{"id":69316,"date":"2026-10-07T06:03:07","date_gmt":"2026-10-07T06:03:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-eu\/uncategorized\/silver-drops-as-oil-rebounds-and-high-yields-pressure-xagusd\/"},"modified":"2026-10-07T06:03:07","modified_gmt":"2026-10-07T06:03:07","slug":"silver-drops-as-oil-rebounds-and-high-yields-pressure-xagusd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-eu\/analysis\/silver-drops-as-oil-rebounds-and-high-yields-pressure-xagusd\/","title":{"rendered":"L\u2019argent recule alors que le p\u00e9trole rebondit et que les rendements \u00e9lev\u00e9s p\u00e8sent sur le XAG\/USD"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ac5c52d11054.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Points cl\u00e9s<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>L\u2019argent a recul\u00e9 vers <strong>60,70 $<\/strong>, en baisse d\u2019environ <strong>1,1 %<\/strong> lors de la derni\u00e8re s\u00e9ance.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La hausse du p\u00e9trole maintient le risque d\u2019inflation au premier plan, en raison des craintes de perturbations d\u2019approvisionnement au Moyen-Orient.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Des rendements des bons du Tr\u00e9sor am\u00e9ricain \u00e9lev\u00e9s augmentent le \u00ab co\u00fbt d\u2019opportunit\u00e9 \u00bb (le fait de renoncer \u00e0 un rendement) de d\u00e9tenir des m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux qui ne rapportent pas d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La faible progression de l\u2019emploi en septembre a r\u00e9duit l\u2019attente d\u2019une nouvelle hausse de taux de la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale (Fed) en octobre.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le prochain facteur cl\u00e9 sera le compte rendu (minutes) de la derni\u00e8re r\u00e9union de la Fed, qui influence les anticipations de taux et le dollar am\u00e9ricain.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mouvement de march\u00e9<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le XAGUSD (argent contre dollar) \u00e9volue autour de <strong>60,697<\/strong>, apr\u00e8s avoir recul\u00e9 depuis un plus haut intrajournalier (atteint dans la journ\u00e9e) \u00e0 <strong>61,491<\/strong>. Le plus bas de s\u00e9ance est \u00e0 <strong>60,677<\/strong>, ce qui place l\u2019argent pr\u00e8s du bas de sa fourchette du jour.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019argent a d\u2019abord progress\u00e9 vers la zone <strong>60,95\u201361,00<\/strong>, avant un retournement. Le prix a ensuite encha\u00een\u00e9 des sommets et des creux de plus en plus bas (signal de tendance baissi\u00e8re), avec une acc\u00e9l\u00e9ration des ventes apr\u00e8s la cassure sous <strong>60,85<\/strong>. Les tentatives de reprise vers <strong>60,80<\/strong> ont \u00e9chou\u00e9, puis le cours a gliss\u00e9 vers <strong>60,70<\/strong>. \u00c0 court terme, la configuration reste fragile. Les derni\u00e8res bougies (barres de prix sur le graphique) montrent toutefois un essoufflement de la baisse vers <strong>60,68\u201360,70<\/strong>, une zone qui devient le premier test pour les vendeurs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi les traders surveillent<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019argent r\u00e9agit \u00e0 la baisse des attentes de resserrement de la Fed \u00e0 court terme et au retour de tensions inflationnistes li\u00e9es \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9nergie. La croissance de l\u2019emploi aux \u00c9tats-Unis a ralenti en septembre, avec seulement <strong>29 000 emplois<\/strong> cr\u00e9\u00e9s, et des chiffres pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents ont \u00e9t\u00e9 r\u00e9vis\u00e9s \u00e0 la baisse. Cela a r\u00e9duit la probabilit\u00e9 d\u2019une nouvelle hausse de taux lors de la r\u00e9union d\u2019octobre de la Fed. Le march\u00e9 n\u2019int\u00e8gre plus qu\u2019environ 16 % de probabilit\u00e9 de hausse en octobre, contre 70 % une semaine plus t\u00f4t (probabilit\u00e9s implicites dans les prix des march\u00e9s).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En temps normal, cela soutiendrait les m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux, mais des rendements \u00e9lev\u00e9s et un p\u00e9trole en hausse rendent l\u2019actif moins attractif. Le rendement \u00e0 10 ans reste \u00e9lev\u00e9, autour de <strong>5,3 %<\/strong>, tandis que les prix du p\u00e9trole repartent \u00e0 la hausse sur fond de craintes d\u2019offre au Moyen-Orient. Le Brent a d\u00e9pass\u00e9 <strong>101 $<\/strong> le baril, ce qui ravive le risque d\u2019inflation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le prochain d\u00e9clencheur est le <strong>compte rendu de la r\u00e9union de septembre de la Fed<\/strong> (\u00ab minutes \u00bb, un document qui r\u00e9sume les \u00e9changes). Les op\u00e9rateurs chercheront des indices sur la mani\u00e8re dont les responsables abordent l\u2019inflation et sur la probabilit\u00e9 d\u2019un durcissement de la politique