{"id":69700,"date":"2026-10-14T06:07:02","date_gmt":"2026-10-14T06:07:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-ca\/uncategorized\/us-dollar-trades-near-102-ahead-of-key-cpi-release\/"},"modified":"2026-10-14T06:07:02","modified_gmt":"2026-10-14T06:07:02","slug":"us-dollar-trades-near-102-ahead-of-key-cpi-release","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-ca\/analysis\/us-dollar-trades-near-102-ahead-of-key-cpi-release\/","title":{"rendered":"Le dollar am\u00e9ricain s\u2019\u00e9change pr\u00e8s de 102 \u00e0 l\u2019approche de la publication du CPI, un indicateur cl\u00e9"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6acf0695bdc42.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Points cl\u00e9s<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>L\u2019indice du dollar am\u00e9ricain (DXY) se n\u00e9gocie autour de 102 le 14 octobre, apr\u00e8s avoir recul\u00e9 depuis un sommet de 18 mois \u00e0 102,37 atteint lundi. (Le DXY mesure la valeur du dollar par rapport \u00e0 un panier de grandes devises.)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Mardi, le dollar a recul\u00e9 d\u2019environ 0,37 %, frein\u00e9 par la baisse des prix du p\u00e9trole et par l\u2019\u00e9volution des attentes envers la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale (la Fed), la banque centrale des \u00c9tats-Unis.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019IPC am\u00e9ricain global (CPI, indice des prix \u00e0 la consommation \u2014 une mesure de l\u2019inflation) est attendu \u00e0 3,6 % sur 12 mois en septembre, contre 3,4 % auparavant.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Des rendements obligataires am\u00e9ricains (rendements des bons du Tr\u00e9sor, c\u2019est-\u00e0-dire le taux pay\u00e9 par le gouvernement) encore \u00e9lev\u00e9s continuent d\u2019appuyer le dollar.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Un IPC plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 que pr\u00e9vu pourrait faire monter \u00e0 la fois le dollar et les rendements, tandis qu\u2019un chiffre plus faible pourrait relancer la vente du dollar.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019or, l\u2019EURUSD et l\u2019USDJPY pourraient bouger plus fortement, alors que les op\u00e9rateurs ajustent leurs positions apr\u00e8s la publication. (EURUSD = euro\/dollar US, USDJPY = dollar US\/yen, or souvent cot\u00e9 en XAUUSD.)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Prochain d\u00e9clencheur : l\u2019IPC am\u00e9ricain (14 octobre), suivi de l\u2019IPP am\u00e9ricain (PPI, indice des prix \u00e0 la production \u2014 inflation \u00ab \u00e0 la source \u00bb) le 15 octobre.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mouvement de march\u00e9<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La pouss\u00e9e du dollar jusqu\u2019\u00e0 un <strong>sommet de 18 mois \u00e0 102,37<\/strong> lundi s\u2019est essouffl\u00e9e mardi. Le DXY a gliss\u00e9 d\u2019environ <strong>0,37 %<\/strong>, alors que la baisse du p\u00e9trole a r\u00e9duit une partie des craintes li\u00e9es \u00e0 l\u2019inflation et que les attentes envers la Fed ont chang\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Lors de la plus r\u00e9cente s\u00e9ance, l\u2019indice consolide dans une fourchette serr\u00e9e juste sous 102. La s\u00e9ance a \u00e9t\u00e9 instable : l\u2019indice a touch\u00e9 la zone de <strong>101,86<\/strong> avant de remonter vers 101,90, ce qui sugg\u00e8re que des acheteurs continuent de soutenir le march\u00e9 avant la publication de donn\u00e9es importantes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi les op\u00e9rateurs surveillent<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019attention se tourne vers le rapport de septembre sur l\u2019IPC. L\u2019inflation globale devrait remonter \u00e0 <strong>3,6 % sur un an<\/strong> (YoY), contre 3,4 %, ce qui indiquerait que les pressions sur les prix restent tenaces. Ce rapport est important, car l\u2019inflation est le principal facteur qui influence les attentes sur la politique de la Fed (hausses ou baisses de taux).