{"id":69239,"date":"2026-10-02T04:00:10","date_gmt":"2026-10-02T04:00:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-latam\/uncategorized\/us-futures-gain-as-sp500-holds-near-7680-ahead-of-jobs-data\/"},"modified":"2026-10-02T04:00:10","modified_gmt":"2026-10-02T04:00:10","slug":"us-futures-gain-as-sp500-holds-near-7680-ahead-of-jobs-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-latam\/analysis\/us-futures-gain-as-sp500-holds-near-7680-ahead-of-jobs-data\/","title":{"rendered":"Les contrats \u00e0 terme am\u00e9ricains progressent alors que le S&#038;P 500 se maintient pr\u00e8s de 7\u202f680 avant les chiffres de l\u2019emploi"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6abf28e1e04dd.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Points cl\u00e9s<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le SP500 \u00e9volue autour de <strong>7 680,60<\/strong>, en hausse d\u2019environ <strong>0,07 %<\/strong> sur le graphique fourni.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les cr\u00e9ations d\u2019emplois am\u00e9ricaines <strong>hors agriculture<\/strong> (nonfarm payrolls, indicateur mensuel des emplois cr\u00e9\u00e9s hors secteur agricole) sont attendues autour de <strong>90 000<\/strong> en septembre, apr\u00e8s 162 000 en ao\u00fbt, avec un taux de ch\u00f4mage pr\u00e9vu proche de 4,1 %.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les <strong>rendements des obligations du Tr\u00e9sor<\/strong> (taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat implicite des emprunts d\u2019\u00c9tat am\u00e9ricains, notamment le 10 ans) et les prix du p\u00e9trole restent des risques majeurs pour les actions. Le rendement du 10 ans am\u00e9ricain a bri\u00e8vement touch\u00e9 <strong>5,34 % jeudi<\/strong>, un plus haut depuis 2002.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La direction future du SP500 pourrait d\u00e9pendre du rapport sur l\u2019emploi : il peut soit renforcer, soit r\u00e9duire les anticipations de <strong>resserrement mon\u00e9taire<\/strong> (hausse des taux, conditions de cr\u00e9dit plus strictes) de la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mouvement de march\u00e9<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le SP500 \u00e9volue autour de <strong>7 680,60<\/strong> apr\u00e8s une s\u00e9ance de court terme agit\u00e9e. L\u2019indice a approch\u00e9 <strong>7 685\u20137 686<\/strong> avant de refluer progressivement. La baisse s\u2019est accentu\u00e9e ensuite, ramenant les cours vers <strong>7 677\u20137 678<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Des acheteurs sont ensuite apparus sur ces plus bas. L\u2019indice est remont\u00e9 vers <strong>7 681<\/strong>, tandis que la <strong>moyenne mobile<\/strong> \u00e0 9 p\u00e9riodes (moyenne du prix des 9 derni\u00e8res unit\u00e9s de temps, utilis\u00e9e pour lisser les variations) s\u2019est stabilis\u00e9e puis a commenc\u00e9 \u00e0 se redresser. Les derniers mouvements sugg\u00e8rent un <strong>rebond de court terme au sein d\u2019un repli intrajournalier<\/strong>, plut\u00f4t qu\u2019une cassure haussi\u00e8re confirm\u00e9e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi les op\u00e9rateurs surveillent<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les donn\u00e9es sur l\u2019emploi hors agriculture de vendredi devraient influencer les <strong>contrats \u00e0 terme<\/strong> (futures, instruments qui rendent le march\u00e9 anticipatif) aux \u00c9tats-Unis et le SP500, et donner des indications sur l\u2019environnement de march\u00e9. Le rapport de septembre est attendu \u00e0 <strong>8h30 (heure de New York) le 2 octobre<\/strong>. Le consensus vise environ <strong>89 000<\/strong> cr\u00e9ations d\u2019emplois, contre 162 000 en ao\u00fbt, et un ch\u00f4mage \u00e0 4,1 %.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 Friday\u2019s US jobs report is the only major labor read before the October FOMC meeting. Forecast: 89K vs 162K prior.<br><br>The previous NFP release beat expectations, eased labor concerns, repriced rate hike odds, and pushed USD higher. <br><br>Another surprise could move markets again. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/wXmbLDnlkW\">pic.twitter.com\/wXmbLDnlkW<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Forex Factory (@ForexFactory) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/ForexFactory\/status\/2105675132832305386?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 1, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les <strong>taux directeurs<\/strong> de la Fed (taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence qui influencent le co\u00fbt du cr\u00e9dit) seront aussi en ligne de mire : un march\u00e9 du travail solide laisse plus de marge pour relever les taux, alors que l\u2019inflation reste au-dessus de l\u2019objectif annuel de 2 %. La r\u00e9cente hausse des rendements du Tr\u00e9sor am\u00e9ricain a \u00e9galement maintenu la tension, le 10 ans repassant au-del\u00e0 de 5 %, un niveau in\u00e9dit depuis 2002.