{"id":69247,"date":"2026-10-02T06:05:29","date_gmt":"2026-10-02T06:05:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-ca\/uncategorized\/us-futures-gain-as-sp500-holds-near-7680-ahead-of-jobs-data\/"},"modified":"2026-10-02T06:05:29","modified_gmt":"2026-10-02T06:05:29","slug":"us-futures-gain-as-sp500-holds-near-7680-ahead-of-jobs-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-ca\/analysis\/us-futures-gain-as-sp500-holds-near-7680-ahead-of-jobs-data\/","title":{"rendered":"Les contrats \u00e0 terme am\u00e9ricains progressent alors que le S&#038;P 500 se maintient pr\u00e8s de 7 680 avant les donn\u00e9es sur l\u2019emploi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6abf2e5fc4a23.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Points cl\u00e9s<\/h2>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le SP500 se n\u00e9gocie autour de <strong>7 680,60<\/strong>, en hausse d\u2019environ <strong>0,07 %<\/strong> sur le graphique.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>On s\u2019attend \u00e0 ce que les <strong>emplois non agricoles (NFP)<\/strong> \u2014 le nombre d\u2019emplois cr\u00e9\u00e9s aux \u00c9tats\u2011Unis, hors agriculture \u2014 montrent environ <strong>90 000 emplois ajout\u00e9s en septembre<\/strong>, contre 162 000 en ao\u00fbt. Le taux de ch\u00f4mage devrait rester pr\u00e8s de 4,1 %.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les <strong>rendements des obligations du Tr\u00e9sor am\u00e9ricain<\/strong> \u2014 le taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat que le march\u00e9 exige pour pr\u00eater au gouvernement am\u00e9ricain \u2014 et les prix du p\u00e9trole restent des risques majeurs pour les actions. Le rendement du <strong>10 ans am\u00e9ricain<\/strong> a bri\u00e8vement touch\u00e9 <strong>environ 5,34 % jeudi<\/strong>, un sommet depuis 2002.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La suite pour le SP500 pourrait d\u00e9pendre de l\u2019effet du rapport sur l\u2019emploi sur les attentes de <strong>hausse des taux de la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale (Fed)<\/strong>, la banque centrale des \u00c9tats\u2011Unis.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mouvement de march\u00e9<\/h2>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le SP500 se n\u00e9gocie autour de <strong>7 680,60<\/strong> apr\u00e8s une s\u00e9ance volatile \u00e0 tr\u00e8s court terme. L\u2019indice a \u00e9volu\u00e9 pr\u00e8s de <strong>7 685 \u00e0 7 686<\/strong> avant de glisser graduellement. Les ventes se sont ensuite acc\u00e9l\u00e9r\u00e9es, ramenant le prix vers la zone <strong>7 677 \u00e0 7 678<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Des acheteurs sont apparus pr\u00e8s de ces creux. L\u2019indice est remont\u00e9 vers <strong>7 681<\/strong>, tandis que la <strong>moyenne mobile sur 9 p\u00e9riodes<\/strong> \u2014 un indicateur qui lisse les prix sur les 9 derni\u00e8res p\u00e9riodes pour mieux voir la tendance \u2014 s\u2019est aplatie puis a commenc\u00e9 \u00e0 remonter. Les derniers mouvements montrent une <strong>reprise \u00e0 court terme dans un repli plus large intrajournalier<\/strong> (\u00e0 l\u2019int\u00e9rieur de la m\u00eame s\u00e9ance), plut\u00f4t qu\u2019une cassure haussi\u00e8re confirm\u00e9e.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi les march\u00e9s surveillent<\/h2>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les donn\u00e9es sur les emplois non agricoles de vendredi devraient influencer les <strong>contrats \u00e0 terme<\/strong> am\u00e9ricains \u2014 des instruments qui refl\u00e8tent l\u2019orientation anticip\u00e9e des march\u00e9s avant l\u2019ouverture \u2014 et le SP500, et donner des indices sur l\u2019\u00e9tat du march\u00e9. Le rapport de septembre est attendu \u00e0 <strong>8 h 30 (HE) le 2 octobre<\/strong>. Le march\u00e9 table sur environ <strong>89 000 nouveaux emplois<\/strong>, en baisse par rapport aux 162 000 d\u2019ao\u00fbt, et un taux de ch\u00f4mage \u00e0 4,1 %.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 Friday\u2019s US jobs report is the only major labor read before the October FOMC meeting. Forecast: 89K vs 162K prior.<br><br>The previous NFP release beat expectations, eased labor concerns, repriced rate hike odds, and pushed USD higher. <br><br>Another surprise could move markets again. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/wXmbLDnlkW\">pic.twitter.com\/wXmbLDnlkW<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Forex Factory (@ForexFactory) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/ForexFactory\/status\/2105675132832305386?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 1, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les <strong>taux directeurs de la Fed<\/strong> \u2014 les taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence qui influencent les co\u00fbts d\u2019emprunt dans l\u2019\u00e9conomie \u2014 pourraient aussi bouger, car un march\u00e9 de l\u2019emploi solide laisse plus de marge pour monter les taux, surtout si l\u2019inflation reste au\u2011dessus de la cible annuelle de 2 % de la banque centrale. La r\u00e9cente hausse des <strong>rendements<\/strong> des obligations am\u00e9ricaines a aussi maintenu les investisseurs sur le qui-vive, avec un passage au\u2011del\u00e0 de 5 %, un niveau in\u00e9dit depuis 2002.