{"id":69219,"date":"2026-10-02T05:57:55","date_gmt":"2026-10-02T05:57:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-eu\/uncategorized\/us-futures-gain-as-sp500-holds-near-7680-ahead-of-jobs-data\/"},"modified":"2026-10-02T05:57:55","modified_gmt":"2026-10-02T05:57:55","slug":"us-futures-gain-as-sp500-holds-near-7680-ahead-of-jobs-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-eu\/analysis\/us-futures-gain-as-sp500-holds-near-7680-ahead-of-jobs-data\/","title":{"rendered":"Les contrats \u00e0 terme am\u00e9ricains progressent alors que le S&#038;P 500 se maintient pr\u00e8s de 7\u202f680 avant la publication des chiffres de l\u2019emploi"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6abf2e5fc4a23.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Points cl\u00e9s<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le SP500 \u00e9volue autour de <strong>7 680,60<\/strong>, en hausse d\u2019environ <strong>0,07 %<\/strong> sur le graphique.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les <strong>cr\u00e9ations d\u2019emplois non agricoles<\/strong> aux \u00c9tats-Unis (NFP, indicateur mensuel de l\u2019emploi hors secteur agricole) sont attendues autour de <strong>90 000<\/strong> en septembre, apr\u00e8s 162 000 en ao\u00fbt, avec un <strong>taux de ch\u00f4mage<\/strong> pr\u00e9vu proche de 4,1 %.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les actions restent sensibles au <strong>rendement des bons du Tr\u00e9sor<\/strong> (taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat des obligations d\u2019\u00c9tat am\u00e9ricaines) et aux prix du p\u00e9trole. Le <strong>10 ans am\u00e9ricain<\/strong> a bri\u00e8vement atteint environ <strong>5,34 % jeudi<\/strong>, un plus haut depuis 2002.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le sc\u00e9nario \u00e0 court terme sur le SP500 d\u00e9pendra en partie de l\u2019effet du rapport sur l\u2019emploi sur les anticipations de <strong>politique mon\u00e9taire<\/strong> de la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale (Fed).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mouvement de march\u00e9<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le SP500 se traite autour de <strong>7 680,60<\/strong> apr\u00e8s une s\u00e9ance courte et heurt\u00e9e. L\u2019indice a \u00e9volu\u00e9 pr\u00e8s de <strong>7 685\u20137 686<\/strong> avant de glisser. La baisse s\u2019est acc\u00e9l\u00e9r\u00e9e vers la zone <strong>7 677\u20137 678<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Des acheteurs sont ensuite apparus sur ces plus bas. L\u2019indice est remont\u00e9 vers <strong>7 681<\/strong>, tandis que la <strong>moyenne mobile \u00e0 9 p\u00e9riodes<\/strong> (moyenne des prix des 9 derni\u00e8res bougies, utilis\u00e9e pour rep\u00e9rer la tendance \u00e0 tr\u00e8s court terme) s\u2019est stabilis\u00e9e puis a commenc\u00e9 \u00e0 se redresser. Les derniers mouvements ressemblent \u00e0 un <strong>rebond de court terme dans une correction intrajournali\u00e8re<\/strong>, plut\u00f4t qu\u2019\u00e0 une cassure haussi\u00e8re confirm\u00e9e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi les traders surveillent<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les donn\u00e9es NFP de vendredi devraient influencer les <strong>contrats \u00e0 terme<\/strong> am\u00e9ricains (prix d\u2019un indice pour une \u00e9ch\u00e9ance future, souvent utilis\u00e9s pour anticiper l\u2019ouverture) et le SP500, en donnant un signal sur l\u2019\u00e9tat du march\u00e9. Le rapport de septembre est attendu \u00e0 <strong>8 h 30 (heure de New York) le 2 octobre<\/strong>. Le consensus vise environ <strong>89 000<\/strong> cr\u00e9ations d\u2019emplois, apr\u00e8s 162 000 en ao\u00fbt, et un ch\u00f4mage \u00e0 <strong>4,1 %<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 Friday\u2019s US jobs report is the only major labor read before the October FOMC meeting. Forecast: 89K vs 162K prior.<br><br>The previous NFP release beat expectations, eased labor concerns, repriced rate hike odds, and pushed USD higher. <br><br>Another surprise could move markets again. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/wXmbLDnlkW\">pic.twitter.com\/wXmbLDnlkW<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Forex Factory (@ForexFactory) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/ForexFactory\/status\/2105675132832305386?