{"id":68842,"date":"2026-08-03T03:29:02","date_gmt":"2026-08-03T03:29:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-latam\/uncategorized\/gold-rises-as-markets-watch-us-iran-talks-and-fed-outlook\/"},"modified":"2026-08-03T03:29:02","modified_gmt":"2026-08-03T03:29:02","slug":"gold-rises-as-markets-watch-us-iran-talks-and-fed-outlook","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-latam\/analysis\/gold-rises-as-markets-watch-us-iran-talks-and-fed-outlook\/","title":{"rendered":"L\u2019or progresse, les march\u00e9s scrutant les discussions \u00c9tats-Unis\u2013Iran et les perspectives de la Fed"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/image-28.png\" alt=\"Deux pi\u00e8ces d\u2019or reposent sur une surface r\u00e9fl\u00e9chissante, avec en arri\u00e8re-plan un graphique boursier color\u00e9, \u00e9voquant la finance.\" class=\"wp-image-63565\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Points cl\u00e9s<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Les cours de l\u2019or ont progress\u00e9, les op\u00e9rateurs suivant l\u2019\u00e9volution des discussions entre les \u00c9tats-Unis et l\u2019Iran et la recomposition des risques g\u00e9opolitiques.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019apaisement des tensions a fait reculer le p\u00e9trole, tandis que l\u2019or est rest\u00e9 soutenu par les incertitudes mondiales et les attentes sur la politique de la Fed (la banque centrale am\u00e9ricaine).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les anticipations de politique de la Fed, les mouvements du dollar et les rendements des bons du Tr\u00e9sor am\u00e9ricain restent des moteurs cl\u00e9s de l\u2019XAUUSD (le prix de l\u2019or cot\u00e9 en dollars am\u00e9ricains).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les op\u00e9rateurs surveillent si l\u2019or peut prolonger son rebond ou rester dans une phase de \u00ab range \u00bb (\u00e9volution dans un couloir entre support et r\u00e9sistance) \u00e0 court terme.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019or a mont\u00e9, les march\u00e9s \u00e9valuant les derni\u00e8res informations sur les discussions de paix \u00c9tats-Unis\u2013Iran et leur effet sur l\u2019app\u00e9tit pour le risque (envie d\u2019acheter des actifs plus risqu\u00e9s).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les cours de l\u2019or ont progress\u00e9, les march\u00e9s \u00e9valuant les derni\u00e8res informations sur les discussions de paix \u00c9tats-Unis\u2013Iran et leur effet sur l\u2019app\u00e9tit pour le risque.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019or est remont\u00e9 au-dessus de la zone des 4 050 dollars apr\u00e8s que le pr\u00e9sident Donald Trump a indiqu\u00e9 que les n\u00e9gociations avec l\u2019Iran reprendraient. Cela a nourri l\u2019espoir d\u2019avanc\u00e9es diplomatiques et r\u00e9duit les craintes imm\u00e9diates d\u2019une nouvelle escalade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Gold advanced after Donald Trump said fresh negotiations with Iran would begin later Monday, raising hopes for a breakthrough in the months-long conflict that would ease energy-driven inflation <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/CBsxTrGvpa\">https:\/\/t.co\/CBsxTrGvpa<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/2084069251971707330?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 3, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ce changement de perspective g\u00e9opolitique a pes\u00e9 sur le p\u00e9trole, les op\u00e9rateurs revoyant le risque de perturbations prolong\u00e9es de l\u2019offre. L\u2019or est toutefois rest\u00e9 soutenu, les investisseurs continuant de suivre les incertitudes li\u00e9es aux risques g\u00e9opolitiques, aux anticipations d\u2019inflation (pr\u00e9visions de hausse des prix) et \u00e0 la politique mon\u00e9taire (d\u00e9cisions de taux et de liquidit\u00e9s des banques centrales).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019attention se porte aussi sur les prochaines statistiques am\u00e9ricaines, dont le rapport sur l\u2019emploi de vendredi, qui peut faire bouger les attentes sur les prochaines d\u00e9cisions de la Fed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La Fed a laiss\u00e9 ses taux inchang\u00e9s lors de sa derni\u00e8re r\u00e9union, m\u00eame si plusieurs responsables se sont montr\u00e9s favorables \u00e0 une politique plus restrictive (taux plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s pour freiner l\u2019inflation). Le march\u00e9 reste donc focalis\u00e9 sur la trajectoire des taux.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi les op\u00e9rateurs surveillent l\u2019XAUUSD<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019or d\u00e9pend surtout de trois facteurs : la g\u00e9opolitique, les anticipations sur la Fed et l\u2019\u00e9volution du dollar am\u00e9ricain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le dossier \u00c9tats-Unis\u2013Iran continue d\u2019influencer le sentiment de march\u00e9, notamment via l\u2019app\u00e9tit pour le risque et les prix de l\u2019\u00e9nergie. Tout changement dans les avanc\u00e9es diplomatiques peut modifier la demande d\u2019actifs d\u00e9fensifs (valeurs dites \u00ab refuge \u00bb, achet\u00e9es en p\u00e9riode d\u2019incertitude) comme l\u2019or.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les anticipations de taux restent un moteur majeur. Les variations des rendements des bons du Tr\u00e9sor am\u00e9ricain (taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat implicites sur la dette de l\u2019\u00c9tat am\u00e9ricain) et la force du dollar peuvent peser sur la demande d\u2019actifs sans rendement (actifs qui ne versent pas d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat), comme l\u2019or.