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Comme des rendements du Tr\u00e9sor \u00e9lev\u00e9s soutiennent le dollar, tout changement des attentes d\u2019inflation peut rapidement faire basculer le sentiment. L\u2019IPP du 15 octobre ajoute une deuxi\u00e8me lecture de l\u2019inflation et pourrait prolonger la volatilit\u00e9 (fortes variations de prix) jusqu\u2019\u00e0 jeudi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Niveaux techniques cl\u00e9s<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/PEPPERSTONE-USDX\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">USDX chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"PEPPERSTONE:USDX\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Niveau<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Type<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Importance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>102,37<\/td><td>R\u00e9sistance<\/td><td>Sommet de 18 mois de lundi<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>102<\/td><td>Pivot \/ psychologique<\/td><td>Niveau \u00ab rond \u00bb cl\u00e9; le reprendre favorise les acheteurs<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>101,99<\/td><td>R\u00e9sistance intrajournali\u00e8re<\/td><td>Sommet de la s\u00e9ance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>101,86<\/td><td>Soutien intrajournalier<\/td><td>Creux de la s\u00e9ance<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La r\u00e9sistance principale au-dessus du march\u00e9 est <strong>102,37<\/strong>, le sommet de 18 mois de lundi. Les acheteurs n\u2019ont pas r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 d\u00e9passer ce plafond avant le repli du dollar; un retour dans cette zone pourrait donc attirer des ventes. Une cl\u00f4ture nette au-dessus indiquerait un regain de vigueur. Juste en dessous se trouve <strong>102,00<\/strong>, qui sert de pivot. Avec un DXY autour de <strong>101,9<\/strong>, reprendre et maintenir 102,00 montrerait que les acheteurs reprennent la main. \u00c0 l\u2019inverse, des rejets r\u00e9p\u00e9t\u00e9s \u00e0 ce niveau rendraient le dollar plus vuln\u00e9rable \u00e0 une baisse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>101,99<\/strong> correspond au sommet de la s\u00e9ance et \u00e0 la premi\u00e8re r\u00e9sistance. En bas de la fourchette, <strong>101,86<\/strong> est le creux de la s\u00e9ance et le soutien le plus proche. Si ce niveau c\u00e8de, un repli plus profond devient plus probable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Sc\u00e9narios haussier et baissier<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6acf0697307af.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Sc\u00e9nario<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D\u00e9clencheur<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confirmation<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Haussier<\/td><td>Un IPC \u00e0 3,6 % sur un an ou plus, qui fait monter les rendements du Tr\u00e9sor et renforce l\u2019id\u00e9e d\u2019une Fed plus stricte (politique \u00ab restrictive \u00bb = taux plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s plus longtemps)<\/td><td>Le DXY repasse au-dessus de 102,00 et s\u2019y maintient, avec une pouss\u00e9e vers 102,37; une cl\u00f4ture au-dessus de 102,37 ouvrirait la voie \u00e0 de nouveaux sommets sur plusieurs mois<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Baissier<\/td><td>Un IPC sous 3,6 % sur un an, qui d\u00e9tend les rendements et r\u00e9duit les paris sur une Fed plus stricte<\/td><td>Le DXY casse 101,86 (creux de la s\u00e9ance) et reste en dessous, avec des vendeurs visant un repli plus marqu\u00e9; l\u2019or et l\u2019EURUSD devraient se raffermir<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pour qu\u2019un sc\u00e9nario haussier se mette en place, l\u2019indice doit reprendre <strong>102,00<\/strong> et viser un nouveau test de <strong>102,37<\/strong>. Une cl\u00f4ture au-dessus de 102,37 ouvrirait la porte \u00e0 de nouveaux sommets sur plusieurs mois.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pour un sc\u00e9nario baissier, le DXY passerait sous le <strong>creux de s\u00e9ance \u00e0 101,86<\/strong>, ce qui pourrait entra\u00eener un repli plus prononc\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Avis de non-responsabilit\u00e9<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Les niveaux de prix et les sc\u00e9narios pr\u00e9sent\u00e9s refl\u00e8tent l\u2019analyse de l\u2019auteur au moment de la r\u00e9daction. Ils ne constituent pas un conseil financier ni une recommandation officielle de VT Markets. Chaque op\u00e9rateur devrait faire sa propre analyse et g\u00e9rer le risque avec prudence.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pr\u00e9vision DXY : quels moteurs?