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">U.S. Treasury yields hit their highest level in more than two decades on Thursday as a global bond sell-off deepened.<br><br>Read more: <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/0xV9b5qXPv\">https:\/\/t.co\/0xV9b5qXPv<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/4DYr6NwTuQ\">pic.twitter.com\/4DYr6NwTuQ<\/a><\/p>&mdash; CNBC (@CNBC) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CNBC\/status\/2105637168467300611?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 1, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le p\u00e9trole ajoute de l\u2019incertitude. Les prix ont grimp\u00e9 de 4 % apr\u00e8s des informations faisant \u00e9tat de l\u2019envoi de troupes am\u00e9ricaines suppl\u00e9mentaires au Moyen-Orient, ce qui ravive les craintes d\u2019inflation, les co\u00fbts de l\u2019\u00e9nergie restant \u00e9lev\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The U.S. military is planning for a possible surge of thousands of naval forces to the Middle East in coming weeks, as President Trump considers renewing strikes on Iran after the midterm elections, U.S. officials said. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/O9DcmJwDZP\">https:\/\/t.co\/O9DcmJwDZP<\/a><\/p>&mdash; The Washington Post (@washingtonpost) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/washingtonpost\/status\/2105810030721138824?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 2, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Niveau technique cl\u00e9<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/VANTAGE-SP500\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">Graphique du SP500<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;par TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"VANTAGE:SP500\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Niveau<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Importance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7 686<\/td><td>R\u00e9sistance majeure de court terme, zone des plus hauts de s\u00e9ance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7 684<\/td><td>R\u00e9sistance secondaire<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7 682<\/td><td>Premi\u00e8re r\u00e9sistance \u00e0 surveiller<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7 680<\/td><td>Zone pivot imm\u00e9diate<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7 678<\/td><td>Premier support<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7 676 \u00e0 7 677<\/td><td>Zone de support intrajournalier cl\u00e9<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le niveau des <strong>7 680<\/strong> est central \u00e0 tr\u00e8s court terme. Les cours y reviennent souvent, ce qui en fait une ligne de s\u00e9paration utile entre un rebond et un retour de la faiblesse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Sc\u00e9narios haussier et baissier<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6abf28e2f0485.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Sc\u00e9nario<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D\u00e9clencheur<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Objectifs possibles<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Lecture possible<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Haussier<\/td><td>Maintien au-dessus de 7 682<\/td><td>7 684, puis 7 686<\/td><td>Les acheteurs prolongent le rebond et testent les sommets pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Baissier<\/td><td>Passage sous 7 678<\/td><td>7 676 \u00e0 7 677<\/td><td>Le rebond perd de l\u2019\u00e9lan et les vendeurs reprennent la main<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Avertissement<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Les niveaux de prix et sc\u00e9narios ci-dessus refl\u00e8tent l\u2019analyse de l\u2019auteur au moment de la r\u00e9daction. Ils ne constituent pas un conseil en investissement ni une recommandation officielle de VT Markets. Chaque intervenant doit mener sa propre analyse et g\u00e9rer le risque.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pr\u00e9vision SP500<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le rapport NFP \u00e0 venir devrait influencer les futures am\u00e9ricains et le SP500, car il fa\u00e7onne les anticipations sur la politique de la Fed et les rendements obligataires. Un chiffre d\u2019emplois sup\u00e9rieur aux attentes renforcerait l\u2019id\u00e9e d\u2019une \u00e9conomie am\u00e9ricaine solide, augmenterait la probabilit\u00e9 d\u2019une hausse des taux et pourrait pousser les rendements \u00e0 la hausse. Ces facteurs p\u00e8sent en g\u00e9n\u00e9ral sur la <strong>valorisation<\/strong> des actions (prix justifi\u00e9 par les b\u00e9n\u00e9fices attendus) et peuvent mettre le SP500 sous pression.