{"id":68656,"date":"2026-09-21T08:01:45","date_gmt":"2026-09-21T08:01:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-latam\/uncategorized\/week-ahead-markets-reprice-post-rate-hike-as-usd-gold-and-equities-face-key-tests\/"},"modified":"2026-09-21T08:01:45","modified_gmt":"2026-09-21T08:01:45","slug":"week-ahead-markets-reprice-post-rate-hike-as-usd-gold-and-equities-face-key-tests","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-latam\/featured\/week-ahead-markets-reprice-post-rate-hike-as-usd-gold-and-equities-face-key-tests\/","title":{"rendered":"Semaine \u00e0 venir : les march\u00e9s revoient leurs anticipations apr\u00e8s la hausse des taux, tandis que le dollar, l\u2019or et les actions font face \u00e0 des tests cl\u00e9s"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/hff6qb5z7p3.sg.larksuite.com\/space\/api\/box\/stream\/download\/asynccode\/?code=ZjY5MjgwOWU4MmJlMWRhNmRiMGMzYjc3ZWVmZjY4ZDNfdHcwZmJaNVlDYWVIVFZQcnZWOHNXWm9rb25UbU5IY1NfVG9rZW46SHJySWJDVmN5b3FGelN4dnZYdmxQbTczZ21nXzE3ODk5NjE5OTE6MTc4OTk2NTU5MV9WNA&amp;add_watermark=true&amp;scene_type=CCM\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Vue d\u2019ensemble<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le 16 septembre, la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale (Fed) a relev\u00e9 sa fourchette cible des fed funds de 25 points de base (soit 0,25 point de pourcentage) \u00e0 3,75%\u20134,00%, avec l\u2019accord des 12 membres votants.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les projections de la Fed continuent de signaler un durcissement (hausse des taux et conditions de cr\u00e9dit plus strictes). Le taux m\u00e9dian des fed funds attendu fin 2026 ressort \u00e0 4,1%, et 16 participants sur 18 anticipent un taux de fin d\u2019ann\u00e9e au-dessus du niveau central actuel.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019\u00e9nergie reste un risque majeur pour l\u2019inflation, les menaces sur l\u2019approvisionnement en p\u00e9trole au Moyen-Orient restant au centre de l\u2019attention.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les investisseurs regardent d\u00e9sormais les PMI \u00ab flash \u00bb am\u00e9ricains (enqu\u00eates tr\u00e8s rapides aupr\u00e8s des entreprises), les inscriptions hebdomadaires au ch\u00f4mage, la d\u00e9cision de taux de la BNS (Banque nationale suisse) et les commandes de biens durables (achats de biens cens\u00e9s durer plusieurs ann\u00e9es) pour \u00e9valuer la croissance et la demande de travail.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Septembre modifie la trajectoire des taux<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le 16 septembre, le Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC, le comit\u00e9 de la Fed qui fixe les taux) a relev\u00e9 sa fourchette cible de 25 points de base \u00e0 3,75%\u20134,00%. Le vote 12-0 marque la premi\u00e8re hausse des taux am\u00e9ricains depuis plus de trois ans, dans un contexte de regain de tensions sur les prix et de hausse des co\u00fbts de l\u2019\u00e9nergie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">In a unanimous vote, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by a quarter percentage point on Wednesday. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/74IgTp67tp\">https:\/\/t.co\/74IgTp67tp<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/2100388049330851855?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 17, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le \u00ab Summary of Economic Projections \u00bb (SEP, recueil trimestriel de pr\u00e9visions des responsables de la Fed) de septembre affiche un taux m\u00e9dian des fed funds de 4,1% fin 2026. Sur 18 participants, 16 placent leur projection de fin d\u2019ann\u00e9e \u00e0 4,125% ou 4,375%, ce qui traduit un consensus en faveur d\u2019au moins une hausse suppl\u00e9mentaire par rapport au niveau central actuel de 3,875%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cela sugg\u00e8re une politique mon\u00e9taire prudente (pilotage des taux et des conditions de cr\u00e9dit), avec des hausses possibles en 2026 et un assouplissement potentiel en 2027 (baisse des taux ou conditions plus souples).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Une nouvelle hausse reste possible si l\u2019inflation r\u00e9siste, tandis que la croissance et l\u2019emploi encaissent des conditions financi\u00e8res plus strictes (cr\u00e9dit plus cher, financement moins facile).