{"id":68732,"date":"2026-09-09T04:01:18","date_gmt":"2026-09-09T04:01:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-ca\/uncategorized\/sp-500-steady-after-decline-as-oil-prices-and-inflation-risks-remain-in-focus\/"},"modified":"2026-09-09T04:01:18","modified_gmt":"2026-09-09T04:01:18","slug":"sp-500-steady-after-decline-as-oil-prices-and-inflation-risks-remain-in-focus","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-ca\/analysis\/sp-500-steady-after-decline-as-oil-prices-and-inflation-risks-remain-in-focus\/","title":{"rendered":"Le S&#038;P 500 demeure stable apr\u00e8s son recul, tandis que les prix du p\u00e9trole et les risques d\u2019inflation restent au centre de l\u2019attention"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Copy-of-discover-7-1024x559.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-67801\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Points cl\u00e9s<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Les contrats \u00e0 terme (futures) sur le S&amp;P 500 se sont stabilis\u00e9s pr\u00e8s de la <strong>zone des 7 686<\/strong> apr\u00e8s le recul de mardi, alors que les investisseurs r\u00e9\u00e9valuent l\u2019inflation et les attentes de taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les tensions g\u00e9opolitiques ont augment\u00e9 apr\u00e8s des frappes am\u00e9ricaines visant des p\u00e9troliers iraniens pr\u00e8s de l\u2019\u00eele de Kharg, \u00e0 la suite de tentatives d\u2019attaques au missile contre un navire de guerre am\u00e9ricain.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les march\u00e9s \u00e9valuent \u00e0 environ <strong>60 %<\/strong> la probabilit\u00e9 d\u2019une <strong>hausse de taux de 0,25 point de pourcentage<\/strong> (25 points de base), ce qui maintient la pression sur les actifs plus risqu\u00e9s (comme les actions).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le ton \u00e0 tr\u00e8s court terme demeure prudent : le S&amp;P 500 reste sous son sommet intrajournalier (le plus haut de la s\u00e9ance) pr\u00e8s de <strong>7 690,70<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les prochains chiffres d\u2019inflation aux \u00c9tats-Unis p\u00e8seront lourd dans la prochaine d\u00e9cision de la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale (la banque centrale am\u00e9ricaine).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mouvement du march\u00e9<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les contrats \u00e0 terme sur actions am\u00e9ricaines se sont stabilis\u00e9s mercredi apr\u00e8s une s\u00e9ance n\u00e9gative des principaux indices, alors que les investisseurs surveillent l\u2019effet d\u2019un p\u00e9trole plus cher et le retour des tensions g\u00e9opolitiques.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le graphique des contrats \u00e0 terme sur le S&amp;P 500 s\u2019\u00e9change autour de <strong>7 686,82<\/strong>, apr\u00e8s une ouverture pr\u00e8s de <strong>7 681,65<\/strong> et une fluctuation intrajournali\u00e8re entre <strong>7 675,70 et 7 690,70<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le S&amp;P 500 s\u2019est repris apr\u00e8s ses plus bas de s\u00e9ance et a \u00e9volu\u00e9 dans une fourchette \u00e9troite, le march\u00e9 cherchant un point d\u2019\u00e9quilibre apr\u00e8s le r\u00e9cent recul.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mardi, en s\u00e9ance r\u00e9guli\u00e8re, le <strong>Dow Jones a recul\u00e9 de 1,18 %<\/strong>, le <strong>S&amp;P 500 de 0,58 %<\/strong> et le <strong>Nasdaq Composite de 0,32 %<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi les traders surveillent le S&amp;P 500<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le S&amp;P 500 reste tr\u00e8s sensible aux attentes d\u2019inflation (ce que le march\u00e9 anticipe pour la hausse des prix), \u00e0 la trajectoire des taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat et aux risques g\u00e9opolitiques.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les derniers \u00e9v\u00e9nements g\u00e9opolitiques ont renforc\u00e9 la prudence apr\u00e8s des frappes am\u00e9ricaines contre cinq p\u00e9troliers iraniens pr\u00e8s de l\u2019\u00eele de Kharg, \u00e0 la suite de tentatives d\u2019attaques au missile contre un navire de guerre am\u00e9ricain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Oil extended gains after Fox News reported the US struck targets near Iran\u2019s key crude export hub of Kharg Island, escalating hostilities and stoking fears of deeper disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz.<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/KateSullivanDC?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@KateSullivanDC<\/a> reports <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/PxCRoNwMyo\">https:\/\/t.co\/PxCRoNwMyo<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/xmDeGlO3JB\">pic.twitter.com\/xmDeGlO3JB<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg TV (@BloombergTV) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/BloombergTV\/status\/2097449985449099752?