{"id":69399,"date":"2026-10-08T05:58:14","date_gmt":"2026-10-08T05:58:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-eu\/uncategorized\/usdx-holds-near-18-month-high-as-fomc-minutes-support-dollar\/"},"modified":"2026-10-08T05:58:14","modified_gmt":"2026-10-08T05:58:14","slug":"usdx-holds-near-18-month-high-as-fomc-minutes-support-dollar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-eu\/analysis\/usdx-holds-near-18-month-high-as-fomc-minutes-support-dollar\/","title":{"rendered":"L\u2019USDX se maintient pr\u00e8s d\u2019un plus haut de 18 mois, soutenu par les minutes du FOMC favorables au dollar"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ac6ff14c7080.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Points cl\u00e9s<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le compte rendu (\u00ab minutes \u00bb) de la r\u00e9union du <strong>FOMC<\/strong> (comit\u00e9 de politique mon\u00e9taire de la Fed) des 15\u201316 septembre montre que les responsables ont approuv\u00e9 une hausse des taux de <strong>25 points de base<\/strong> (soit <strong>0,25 point<\/strong>), portant la fourchette cible \u00e0 <strong>3,75%\u20134,00%<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les responsables restent pr\u00e9occup\u00e9s par une inflation qui dure et n\u2019excluent pas de nouvelles hausses de taux.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les traders suivent aussi l\u2019euro et le yen, car ces grandes devises influencent fortement le dollar.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019<strong>USDX<\/strong> (indice du dollar am\u00e9ricain face \u00e0 un panier de devises) se replie \u00e0 <strong>101,986<\/strong>, signe d\u2019un essoufflement \u00e0 tr\u00e8s court terme.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La zone <strong>102,000<\/strong> devient cl\u00e9 : les traders surveillent un retour au-dessus de ce seuil psychologique (niveau rond souvent tr\u00e8s suivi) ou une extension du repli vers <strong>101,980<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mouvement de march\u00e9<\/h2>\n\n\n<p>L\u2019indice du dollar est rest\u00e9 proche de son <strong>plus haut de 18 mois<\/strong> jeudi, soutenu par l\u2019id\u00e9e que la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale (Fed) pourrait maintenir une politique mon\u00e9taire <strong>restrictive<\/strong> (des taux \u00e9lev\u00e9s pour freiner l\u2019\u00e9conomie et l\u2019inflation) plus longtemps.<\/p>\n\n<p>L\u2019indice a gagn\u00e9 environ <strong>0,3%<\/strong> mercredi, vers <strong>102,23<\/strong>, apr\u00e8s la publication des <strong>minutes du FOMC<\/strong>. Le document montre que les responsables restent inquiets de l\u2019inflation et jugent possible qu\u2019une hausse suppl\u00e9mentaire des taux soit n\u00e9cessaire.<\/p>\n\n<p>L\u2019USDX a d\u2019abord \u00e9volu\u00e9 entre 102,010 et 102,025 avant de reculer vers 101,990. Les acheteurs ont ensuite port\u00e9 l\u2019indice vers un sommet local proche de <strong>102,038<\/strong>. Le rebond a \u00e9t\u00e9 bref : l\u2019USDX a perdu de l\u2019\u00e9lan et est pass\u00e9 sous sa <strong>moyenne mobile \u00e0 9 p\u00e9riodes<\/strong> (moyenne des 9 derni\u00e8res valeurs, souvent utilis\u00e9e pour lire la tendance de court terme). Une seconde tentative vers 102,030 a aussi \u00e9chou\u00e9, suivie d\u2019un nouveau repli vers <strong>101,986<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ce que les traders surveillent<\/h2>\n\n\n<p>Le dollar reste au centre de l\u2019attention alors que les investisseurs \u00e9valuent si la Fed rel\u00e8vera encore ses taux avant la fin de l\u2019ann\u00e9e. Les minutes de la r\u00e9union du <strong>FOMC<\/strong> des 15\u201316 septembre indiquent une hausse de <strong>25 points de base<\/strong> (0,25 point), portant la cible \u00e0 <strong>3,75%\u20134,00%<\/strong>. Les responsables continuent de voir l\u2019inflation comme le principal risque, certains estimant que le niveau actuel des taux pourrait ne pas suffire \u00e0 ralentir l\u2019activit\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The dollar held near its strongest level in a year-and-a-half in subdued trading at the start of the Asian session on Thursday, after hawkish minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee signaled policymakers at the US central bank viewed inflation as the biggest risk to their\u2026<\/p>&mdash; The Star (@staronline) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/staronline\/status\/2108033386447003996?