{"id":69342,"date":"2026-10-07T06:07:19","date_gmt":"2026-10-07T06:07:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-ca\/uncategorized\/silver-drops-as-oil-rebounds-and-high-yields-pressure-xagusd\/"},"modified":"2026-10-07T06:07:19","modified_gmt":"2026-10-07T06:07:19","slug":"silver-drops-as-oil-rebounds-and-high-yields-pressure-xagusd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-ca\/analysis\/silver-drops-as-oil-rebounds-and-high-yields-pressure-xagusd\/","title":{"rendered":"L\u2019argent recule alors que le p\u00e9trole rebondit et que les rendements \u00e9lev\u00e9s p\u00e8sent sur le XAGUSD"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ac5c52d11054.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u00c0 retenir<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>L\u2019argent a recul\u00e9 vers <strong>60,70 $<\/strong>, en baisse d\u2019environ <strong>1,1 %<\/strong> lors de la derni\u00e8re s\u00e9ance.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La hausse du p\u00e9trole maintient l\u2019inflation au centre des pr\u00e9occupations, alors que les risques sur l\u2019approvisionnement au Moyen-Orient restent \u00e9lev\u00e9s.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les rendements des obligations du Tr\u00e9sor am\u00e9ricain (les taux offerts par les obligations de l\u2019\u00c9tat am\u00e9ricain) demeurent \u00e9lev\u00e9s, ce qui augmente le \u00ab co\u00fbt d\u2019opportunit\u00e9 \u00bb de d\u00e9tenir des m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux qui ne versent pas d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat (comme l\u2019argent).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La faible cr\u00e9ation d\u2019emplois en septembre r\u00e9duit les attentes d\u2019une nouvelle hausse de taux de la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale (Fed) en octobre.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les \u00ab minutes \u00bb (compte rendu d\u00e9taill\u00e9) de la derni\u00e8re r\u00e9union de la Fed seront le prochain facteur cl\u00e9 pour les attentes de taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat et le dollar am\u00e9ricain.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mouvement du march\u00e9<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le XAGUSD (le prix de l\u2019argent en dollars US) se n\u00e9gocie autour de <strong>60,697<\/strong>, apr\u00e8s avoir recul\u00e9 depuis un sommet intrajournalier (plus haut observ\u00e9 dans la s\u00e9ance) de <strong>61,491<\/strong>. Le creux de s\u00e9ance (plus bas observ\u00e9 dans la s\u00e9ance) s\u2019\u00e9tablit \u00e0 <strong>60,677<\/strong>, ce qui place l\u2019argent pr\u00e8s du bas de sa fourchette quotidienne.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019argent a d\u2019abord grimp\u00e9 vers la zone <strong>60,95 \u00e0 61,00<\/strong>, puis la dynamique (la force du mouvement des prix) s\u2019est retourn\u00e9e. Le prix a ensuite encha\u00een\u00e9 des sommets et des creux de plus en plus bas, avec une acc\u00e9l\u00e9ration des ventes apr\u00e8s la rupture sous <strong>60,85<\/strong>. Les tentatives de rebond vers <strong>60,80<\/strong> ont \u00e9t\u00e9 repouss\u00e9es, et le prix a gliss\u00e9 vers <strong>60,70<\/strong>. \u00c0 court terme, la structure demeure faible. Cela dit, les derni\u00e8res bougies (barres de prix sur le graphique) sugg\u00e8rent que la pression vendeuse se stabilise pr\u00e8s de <strong>60,68 \u00e0 60,70<\/strong>, une zone qui devient le test imm\u00e9diat pour les vendeurs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi le march\u00e9 surveille ce dossier<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019argent r\u00e9agit \u00e0 la baisse des attentes de resserrement de la Fed \u00e0 court terme (resserrement = hausse des taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat et conditions de cr\u00e9dit plus strictes), mais aussi \u00e0 un regain de pressions inflationnistes li\u00e9 \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9nergie. La croissance de l\u2019emploi aux \u00c9tats-Unis a ralenti en septembre, avec seulement <strong>29 000 emplois cr\u00e9\u00e9s<\/strong>, et les chiffres des mois pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents ont \u00e9t\u00e9 r\u00e9vis\u00e9s \u00e0 la baisse. Cela r\u00e9duit la probabilit\u00e9 que la Fed rel\u00e8ve encore ses taux lors de sa r\u00e9union d\u2019octobre. Selon les prix de march\u00e9, la probabilit\u00e9 d\u2019une hausse en octobre tourne autour de 16 %, contre 70 % il y a une semaine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Normalement, ce contexte soutient les m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux. Toutefois, la combinaison de rendements \u00e9lev\u00e9s et d\u2019un p\u00e9trole en hausse rend l\u2019argent moins attrayant. Le rendement \u00e0 10 ans (taux de l\u2019obligation du Tr\u00e9sor am\u00e9ricain \u00e0 10 ans) reste \u00e9lev\u00e9, autour de <strong>5,3 %<\/strong>, tandis que le p\u00e9trole repart \u00e0 la hausse sur fond d\u2019inqui\u00e9tudes sur l\u2019approvisionnement au Moyen-Orient. Le Brent (r\u00e9f\u00e9rence mondiale du p\u00e9trole) a d\u00e9pass\u00e9 <strong>101 $ le baril<\/strong>, ce qui ravive le risque d\u2019inflation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le prochain d\u00e9clencheur sera le <strong>compte rendu de la r\u00e9union de septembre de la Fed<\/strong>. Les