{"id":69685,"date":"2026-10-14T05:59:43","date_gmt":"2026-10-14T05:59:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-eu\/uncategorized\/us-dollar-trades-near-102-ahead-of-key-cpi-release\/"},"modified":"2026-10-14T05:59:43","modified_gmt":"2026-10-14T05:59:43","slug":"us-dollar-trades-near-102-ahead-of-key-cpi-release","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-eu\/analysis\/us-dollar-trades-near-102-ahead-of-key-cpi-release\/","title":{"rendered":"Le dollar am\u00e9ricain \u00e9volue autour de 102 avant la publication de l\u2019indice CPI, tr\u00e8s attendu."},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6acf0695bdc42.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Points cl\u00e9s<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>L\u2019indice du dollar am\u00e9ricain (DXY) \u00e9volue autour de 102 le 14 octobre, apr\u00e8s avoir recul\u00e9 depuis un plus haut de 18 mois \u00e0 102,37 atteint lundi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le dollar a c\u00e9d\u00e9 environ 0,37 % mardi, p\u00e9nalis\u00e9 par la baisse des prix du p\u00e9trole et par l\u2019ajustement des anticipations sur la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale (Fed).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019inflation am\u00e9ricaine \u00ab globale \u00bb mesur\u00e9e par le CPI (indice des prix \u00e0 la consommation) est attendue \u00e0 3,6 % sur un an en septembre, contre 3,4 % pr\u00e9c\u00e9demment.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les rendements des obligations d\u2019\u00c9tat am\u00e9ricaines (Treasuries) restent \u00e9lev\u00e9s et soutiennent le dollar.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Un CPI plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 que pr\u00e9vu pourrait faire monter \u00e0 la fois le dollar et les rendements ; un chiffre plus faible pourrait relancer les ventes.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019or, l\u2019EURUSD (euro\/dollar) et l\u2019USDJPY (dollar\/yen) pourraient davantage bouger, les op\u00e9rateurs ajustant leurs positions apr\u00e8s la publication.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Prochain d\u00e9clencheur : le CPI am\u00e9ricain (14 octobre), puis le PPI am\u00e9ricain le 15 octobre.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mouvement de march\u00e9<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La hausse du dollar jusqu\u2019\u00e0 un <strong>plus haut de 18 mois \u00e0 102,37<\/strong> lundi s\u2019est interrompue mardi. Le DXY a recul\u00e9 d\u2019environ <strong>0,37 %<\/strong> : la baisse du p\u00e9trole a r\u00e9duit une partie des craintes d\u2019inflation et le march\u00e9 a revu ses anticipations sur la Fed (banque centrale des \u00c9tats-Unis).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Lors de la derni\u00e8re s\u00e9ance, l\u2019indice consolide dans une fourchette \u00e9troite juste sous 102. La s\u00e9ance a \u00e9t\u00e9 agit\u00e9e : repli vers <strong>101,86<\/strong> puis rebond vers 101,90, signe que des acheteurs d\u00e9fendent les replis avant une publication majeure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi le march\u00e9 surveille<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019attention se tourne vers le CPI de septembre. L\u2019inflation \u00ab globale \u00bb (tous postes confondus) est attendue en hausse \u00e0 <strong>3,6 % sur un an<\/strong>, contre 3,4 %, ce qui indiquerait que les tensions sur les prix persistent. Ce rapport est d\u00e9terminant, car l\u2019inflation est le principal facteur qui influence les attentes de politique mon\u00e9taire de la Fed (niveau des taux directeurs).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les rendements des Treasuries (taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat des obligations d\u2019\u00c9tat am\u00e9ricaines) constituent un pilier de la force du dollar : un changement d\u2019anticipations d\u2019inflation peut donc faire bouger rapidement le sentiment de march\u00e9. Le PPI du 15 octobre (indice des prix \u00e0 la production, qui mesure l\u2019\u00e9volution des prix \u00ab \u00e0 la sortie d\u2019usine \u00bb) apportera un second signal sur l\u2019inflation et pourrait prolonger la volatilit\u00e9 jusqu\u2019\u00e0 jeudi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Niveaux techniques cl\u00e9s<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/PEPPERSTONE-USDX\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">USDX chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"PEPPERSTONE:USDX\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Niveau<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Type<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Importance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>102,37<\/td><td>R\u00e9sistance<\/td><td>Plus haut de 18 mois atteint lundi<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>102<\/td><td>Pivot \/ psychologique<\/td><td>Niveau \u00ab rond \u00bb cl\u00e9 ; le repasser favorise les acheteurs<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>101,99<\/td><td>R\u00e9sistance intrajournali\u00e8re<\/td><td>Plus haut de s\u00e9ance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>101,86<\/td><td>Support intrajournali\u00e8re<\/td><td>Plus bas de s\u00e9ance<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le niveau le plus important au-dessus est <strong>102,37<\/strong>, le plus haut de 18 mois atteint lundi. Le march\u00e9 n\u2019a pas r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 d\u00e9passer ce plafond avant le repli : un retour vers cette zone pourrait attirer des ventes, tandis qu\u2019une cl\u00f4ture nette au-dessus signalerait un regain de force. Juste en dessous se trouve <strong>102,00<\/strong>, niveau pivot. Avec un DXY autour de <strong>101,9<\/strong>, repasser et conserver 102,00 montrerait que les acheteurs reprennent la main ; des rejets r\u00e9p\u00e9t\u00e9s \u00e0 ce niveau laisseraient le dollar expos\u00e9 \u00e0 un nouveau repli.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>101,99<\/strong> correspond au plus haut de s\u00e9ance et \u00e0 la premi\u00e8re r\u00e9sistance. En bas de la zone, <strong>101,86<\/strong> est le plus bas de s\u00e9ance et le support le plus proche. En cas de rupture, le repli pourrait s\u2019accentuer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Sc\u00e9narios haussier et baissier<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6acf0697307af.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Sc\u00e9nario<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D\u00e9clencheur<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confirmation<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Haussier<\/td><td>Un CPI \u00e0 3,6 % sur un an ou plus, qui fait monter les rendements des Treasuries et renforce l\u2019id\u00e9e d\u2019une Fed \u00ab hawkish \u00bb (plus stricte, donc plus encline \u00e0 maintenir des taux \u00e9lev\u00e9s)<\/td><td>Le DXY repasse au-dessus de 102,00 et s\u2019y maintient, avec une pouss\u00e9e vers 102,37 ; une cl\u00f4ture au-dessus de 102,37 ouvrirait la voie \u00e0 de nouveaux plus hauts sur plusieurs mois<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Baissier<\/td><td>Un CPI sous 3,6 % sur un an, qui d\u00e9tend les rendements et r\u00e9duit les paris sur une Fed stricte<\/td><td>Le DXY passe sous 101,86 (plus bas de s\u00e9ance) et s\u2019y maintient ; cible : repli plus marqu\u00e9 ; l\u2019or et l\u2019EURUSD pourraient se renforcer<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dans un sc\u00e9nario haussier, l\u2019indice doit repasser <strong>102,00<\/strong> et viser un test de <strong>102,37<\/strong>. Une cl\u00f4ture au-dessus de 102,37 ouvrirait la voie \u00e0 de nouveaux plus hauts sur plusieurs mois.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dans un sc\u00e9nario baissier, le DXY passerait sous le <strong>plus bas de s\u00e9ance \u00e0 101,86<\/strong>, avec un objectif de repli plus marqu\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Avertissement<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Les niveaux de prix et sc\u00e9narios d\u00e9crits refl\u00e8tent l\u2019analyse de l\u2019auteur au moment de la r\u00e9daction. Ils ne constituent pas un conseil en investissement ni une recommandation officielle de VT Markets. \u00c0 chacun de faire sa propre analyse et de g\u00e9rer son risque.