mon\u00e9taire plus tard cette ann\u00e9e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Niveaux cl\u00e9s<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/SILVER\/?exchange=TVC\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">SILVER chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\"> by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"TVC:SILVER\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Niveau<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Zone<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Int\u00e9r\u00eat technique<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>61,00<\/td><td>R\u00e9sistance majeure<\/td><td>Niveau psychologique (chiffre rond) et proche du pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent pic intrajournalier<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>60,90<\/td><td>R\u00e9sistance<\/td><td>Zone o\u00f9 le rebond pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent a perdu de la force<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>60,80<\/td><td>Pivot \u00e0 court terme<\/td><td>Zone de stabilisation r\u00e9cente et de rejets r\u00e9p\u00e9t\u00e9s<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>60,70<\/td><td>Support imm\u00e9diat<\/td><td>Zone de cotation actuelle et niveau psychologique \u00e0 court terme<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>60,677<\/td><td>Plus bas intrajournalier<\/td><td>Prix le plus bas observ\u00e9 sur la s\u00e9ance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>60,60<\/td><td>Support inf\u00e9rieur<\/td><td>Prochaine zone de baisse si le plus bas de s\u00e9ance est enfonc\u00e9<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le principal point de tension technique se situe autour de <strong>60,70<\/strong>. Un maintien au-dessus de cette zone pourrait permettre \u00e0 l\u2019argent de se stabiliser et de tenter un retour vers <strong>60,80<\/strong>. En revanche, une cassure nette sous le plus bas de s\u00e9ance \u00e0 <strong>60,677<\/strong> confirmerait une d\u00e9gradation \u00e0 court terme et pourrait ouvrir la voie vers <strong>60,60<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c0 la hausse, <strong>60,80<\/strong> est le premier niveau que les acheteurs doivent reprendre. Un franchissement plus marqu\u00e9 de <strong>60,90<\/strong> affaiblirait la s\u00e9quence baissi\u00e8re actuelle et remettrait <strong>61,00<\/strong> au centre de l\u2019attention.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Sc\u00e9narios haussier et baissier<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ac5c52e8e9af.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Sc\u00e9nario<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D\u00e9clencheur<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confirmation<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Haussier<\/td><td>Cassure au-dessus de 60,80<\/td><td>Le prix repasse au-dessus de la moyenne mobile \u00e0 9 p\u00e9riodes (moyenne du prix sur les 9 derni\u00e8res unit\u00e9s de temps) et inscrit des sommets de court terme plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rebond<\/td><td>Maintien au-dessus de 60,70<\/td><td>Les acheteurs d\u00e9fendent le support et le prix se stabilise au-dessus du plus bas de s\u00e9ance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Baissier<\/td><td>Cassure sous 60,677<\/td><td>La pression vendeuse se prolonge et le prix reste sous la moyenne mobile orient\u00e9e \u00e0 la baisse<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le sc\u00e9nario haussier ne se limite pas \u00e0 un simple maintien pr\u00e8s de <strong>60,70<\/strong>. Les acheteurs devraient reprendre <strong>60,80<\/strong> et repasser au-dessus de la moyenne mobile de court terme, afin que l\u2019\u00e9lan (momentum, c\u2019est-\u00e0-dire la force du mouvement) s\u2019am\u00e9liore.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le sc\u00e9nario baissier reste le plus coh\u00e9rent avec le graphique actuel. L\u2019argent \u00e9volue sous la moyenne mobile \u00e0 9 p\u00e9riodes, et les rebonds successifs s\u2019arr\u00eatent sur des sommets plus bas. Une cassure sous <strong>60,677<\/strong> pourrait prolonger le mouvement vers <strong>60,60<\/strong>. \u00c0 l\u2019inverse, un retour au-dessus de <strong>60,80<\/strong> commencerait \u00e0 fragiliser cette dynamique baissi\u00e8re.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Avertissement<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Les niveaux de prix et sc\u00e9narios ci-dessus refl\u00e8tent l\u2019analyse de l\u2019auteur au moment de la r\u00e9daction. Ils ne constituent pas un conseil en investissement ni une recommandation officielle de VT Markets. Chaque trader doit faire sa propre analyse et g\u00e9rer son risque avec rigueur.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pr\u00e9vision sur l\u2019argent : \u00e0 quoi s\u2019attendre ensuite ?