{"id":68851,"date":"2026-09-24T07:59:26","date_gmt":"2026-09-24T07:59:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-latam\/uncategorized\/spi200-forecast-australian-shares-rebound-ahead-of-labour-data\/"},"modified":"2026-09-24T07:59:26","modified_gmt":"2026-09-24T07:59:26","slug":"spi200-forecast-australian-shares-rebound-ahead-of-labour-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-latam\/analysis\/spi200-forecast-australian-shares-rebound-ahead-of-labour-data\/","title":{"rendered":"Pr\u00e9visions du SPI200 : les actions australiennes rebondissent avant les chiffres de l\u2019emploi"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Copy-of-discover-7-3-1024x559.webp\" alt=\"Le SPI200 rebondit apr\u00e8s une s\u00e9ance de baisse, sur fond d\u2019inflation en hausse et de statistiques sur l\u2019emploi attendues.\" class=\"wp-image-69128\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Points cl\u00e9s<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Les actions australiennes restent sensibles \u00e0 la hausse des rendements des bons du Tr\u00e9sor am\u00e9ricain (taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat servis par la dette publique des \u00c9tats-Unis), \u00e0 l\u2019augmentation des prix du p\u00e9trole et au retour des inqui\u00e9tudes sur l\u2019inflation (hausse g\u00e9n\u00e9ralis\u00e9e des prix).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les march\u00e9s surveillent les prochaines statistiques australiennes sur l\u2019emploi (emploi, ch\u00f4mage) pour anticiper l\u2019orientation des taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat de la Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA, banque centrale australienne).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La RBA a indiqu\u00e9 qu\u2019une inflation durable pourrait n\u00e9cessiter un resserrement suppl\u00e9mentaire de sa politique mon\u00e9taire (mesures visant \u00e0 freiner la demande, souvent via des hausses de taux).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le SPI200 s\u2019est redress\u00e9 vers <strong>8 697<\/strong>, apr\u00e8s un repli vers la <strong>zone de support \u00e0 8 630<\/strong> en s\u00e9ance (niveau o\u00f9 la demande a tendance \u00e0 freiner la baisse).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mouvement de march\u00e9<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les contrats \u00e0 terme sur actions australiennes ont rebondi apr\u00e8s un d\u00e9but de s\u00e9ance faible, le SPI200 remontant vers <strong>8 697<\/strong> apr\u00e8s un point bas proche de <strong>8 630<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le SPI200 a progress\u00e9 au fil de la s\u00e9ance, effa\u00e7ant la baisse initiale et inscrivant progressivement des points bas plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s. L\u2019indice a \u00e9volu\u00e9 au-dessus de la <strong>moyenne mobile \u00e0 9 p\u00e9riodes<\/strong> (moyenne des cours des 9 derni\u00e8res bougies\/jours, utilis\u00e9e pour lire la tendance \u00e0 court terme), signe d\u2019un regain d\u2019achats \u00e0 court terme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le mouvement s\u2019est toutefois essouffl\u00e9 pr\u00e8s de la <strong>zone de r\u00e9sistance \u00e0 8 700<\/strong> (niveau o\u00f9 les ventes tendent \u00e0 freiner la hausse), les op\u00e9rateurs restant prudents avant des donn\u00e9es \u00e9conomiques importantes et les messages des banques centrales.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi les traders surveillent le SPI200<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les traders<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/what-is-indices-trading-and-how-does-it-work\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> suivent de pr\u00e8s le SPI200<\/a>, alors que les actions australiennes se redressent avant des chiffres cl\u00e9s sur le march\u00e9 du travail, susceptibles d\u2019influencer les anticipations sur la trajectoire de la <strong>Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA)<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le rebond du SPI200 intervient apr\u00e8s des pressions li\u00e9es au recul de Wall Street, \u00e0 la hausse des rendements des Treasuries am\u00e9ricains et au retour des craintes d\u2019inflation. Des rendements obligataires plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s p\u00e8sent sur les actions (les valorisations souffrent quand les taux remontent), tandis que des <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/crude-oil-guide-prices-trading-what-is-wti-crude\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">prix du p\u00e9trole<\/a> au-dessus de <strong>103 USD<\/strong> ravivent le risque d\u2019inflation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Au total, ces \u00e9l\u00e9ments influencent les attentes de taux, les investisseurs \u00e9valuant si les banques centrales pourraient rester restrictives (priorit\u00e9 \u00e0 la lutte contre l\u2019inflation).