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">L\u2019\u00e9nergie reste d\u00e9terminante pour la trajectoire de l\u2019inflation<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Oil rises after Houthi attack on Saudi capital <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/hIjD2NI5Fc\">https:\/\/t.co\/hIjD2NI5Fc<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/hIjD2NI5Fc\">https:\/\/t.co\/hIjD2NI5Fc<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Reuters\/status\/2101823841949364525?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 21, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le p\u00e9trole complique toujours l\u2019\u00e9quation. Le conflit au Moyen-Orient maintient les prix du p\u00e9trole brut \u00e0 des niveaux \u00e9lev\u00e9s, en perturbant les routes d\u2019approvisionnement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Des co\u00fbts \u00e9lev\u00e9s de l\u2019\u00e9nergie se r\u00e9percutent sur le transport, la production industrielle et, au final, les prix pay\u00e9s par les m\u00e9nages. Cela entretient des anticipations d\u2019inflation (ce que les agents \u00e9conomiques pensent que les prix feront) m\u00eame lorsque d\u2019autres tensions s\u2019att\u00e9nuent. Le p\u00e9trole brut devient ainsi un indicateur \u00e0 surveiller, au m\u00eame titre que l\u2019inflation PCE (indice des prix des d\u00e9penses de consommation, mesure d\u2019inflation privil\u00e9gi\u00e9e par la Fed) et les donn\u00e9es sur l\u2019emploi, en vue de la prochaine d\u00e9cision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">La Maison-Blanche et la Fed suivent des trajectoires diff\u00e9rentes<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La politique mon\u00e9taire am\u00e9ricaine se heurte aussi \u00e0 un d\u00e9calage d\u2019objectifs entre la Maison-Blanche et la banque centrale.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le pr\u00e9sident Donald Trump continue de plaider pour des taux am\u00e9ricains \u00e0 1% ou moins. \u00c0 l\u2019inverse, la Fed a relev\u00e9 ses taux en septembre, en visant un retour de l\u2019inflation vers son objectif de 2%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The Federal Reserve is expected to lift interest rates on Wednesday for the first time since 2023. That\u2019s likely to strain Chairman Kevin Warsh\u2019s relationship with President Donald Trump. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/68bhnrRoaR\">https:\/\/t.co\/68bhnrRoaR<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/2100039503196958968?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 16, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le contexte \u00e9conomique a probablement pouss\u00e9 Warsh vers une d\u00e9cision \u00e0 rebours des pr\u00e9f\u00e9rences de la Maison-Blanche. L\u2019inflation persistante, une activit\u00e9 robuste et les tensions sur le march\u00e9 obligataire (march\u00e9 des emprunts d\u2019\u00c9tat) restent des sujets majeurs. Avant la r\u00e9union, les march\u00e9s s\u2019\u00e9taient d\u00e9j\u00e0 nettement positionn\u00e9s pour une hausse, et plusieurs analystes avertissaient qu\u2019une inaction pourrait entamer la cr\u00e9dibilit\u00e9 de la Fed sur la stabilit\u00e9 des prix.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Les march\u00e9s int\u00e8grent d\u00e9sormais les effets indirects<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le dollar s\u2019est renforc\u00e9 apr\u00e8s la d\u00e9cision. Lundi, le Dollar Index (DXY, indice qui mesure le dollar face \u00e0 un panier de grandes devises) \u00e9voluait autour de 100,23. Les rendements des bons du Tr\u00e9sor \u00e0 deux ans ont aussi grimp\u00e9 \u00e0 4,76%, les investisseurs ajustant leurs attentes \u00e0 une politique plus restrictive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les variations des rendements du Tr\u00e9sor se transmettent vite aux devises et aux m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux. Le lien entre rendements obligataires et or reste donc central apr\u00e8s la Fed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019or a d\u2019abord recul\u00e9 apr\u00e8s la hausse des taux, puis s\u2019est repris avec le repli du p\u00e9trole et du dollar. L\u2019or au comptant (prix pour une livraison imm\u00e9diate) a atteint 4 390,11 dollars vendredi et a sign\u00e9 sa premi\u00e8re hausse hebdomadaire en quatre semaines.