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%, with three policymakers dissenting in favor of a rate hike. Markets expect a potential increase in September <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/eCEbQyrIQq\">https:\/\/t.co\/eCEbQyrIQq<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/rhrw8M50yl\">pic.twitter.com\/rhrw8M50yl<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters Business (@ReutersBiz) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/ReutersBiz\/status\/2082707769421971602?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 30, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les op\u00e9rateurs suivent aussi si le rebond de l\u2019or peut se transformer en hausse plus nette, ou si les prix restent plafonn\u00e9s par l\u2019\u00e9volution des anticipations d\u2019inflation, de taux et du dollar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Niveaux techniques cl\u00e9s<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN --><div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/GOLD\/?exchange=TVC\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">GOLD chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\"> by TradingView<\/span><\/div>  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>  {  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,  \"calendar\": false,  \"details\": false,  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,  \"hide_legend\": false,  \"hide_volume\": false,  \"hotlist\": false,  \"interval\": \"D\",  \"locale\": \"en\",  \"save_image\": true,  \"style\": \"1\",  \"symbol\": \"TVC:GOLD\",  \"theme\": \"dark\",  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.06)\",  \"watchlist\": [],  \"withdateranges\": false,  \"compareSymbols\": [],  \"studies\": [],  \"width\": 900,  \"height\": 500}  <\/script><\/div><!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Niveau de prix<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Ce que le march\u00e9 surveille<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>$4,200<\/td><td>Objectif de rebond plus large si la dynamique haussi\u00e8re revient<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>$4,160<\/td><td>R\u00e9sistance secondaire au-dessus de la zone actuelle<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>$4,120<\/td><td>Zone de r\u00e9sistance importante apr\u00e8s les tentatives r\u00e9centes<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>$4,100<\/td><td>R\u00e9sistance cl\u00e9 \u00e0 court terme<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>$4,060<\/td><td>Zone de cotation actuelle et support imm\u00e9diat<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>$4,040<\/td><td>Support de court terme si la pression vendeuse augmente<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>$4,000<\/td><td>Support psychologique cl\u00e9 (niveau rond souvent surveill\u00e9)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>$3,960<\/td><td>Zone de support plus basse<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019or \u00e9volue autour de <strong>4 060 dollars<\/strong>, apr\u00e8s un rebond et une phase de stabilisation \u00e0 court terme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Un passage au-dessus de la <strong>zone de r\u00e9sistance 4 100\u20134 120 dollars<\/strong> pourrait relancer la dynamique haussi\u00e8re et ouvrir la voie vers <strong>4 160<\/strong> puis <strong>4 200<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c0 l\u2019inverse, si l\u2019or ne parvient pas \u00e0 se maintenir au-dessus de <strong>4 060<\/strong>, la pression vendeuse pourrait augmenter vers <strong>4 040<\/strong>. Une cassure sous ce niveau mettrait en avant la <strong>zone psychologique des 4 000<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Sc\u00e9narios haussier et baissier<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/gold0308-1024x473.webp\" alt=\"L\u2019or progresse alors que les march\u00e9s suivent les discussions \u00c9tats-Unis\u2013Iran et les perspectives de la Fed\" class=\"wp-image-63962\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Configuration<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>D\u00e9clencheur<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>R\u00e9action possible du march\u00e9<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Tentative de rebond<\/td><td>Repasser au-dessus de 4 100<\/td><td>L\u2019or pourrait retester la r\u00e9sistance vers 4 120<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Poursuite haussi\u00e8re<\/td><td>Franchir 4 120<\/td><td>La dynamique pourrait s\u2019\u00e9tendre vers 4 160<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rebond plus puissant<\/td><td>Franchir 4 160<\/td><td>La zone des 4 200 pourrait redevenir un objectif<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Tenue du support<\/td><td>Rester au-dessus de 4 060<\/td><td>L\u2019or pourrait rester dans son couloir actuel<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Perte de dynamique<\/td><td>Passer sous 4 060<\/td><td>L\u2019or pourrait retester le support \u00e0 4 040<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Extension baissi\u00e8re<\/td><td>Casser 4 040<\/td><td>La baisse pourrait s\u2019\u00e9tendre vers 4 000<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Repli plus profond<\/td><td>Passer sous 4 000<\/td><td>La zone des 3 960 pourrait redevenir un point de rep\u00e8re<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019or reste dans une phase de stabilisation \u00e0 court terme, les op\u00e9rateurs cherchant \u00e0 savoir si les acheteurs peuvent reprendre la main au-dessus des r\u00e9sistances cl\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le sc\u00e9nario haussier suppose un retour au-dessus de <strong>4 100\u20134 120<\/strong>, ce qui pourrait soutenir une poursuite de la hausse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le sc\u00e9nario baissier se renforce si l\u2019or passe sous <strong>4 060<\/strong>, avec un risque de repli plus marqu\u00e9 vers des supports plus bas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Avertissement<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Les niveaux de prix et sc\u00e9narios ci-dessus refl\u00e8tent l\u2019avis de l\u2019auteur au moment de la r\u00e9daction et ne constituent pas un conseil en investissement ni une recommandation officielle de VT Markets. Les op\u00e9rateurs doivent faire leur propre analyse et g\u00e9rer le risque (taille de position, pertes maximales accept\u00e9es).