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">U.S. Treasury yields hit their highest level in more than two decades on Thursday as a global bond sell-off deepened.<br><br>Read more: <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/0xV9b5qXPv\">https:\/\/t.co\/0xV9b5qXPv<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/4DYr6NwTuQ\">pic.twitter.com\/4DYr6NwTuQ<\/a><\/p>&mdash; CNBC (@CNBC) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CNBC\/status\/2105637168467300611?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 1, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le p\u00e9trole ajoute un autre facteur d\u2019incertitude. Les prix ont bondi de 4 % apr\u00e8s des informations faisant \u00e9tat d\u2019un envoi de troupes suppl\u00e9mentaires des \u00c9tats\u2011Unis au Moyen\u2011Orient, ce qui ravive les craintes d\u2019inflation alors que les co\u00fbts de l\u2019\u00e9nergie restent \u00e9lev\u00e9s.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The U.S. military is planning for a possible surge of thousands of naval forces to the Middle East in coming weeks, as President Trump considers renewing strikes on Iran after the midterm elections, U.S. officials said. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/O9DcmJwDZP\">https:\/\/t.co\/O9DcmJwDZP<\/a><\/p>&mdash; The Washington Post (@washingtonpost) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/washingtonpost\/status\/2105810030721138824?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 2, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Niveau de n\u00e9gociation cl\u00e9<\/h2>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/VANTAGE-SP500\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">SP500 chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"VANTAGE:SP500\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Niveau<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Importance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7 686<\/td><td>R\u00e9sistance majeure \u00e0 court terme et zone des sommets de s\u00e9ance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7 684<\/td><td>R\u00e9sistance secondaire<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7 682<\/td><td>Premi\u00e8re r\u00e9sistance \u00e0 surveiller<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7 680<\/td><td>Zone pivot imm\u00e9diate (niveau qui sert de rep\u00e8re entre hausse et baisse)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7 678<\/td><td>Premier support (zone o\u00f9 les acheteurs peuvent r\u00e9appara\u00eetre)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7 676 \u00e0 7 677<\/td><td>Zone de support intrajournalier cl\u00e9<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le <strong>niveau 7 680<\/strong> est particuli\u00e8rement important \u00e0 tr\u00e8s court terme. Le prix revient souvent dans cette zone, ce qui en fait une ligne de d\u00e9marcation utile entre une reprise et un retour de faiblesse.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Sc\u00e9narios haussier et baissier<\/h2>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6abf2e612af57.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Sc\u00e9nario<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D\u00e9clencheur<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Cibles possibles<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Ce que \u00e7a pourrait indiquer<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Haussier<\/td><td>Mouvement qui se maintient au\u2011dessus de 7 682<\/td><td>7 684, puis 7 686<\/td><td>Les acheteurs prolongent le rebond et testent les sommets plus t\u00f4t en s\u00e9ance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Baissier<\/td><td>Baisse sous 7 678<\/td><td>7 676 \u00e0 7 677<\/td><td>La reprise actuelle perd de l\u2019\u00e9lan et les vendeurs reviennent<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Avis de non-responsabilit\u00e9<\/em><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Les niveaux de prix et sc\u00e9narios ci\u2011dessus refl\u00e8tent l\u2019\u00e9valuation de l\u2019auteur au moment de la r\u00e9daction. Ce n\u2019est pas un conseil financier ni une recommandation officielle de VT Markets. Faites votre propre analyse et g\u00e9rez le risque avec soin.