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 8, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n<p>Les march\u00e9s n\u2019anticipent toutefois pas une hausse imm\u00e9diate. La <strong>courbe des contrats \u00e0 terme<\/strong> (\u00ab futures \u00bb, des contrats qui refl\u00e8tent les attentes de march\u00e9) sugg\u00e8re environ <strong>19%<\/strong> de probabilit\u00e9 d\u2019une hausse lors de la r\u00e9union d\u2019octobre, ce qui indique qu\u2019une pause est privil\u00e9gi\u00e9e avant un possible durcissement en d\u00e9cembre. Les traders surveillent aussi l\u2019euro et le yen : un rebond de l\u2019une de ces devises pourrait accentuer la pression baissi\u00e8re sur l\u2019indice.<\/p>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Niveaux techniques \u00e0 surveiller<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/VANTAGE-USDX\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">USDX chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"VANTAGE:USDX\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Niveau<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Zone<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Int\u00e9r\u00eat technique<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>102,040\u2013102,051<\/td><td>R\u00e9sistance majeure<\/td><td>Zone de sommet local et plus haut visible de la s\u00e9ance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>102,020\u2013102,030<\/td><td>R\u00e9sistance secondaire<\/td><td>Zone de rebonds intrajournaliers r\u00e9p\u00e9t\u00e9s puis de rejet (retour des vendeurs)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>102,000<\/td><td>R\u00e9sistance imm\u00e9diate<\/td><td>Seuil psychologique, proche de la moyenne mobile \u00e0 9 p\u00e9riodes<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>101,990<\/td><td>Premier support<\/td><td>Zone d\u2019achats observ\u00e9e plus t\u00f4t dans la s\u00e9ance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>101,980\u2013101,981<\/td><td>Support cl\u00e9<\/td><td>Limite basse du graphique et plus bas visible de la s\u00e9ance<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n<p>Le d\u00e9fi pour l\u2019USDX est de repasser au-dessus de 102,000, d\u00e9sormais une r\u00e9sistance apr\u00e8s la cassure. Un maintien au-dessus de ce niveau pourrait permettre un test de 102,020\u2013102,030, o\u00f9 les rebonds pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents ont but\u00e9 sur des ventes.<\/p>\n\n<p>\u00c0 la baisse, 101,990 est la premi\u00e8re zone \u00e0 surveiller, m\u00eame si le cours est d\u00e9j\u00e0 pass\u00e9 l\u00e9g\u00e8rement dessous. Une cassure nette sous 101,980\u2013101,981 confirmerait une faiblesse plus marqu\u00e9e sous la zone intrajournali\u00e8re affich\u00e9e.<\/p>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Sc\u00e9narios haussier et baissier<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ac6ff161605e.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Sc\u00e9nario<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confirmation<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Mouvement possible<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Haussier<\/td><td>Cassure et maintien au-dessus de 102,000<\/td><td>Rebond vers 102,020\u2013102,030, puis 102,040<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rebond technique<\/td><td>Les acheteurs d\u00e9fendent 101,980\u2013101,990<\/td><td>Reprise de court terme vers 102,000<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Baissier<\/td><td>Cassure durable sous 101,980<\/td><td>Pression vendeuse accrue et prolongation du repli sous la zone visible<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n<p>Le sc\u00e9nario haussier suppose un retour au-dessus de 102,000 et au-dessus de la moyenne mobile \u00e0 9 p\u00e9riodes. Une reprise confirm\u00e9e, surtout avec davantage d\u2019achats, indiquerait que le repli actuel est temporaire plut\u00f4t qu\u2019un mouvement plus profond.<\/p>\n\n<p>Le sc\u00e9nario baissier prend forme si l\u2019USDX passe sous 101,980 et y reste. Une \u00e9volution sous la moyenne mobile orient\u00e9e \u00e0 la baisse, avec des sommets de plus en plus bas et des ventes plus fortes, renforcerait l\u2019hypoth\u00e8se d\u2019une poursuite du repli en s\u00e9ance.<\/p>\n\n<p><em>Avertissement<\/em><\/p>\n\n<p><em>Les niveaux de prix et sc\u00e9narios ci-dessus refl\u00e8tent l\u2019analyse de l\u2019auteur au moment de la r\u00e9daction. Ils ne constituent pas un conseil en investissement ni une recommandation officielle de VT Markets. \u00c0 chacun de faire sa propre analyse et de g\u00e9rer le risque.