op\u00e9rateurs chercheront des indices sur la fa\u00e7on dont les d\u00e9cideurs \u00e9valuent l\u2019inflation et sur la possibilit\u00e9 d\u2019un autre resserrement plus tard cette ann\u00e9e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Niveaux techniques cl\u00e9s<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/SILVER\/?exchange=TVC\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">SILVER chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\"> by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"TVC:SILVER\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Niveau<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Zone<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Importance technique<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>61<\/td><td>R\u00e9sistance majeure<\/td><td>Niveau psychologique (niveau rond souvent surveill\u00e9) et proche de l\u2019ancien sommet intrajournalier<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>60,9<\/td><td>R\u00e9sistance<\/td><td>Zone o\u00f9 le rebond pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent a commenc\u00e9 \u00e0 perdre de la force<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>60,8<\/td><td>Niveau pivot \u00e0 court terme<\/td><td>Zone de stabilisation r\u00e9cente et de rejets r\u00e9p\u00e9t\u00e9s<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>60,7<\/td><td>Soutien imm\u00e9diat<\/td><td>Zone d\u2019\u00e9change actuelle et niveau psychologique \u00e0 court terme<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>60,677<\/td><td>Creux intrajournalier<\/td><td>Prix le plus bas observ\u00e9 durant la s\u00e9ance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>60,6<\/td><td>Soutien inf\u00e9rieur<\/td><td>Prochaine zone \u00e0 la baisse si le creux de s\u00e9ance c\u00e8de<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le bras de fer technique imm\u00e9diat se joue autour de <strong>60,70<\/strong>. Un maintien au-dessus de cette zone pourrait permettre \u00e0 l\u2019argent de se stabiliser et de tenter un retour vers <strong>60,80<\/strong>. \u00c0 l\u2019inverse, une cassure durable sous le creux de s\u00e9ance \u00e0 <strong>60,677<\/strong> confirmerait une d\u00e9gradation \u00e0 court terme et pourrait ouvrir la voie vers <strong>60,60<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c0 la hausse, <strong>60,80<\/strong> est le premier niveau que les acheteurs doivent reprendre. Un d\u00e9passement plus net de <strong>60,90<\/strong> affaiblirait la s\u00e9quence baissi\u00e8re actuelle et remettrait <strong>61,00<\/strong> en jeu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Sc\u00e9narios haussier et baissier<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ac5c52e8e9af.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Sc\u00e9nario<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D\u00e9clencheur<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confirmation<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Haussier<\/td><td>Cassure au-dessus de 60,80<\/td><td>Retour au-dessus de la moyenne mobile \u00e0 9 p\u00e9riodes (moyenne des 9 derni\u00e8res p\u00e9riodes, utilis\u00e9e pour lire la tendance) et formation de sommets \u00e0 court terme plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rebond<\/td><td>Maintien au-dessus de 60,70<\/td><td>Les acheteurs d\u00e9fendent le soutien et le prix se stabilise au-dessus du creux de s\u00e9ance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Baissier<\/td><td>Cassure sous 60,677<\/td><td>La pression vendeuse s\u2019\u00e9tend et le prix reste sous une moyenne mobile en baisse<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le sc\u00e9nario haussier ne se limite pas \u00e0 \u00ab tenir \u00bb pr\u00e8s de <strong>60,70<\/strong>. Les acheteurs devraient reprendre <strong>60,80<\/strong> et ramener le prix au-dessus de la moyenne mobile \u00e0 court terme avant une am\u00e9lioration claire de la dynamique.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le sc\u00e9nario baissier reste le plus coh\u00e9rent avec le graphique actuel. L\u2019argent se n\u00e9gocie sous la moyenne mobile \u00e0 9 p\u00e9riodes, et chaque rebond recentre des sommets plus bas. Une rupture sous <strong>60,677<\/strong> pourrait prolonger le mouvement vers <strong>60,60<\/strong>. En revanche, un retour au-dessus de <strong>60,80<\/strong> commencerait \u00e0 fragiliser cette structure baissi\u00e8re.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Avis de non-responsabilit\u00e9<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Les niveaux de prix et les sc\u00e9narios d\u00e9crits refl\u00e8tent l\u2019\u00e9valuation de l\u2019auteur au moment de la r\u00e9daction. Ils ne constituent pas un conseil financier ni une recommandation officielle de VT Markets. Faites votre propre analyse et g\u00e9rez le risque avec rigueur.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pr\u00e9vision sur l\u2019argent : \u00e0 quoi s\u2019attendre ensuite?