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Gold was steady as traders weighed the risk of persistent inflation and the path for interest rates after the Federal Reserve\u2019s first hike since 2023 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/X97gb53KIE\">https:\/\/t.co\/X97gb53KIE<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/2101823762790297940?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 21, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les actions am\u00e9ricaines ont \u00e9volu\u00e9 de fa\u00e7on contrast\u00e9e. Le S&amp;P 500 (indice des 500 plus grandes capitalisations am\u00e9ricaines) a cl\u00f4tur\u00e9 vendredi \u00e0 7 650,50, en baisse de 0,1% sur la semaine. Le Nasdaq (indice \u00e0 forte composante technologique) a gagn\u00e9 0,7%, tandis que le Dow Jones (indice de 30 grandes valeurs) a recul\u00e9 de 1,7%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Les indicateurs de croissance reviennent au premier plan<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La prochaine grande publication d\u2019inflation aux \u00c9tats-Unis est attendue le 30 septembre, lorsque le Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA, l\u2019organisme statistique) publiera les revenus et d\u00e9penses des m\u00e9nages d\u2019ao\u00fbt, incluant les indices de prix PCE. Ce rapport est cl\u00e9 car il mesure l\u2019\u00e9volution des prix des biens et services achet\u00e9s par les consommateurs, et c\u2019est l\u2019indicateur d\u2019inflation privil\u00e9gi\u00e9 par la Fed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Fed&#39;s Kashkari says inflation is still too high in &#39;all aspects&#39; of US economy, in Fox News interview <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/IR9V83QxQ6\">https:\/\/t.co\/IR9V83QxQ6<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/IR9V83QxQ6\">https:\/\/t.co\/IR9V83QxQ6<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Reuters\/status\/2101755803057201254?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 20, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le PMI \u00ab flash \u00bb manufacturier (enqu\u00eate pr\u00e9liminaire sur l\u2019activit\u00e9 dans l\u2019industrie) est attendu \u00e0 53,4, contre 53,9, et le PMI \u00ab flash \u00bb des services \u00e0 56,0, apr\u00e8s 56,5. Les nouvelles inscriptions au ch\u00f4mage (premi\u00e8res demandes d\u2019allocations) sont pr\u00e9vues \u00e0 201 000, apr\u00e8s 196 000 la semaine pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente. Un niveau proche de 200 000 resterait coh\u00e9rent avec un march\u00e9 du travail solide selon la Fed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Symboles cl\u00e9s \u00e0 surveiller<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USDX | EURUSD | GBPUSD | USDJPY | GOLD<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u00c9v\u00e9nements \u00e0 venir<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Date<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Devise<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>\u00c9v\u00e9nement<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Pr\u00e9vision<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Commentaire analyste<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>23 Sep 2026<\/td><td>USD<\/td><td>PMI manufacturier \u00ab flash \u00bb<\/td><td>53.4<\/td><td>53.9<\/td><td>Au-dessus de 50, l\u2019industrie reste en expansion (activit\u00e9 en hausse). Une surprise positive pourrait soutenir les rendements am\u00e9ricains et le dollar.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>23 Sep 2026<\/td><td>USD<\/td><td>PMI des services \u00ab flash \u00bb<\/td><td>56<\/td><td>56.5<\/td><td>Les services restent le moteur de l\u2019\u00e9conomie am\u00e9ricaine. Une activit\u00e9 stable pourrait conforter l\u2019id\u00e9e d\u2019une Fed plus restrictive.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>24 Sep 2026<\/td><td>CHF<\/td><td>Taux directeur de la BNS<\/td><td>0.00%<\/td><td>0.00%<\/td><td>Un statu quo est largement attendu. Les indications sur l\u2019inflation et le franc suisse pourraient accro\u00eetre la volatilit\u00e9 du CHF (mouvements rapides).