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pr\u00e9vision du SP500<\/h2>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le prochain rapport NFP devrait influencer les contrats \u00e0 terme am\u00e9ricains et le SP500, car il fa\u00e7onne les attentes concernant la politique de la Fed et les rendements des obligations du Tr\u00e9sor. Un rapport sur l\u2019emploi plus fort que pr\u00e9vu pourrait renforcer l\u2019id\u00e9e que l\u2019\u00e9conomie am\u00e9ricaine demeure r\u00e9siliente, augmenter la probabilit\u00e9 d\u2019une hausse de taux et pousser les rendements \u00e0 la hausse. Ces deux facteurs peuvent peser sur la <strong>valorisation<\/strong> des actions \u2014 le prix que les investisseurs sont pr\u00eats \u00e0 payer selon les profits attendus \u2014 et exercer une pression sur le SP500.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Un rapport mod\u00e9r\u00e9ment plus faible soutiendrait probablement les actions s\u2019il r\u00e9duit les attentes de hausse des taux sans faire douter de la croissance. En revanche, un chiffre tr\u00e8s faible pourrait avoir un effet mitig\u00e9 : la baisse des rendements peut d\u2019abord aider les actions, mais des signes d\u2019un march\u00e9 du travail qui se d\u00e9t\u00e9riore peuvent raviver les craintes de r\u00e9cession.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pour les investisseurs, l\u2019enjeu est de voir si le NFP confirme un ralentissement graduel du march\u00e9 de l\u2019emploi, ce qui r\u00e9duirait la pression sur les taux, ou un freinage plus marqu\u00e9 qui inqui\u00e9terait pour l\u2019\u00e9conomie am\u00e9ricaine.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">N\u00e9gociez le SP500 avec VT Markets<\/h2>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les \u00e9v\u00e9nements \u00e9conomiques influencent fortement les contrats \u00e0 terme am\u00e9ricains, comme ceux li\u00e9s au S&amp;P 500. Il faut surveiller les donn\u00e9es cl\u00e9s, car les attentes du march\u00e9 changent vite.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Avec VT Markets, il est possible d\u2019acc\u00e9der au SP500 et \u00e0 d\u2019autres <strong>CFD<\/strong> sur indices \u2014 des \u00ab contrats sur la diff\u00e9rence \u00bb, un produit d\u00e9riv\u00e9 qui permet de miser sur la hausse ou la baisse d\u2019un prix sans d\u00e9tenir l\u2019actif \u2014 ainsi qu\u2019au forex (devises), \u00e0 l\u2019or, au p\u00e9trole, aux CFD sur actions, aux CFD sur FNB (ETF) et \u00e0 d\u2019autres march\u00e9s mondiaux via une seule plateforme. Cela permet de suivre les mouvements d\u2019ensemble et de comparer ce qui se passe entre les titres technologiques, les mati\u00e8res premi\u00e8res, les devises et d\u2019autres grandes cat\u00e9gories d\u2019actifs.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary>FAQ<\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u00c0 quel niveau se n\u00e9gocie le SP500 en ce moment?<\/h3>\n\n\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le graphique montre le SP500 autour de <strong>7 680,60<\/strong>, en hausse d\u2019environ 0,07 % au moment de la capture.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quels sont les niveaux cl\u00e9s du SP500 \u00e0 surveiller?<\/h3>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La r\u00e9sistance imm\u00e9diate se situe pr\u00e8s de <strong>7 682<\/strong>, puis 7 684 et 7 686. Le premier support est autour de <strong>7 678<\/strong>, avec un support intrajournalier plus solide vers 7 676 \u00e0 7 677.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Comment les emplois non agricoles (NFP) peuvent-ils affecter le SP500?<\/h3>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Un rapport sur l\u2019emploi plus fort pourrait renforcer les attentes d\u2019une politique plus restrictive de la Fed (taux plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s) et pousser les rendements obligataires \u00e0 la hausse, ce qui peut nuire aux actions. Un rapport plus faible pourrait r\u00e9duire la pression sur les taux, mais un chiffre anormalement bas pourrait accro\u00eetre les craintes pour la croissance.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quand le rapport NFP de septembre est-il publi\u00e9?<\/h3>\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) \u2014 l\u2019agence am\u00e9ricaine qui publie ces donn\u00e9es \u2014 a pr\u00e9vu le rapport sur l\u2019emploi de septembre 2026 pour <strong>le vendredi 2 octobre 2026 \u00e0 8 h 30 (HE)<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><\/p><\/details>\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Commencez \u00e0 n\u00e9gocier d\u00e8s maintenant \u2014 cliquez <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-ca\/trade-now\/\">ici<\/a> pour cr\u00e9er votre compte r\u00e9el VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Attention, le SP500 (7 680) joue gros: le NFP attendu autour de 90 000 emplois pourrait bousculer les anticipations de la Fed. Rendements US \u00e0 5,34% et p\u00e9trole: risques.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69246,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69247","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Attention, le SP500 (7 680) joue gros: le NFP attendu autour de 90 000 emplois pourrait bousculer les anticipations de la Fed. 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