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pr\u00e9vision DXY : quels moteurs ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c0 court terme, le principal moteur est l\u2019inflation am\u00e9ricaine. Un CPI de septembre \u00e0 3,6 % sur un an ou plus renforcerait l\u2019id\u00e9e d\u2019une Fed plus stricte, ce qui pousserait les rendements des Treasuries \u00e0 la hausse et soutiendrait le dollar. Le DXY r\u00e9agit souvent \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9cart de rendements (\u00ab diff\u00e9rentiel de taux \u00bb) : quand les rendements am\u00e9ricains montent plus que ceux des autres grandes \u00e9conomies, l\u2019indice a tendance \u00e0 progresser. Le PPI apportera une seconde lecture de l\u2019inflation ; un chiffre \u00e9lev\u00e9 pourrait prolonger le mouvement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c0 l\u2019inverse, un CPI plus faible r\u00e9duirait les attentes de hausse de taux, ferait baisser les rendements et relancerait les ventes de dollars. La baisse du p\u00e9trole peut aussi peser sur le dollar : une \u00e9nergie moins ch\u00e8re r\u00e9duit la pression inflationniste et donne moins de raisons \u00e0 la Fed de rester agressive. Un changement de ton dans les d\u00e9clarations de la Fed peut produire le m\u00eame effet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le dollar r\u00e9agit aussi aux monnaies incluses dans l\u2019indice. L\u2019euro ayant le poids le plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 dans le panier, une am\u00e9lioration des perspectives en zone euro ou une Banque centrale europ\u00e9enne (BCE) plus stricte peut faire baisser le DXY, tandis qu\u2019un euro ou un yen plus faibles ont tendance \u00e0 le soutenir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trader le DXY avec VT Markets<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Avec VT Markets, les traders peuvent acc\u00e9der \u00e0 des CFD (contrats sur la diff\u00e9rence : produits d\u00e9riv\u00e9s permettant de sp\u00e9culer sur la hausse ou la baisse d\u2019un actif sans le d\u00e9tenir) sur devises, ainsi qu\u2019aux principales paires de change, \u00e0 l\u2019or, au p\u00e9trole, aux indices, aux actions, aux ETF (fonds cot\u00e9s) et \u00e0 d\u2019autres march\u00e9s mondiaux via une seule plateforme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cela permet de suivre les mouvements du dollar tout en comparant l\u2019\u00e9volution de l\u2019USDJPY, de l\u2019EURUSD, du XAUUSD (or contre dollar) et des march\u00e9s de l\u2019\u00e9nergie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Utilisez les outils graphiques de VT Markets pour surveiller les supports, les r\u00e9sistances, les moyennes mobiles (moyenne des prix sur une p\u00e9riode, utilis\u00e9e pour rep\u00e9rer une tendance) et les ruptures (\u00ab breakouts \u00bb, sorties nettes d\u2019une zone de prix) \u00e0 mesure que le prochain sc\u00e9nario sur l\u2019USDX se met en place.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>FAQ<\/strong><\/summary>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Qu\u2019est-ce que l\u2019indice du dollar am\u00e9ricain (DXY) ?<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le DXY mesure la valeur du dollar face \u00e0 un panier de grandes devises, dont l\u2019euro, le yen et la livre sterling.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Pourquoi le CPI fait-il bouger le dollar ?<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le CPI indique \u00e0 quelle vitesse les prix augmentent. Une inflation plus \u00e9lev\u00e9e accro\u00eet la probabilit\u00e9 d\u2019une politique mon\u00e9taire plus stricte de la Fed (taux plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s), ce qui fait monter les rendements et tend \u00e0 soutenir le dollar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Que devient l\u2019or si le CPI est \u00e9lev\u00e9 ?<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019or est souvent sous pression quand le dollar et les rendements montent, et a tendance \u00e0 progresser lorsqu\u2019ils reculent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Quelles paires sont les plus sensibles ?<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019EURUSD et l\u2019USDJPY r\u00e9agissent le plus directement, tout comme l\u2019or, car ces march\u00e9s sont sensibles au dollar et aux rendements.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Commencez \u00e0 trader d\u00e8s maintenant \u2014 cliquez <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-eu\/trade-now\/\">ici<\/a> pour cr\u00e9er votre compte r\u00e9el VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Suspense sur le dollar : le DXY consolide sous 102 apr\u00e8s un pic \u00e0 18 mois. Tout se joue sur le CPI am\u00e9ricain (3,6% attendu) et les rendements, avant le PPI.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69684,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69685","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Suspense sur le dollar : le DXY consolide sous 102 apr\u00e8s un pic \u00e0 18 mois. 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