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pr\u00e9vision USDX : la suite<\/h2>\n\n\n<p>L\u2019USDX pourrait subir davantage de pression vendeuse si les prochaines statistiques am\u00e9ricaines laissent penser que l\u2019inflation ralentit ou que la croissance s\u2019essouffle plus vite que pr\u00e9vu. Une inflation plus faible et des chiffres de l\u2019emploi moins solides r\u00e9duiraient les attentes de hausse des taux, et donc l\u2019avantage du dollar li\u00e9 aux taux. Un euro ou un yen plus forts pourrait aussi peser sur l\u2019indice.<\/p>\n\n<p>\u00c0 l\u2019inverse, l\u2019USDX pourrait se reprendre si les donn\u00e9es d\u2019inflation confirment les craintes de la Fed sur les prix. Des co\u00fbts de l\u2019\u00e9nergie plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s, une consommation robuste et des <strong>rendements des bons du Tr\u00e9sor<\/strong> (\u00ab Treasury yields \u00bb, les taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat servis par la dette am\u00e9ricaine) \u00e9lev\u00e9s peuvent soutenir l\u2019id\u00e9e de taux am\u00e9ricains plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s plus longtemps. Des d\u00e9clarations plus <strong>restrictives<\/strong> (\u00ab hawkish \u00bb, en faveur de taux plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s) de responsables de la Fed pourraient aussi aider, surtout si le march\u00e9 augmente la probabilit\u00e9 d\u2019une hausse en d\u00e9cembre.<\/p>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trader l\u2019USDX avec VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n<p>L\u2019USDX mesure la performance du dollar face \u00e0 un panier de grandes devises, et sert d\u2019indicateur du sentiment sur le march\u00e9 des changes mondial.<\/p>\n\n<p>Avec VT Markets, les traders peuvent acc\u00e9der \u00e0 l\u2019USDX, ainsi qu\u2019au forex, aux indices, aux mati\u00e8res premi\u00e8res et \u00e0 d\u2019autres instruments, sur une seule plateforme.<\/p>\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>FAQ<\/strong><\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi l\u2019indice du dollar est-il proche d\u2019un plus haut de 18 mois ?<\/h3>\n\n\n<p>Le dollar est soutenu par l\u2019id\u00e9e que la Fed maintiendra des taux relativement \u00e9lev\u00e9s pour combattre une inflation persistante. Des minutes du FOMC jug\u00e9es \u00ab restrictives \u00bb et des rendements des bons du Tr\u00e9sor \u00e9lev\u00e9s ont renforc\u00e9 la demande de dollars.<\/p>\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">L\u2019USDX est-il haussier ou baissier en ce moment ?<\/h3>\n\n\n<p>Le graphique en 1 minute sugg\u00e8re une dynamique baissi\u00e8re \u00e0 tr\u00e8s court terme, avec un USDX autour de 101,986 sous sa moyenne mobile \u00e0 9 p\u00e9riodes. Le contexte global reste toutefois soutenu par les attentes d\u2019une politique mon\u00e9taire restrictive.<\/p>\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quel est le prochain niveau de r\u00e9sistance pour l\u2019USDX ?<\/h3>\n\n\n<p>La r\u00e9sistance imm\u00e9diate se situe \u00e0 102,000. Un maintien au-dessus de ce seuil peut ouvrir la voie \u00e0 102,020\u2013102,030, puis 102,040.<\/p>\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Que se passe-t-il si l\u2019USDX passe sous 101,980 ?<\/h3>\n\n\n<p>Une cassure durable sous 101,980 peut signaler une pression vendeuse accrue \u00e0 court terme. Les traders surveillent alors les r\u00e9actions de prix et des horizons de temps plus longs pour rep\u00e9rer d\u2019autres zones de support.<\/p>\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quel est l\u2019impact des hausses de taux de la Fed sur l\u2019USDX ?<\/h3>\n\n\n<p>Des taux am\u00e9ricains plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s peuvent soutenir l\u2019USDX en rendant les placements libell\u00e9s en dollars plus attractifs. L\u2019effet d\u00e9pend toutefois des attentes du march\u00e9, de l\u2019inflation et des politiques mon\u00e9taires des autres grandes \u00e9conomies.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Commencez \u00e0 trader d\u00e8s maintenant \u2014 cliquez <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-eu\/trade-now\/\">ici<\/a> pour cr\u00e9er votre compte r\u00e9el VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fed plus \u00ab hawkish \u00bb, dollar sous tension : les minutes du FOMC valident +25 pdb (3,75%-4,00%) et laissent ouverte d\u2019autres hausses. L\u2019USDX fl\u00e9chit vers 101,986, seuil 102,000 d\u00e9cisif.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69398,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69399","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Fed plus \u00ab hawkish \u00bb, dollar sous tension : les minutes du FOMC valident +25 pdb (3,75%-4,00%) et laissent ouverte d\u2019autres hausses. 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