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Millions of Australians are bracing for another massive hit to their hip pockets, with almost every expert tipping the Reserve Bank will hike interest rates next week.<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/tCsLKm0mFv\">https:\/\/t.co\/tCsLKm0mFv<\/a><\/p>&mdash; News24 Australia (@News24Aust) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/News24Aust\/status\/2102839870062489900?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 23, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Niveaux techniques \u00e0 surveiller<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/VANTAGE-SPI200\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">Graphique SPI200<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\"> par TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"VANTAGE:SPI200\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": \"100%\",\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Niveau<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Zone de prix<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Explication<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>R\u00e9sistance 1<\/td><td>8 700<\/td><td>Zone de r\u00e9sistance imm\u00e9diate, o\u00f9 le dernier rebond a ralenti<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>R\u00e9sistance 2<\/td><td>8 750<\/td><td>Un franchissement au-dessus pourrait signaler un rebond plus solide \u00e0 court terme<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Support 1<\/td><td>8 630<\/td><td>Point bas de s\u00e9ance et support de court terme<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Support 2<\/td><td>8 600<\/td><td>Support \u00ab psychologique \u00bb (niveau rond souvent surveill\u00e9) si la pression vendeuse revient<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Moyenne mobile<\/td><td>Autour de 8 690<\/td><td>Rep\u00e8re de tendance \u00e0 court terme calcul\u00e9 \u00e0 partir du graphique<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le SPI200 teste la <strong>r\u00e9sistance \u00e0 8 700<\/strong> apr\u00e8s son rebond depuis le point bas. Un maintien au-dessus de la <strong>moyenne mobile vers 8 690<\/strong> (indicateur de tendance \u00e0 court terme) pourrait pr\u00e9server un biais haussier \u00e0 court terme, tandis qu\u2019un passage sous <strong>8 630<\/strong> signalerait un retour de la pression baissi\u00e8re.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Sc\u00e9narios haussier et baissier<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-23-1024x472.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-69129\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Sc\u00e9nario<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Conditions<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>R\u00e9sultat possible<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Sc\u00e9nario haussier<\/td><td>Le SPI200 franchit 8 700 et conserve une dynamique au-dessus de la moyenne mobile de court terme<\/td><td>Les acheteurs pourraient viser la r\u00e9sistance \u00e0 8 750 si le sentiment s\u2019am\u00e9liore<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Sc\u00e9nario baissier<\/td><td>Le SPI200 passe sous le support \u00e0 8 630<\/td><td>La pression vendeuse pourrait s\u2019accentuer vers 8 600<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dans le sc\u00e9nario haussier, tout d\u00e9pend de la capacit\u00e9 des acheteurs \u00e0 pousser l\u2019indice au-dessus de la <strong>r\u00e9sistance \u00e0 8 700<\/strong>. Dans ce cas, <strong>8 750<\/strong> deviendrait la prochaine zone vis\u00e9e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dans le sc\u00e9nario baissier, les vendeurs doivent reprendre la main sous le <strong>support \u00e0 8 630<\/strong>, avec un risque d\u2019acc\u00e9l\u00e9ration vers <strong>8 600<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Avertissement<\/em><br><em>Les niveaux de prix et sc\u00e9narios ci-dessus refl\u00e8tent l\u2019analyse de l\u2019auteur au moment de la r\u00e9daction. Ils ne constituent pas un conseil en investissement ni une recommandation officielle de VT Markets. Chaque trader doit faire sa propre analyse et g\u00e9rer le risque (taille de position, pertes possibles).<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pr\u00e9vision SPI200 : et maintenant ?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le SPI200 reste guid\u00e9 par les anticipations de politique mon\u00e9taire en Australie et par le contexte international.