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Un rapport mod\u00e9r\u00e9ment plus faible serait plut\u00f4t favorable aux actions s\u2019il r\u00e9duit la perspective de hausses de taux sans inqui\u00e9ter sur la croissance. En revanche, un chiffre tr\u00e8s faible peut produire un effet ambigu : la baisse des rendements peut soutenir les actions \u00e0 court terme, mais un march\u00e9 du travail qui se d\u00e9grade alimente les craintes de r\u00e9cession.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pour les op\u00e9rateurs, l\u2019enjeu est de savoir si ces donn\u00e9es signalent un simple refroidissement du march\u00e9 du travail, qui rel\u00e2cherait la pression sur les taux, ou un ralentissement plus marqu\u00e9, plus pr\u00e9occupant pour l\u2019\u00e9conomie am\u00e9ricaine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trader le SP500 avec VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les \u00e9v\u00e9nements \u00e9conomiques influencent fortement les futures am\u00e9ricains comme ceux li\u00e9s au S&amp;P 500. Il est essentiel de suivre les donn\u00e9es cl\u00e9s, car les anticipations changent vite.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Avec VT Markets, les traders peuvent acc\u00e9der au SP500 et \u00e0 d\u2019autres indices via des <strong>CFD<\/strong> (contrats sur la diff\u00e9rence : produit d\u00e9riv\u00e9 qui permet de sp\u00e9culer sur la hausse ou la baisse sans d\u00e9tenir l\u2019actif) ainsi qu\u2019au forex, \u00e0 l\u2019or, au p\u00e9trole, aux CFD sur actions, aux CFD sur ETF (fonds cot\u00e9s) et \u00e0 d\u2019autres march\u00e9s sur une seule plateforme. Cela permet de comparer les mouvements entre actions technologiques, mati\u00e8res premi\u00e8res, devises et autres grandes classes d\u2019actifs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En savoir plus sur le trading des <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/indices\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">indices<\/a> sur <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">VT Markets<\/a> d\u00e8s aujourd\u2019hui. Ouvrez un <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/trade-now\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">compte de trading r\u00e9el<\/a> avec VT Markets et analysez les march\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary>FAQ<\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u00c0 quel niveau se traite le SP500 actuellement ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le graphique fourni montre le SP500 autour de <strong>7 680,60<\/strong>, en hausse d\u2019environ 0,07 % au moment de la capture.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quels niveaux cl\u00e9s surveiller sur le SP500 ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La premi\u00e8re r\u00e9sistance se situe vers <strong>7 682<\/strong>, puis 7 684 et 7 686. Le premier support est vers <strong>7 678<\/strong>, avec un support intrajournalier plus solide vers 7 676\u20137 677.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quel impact les chiffres NFP peuvent-ils avoir sur le SP500 ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Un chiffre d\u2019emplois solide peut renforcer l\u2019anticipation d\u2019une politique mon\u00e9taire plus stricte et pousser les rendements obligataires \u00e0 la hausse, ce qui peut peser sur les actions. Un chiffre plus faible peut r\u00e9duire la pression sur les taux, mais un r\u00e9sultat inhabituellement bas peut faire craindre un ralentissement \u00e9conomique.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quand le rapport NFP am\u00e9ricain de septembre est-il publi\u00e9 ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le Bureau of Labor Statistics (agence am\u00e9ricaine qui publie ces statistiques) doit publier le rapport sur l\u2019emploi de septembre 2026 le <strong>vendredi 2 octobre 2026 \u00e0 8h30 (heure de New York)<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Commencez \u00e0 trader d\u00e8s maintenant \u2014 cliquez <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-latam\/trade-now\/\">ici<\/a> pour cr\u00e9er votre compte r\u00e9el VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00c0 vos \u00e9crans : le S&#038;P 500 oscille autour de 7.680 points, suspendu aux NFP. Rendement US 10 ans \u00e0 5,34% et p\u00e9trole en hausse p\u00e8sent sur l\u2019app\u00e9tit actions.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69238,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69239","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u00c0 vos \u00e9crans : le S&amp;P 500 oscille autour de 7.680 points, suspendu aux NFP. 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