{"id":69443,"date":"2026-10-08T03:59:40","date_gmt":"2026-10-08T03:59:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-latam\/uncategorized\/usdx-holds-near-18-month-high-as-fomc-minutes-support-dollar\/"},"modified":"2026-10-08T03:59:40","modified_gmt":"2026-10-08T03:59:40","slug":"usdx-holds-near-18-month-high-as-fomc-minutes-support-dollar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-latam\/analysis\/usdx-holds-near-18-month-high-as-fomc-minutes-support-dollar\/","title":{"rendered":"L\u2019USDX se maintient pr\u00e8s de son plus haut niveau en 18 mois, les minutes du FOMC soutenant le dollar"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ac6ff14c7080.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Points cl\u00e9s<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le compte rendu de la r\u00e9union du <strong>FOMC<\/strong> (comit\u00e9 de la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale charg\u00e9 des taux) des 15\u201316 septembre montre que les d\u00e9cideurs ont valid\u00e9 une hausse de <strong>25 points de base<\/strong> (soit <strong>0,25 point de pourcentage<\/strong>), portant la fourchette cible des taux \u00e0 <strong>3,75%\u20134,00%.<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les responsables restent pr\u00e9occup\u00e9s par une inflation tenace et n\u2019excluent pas d\u2019autres rel\u00e8vements de taux.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les traders surveillent aussi l\u2019euro et le yen japonais, deux devises majeures dont les variations influencent fortement le dollar.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019<strong>USDX<\/strong> (indice du dollar am\u00e9ricain face \u00e0 un panier de grandes devises) recule \u00e0 <strong>101,986<\/strong>, signe d\u2019un essoufflement \u00e0 tr\u00e8s court terme.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La zone des <strong>102,000<\/strong> devient centrale : le march\u00e9 regarde si l\u2019USDX peut repasser au-dessus de ce <strong>seuil psychologique<\/strong> (niveau rond souvent surveill\u00e9) ou prolonger la baisse vers <strong>101,980<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mouvement de march\u00e9<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019indice du dollar am\u00e9ricain est rest\u00e9 proche de son <strong>plus haut en 18 mois<\/strong> jeudi, soutenu par l\u2019id\u00e9e que la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale pourrait maintenir une politique mon\u00e9taire restrictive plus longtemps.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019indice a progress\u00e9 d\u2019environ <strong>0,3%<\/strong> mercredi vers <strong>102,23<\/strong> apr\u00e8s la publication du compte rendu du <strong>FOMC<\/strong>. Le document montre que les responsables restent inquiets de l\u2019inflation et estiment qu\u2019une nouvelle hausse de taux pourrait \u00eatre n\u00e9cessaire.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019USDX a d\u2019abord \u00e9volu\u00e9 entre 102,010 et 102,025 avant de glisser vers 101,990. Les acheteurs ont ensuite fait remonter l\u2019indice jusqu\u2019\u00e0 un sommet local proche de <strong>102,038<\/strong>. Le rebond a \u00e9t\u00e9 bref : l\u2019USDX a perdu de la vitesse et est repass\u00e9 sous sa <strong>moyenne mobile \u00e0 9 p\u00e9riodes<\/strong> (moyenne des 9 derni\u00e8res bougies, utilis\u00e9e pour appr\u00e9cier la tendance \u00e0 court terme). Une seconde tentative vers 102,030 a \u00e9chou\u00e9, suivie d\u2019un nouveau repli vers <strong>101,986<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ce que les traders surveillent<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le dollar reste au centre de l\u2019attention alors que les investisseurs \u00e9valuent la probabilit\u00e9 d\u2019une nouvelle hausse des taux de la Fed d\u2019ici la fin de l\u2019ann\u00e9e. Le compte rendu de la r\u00e9union du <strong>FOMC<\/strong> des <strong>15\u201316 septembre<\/strong> indique que les responsables ont valid\u00e9 une hausse de <strong>25 points de base<\/strong> (0,25 point), portant la fourchette cible \u00e0 <strong>3,75%\u20134,00%.<\/strong> L\u2019inflation demeure la pr\u00e9occupation principale, certains estimant que le niveau actuel des taux pourrait ne pas suffire \u00e0 ralentir l\u2019activit\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The dollar held near its strongest level in a year-and-a-half in subdued trading at the start of the Asian session on Thursday, after hawkish minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee signaled policymakers at the US central bank viewed inflation as the biggest risk to their\u2026<\/p>&mdash; The Star (@staronline) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/staronline\/status\/2108033386447003996?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 8, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cela dit, le march\u00e9 n\u2019anticipe pas une hausse imm\u00e9diate. Les <strong>contrats \u00e0 terme<\/strong> (instruments qui refl\u00e8tent les anticipations de march\u00e9) sugg\u00e8rent environ <strong>19%<\/strong> de probabilit\u00e9 d\u2019un rel\u00e8vement lors de la r\u00e9union d\u2019octobre, ce qui indique qu\u2019une pause est privil\u00e9gi\u00e9e avant un \u00e9ventuel durcissement en d\u00e9cembre. Les traders suivent aussi l\u2019euro et le yen : un rebond de l\u2019une de ces devises pourrait accentuer la pression baissi\u00e8re sur l\u2019indice.