<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>24 Sep 2026<\/td><td>USD<\/td><td>Inscriptions au ch\u00f4mage<\/td><td>201K<\/td><td>196K<\/td><td>Un nouveau chiffre solide renforcerait l\u2019id\u00e9e que le march\u00e9 du travail peut supporter des taux plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>25 Sep 2026<\/td><td>USD<\/td><td>Commandes de biens durables m\/m (variation mensuelle)<\/td><td>-0.30%<\/td><td>1.10%<\/td><td>Un chiffre plus robuste pourrait soutenir les attentes de croissance et les rendements des bons du Tr\u00e9sor.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Pour une vue d\u2019ensemble des prochains rendez-vous macro\u00e9conomiques, consultez le <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/economic-calendar\/?utmsource=WMO\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">calendrier \u00e9conomique<\/a> de VT Markets.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mouvements cl\u00e9s de la semaine<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">USDX<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/hff6qb5z7p3.sg.larksuite.com\/space\/api\/box\/stream\/download\/asynccode\/?code=OWZjMjAyMmU4MjQwNjJkM2I3ODQwNjc2YjQyOGJiZGVfM2VuSDFwTG1Wb3Z4eVVxaFJQYUMzSmN1aWpYY0pEamFfVG9rZW46UGI1eGJrSFNVbzREN0l4aVBjSmxSTmNUZ3hkXzE3ODk5NjIwMzg6MTc4OTk2NTYzOF9WNA&amp;add_watermark=true&amp;scene_type=CCM\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>L\u2019USDX a test\u00e9 la zone des 100,00 pour la deuxi\u00e8me fois, puis a recul\u00e9. Il faut encore des confirmations.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>En cas de baisse, surveiller 99,40.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Si l\u2019indice se stabilise vers 100,00 puis repart \u00e0 la hausse, surveiller des signaux de baisse au-dessus de 100,31 ou autour de 100,80.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">EURUSD<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/hff6qb5z7p3.sg.larksuite.com\/space\/api\/box\/stream\/download\/asynccode\/?code=ZmRlMmI5MTkwOTRkNWQ0NTNlNzgzNjJkOGRkZTU3OWVfOVR2WEF2ckJRRlkyeEpzRVQ5Y3gwNVFMcFcxT2kwWE1fVG9rZW46S1JsdWJPd1Znb0VzcFN4alJaRmxnMFVJZ1ZiXzE3ODk5NjIwNTA6MTc4OTk2NTY1MF9WNA&amp;add_watermark=true&amp;scene_type=CCM\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>EURUSD \u00e9volue toujours autour de la zone surveill\u00e9e \u00e0 1,1490.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>En cas de hausse depuis la zone actuelle, surveiller 1,1530. Une stabilisation \u00e0 ce niveau pourrait ouvrir la voie \u00e0 une progression.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>En cas de baisse, guetter des signaux de reprise vers 1,1390.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">GBPUSD<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/hff6qb5z7p3.sg.larksuite.com\/space\/api\/box\/stream\/download\/asynccode\/?code=OGM1NTg2MDdjYTVmZTk3MjZjMWY1Mjg1NDA3MWY4YjhfWWpEalBuT1dsQnVFS2k5eWhCYnpDV3ljMWNRSjhSNGpfVG9rZW46SGpzSGJYQ1lKb2tLazJ4UUhpRGx1bjhmZ2lnXzE3ODk5NjIwNTA6MTc4OTk2NTY1MF9WNA&amp;add_watermark=true&amp;scene_type=CCM\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>GBPUSD est remont\u00e9 depuis la zone surveill\u00e9e \u00e0 1,3350, mais il faut encore des confirmations.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>En cas de repli, surveiller des signaux de reprise vers 1,3290.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">USDJPY<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-14-1024x546.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-68767\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Un mouvement baissier plus marqu\u00e9 \u00e9tait n\u00e9cessaire pour passer sous 156,00.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Si USDJPY baisse, surveiller des signaux de rebond vers 155,85.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>En cas de hausse, surveiller des signaux de baisse vers 158,75.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">GOLD<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/hff6qb5z7p3.sg.larksuite.com\/space\/api\/box\/stream\/download\/asynccode\/?code=YzU3MTVkNmM4ZjQ0ZTQ1ZmEyYTUzNTM1NzVlNzYyNzdfNnVRV0NNTGZxQmtrSDBRc3BDQjRjYlBsT2Q3UUhXTVVfVG9rZW46RVFwbGI3OEhZb0l5MkR4bWxKWmxWbmJ0Z1BoXzE3ODk5NjIwNjk6MTc4OTk2NTY2OV9WNA&amp;add_watermark=true&amp;scene_type=CCM\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Si l\u2019or poursuit sa hausse, surveiller la r\u00e9action du prix en cas de franchissement de 4403, 4434 ou 4510.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>En cas de d\u00e9passement de 4510, surveiller des signaux de baisse vers 4600.