{"id":68753,"date":"2026-09-23T09:51:21","date_gmt":"2026-09-23T09:51:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-eu\/uncategorized\/euro-falls-to-lowest-since-july-ahead-of-pmi-data\/"},"modified":"2026-09-23T09:51:21","modified_gmt":"2026-09-23T09:51:21","slug":"euro-falls-to-lowest-since-july-ahead-of-pmi-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-eu\/analysis\/euro-falls-to-lowest-since-july-ahead-of-pmi-data\/","title":{"rendered":"L\u2019euro recule \u00e0 son plus bas niveau depuis juillet, \u00e0 l\u2019approche des donn\u00e9es PMI"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-18.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-69061\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Points cl\u00e9s<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>L\u2019EUR\/USD reste sous pression, la vigueur du dollar am\u00e9ricain pesant sur l\u2019euro.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019indice du dollar (US Dollar Index, mesure du dollar face \u00e0 un panier de grandes devises) est repass\u00e9 au-dessus de <strong>100<\/strong>, port\u00e9 par l\u2019id\u00e9e que la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale (Fed, banque centrale des \u00c9tats-Unis) pourrait garder une politique mon\u00e9taire restrictive, c\u2019est-\u00e0-dire des taux \u00e9lev\u00e9s pour freiner l\u2019inflation.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La confiance des consommateurs de la zone euro s\u2019est d\u00e9grad\u00e9e \u00e0 <strong>-17 en septembre<\/strong>, ce qui renforce les doutes sur l\u2019\u00e9lan de l\u2019\u00e9conomie.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les PMI \u00ab flash \u00bb (indicateurs avanc\u00e9s d\u2019activit\u00e9 des entreprises, publi\u00e9s en premi\u00e8re estimation) de la zone euro et des \u00c9tats-Unis donneront de nouveaux signaux sur la solidit\u00e9 relative des deux \u00e9conomies.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mouvement de march\u00e9<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019EUR\/USD \u00e9volue pr\u00e8s de <strong>1,14290<\/strong>, en baisse de <strong>0,17%<\/strong> sur la s\u00e9ance, apr\u00e8s avoir oscill\u00e9 entre un plus haut \u00e0 <strong>1,14502<\/strong> et un plus bas \u00e0 <strong>1,14256<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La paire s\u2019est affaiblie, les acheteurs n\u2019ayant pas r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 prolonger le rebond. Apr\u00e8s un test de la zone <strong>1,1450<\/strong>, les cours ont gliss\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019EUR\/USD \u00e9volue sous la <strong>moyenne mobile \u00e0 9 p\u00e9riodes<\/strong> (moyenne des cours sur 9 bougies, indicateur simple de tendance \u00e0 court terme), signe que les acheteurs ne reprennent pas la main.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi les traders surveillent l\u2019EUR\/USD<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019EUR\/USD d\u00e9pend des perspectives \u00e9conomiques divergentes entre les \u00c9tats-Unis et la zone euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le dollar est soutenu par une r\u00e9\u00e9valuation des attentes sur la Fed. Si le billet vert reste fort, cela peut limiter le potentiel de hausse de l\u2019EUR\/USD en maintenant la pression sur l\u2019euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En parall\u00e8le, la baisse de la confiance en zone euro ravive les inqui\u00e9tudes sur la demande int\u00e9rieure. La confiance des m\u00e9nages recule \u00e0 <strong>-17 en septembre<\/strong>, sous le consensus \u00e0 <strong>-16<\/strong>, ce qui souligne les difficult\u00e9s persistantes de l\u2019\u00e9conomie r\u00e9gionale.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">\ud83c\uddea\ud83c\uddfaEurozone consumer confidence worsens in September<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/hashtag\/Data?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Data<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/M1Too4O6J2\">https:\/\/t.co\/M1Too4O6J2<\/a><\/p>&mdash; baha (@bahabreaking) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/bahabreaking\/status\/2102399925187498216?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 22, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Niveaux techniques cl\u00e9s<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/EURUSD\/?exchange=OANDA\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">EURUSD chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\"> by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"OANDA:EURUSD\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Niveau de prix<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Signification<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>1,15<\/td><td>R\u00e9sistance psychologique majeure (niveau rond souvent surveill\u00e9)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>1,145<\/td><td>R\u00e9sistance de court terme, zone de rejet r\u00e9cente (les cours y ont but\u00e9)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>1,143<\/td><td>Zone de trading actuelle<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>1,1425<\/td><td>Support imm\u00e9diat pr\u00e8s du plus bas du jour (zone o\u00f9 les achats peuvent freiner la baisse)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>1,14<\/td><td>Support psychologique cl\u00e9<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>1,135<\/td><td>Prochaine zone de baisse si la pression vendeuse augmente<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les zones <strong>1,1450<\/strong> (r\u00e9sistance) et <strong>1,1400<\/strong> (support) restent d\u00e9terminantes \u00e0 court terme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Un franchissement au-dessus de <strong>1,1450<\/strong> pourrait am\u00e9liorer la dynamique \u00e0 court terme, tandis qu\u2019un passage sous <strong>1,1400<\/strong> ouvrirait la voie \u00e0 une baisse vers <strong>1,1350<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Sc\u00e9narios haussiers et baissiers<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/img_6ab3740260e68.