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019argent pourrait rester sous pression si le p\u00e9trole continue de monter, ce qui renforce les craintes d\u2019inflation. Cela peut maintenir des rendements des bons du Tr\u00e9sor am\u00e9ricains \u00e9lev\u00e9s et pousser les march\u00e9s \u00e0 r\u00e9\u00e9valuer \u00e0 la hausse la probabilit\u00e9 d\u2019un nouveau durcissement de la Fed cette ann\u00e9e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Un dollar am\u00e9ricain plus ferme est un autre \u00e9l\u00e9ment \u00e0 surveiller. Si les minutes de la Fed montrent une volont\u00e9 de maintenir une politique restrictive (taux maintenus \u00e0 un niveau \u00e9lev\u00e9 pour freiner l\u2019inflation) ou la possibilit\u00e9 d\u2019une nouvelle hausse de taux, les rendements et le dollar pourraient se renforcer, rendant le rebond de l\u2019argent plus difficile.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c0 l\u2019inverse, l\u2019argent pourrait remonter si les responsables mon\u00e9taires restent prudents apr\u00e8s les statistiques d\u2019emploi d\u00e9cevantes. Des attentes de hausses de taux moins fortes pourraient faire baisser les rendements et le dollar, ce qui am\u00e9liorerait l\u2019environnement pour les m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trader le XAGUSD avec VT Markets<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tag\/silver\/?utm_source=DMA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">L\u2019argent<\/a> en CFD (contrat sur la diff\u00e9rence : un produit qui permet de sp\u00e9culer sur la hausse ou la baisse d\u2019un prix sans d\u00e9tenir l\u2019actif) permet de s\u2019exposer aux variations du cours de l\u2019argent sans acheter du m\u00e9tal physique. Le XAGUSD d\u00e9pend notamment des anticipations de taux, de l\u2019inflation, de la demande industrielle, des mouvements de change et des tensions g\u00e9opolitiques. Consultez <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/what-is-silver-trading-how-to-trade-silver-complete-guide\/?utm_source=DMA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">un guide complet : qu\u2019est-ce que le trading de l\u2019argent et comment le trader en 2026<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Avec VT Markets, les traders peuvent suivre l\u2019\u00e9volution du cours de l\u2019argent avec d\u2019autres m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux, le forex (march\u00e9 des devises), les indices et les mati\u00e8res premi\u00e8res, gr\u00e2ce \u00e0 des outils et plateformes de trading avanc\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>FAQ<\/strong><\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi l\u2019argent baisse-t-il aujourd\u2019hui ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019argent recule car le p\u00e9trole repart \u00e0 la hausse et les rendements des bons du Tr\u00e9sor am\u00e9ricain restent \u00e9lev\u00e9s. Ces deux facteurs entretiennent le risque d\u2019inflation et de taux. Le graphique montre aussi un affaiblissement de l\u2019\u00e9lan \u00e0 court terme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Comment les minutes de la Fed peuvent-elles influencer l\u2019argent ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Des minutes plus \u00ab hawkish \u00bb (restrictives : une Fed plus encline \u00e0 augmenter les taux) peuvent soutenir les rendements obligataires et le dollar, ce qui peut peser sur l\u2019argent. Un ton plus prudent peut r\u00e9duire les attentes de hausse de taux et soutenir le XAGUSD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi les rendements du Tr\u00e9sor influencent-ils l\u2019argent ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019argent ne verse pas d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat. Quand les rendements obligataires montent, les placements qui rapportent un int\u00e9r\u00eat deviennent plus attractifs, ce qui peut p\u00e9naliser les m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">L\u2019argent peut-il repasser au-dessus de 61 $ ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Oui, mais le graphique sugg\u00e8re que les acheteurs doivent d\u2019abord reprendre <strong>60,80<\/strong> puis <strong>60,90<\/strong>. Un franchissement durable (au-dessus pendant un certain temps) am\u00e9liorerait la structure de court terme et remettrait <strong>61,00<\/strong> en ligne de mire.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Commencez \u00e0 trader d\u00e8s maintenant \u2014 cliquez <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-eu\/trade-now\/\">ici<\/a> pour cr\u00e9er votre compte r\u00e9el VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>L\u2019argent d\u00e9croche \u00e0 60,70 $ (-1,1 %) : rendements US \u00e0 5,3 % et p\u00e9trole au-dessus de 101 $ ravivent l\u2019inflation. Les minutes de la Fed feront le prochain catalyseur.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69315,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69316","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"L\u2019argent d\u00e9croche \u00e0 60,70 $ (-1,1 %) : rendements US \u00e0 5,3 % et p\u00e9trole au-dessus de 101 $ ravivent l\u2019inflation. 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