{"id":69401,"date":"2026-10-08T06:00:18","date_gmt":"2026-10-08T06:00:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-eu\/uncategorized\/nikkei-225-extends-losing-streak-as-oil-prices-and-rate-concerns-weigh-on-japanese-stocks\/"},"modified":"2026-10-08T06:00:18","modified_gmt":"2026-10-08T06:00:18","slug":"nikkei-225-extends-losing-streak-as-oil-prices-and-rate-concerns-weigh-on-japanese-stocks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-eu\/analysis\/nikkei-225-extends-losing-streak-as-oil-prices-and-rate-concerns-weigh-on-japanese-stocks\/","title":{"rendered":"Le Nikkei 225 prolonge sa s\u00e9rie de replis, les cours du p\u00e9trole et les craintes sur les taux pesant sur les actions japonaises"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ac714dbae53b.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Points cl\u00e9s<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le Nikkei 225 \u00e9volue pr\u00e8s de <strong>69 520<\/strong>, en baisse de 0,23 %, l\u2019indice peinant \u00e0 reprendre de l\u2019\u00e9lan sous 70 000.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La hausse du p\u00e9trole et le risque de retour de l\u2019inflation p\u00e8sent sur le moral du march\u00e9 : la d\u00e9pendance du Japon aux importations d\u2019\u00e9nergie du Moyen-Orient alimente les craintes sur les b\u00e9n\u00e9fices des entreprises.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le manque de visibilit\u00e9 sur l\u2019\u00e9volution des taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat de la Banque du Japon (BoJ) ajoute de la pression sur l\u2019indice.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les rendements \u00e9lev\u00e9s des obligations d\u2019\u00c9tat am\u00e9ricaines (US Treasuries, c\u2019est-\u00e0-dire les taux servis par la dette publique des \u00c9tats-Unis) et l\u2019anticipation d\u2019une politique mon\u00e9taire plus stricte de la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale (Fed) ont r\u00e9duit l\u2019app\u00e9tit mondial pour le risque.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le <strong>support \u00e0 69 500<\/strong> (zone de prix o\u00f9 les achats ont souvent frein\u00e9 la baisse) est surveill\u00e9 ; un retour <strong>au-dessus de 69 600<\/strong> am\u00e9liorerait le tableau technique \u00e0 court terme.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mouvement de march\u00e9<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le Nikkei 225 subit de nouvelles ventes, les investisseurs r\u00e9\u00e9valuant les perspectives \u00e9conomiques du Japon dans un contexte de hausse des co\u00fbts de l\u2019\u00e9nergie, de conditions mon\u00e9taires plus restrictives (politique de taux et de liquidit\u00e9 moins favorable) et d\u2019incertitude g\u00e9opolitique. L\u2019indice \u00e9volue autour de <strong>69 520,97<\/strong>, en baisse de 157 points, soit -0,23 %. Le Nikkei a inscrit un plus haut de s\u00e9ance \u00e0 70 011,97 et un plus bas \u00e0 69 236,97. L\u2019indice s\u2019est d\u2019abord repris depuis la zone des 69 370, progressant vers 69 600, avant de s\u2019essouffler et d\u2019\u00e9chouer \u00e0 franchir durablement ce seuil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les derniers mouvements de prix montrent l\u2019indice <strong>juste au-dessus de 69 500<\/strong>, un niveau de support imm\u00e9diat cl\u00e9. Une cassure en dessous pourrait ouvrir la voie vers la <strong>zone 69 450\u201369 400<\/strong>, tandis qu\u2019un redressement vers <strong>69 600<\/strong> signalerait une am\u00e9lioration du sentiment \u00e0 court terme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi les op\u00e9rateurs surveillent<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le repli s\u2019explique par des prises de b\u00e9n\u00e9fices (ventes apr\u00e8s une hausse afin de s\u00e9curiser des gains) sur les valeurs technologiques et les titres li\u00e9s aux semi-conducteurs (composants \u00e9lectroniques essentiels pour l\u2019informatique et l\u2019industrie). Advantest, Tokyo Electron et Kioxia figurent parmi les valeurs touch\u00e9es mercredi, les investisseurs ayant r\u00e9duit leur exposition apr\u00e8s un rallye.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La hausse du p\u00e9trole reste un sujet majeur. Le Brent (r\u00e9f\u00e9rence mondiale du p\u00e9trole) s\u2019est maintenu <strong>au-dessus de 100 dollars<\/strong> le baril, sur fond de perturbations de l\u2019offre au Moyen-Orient. Le Japon importe environ 94 % de son p\u00e9trole brut depuis le Moyen-Orient, ce qui rend les entreprises locales sensibles aux variations des prix de l\u2019\u00e9nergie. Des co\u00fbts plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s peuvent r\u00e9duire les marges (\u00e9cart entre revenus et co\u00fbts), surtout pour les industriels, les compagnies a\u00e9riennes et les transporteurs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Japanese stocks fell for a second day, tracking a Wall Street selloff as persistently high oil prices revived inflation concerns and weighed on equities near record highs <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/bb8p32PWhX\">https:\/\/t.co\/bb8p32PWhX<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/2108022120902959431?