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Sc\u00e9nario<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D\u00e9clencheur<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R\u00e9action possible du march\u00e9<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Tentative de rebond<\/td><td>Se maintenir au-dessus de 1,1425<\/td><td>L\u2019EUR\/USD pourrait revenir tester la r\u00e9sistance \u00e0 1,1450<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Sortie haussi\u00e8re<\/td><td>Franchir 1,1450<\/td><td>La hausse pourrait s\u2019\u00e9tendre vers 1,1500<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Consolidation en range<\/td><td>Rester entre 1,1400 et 1,1450<\/td><td>La paire pourrait \u00e9voluer lat\u00e9ralement en attendant les PMI<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Cassure baissi\u00e8re<\/td><td>Passer sous 1,1400<\/td><td>La pression vendeuse pourrait s\u2019accentuer vers 1,1350<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le sc\u00e9nario haussier suppose un retour au-dessus de <strong>1,1450<\/strong>, signalant un regain d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat acheteur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le sc\u00e9nario baissier prend de l\u2019ampleur en cas de cassure sous <strong>1,1400<\/strong>, avec un risque de repli vers <strong>1,1350<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Avertissement<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Les niveaux et sc\u00e9narios ci-dessus refl\u00e8tent l\u2019analyse de l\u2019auteur au moment de la r\u00e9daction. Ils ne constituent pas un conseil en investissement ni une recommandation officielle de VT Markets. Chaque trader doit faire sa propre analyse et g\u00e9rer le risque, c\u2019est-\u00e0-dire limiter les pertes possibles.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pr\u00e9vision EUR\/USD : les PMI peuvent-ils changer la tendance ?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les PMI \u00ab flash \u00bb (premi\u00e8re estimation de l\u2019activit\u00e9 des entreprises) de la zone euro et des \u00c9tats-Unis apporteront de nouveaux \u00e9l\u00e9ments sur la vigueur relative des deux \u00e9conomies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Des PMI de zone euro sup\u00e9rieurs aux attentes pourraient soutenir l\u2019euro, tandis que des chiffres plus faibles renforceraient les craintes sur la croissance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c0 l\u2019inverse, des PMI am\u00e9ricains solides pourraient appuyer le dollar en signalant une activit\u00e9 plus dynamique, et accentuer la pression sur l\u2019EUR\/USD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>Questions fr\u00e9quentes<\/strong><\/summary>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi l\u2019EUR\/USD baisse-t-il ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019EUR\/USD recule car le dollar acc\u00e9l\u00e8re et le climat en zone euro se d\u00e9grade, ce qui p\u00e8se sur l\u2019euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Qu\u2019est-ce qui pourrait faire bouger l\u2019EUR\/USD ensuite ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les PMI \u00ab flash \u00bb de la zone euro et des \u00c9tats-Unis pourraient influencer la paire en indiquant quelle \u00e9conomie est la plus solide.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi 1,1400 est-il important pour l\u2019EUR\/USD ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le niveau <strong>1,1400<\/strong> est un support psychologique (niveau rond tr\u00e8s suivi). S\u2019il est enfonc\u00e9, la vente peut s\u2019amplifier ; s\u2019il tient, la paire peut se stabiliser.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Comment la force du dollar impacte-t-elle l\u2019EUR\/USD ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Un dollar plus fort fait souvent baisser l\u2019EUR\/USD, car cette paire mesure la valeur de l\u2019euro en dollars.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Commencez \u00e0 trader d\u00e8s maintenant \u2014 cliquez <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-eu\/trade-now\/\">ici<\/a> pour cr\u00e9er votre compte r\u00e9el VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Alerte sur l\u2019euro : l\u2019EUR\/USD fl\u00e9chit vers 1,143, p\u00e9nalis\u00e9 par un dollar revigor\u00e9 (DXY > 100) et une confiance en zone euro \u00e0 -17. Les PMI flash seront d\u00e9cisifs.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":68752,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68753","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Alerte sur l\u2019euro : l\u2019EUR\/USD fl\u00e9chit vers 1,143, p\u00e9nalis\u00e9 par un dollar revigor\u00e9 (DXY &gt; 100) et une confiance en zone euro \u00e0 -17. 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