<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Explorer le trading de l\u2019or avec VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/about-vt-markets\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">VT Markets<\/a> donne aussi acc\u00e8s \u00e0 des CFD sur l\u2019or (contrats permettant de miser sur la hausse ou la baisse sans d\u00e9tenir l\u2019or) via <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/metatrader-4\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">MetaTrader 4<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/metatrader-5\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">MetaTrader 5<\/a> et l\u2019<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/vt-markets-app\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">application VT Markets<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">D\u00e9couvrez une approche plus souple avec XAUUSD247, un acc\u00e8s 24h\/24 et 7j\/7 au march\u00e9 de l\u2019or, au-del\u00e0 des horaires de march\u00e9 habituels, via VT Markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/precious-metals\/xauusd247\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/xauusd247-1024x300.png\" alt=\"Banni\u00e8re promotionnelle pour le trading de l\u2019or XAUUSD247 sur VT Markets, montrant un kiosque lumineux sur fond de skyline nocturne.\" class=\"wp-image-63534\" title=\"xauusd247 - VT Markets\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Commencez \u00e0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">trader l\u2019or<\/a> avec <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">VT Markets<\/a> d\u00e8s aujourd\u2019hui.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u00c0 surveiller ensuite<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La prochaine tendance de l\u2019or d\u00e9pendra de la g\u00e9opolitique, de la politique mon\u00e9taire et des statistiques \u00e9conomiques.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les op\u00e9rateurs surveilleront :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u00c9volution \u00c9tats-Unis\u2013Iran :<\/strong> des avanc\u00e9es (ou des blocages) diplomatiques peuvent influencer l\u2019app\u00e9tit pour le risque et la demande de valeurs refuge.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Perspectives de la Fed :<\/strong> les signaux de politique mon\u00e9taire et les statistiques orienteront les attentes sur les prochaines d\u00e9cisions de taux.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>March\u00e9 du travail am\u00e9ricain :<\/strong> le rapport sur l\u2019emploi de vendredi peut modifier les anticipations sur la Fed et faire bouger le dollar.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Orientation du dollar :<\/strong> un dollar plus fort ou plus faible reste d\u00e9terminant pour l\u2019or.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Rendements du Tr\u00e9sor :<\/strong> une hausse des rendements (taux) peut r\u00e9duire l\u2019attrait des actifs sans rendement, comme l\u2019or.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Prix de l\u2019\u00e9nergie :<\/strong> les mouvements du p\u00e9trole peuvent influencer les anticipations d\u2019inflation et le sentiment de march\u00e9.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">D\u2019un point de vue technique (analyse des graphiques et des niveaux de prix), les op\u00e9rateurs surveillent un retour de la dynamique au-dessus de <strong>4 120<\/strong>, tandis que <strong>4 060<\/strong> reste un support important.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>Foire aux questions<\/strong><\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi l\u2019or monte-t-il ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019or monte car le march\u00e9 \u00e9value l\u2019\u00e9volution du dossier \u00c9tats-Unis\u2013Iran, l\u2019incertitude g\u00e9opolitique et les attentes sur la politique mon\u00e9taire \u00e0 venir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Comment les discussions \u00c9tats-Unis\u2013Iran affectent-elles l\u2019or ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La g\u00e9opolitique peut influencer l\u2019app\u00e9tit pour le risque, les prix de l\u2019\u00e9nergie et la demande d\u2019actifs d\u00e9fensifs comme l\u2019or.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi la Fed compte-t-elle pour l\u2019or ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les attentes concernant la Fed peuvent faire varier les rendements des bons du Tr\u00e9sor et le dollar, ce qui influence souvent le prix de l\u2019or.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quels facteurs influencent l\u2019XAUUSD ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les principaux moteurs sont le dollar, les anticipations de taux, les tendances de l\u2019inflation, les rendements du Tr\u00e9sor et la g\u00e9opolitique.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Commencez \u00e0 trader d\u00e8s maintenant \u2014 cliquez <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-latam\/trade-now\/\">ici<\/a> pour cr\u00e9er votre compte r\u00e9el VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>L\u2019or rebondit au-dessus de 4 050 dollars : les march\u00e9s scrutent la d\u00e9tente \u00c9tats-Unis\u2013Iran, la trajectoire de la Fed, le dollar et les rendements. Seuils cl\u00e9s : 4 060 support, 4 100\u20134 120 r\u00e9sistance.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":68841,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68842","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"L\u2019or rebondit au-dessus de 4 050 dollars : les march\u00e9s scrutent la d\u00e9tente \u00c9tats-Unis\u2013Iran, la trajectoire de la Fed, le dollar et les rendements. 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