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Niveaux techniques cl\u00e9s<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/VANTAGE-USDX\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">USDX chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"VANTAGE:USDX\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Niveau<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Zone<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Int\u00e9r\u00eat technique<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>102,040\u2013102,051<\/td><td>R\u00e9sistance majeure<\/td><td>Zone de sommet local et plus haut affich\u00e9 de la s\u00e9ance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>102,020\u2013102,030<\/td><td>R\u00e9sistance secondaire<\/td><td>Zone de rebonds r\u00e9p\u00e9t\u00e9s puis rejet (retour des vendeurs)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>102<\/td><td>R\u00e9sistance imm\u00e9diate<\/td><td>Niveau psychologique proche de la moyenne mobile \u00e0 9 p\u00e9riodes<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>101,99<\/td><td>Premier support<\/td><td>Zone d\u2019achats observ\u00e9e plus t\u00f4t dans la s\u00e9ance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>101,980\u2013101,981<\/td><td>Support cl\u00e9<\/td><td>Limite basse du graphique et plus bas affich\u00e9 de la s\u00e9ance<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pour l\u2019USDX, l\u2019enjeu est de repasser au-dessus de 102,000, d\u00e9sormais r\u00e9sistance apr\u00e8s la rupture r\u00e9cente. Un maintien au-dessus de ce niveau pourrait permettre un retour vers 102,020\u2013102,030, o\u00f9 les tentatives pr\u00e9c\u00e9dentes se sont heurt\u00e9es \u00e0 des ventes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c0 la baisse, 101,990 est la premi\u00e8re zone \u00e0 surveiller, m\u00eame si le prix est d\u00e9j\u00e0 pass\u00e9 l\u00e9g\u00e8rement en dessous. Une cassure durable sous 101,980\u2013101,981 confirmerait un affaiblissement au-del\u00e0 de la fourchette visible en intraday (dans la s\u00e9ance).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Sc\u00e9narios haussier et baissier<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ac6ff161605e.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Sc\u00e9nario<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Validation<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Mouvement potentiel<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Haussier<\/td><td>Cassure puis maintien au-dessus de 102,000<\/td><td>Rebond vers 102,020\u2013102,030, puis 102,040<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rebond technique<\/td><td>Les acheteurs d\u00e9fendent 101,980\u2013101,990<\/td><td>Reprise \u00e0 court terme vers 102,000<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Baissier<\/td><td>Cassure durable sous 101,980<\/td><td>Pression vendeuse accrue et extension sous la zone de prix visible<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le sc\u00e9nario haussier suppose un retour de l\u2019USDX au-dessus de 102,000 et au-dessus de sa moyenne mobile \u00e0 9 p\u00e9riodes. Un rebond r\u00e9ussi, surtout avec des <strong>volumes<\/strong> (quantit\u00e9 \u00e9chang\u00e9e) en hausse, sugg\u00e9rerait une baisse temporaire plut\u00f4t qu\u2019une correction plus profonde.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le sc\u00e9nario baissier se met en place si l\u2019USDX passe sous 101,980 et s\u2019y maintient. Des \u00e9changes sous une moyenne mobile orient\u00e9e \u00e0 la baisse, avec des sommets de plus en plus bas et des volumes vendeurs plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s, renforceraient l\u2019hypoth\u00e8se d\u2019un repli intraday prolong\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Avertissement<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Les niveaux de prix et sc\u00e9narios ci-dessus correspondent \u00e0 l\u2019analyse de l\u2019auteur au moment de la r\u00e9daction. Ils ne constituent pas un conseil en investissement ni une recommandation officielle de VT Markets. Chaque trader doit faire sa propre analyse et g\u00e9rer son risque.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pr\u00e9vision USDX : et maintenant ?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019USDX pourrait subir davantage de ventes si les prochaines statistiques am\u00e9ricaines sugg\u00e8rent un ralentissement de l\u2019inflation ou une d\u00e9c\u00e9l\u00e9ration de la croissance plus rapide que pr\u00e9vu. Une inflation plus faible et un march\u00e9 de l\u2019emploi moins solide r\u00e9duiraient la probabilit\u00e9 d\u2019un nouveau rel\u00e8vement de la Fed, ce qui att\u00e9nuerait l\u2019avantage du dollar li\u00e9 aux taux.