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 1, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les <strong>taux directeurs<\/strong> de la Fed (les taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat fix\u00e9s par la banque centrale, qui influencent le co\u00fbt du cr\u00e9dit) seront aussi au centre de l\u2019attention : un march\u00e9 du travail solide peut laisser plus de marge pour relever les taux, surtout avec une inflation au-dessus de l\u2019objectif annuel de <strong>2 %<\/strong>. La hausse r\u00e9cente des rendements obligataires am\u00e9ricains a maintenu la nervosit\u00e9, avec un passage au-del\u00e0 de <strong>5 %<\/strong>, un sommet depuis 2002.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">U.S. Treasury yields hit their highest level in more than two decades on Thursday as a global bond sell-off deepened.<br><br>Read more: <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/0xV9b5qXPv\">https:\/\/t.co\/0xV9b5qXPv<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/4DYr6NwTuQ\">pic.twitter.com\/4DYr6NwTuQ<\/a><\/p>&mdash; CNBC (@CNBC) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CNBC\/status\/2105637168467300611?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 1, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le p\u00e9trole ajoute une incertitude. Les prix ont bondi de 4 % apr\u00e8s des informations faisant \u00e9tat d\u2019un renforcement de la pr\u00e9sence militaire am\u00e9ricaine au Moyen-Orient, ce qui ravive les craintes d\u2019inflation via le co\u00fbt de l\u2019\u00e9nergie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The U.S. military is planning for a possible surge of thousands of naval forces to the Middle East in coming weeks, as President Trump considers renewing strikes on Iran after the midterm elections, U.S. officials said. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/O9DcmJwDZP\">https:\/\/t.co\/O9DcmJwDZP<\/a><\/p>&mdash; The Washington Post (@washingtonpost) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/washingtonpost\/status\/2105810030721138824?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 2, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Niveau de trading cl\u00e9<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/VANTAGE-SP500\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">SP500 chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"VANTAGE:SP500\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Niveau<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Signification<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7 686<\/td><td>R\u00e9sistance majeure \u00e0 court terme et zone des plus hauts de s\u00e9ance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7 684<\/td><td>R\u00e9sistance secondaire<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7 682<\/td><td>Premi\u00e8re r\u00e9sistance \u00e0 surveiller<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7 680<\/td><td>Zone pivot imm\u00e9diate<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7 678<\/td><td>Premier support<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7 676 \u00e0 7 677<\/td><td>Zone de support intrajournali\u00e8re cl\u00e9<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le seuil des <strong>7 680<\/strong> est central \u00e0 tr\u00e8s court terme. Le prix revient souvent dans cette zone, qui sert de rep\u00e8re entre rebond et reprise de la faiblesse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Sc\u00e9narios haussier et baissier<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6abf2e612af57.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Sc\u00e9nario<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D\u00e9clencheur<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Objectifs possibles<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Ce que cela pourrait indiquer<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Haussier<\/td><td>Maintien au-dessus de 7 682<\/td><td>7 684, puis 7 686<\/td><td>Les acheteurs prolongent le rebond et testent les pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents plus hauts<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Baissier<\/td><td>Passage sous 7 678<\/td><td>7 676 \u00e0 7 677<\/td><td>Le rebond s\u2019essouffle et les vendeurs reprennent la main<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Avertissement<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Les niveaux de prix et sc\u00e9narios ci-dessus refl\u00e8tent l\u2019analyse de l\u2019auteur au moment de la r\u00e9daction. Il ne s\u2019agit pas d\u2019un conseil en investissement ni d\u2019une recommandation officielle de VT Markets. Chacun doit faire sa propre analyse et g\u00e9rer le risque.