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le principal moteur \u00e0 court terme est la publication des donn\u00e9es d\u2019inflation am\u00e9ricaines. Un IPC de septembre \u00e0 3,6 % sur un an ou plus renforcerait le sc\u00e9nario d\u2019une Fed plus stricte, pousserait les rendements du Tr\u00e9sor \u00e0 la hausse et soutiendrait la demande de dollars. Le DXY r\u00e9agit souvent \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9cart de rendements (la diff\u00e9rence de taux) entre les \u00c9tats-Unis et les autres grandes \u00e9conomies : si les rendements am\u00e9ricains montent plus que ceux ailleurs, cela tend \u00e0 appuyer l\u2019indice. L\u2019IPP apporte aussi une deuxi\u00e8me lecture de l\u2019inflation; un chiffre \u00e9lev\u00e9 pourrait prolonger le mouvement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c0 l\u2019inverse, un IPC plus faible r\u00e9duirait les attentes de hausses de taux, ferait baisser les rendements et favoriserait de nouvelles ventes de dollars. La baisse du p\u00e9trole peut aussi peser sur le dollar, car des co\u00fbts d\u2019\u00e9nergie plus bas r\u00e9duisent la pression sur l\u2019inflation et donnent \u00e0 la Fed moins de raisons de rester agressive. Un changement de ton dans les commentaires de la Fed pourrait avoir un effet similaire.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">N\u00e9gociez le DXY avec VT Markets<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Avec VT Markets, les op\u00e9rateurs peuvent acc\u00e9der \u00e0 des CFD sur devises (CFD = contrat sur diff\u00e9rence, un produit d\u00e9riv\u00e9 qui suit le prix sans d\u00e9tenir l\u2019actif) en plus des principales paires de change, de l\u2019or, du p\u00e9trole, des indices boursiers, des actions, des FNB\/ETF (fonds n\u00e9goci\u00e9s en Bourse) et d\u2019autres march\u00e9s mondiaux de CFD, sur une seule plateforme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cela permet de suivre les mouvements du dollar tout en comparant l\u2019\u00e9volution de l\u2019USDJPY, de l\u2019EURUSD, de l\u2019or (souvent cot\u00e9 XAUUSD) et des march\u00e9s de l\u2019\u00e9nergie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Utilisez les outils graphiques de VT Markets pour surveiller les niveaux de soutien et de r\u00e9sistance (zones o\u00f9 le prix a tendance \u00e0 rebondir ou \u00e0 bloquer), les moyennes mobiles (moyennes de prix sur une p\u00e9riode, utilis\u00e9es pour lisser la tendance) et les cassures (breakouts, quand le prix d\u00e9passe un niveau cl\u00e9) \u00e0 mesure que la prochaine configuration USDX se forme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>FAQ<\/strong><\/summary>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Qu\u2019est-ce que l\u2019indice du dollar am\u00e9ricain (DXY)?<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le DXY mesure la valeur du dollar par rapport \u00e0 un panier de grandes devises, dont l\u2019euro, le yen et la livre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Pourquoi l\u2019IPC fait bouger le dollar?<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019IPC indique \u00e0 quelle vitesse les prix augmentent. Une inflation plus \u00e9lev\u00e9e augmente la probabilit\u00e9 d\u2019une Fed plus stricte (taux plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s), ce qui tend \u00e0 faire monter les rendements et \u00e0 soutenir le dollar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Que se passe-t-il pour l\u2019or si l\u2019IPC est \u00e9lev\u00e9?<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019or est souvent sous pression quand le dollar et les rendements montent, et il a tendance \u00e0 progresser quand ils baissent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Quelles paires sont les plus touch\u00e9es?<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">EURUSD et USDJPY r\u00e9agissent le plus directement, tout comme l\u2019or, car ces march\u00e9s sont sensibles aux mouvements du dollar et des rendements.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Commencez \u00e0 n\u00e9gocier d\u00e8s maintenant \u2014 cliquez <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-ca\/trade-now\/\">ici<\/a> pour cr\u00e9er votre compte r\u00e9el VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Attention \u00e0 la prochaine secousse: le DXY recule sous 102 apr\u00e8s un sommet de 18 mois, en attente de l\u2019IPC US (3,6% vis\u00e9). Surprise d\u2019inflation: dollar et rendements bougent, or\/EURUSD\/USDJPY aussi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69699,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69700","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Attention \u00e0 la prochaine secousse: le DXY recule sous 102 apr\u00e8s un sommet de 18 mois, en attente de l\u2019IPC US (3,6% vis\u00e9). 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