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019argent pourrait rester sous pression si le p\u00e9trole continue de monter, ce qui alimente les craintes d\u2019inflation. Cela pourrait maintenir les rendements des obligations am\u00e9ricaines \u00e0 un niveau \u00e9lev\u00e9 et amener les march\u00e9s \u00e0 augmenter la probabilit\u00e9 d\u2019un resserrement suppl\u00e9mentaire de la Fed cette ann\u00e9e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La vigueur du dollar am\u00e9ricain est un autre \u00e9l\u00e9ment \u00e0 surveiller. Si les minutes de la Fed appuient le maintien d\u2019une politique restrictive (politique qui freine l\u2019\u00e9conomie par des taux \u00e9lev\u00e9s) ou la possibilit\u00e9 d\u2019une autre hausse de taux, les rendements et le dollar pourraient se renforcer, compliquant un rebond de l\u2019argent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c0 l\u2019inverse, l\u2019argent pourrait progresser si les d\u00e9cideurs optent pour la prudence apr\u00e8s la faiblesse des donn\u00e9es sur l\u2019emploi. Des attentes r\u00e9duites de nouvelles hausses de taux pourraient faire baisser les rendements et le dollar, ce qui am\u00e9liore le contexte pour les m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">N\u00e9gocier le XAGUSD avec VT Markets<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tag\/silver\/?utm_source=DMA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">L\u2019argent<\/a> en CFD (contrat sur la diff\u00e9rence : produit qui permet de sp\u00e9culer sur la variation du prix sans poss\u00e9der l\u2019actif) permet de s\u2019exposer aux mouvements du prix de l\u2019argent sans d\u00e9tenir le m\u00e9tal. Le XAGUSD est influenc\u00e9 notamment par les attentes de taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat, l\u2019inflation, la demande industrielle, les mouvements de devises et les tensions g\u00e9opolitiques. Consultez <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/what-is-silver-trading-how-to-trade-silver-complete-guide\/?utm_source=DMA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">un guide complet sur la n\u00e9gociation de l\u2019argent en 2026<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Avec VT Markets, les investisseurs peuvent suivre l\u2019\u00e9volution du prix de l\u2019argent aux c\u00f4t\u00e9s d\u2019autres m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux, du march\u00e9 des devises (forex : \u00e9change de monnaies), des indices boursiers et des mati\u00e8res premi\u00e8res, \u00e0 l\u2019aide d\u2019outils et de plateformes de n\u00e9gociation avanc\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>FAQ<\/strong><\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi l\u2019argent baisse-t-il aujourd\u2019hui?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019argent recule alors que le p\u00e9trole rebondit et que les rendements des obligations am\u00e9ricaines restent \u00e9lev\u00e9s. Ces facteurs maintiennent l\u2019inflation et les risques de taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat au premier plan, et le graphique montre aussi une perte de force \u00e0 court terme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Comment les minutes de la Fed peuvent-elles influencer l\u2019argent?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Des minutes plus \u00ab faucon \u00bb (ton qui laisse entendre des taux plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s) peuvent soutenir les rendements et le dollar, ce qui p\u00e8se souvent sur l\u2019argent. Un ton plus prudent peut r\u00e9duire les attentes de hausse de taux et soutenir le XAGUSD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi les rendements obligataires influencent-ils l\u2019argent?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019argent ne verse pas d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat. Quand les rendements obligataires montent, les placements qui rapportent un int\u00e9r\u00eat deviennent relativement plus attrayants, ce qui peut faire pression sur les m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">L\u2019argent peut-il repasser au-dessus de 61 $?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Oui, mais le graphique sugg\u00e8re que les acheteurs doivent d\u2019abord reprendre <strong>60,80<\/strong> et <strong>60,90<\/strong>. Une cassure durable au-dessus de ces zones am\u00e9liorerait la structure \u00e0 court terme et remettrait <strong>61,00<\/strong> \u00e0 l\u2019avant-plan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Devrais-je n\u00e9gocier l\u2019argent?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cela d\u00e9pend de votre tol\u00e9rance au risque, de votre plan de n\u00e9gociation et de votre lecture du march\u00e9. L\u2019argent est tr\u00e8s sensible aux variations des taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat am\u00e9ricains, des rendements obligataires, du dollar, des attentes d\u2019inflation et des risques g\u00e9opolitiques.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Commencez \u00e0 n\u00e9gocier d\u00e8s maintenant \u2014 cliquez <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-ca\/trade-now\/\">ici<\/a> pour cr\u00e9er votre compte r\u00e9el VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Coup dur pour l\u2019argent : le XAGUSD glisse vers 60,70 $ (-1,1 %), plomb\u00e9 par des rendements US \u00e9lev\u00e9s et un p\u00e9trole au-del\u00e0 de 101 $. Les minutes de la Fed seront d\u00e9cisives.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69341,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69342","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Coup dur pour l\u2019argent : le XAGUSD glisse vers 60,70 $ (-1,1 %), plomb\u00e9 par des rendements US \u00e9lev\u00e9s et un p\u00e9trole au-del\u00e0 de 101 $. 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