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les chiffres australiens de l\u2019emploi seront surveill\u00e9s apr\u00e8s des statistiques pr\u00e9c\u00e9dentes marqu\u00e9es par un affaiblissement de l\u2019emploi et une hausse du ch\u00f4mage. Un march\u00e9 du travail plus solide pourrait soutenir l\u2019id\u00e9e d\u2019une \u00e9conomie r\u00e9siliente, ce qui favoriserait le SPI200. \u00c0 l\u2019inverse, des donn\u00e9es d\u00e9cevantes pourraient renforcer l\u2019incertitude sur la trajectoire de la RBA et peser sur le SPI200.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les traders suivent aussi les prix du p\u00e9trole et l\u2019actualit\u00e9 g\u00e9opolitique, car <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/a-complete-guide-to-vt-markets-energies-trading\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">des co\u00fbts de l\u2019\u00e9nergie plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s<\/a> peuvent alimenter l\u2019inflation et influencer les d\u00e9cisions des banques centrales.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trader le SPI200 avec VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Acc\u00e9dez au SPI200 avec des conditions comp\u00e9titives, des plateformes avanc\u00e9es et des outils de march\u00e9 pour suivre les indices mondiaux.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Suivez l\u2019\u00e9volution du SPI200 avec l\u2019USDX (indice du dollar am\u00e9ricain), le <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/forex\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Forex<\/a> (march\u00e9 des devises), les <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/indices\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">indices<\/a> et <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/markets\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">d\u2019autres march\u00e9s de CFD mondiaux<\/a> (CFD : contrats permettant de sp\u00e9culer sur la hausse ou la baisse d\u2019un actif sans le d\u00e9tenir) chez VT Markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>Foire aux questions<\/strong><\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Qu\u2019est-ce que le SPI200 ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le SPI200 est un <strong>contrat \u00e0 terme<\/strong> (produit d\u00e9riv\u00e9 : accord d\u2019acheter ou vendre plus tard \u00e0 un prix fix\u00e9) sur un indice actions australien. Il suit la performance des principales valeurs australiennes et refl\u00e8te souvent les mouvements de l\u2019ASX 200.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi le SPI200 a-t-il rebondi apr\u00e8s une baisse ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le SPI200 a rebondi avec le retour des acheteurs apr\u00e8s la vente initiale, l\u2019indice repassant au-dessus de sa moyenne mobile de court terme et se rapprochant de la r\u00e9sistance \u00e0 8 700.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quels niveaux surveiller sur le SPI200 ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les traders surveillent <strong>8 700 en r\u00e9sistance<\/strong> et <strong>8 630 en support<\/strong>. Une sortie par le haut (cassure\/\u00ab breakout \u00bb) ou par le bas (rupture\/\u00ab breakdown \u00bb) peut donner une indication sur la direction suivante.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Comment les taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat influencent-ils le SPI200 ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Des taux plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s rench\u00e9rissent le co\u00fbt du cr\u00e9dit (emprunts des m\u00e9nages et des entreprises) et peuvent peser sur la valorisation des actions. Les changements d\u2019anticipations de taux influencent aussi le sentiment des investisseurs.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Commencez \u00e0 trader d\u00e8s maintenant \u2014 cliquez <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-latam\/trade-now\/\">ici<\/a> pour cr\u00e9er votre compte r\u00e9el VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rebond surprise du SPI200 : l\u2019indice remonte vers 8 697 apr\u00e8s avoir d\u00e9fendu 8 630. Les march\u00e9s scrutent l\u2019emploi australien, la RBA et l\u2019inflation, dop\u00e9e par p\u00e9trole et Treasuries.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":68850,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68851","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Rebond surprise du SPI200 : l\u2019indice remonte vers 8 697 apr\u00e8s avoir d\u00e9fendu 8 630. 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