BoJ\/Fed minent l\u2019app\u00e9tit. 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