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 8, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le manque de visibilit\u00e9 sur la trajectoire des taux de la Banque du Japon ajoute de la pression. L\u2019inflation sous-jacente des prix \u00e0 la consommation \u00e0 Tokyo (indice qui cherche \u00e0 mesurer la tendance en retirant les \u00e9l\u00e9ments les plus volatils) a acc\u00e9l\u00e9r\u00e9 \u00e0 2,7 % en septembre, renfor\u00e7ant l\u2019id\u00e9e que la BoJ pourrait relever ses taux. Des co\u00fbts d\u2019emprunt plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s peuvent freiner l\u2019investissement des entreprises et exercer une pression sur les valorisations boursi\u00e8res (prix des actions par rapport aux profits attendus). Parall\u00e8lement, les rendements \u00e9lev\u00e9s des US Treasuries et l\u2019attente d\u2019une Fed plus stricte ont affaibli l\u2019app\u00e9tit mondial pour le risque.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Niveaux techniques cl\u00e9s<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/VANTAGE-NIKKEI225\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">NIKKEI225 chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"VANTAGE:NIKKEI225\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Niveau<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Zone<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Signification technique<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>69 600<\/td><td>R\u00e9sistance imm\u00e9diate<\/td><td>Zone de sommets r\u00e9p\u00e9t\u00e9s en s\u00e9ance et de tentatives haussi\u00e8res avort\u00e9es<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>69 550<\/td><td>R\u00e9sistance \u00e0 court terme<\/td><td>Zone de rebond r\u00e9cente o\u00f9 la dynamique haussi\u00e8re s\u2019est affaiblie<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>69 500<\/td><td>Support imm\u00e9diat<\/td><td>Niveau psychologique et zone r\u00e9cente de stabilisation des prix<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>69 450<\/td><td>Support secondaire<\/td><td>Zone de r\u00e9actions pr\u00e9c\u00e9dentes des prix en s\u00e9ance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>69 400<\/td><td>Support inf\u00e9rieur<\/td><td>Ancienne zone de reprise et niveau \u00ab rond \u00bb important<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le Nikkei 225 oscille autour de <strong>69 520<\/strong>, entre le support \u00e0 69 500 et une r\u00e9sistance vers 69 550. La moyenne mobile \u00e0 9 p\u00e9riodes (moyenne des cours des 9 derni\u00e8res s\u00e9ances, utilis\u00e9e pour lire la tendance) s\u2019est aplatie apr\u00e8s la hausse pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente, signe que l\u2019\u00e9lan haussier faiblit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Un passage durable <strong>au-dessus de 69 550<\/strong> pourrait relancer un test de <strong>69 600<\/strong>. \u00c0 l\u2019inverse, si 69 500 c\u00e8de, l\u2019indice pourrait reculer vers 69 450 puis 69 400.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Sc\u00e9narios haussiers et baissiers<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ac714dd49d50.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Sc\u00e9nario<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D\u00e9clencheur<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Mouvement potentiel<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Cassure haussi\u00e8re<\/td><td>Franchir et se maintenir au-dessus de 69 550<\/td><td>Pourrait favoriser un mouvement vers 69 600 si la pression acheteuse augmente<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rebond haussier<\/td><td>Rebond depuis 69 500<\/td><td>Les acheteurs pourraient tenter de reprendre 69 550 tout en d\u00e9fendant le support<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Cassure baissi\u00e8re<\/td><td>Mouvement durable sous 69 500<\/td><td>Pourrait exposer 69 450 puis 69 400<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Ventes prolong\u00e9es<\/td><td>Passage sous 69 400<\/td><td>Pourrait accentuer la pression vers le point bas visible pr\u00e8s de 69 370<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Un sc\u00e9nario haussier suppose que les acheteurs d\u00e9fendent 69 500 et propulsent l\u2019indice au-dessus de la r\u00e9sistance proche. Des volumes d\u2019achat plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s (quantit\u00e9 de titres \u00e9chang\u00e9s, utile pour valider un mouvement) renforceraient ce signal. \u00c0 l\u2019inverse, une cassure sous 69 500, surtout avec des ventes en hausse, indiquerait un retour en force des vendeurs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Avertissement<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Les niveaux de prix et sc\u00e9narios ci-dessus refl\u00e8tent l\u2019analyse de l\u2019auteur au moment de la r\u00e9daction. Ils ne constituent pas un conseil en investissement ni une recommandation officielle de VT Markets. Il est important de faire sa propre analyse et de g\u00e9rer le risque (taille de position, niveaux de perte maximale, discipline) avec rigueur.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Nikkei 225 : principaux facteurs ?