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pr\u00e9vision SP500<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le rapport NFP \u00e0 venir devrait peser sur les contrats \u00e0 terme am\u00e9ricains et le SP500, car il influence les anticipations de politique de la Fed et les rendements obligataires. Un chiffre d\u2019emplois sup\u00e9rieur aux attentes pourrait renforcer l\u2019id\u00e9e d\u2019une \u00e9conomie am\u00e9ricaine solide, augmenter la probabilit\u00e9 d\u2019une hausse de taux et pousser les rendements \u00e0 la hausse, ce qui mettrait sous pression les <strong>valorisations<\/strong> (le niveau de prix des actions par rapport aux b\u00e9n\u00e9fices attendus) et le SP500.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Un chiffre un peu plus faible pourrait soutenir les actions s\u2019il r\u00e9duit la pression sur les taux sans remettre en cause la croissance. En revanche, une publication tr\u00e8s faible peut produire un effet contrast\u00e9 : la baisse des rendements peut d\u2019abord aider les actions, mais un march\u00e9 du travail qui se d\u00e9grade peut raviver les craintes de r\u00e9cession.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trader le SP500 avec VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les \u00e9v\u00e9nements \u00e9conomiques influencent fortement les contrats \u00e0 terme am\u00e9ricains comme le S&amp;P 500. Les traders suivent de pr\u00e8s les indicateurs cl\u00e9s, car les anticipations changent vite.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Avec VT Markets, il est possible d\u2019acc\u00e9der au SP500 et \u00e0 d\u2019autres <strong>CFD<\/strong> (contrats sur diff\u00e9rence : produits qui r\u00e9pliquent la variation d\u2019un actif sans le d\u00e9tenir) sur indices, ainsi qu\u2019au forex, \u00e0 l\u2019or, au p\u00e9trole, \u00e0 des CFD sur actions, \u00e0 des CFD sur ETF (fonds cot\u00e9s) et \u00e0 d\u2019autres march\u00e9s via une seule plateforme. Cela permet de comparer les mouvements entre actions technologiques, mati\u00e8res premi\u00e8res, devises et autres grandes classes d\u2019actifs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary>FAQ<\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u00c0 quel niveau se traite le SP500 actuellement ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le graphique montre le SP500 autour de <strong>7 680,60<\/strong>, en hausse d\u2019environ 0,07 % au moment de la capture.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quels sont les niveaux cl\u00e9s \u00e0 surveiller sur le SP500 ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La r\u00e9sistance imm\u00e9diate se situe vers <strong>7 682<\/strong>, puis 7 684 et 7 686. Le premier support est vers <strong>7 678<\/strong>, avec un support intrajournalier plus marqu\u00e9 autour de 7 676 \u00e0 7 677.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quel impact les NFP peuvent-ils avoir sur le SP500 ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Un chiffre d\u2019emplois \u00e9lev\u00e9 peut renforcer l\u2019anticipation d\u2019une Fed plus stricte et tirer les rendements obligataires vers le haut, ce qui peut peser sur les actions. Un chiffre plus faible peut r\u00e9duire la pression sur les taux, m\u00eame si un chiffre anormalement bas peut inqui\u00e9ter sur la croissance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quand est publi\u00e9e la statistique NFP de septembre aux \u00c9tats-Unis ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le Bureau of Labor Statistics (agence publique am\u00e9ricaine des statistiques) a programm\u00e9 le rapport \u00ab Employment Situation \u00bb de septembre 2026 pour le <strong>vendredi 2 octobre 2026 \u00e0 8 h 30 (heure de New York)<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Commencez \u00e0 trader d\u00e8s maintenant \u2014 cliquez <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-eu\/trade-now\/\">ici<\/a> pour cr\u00e9er votre compte r\u00e9el VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Suspense sur Wall Street : le S&#038;P 500 gravite autour de 7 680, en qu\u00eate de direction avant les NFP. Rendements US au-dessus de 5 % et p\u00e9trole en hausse compliquent le pari Fed.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69218,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69219","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Suspense sur Wall Street : le S&amp;P 500 gravite autour de 7 680, en qu\u00eate de direction avant les NFP. 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