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusion<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La Fed a fait basculer le d\u00e9bat: il ne s\u2019agit plus de savoir si un nouveau durcissement est de retour, mais jusqu\u2019o\u00f9 ce cycle peut aller. La fourchette 3,75%\u20134,00%, une projection m\u00e9diane \u00e0 4,1% fin 2026 et des tensions persistantes sur l\u2019\u00e9nergie soutiennent le dollar et les rendements du Tr\u00e9sor via des anticipations de politique plus restrictive. Dans le m\u00eame temps, l\u2019or et les actions montrent que la r\u00e9action du march\u00e9 n\u2019est pas univoque. Les PMI \u00ab flash \u00bb, les inscriptions au ch\u00f4mage, la d\u00e9cision de la BNS et les commandes de biens durables aideront \u00e0 juger si la croissance reste assez solide pour permettre une nouvelle hausse des taux.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>FAQ<\/strong><\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale a-t-elle relev\u00e9 ses taux en septembre 2026 ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La Fed a relev\u00e9 la fourchette cible des fed funds de 25 points de base \u00e0 3,75%\u20134,00% car l\u2019inflation restait au-dessus de l\u2019objectif et l\u2019activit\u00e9 tenait. Les responsables ont aussi laiss\u00e9 entendre qu\u2019un nouveau durcissement serait possible si les tensions sur les prix persistent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">La Fed pourrait-elle relever \u00e0 nouveau ses taux en 2026 ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Oui. Les projections de septembre indiquent qu\u2019une hausse suppl\u00e9mentaire reste possible d\u2019ici la fin de l\u2019ann\u00e9e. Les prochaines donn\u00e9es sur l\u2019inflation, l\u2019emploi et la croissance seront d\u00e9terminantes pour la d\u00e9cision suivante.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Comment des taux plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s peuvent-ils influencer le dollar ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Des taux am\u00e9ricains plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s peuvent soutenir le dollar, car ils augmentent l\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat des placements libell\u00e9s en dollars (actifs financiers dont le rendement est en dollars).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quels sont les principaux risques pour les actions am\u00e9ricaines ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Des rendements du Tr\u00e9sor plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s p\u00e8sent sur les secteurs sensibles aux taux (valeurs dont la valorisation d\u00e9pend fortement du co\u00fbt du cr\u00e9dit), tandis que des donn\u00e9es de croissance solides peuvent renforcer les anticipations d\u2019un durcissement suppl\u00e9mentaire de la Fed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quels \u00e9v\u00e9nements \u00e9conomiques faut-il surveiller cette semaine ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les principaux rendez-vous sont les PMI \u00ab flash \u00bb (industrie et services), les inscriptions au ch\u00f4mage, la d\u00e9cision de la BNS et les commandes de biens durables. Ces publications peuvent influencer les anticipations de croissance, d\u2019inflation et de politique des banques centrales.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Commencez \u00e0 trader d\u00e8s maintenant \u2014 cliquez <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-latam\/trade-now\/\">ici<\/a> pour cr\u00e9er votre compte r\u00e9el VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Coup de tonnerre mon\u00e9taire : la Fed remonte ses taux \u00e0 3,75%-4,00% et pr\u00e9pare un durcissement. P\u00e9trole sous tension, dollar et rendements grimpent. March\u00e9s suspendus aux PMI, ch\u00f4mage, BNS.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":68655,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,15],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68656","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured","category-week_ahead"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Coup de tonnerre mon\u00e9taire : la Fed remonte ses taux \u00e0 3,75%-4,00% et pr\u00e9pare un durcissement. P\u00e9trole sous tension, dollar et rendements grimpent. 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