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le Nikkei 225 pourrait subir une pression baissi\u00e8re suppl\u00e9mentaire si les tensions au Moyen-Orient s\u2019aggravent et si le p\u00e9trole continue de monter. Une \u00e9nergie plus ch\u00e8re augmente les co\u00fbts d\u2019exploitation des entreprises japonaises et peut d\u00e9t\u00e9riorer les anticipations de b\u00e9n\u00e9fices. De nouvelles hausses de taux de la Banque du Japon p\u00e8seraient aussi sur le sentiment : une inflation persistante, combin\u00e9e \u00e0 un cr\u00e9dit plus cher, peut freiner l\u2019investissement et peser sur les actions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c0 l\u2019inverse, l\u2019indice pourrait se reprendre si le p\u00e9trole se replie ou si l\u2019inflation se stabilise. Une normalisation plus progressive de la politique mon\u00e9taire de la BoJ pourrait soutenir la confiance. Un regain d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat pour les valeurs technologiques et les semi-conducteurs pourrait \u00e9galement aider. De bons r\u00e9sultats d\u2019entreprises, ou une remont\u00e9e plus large des march\u00e9s actions mondiaux, pourraient ramener les investisseurs vers les actions japonaises.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trader le Nikkei 225 avec VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les investisseurs souhaitant suivre les mouvements du march\u00e9 actions japonais peuvent acc\u00e9der \u00e0 des CFD (contrats sur diff\u00e9rence : produits permettant de parier sur la hausse ou la baisse sans d\u00e9tenir l\u2019actif) sur l\u2019indice Nikkei 225 via VT Markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Trader des <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cfd-shares\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">CFD<\/a> sur indices permet de se positionner \u00e0 la hausse comme \u00e0 la baisse, sans poss\u00e9der les actions sous-jacentes. Via les plateformes VT Markets, il est possible de suivre le march\u00e9, d\u2019utiliser des indicateurs techniques (outils de lecture des cours bas\u00e9s sur les prix\/volumes) et de g\u00e9rer les positions avec des outils de contr\u00f4le du risque.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary>FAQ<\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi le Nikkei 225 baisse-t-il ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le Nikkei 225 est p\u00e9nalis\u00e9 par la hausse du p\u00e9trole, les inqui\u00e9tudes sur les taux au Japon et aux \u00c9tats-Unis, et des prises de b\u00e9n\u00e9fices sur de grandes valeurs technologiques et de semi-conducteurs. L\u2019incertitude g\u00e9opolitique a aussi d\u00e9grad\u00e9 le moral des investisseurs au niveau mondial.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Le Nikkei 225 peut-il repasser au-dessus de 70 000 ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Un retour au-dessus de 70 000 reste possible si le p\u00e9trole se stabilise, si les craintes sur les taux s\u2019att\u00e9nuent et si la demande pour les actions japonaises se renforce. L\u2019indice doit d\u2019abord franchir des r\u00e9sistances plus proches, notamment 69 550 et 69 600.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Comment le p\u00e9trole influence-t-il le Nikkei 225 ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le Japon d\u00e9pend fortement des importations d\u2019\u00e9nergie. Un p\u00e9trole plus cher augmente les co\u00fbts de production et de transport, r\u00e9duit les marges des entreprises et peut alimenter l\u2019inflation. Ces facteurs p\u00e8sent sur les actions japonaises, m\u00eame si certaines entreprises li\u00e9es \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9nergie peuvent en profiter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quel est l\u2019impact de la Banque du Japon sur le Nikkei 225 ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La Banque du Japon influence la Bourse via ses d\u00e9cisions de taux et ses indications sur sa politique mon\u00e9taire (message sur la direction future des taux). Des taux plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s augmentent les co\u00fbts de financement et peuvent peser sur la valorisation des actions, tandis qu\u2019une politique moins restrictive peut soutenir les cours.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Faut-il trader le Nikkei 225 maintenant ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cela d\u00e9pend de votre strat\u00e9gie, de votre tol\u00e9rance au risque et de votre horizon de trading. Beaucoup d\u2019op\u00e9rateurs pr\u00e9f\u00e8rent attendre une cassure confirm\u00e9e \u00e0 la hausse ou \u00e0 la baisse, plut\u00f4t que de se fonder sur un seul mouvement de court terme.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Commencez \u00e0 trader d\u00e8s maintenant \u2014 cliquez <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-eu\/trade-now\/\">ici<\/a> pour cr\u00e9er votre compte r\u00e9el VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sous 70 000, le Nikkei cale \u00e0 69 520: p\u00e9trole au-dessus de 100$, craintes d\u2019inflation et incertitudes sur les taux BoJ\/Fed. Le support 69 500 devient d\u00e9cisif; rebond vers 69 600?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69400,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69401","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Sous 70 000, le Nikkei cale \u00e0 69 520: p\u00e9trole au-dessus de 100$, craintes d\u2019inflation et incertitudes sur les taux BoJ\/Fed. 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