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c0 l\u2019inverse, l\u2019USDX pourrait se reprendre si les donn\u00e9es \u00e0 venir confirment des tensions sur les prix. Des prix de l\u2019\u00e9nergie plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s, une consommation robuste et des <strong>rendements des bons du Tr\u00e9sor<\/strong> (taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat offerts par la dette am\u00e9ricaine) \u00e9lev\u00e9s soutiendraient l\u2019id\u00e9e de taux am\u00e9ricains durablement hauts. Des commentaires plus <strong>restrictifs<\/strong> (favorables \u00e0 des taux plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s pour freiner l\u2019inflation) de responsables de la Fed pourraient aussi soutenir le dollar, \u043e\u0441\u043e\u0431\u0435\u043d\u043d\u043e si le march\u00e9 revoit \u00e0 la hausse la probabilit\u00e9 d\u2019une hausse en d\u00e9cembre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trader l\u2019USDX avec VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019USDX mesure la performance du dollar am\u00e9ricain face \u00e0 un panier de grandes devises et sert d\u2019indicateur du sentiment sur le march\u00e9 des changes mondial.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Avec VT Markets, il est possible d\u2019acc\u00e9der \u00e0 l\u2019USDX ainsi qu\u2019au forex, aux indices, aux mati\u00e8res premi\u00e8res et \u00e0 d\u2019autres instruments financiers sur une m\u00eame plateforme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi trader l\u2019USDX avec VT Markets ?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019USDX permet de se positionner sur la tendance g\u00e9n\u00e9rale du dollar am\u00e9ricain, en suivant des mouvements li\u00e9s \u00e0 la politique mon\u00e9taire, aux statistiques \u00e9conomiques et au contexte de march\u00e9 mondial.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En suivant les d\u00e9cisions de la Fed, l\u2019emploi ou les tendances de change, les traders peuvent utiliser les outils de VT Markets pour rep\u00e9rer des opportunit\u00e9s sur les march\u00e9s internationaux.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>FAQ<\/strong><\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi l\u2019indice du dollar est-il proche d\u2019un plus haut en 18 mois ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le dollar est soutenu par les anticipations de taux \u00e9lev\u00e9s pour contenir une inflation persistante. Un compte rendu du FOMC jug\u00e9 restrictif et des rendements am\u00e9ricains \u00e9lev\u00e9s ont renforc\u00e9 la demande de dollars.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">L\u2019USDX est-il haussier ou baissier actuellement ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le graphique en 1 minute sugg\u00e8re une dynamique baissi\u00e8re \u00e0 tr\u00e8s court terme, l\u2019USDX \u00e9voluant autour de 101,986 sous sa moyenne mobile \u00e0 9 p\u00e9riodes. L\u2019orientation g\u00e9n\u00e9rale reste toutefois soutenue par l\u2019id\u00e9e d\u2019une Fed restrictive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quel est le prochain niveau de r\u00e9sistance pour l\u2019USDX ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La r\u00e9sistance imm\u00e9diate se situe \u00e0 102,000. Un passage durable au-dessus pourrait ouvrir la voie vers 102,020\u2013102,030, puis 102,040.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Que se passe-t-il si l\u2019USDX passe sous 101,980 ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Une cassure durable sous 101,980 peut signaler une pression vendeuse suppl\u00e9mentaire \u00e0 court terme. Il faut ensuite surveiller l\u2019\u00e9volution des prix et des unit\u00e9s de temps plus longues pour rep\u00e9rer d\u2019autres supports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Comment les hausses de taux de la Fed influencent-elles l\u2019USDX ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Des taux am\u00e9ricains plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s peuvent soutenir l\u2019USDX en rendant les placements en dollars plus attractifs. L\u2019effet d\u00e9pend toutefois des attentes du march\u00e9, de l\u2019inflation et des politiques mon\u00e9taires des autres grandes \u00e9conomies.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Commencez \u00e0 trader d\u00e8s maintenant \u2014 cliquez <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-latam\/trade-now\/\">ici<\/a> pour cr\u00e9er votre compte r\u00e9el VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Alerte dollar : le FOMC valide +25 pdb (3,75%-4,00%) et laisse la porte ouverte \u00e0 d\u2019autres hausses. L\u2019USDX faiblit vers 101,986 ; 102,000 devient le niveau pivot. Euro\/yen \u00e0 surveiller.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69442,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69443","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Alerte dollar : le FOMC valide +25 pdb (3,75%-4,00%) et laisse la porte ouverte \u00e0 d\u2019autres hausses. L\u2019USDX faiblit vers 101,986 ; 102,000 devient le niveau pivot. 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