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 8, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La hausse des prix de l\u2019\u00e9nergie peut ajouter de la pression sur l\u2019inflation si le p\u00e9trole continue de monter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Si les prochains chiffres d\u2019inflation aux \u00c9tats-Unis restent \u00e9lev\u00e9s, les march\u00e9s pourraient s\u2019attendre \u00e0 une politique plus restrictive de la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale (des conditions de cr\u00e9dit plus serr\u00e9es), ce qui peut peser davantage sur les actions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les investisseurs surveillent si la faiblesse r\u00e9cente des titres technologiques s\u2019aggrave. Les soci\u00e9t\u00e9s de logiciels ont \u00e9t\u00e9 sous pression : <strong>Microsoft a c\u00e9d\u00e9 1,1 %<\/strong> et <strong>Amazon 0,6 %<\/strong> avant son \u00e9mission d\u2019obligations en livres sterling (une vente de dette libell\u00e9e en monnaie britannique).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Niveaux de n\u00e9gociation cl\u00e9s<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN --><div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/VANTAGE-SP500\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">SP500 chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\"> by TradingView<\/span><\/div>  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>  {  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,  \"calendar\": false,  \"details\": false,  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,  \"hide_legend\": false,  \"hide_volume\": false,  \"hotlist\": false,  \"interval\": \"D\",  \"locale\": \"en\",  \"save_image\": true,  \"style\": \"1\",  \"symbol\": \"VANTAGE:SP500\",  \"theme\": \"dark\",  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",  \"watchlist\": [],  \"withdateranges\": false,  \"compareSymbols\": [],  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",  \"studies\": [],  \"width\": 900,  \"height\": 500}  <\/script><\/div><!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Niveau<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Niveau de prix<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Ce que les traders surveillent<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>R\u00e9sistance 1<\/td><td>7 690<\/td><td>R\u00e9sistance imm\u00e9diate en s\u00e9ance (barri\u00e8re potentielle \u00e0 la hausse)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>R\u00e9sistance 2<\/td><td>7 700<\/td><td>Niveau psychologique (chiffre rond) et cible possible de reprise<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Soutien 1<\/td><td>7 675<\/td><td>Plus bas de la s\u00e9ance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Soutien 2<\/td><td>7 650<\/td><td>Soutien possible plus bas (en cas de poursuite du recul)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Soutien 3<\/td><td>7 600<\/td><td>Soutien technique plus large<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les contrats \u00e0 terme sur le S&amp;P 500 se n\u00e9gocient pr\u00e8s de <strong>7 686<\/strong>, le prix se stabilisant autour de la <strong>moyenne mobile sur 9 p\u00e9riodes<\/strong> (moyenne des 9 derni\u00e8res bougies\/jours, souvent utilis\u00e9e pour voir la tendance \u00e0 court terme) apr\u00e8s le rebond depuis le creux \u00e0 <strong>7 675,70<\/strong>. La r\u00e9sistance imm\u00e9diate se situe \u00e0 <strong>7 690<\/strong>, puis la zone psychologique des <strong>7 700<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Une hausse durable au-dessus de ces niveaux pourrait signaler un retour des acheteurs et d\u00e9placer l\u2019attention vers <strong>7 720\u20137 750<\/strong>. \u00c0 la baisse, <strong>7 675<\/strong> demeure le soutien cl\u00e9 \u00e0 court terme; une cassure sous ce niveau (un passage net en dessous) pourrait ouvrir la voie vers <strong>7 650<\/strong> puis <strong>7 600<\/strong>, si les vendeurs reprennent l\u2019avantage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Sc\u00e9narios haussier et baissier<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/codeNzJhNDM1NzI1NDNhZDlkMjc4ZDY0YmJhNGMzMzUxNDNfSDRraE5qQ1BzUUkwa05iamJxa3ZYOFlZS1BOVTNsWWFfVG9rZW46VmlKU2I4MzBpb2haQUx4Q1hkcGxNOGhvZ21mXzE3ODg5MjU4NjU6MTc4ODkyOTQ2NV9WNAampadd_watermarktrueampscene_typeCCM.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Sc\u00e9nario<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Conditions<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Cibles possibles<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Haussier<\/strong><\/td><td>Le S&amp;P 500 tient au-dessus de 7 675 et franchit 7 690\u20137 700<\/td><td>7 720 puis 7 750<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Baissier<\/strong><\/td><td>Le S&amp;P 500 ne tient pas 7 675 et passe sous le soutien<\/td><td>7 650 puis 7 600<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le sc\u00e9nario haussier exige que le S&amp;P 500 d\u00e9fende la <strong>zone de soutien \u00e0 7 675<\/strong> et franchisse <strong>7 690\u20137 700<\/strong>, ce qui indiquerait que les acheteurs absorbent la pression vendeuse r\u00e9cente et que le march\u00e9 pourrait viser des niveaux plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le sc\u00e9nario baissier reste plausible si le S&amp;P 500 n\u2019arrive pas \u00e0 repasser au-dessus de <strong>7 700<\/strong> et casse <strong>7 675<\/strong>. Cela pointerait vers une faiblesse qui se prolonge et augmenterait le risque d\u2019un mouvement vers <strong>7 650<\/strong> ou plus bas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Avis de non-responsabilit\u00e9<\/em><br><em>Les niveaux de prix et les sc\u00e9narios ci-dessus refl\u00e8tent l\u2019\u00e9valuation de l\u2019auteur au moment de la r\u00e9daction. Ils ne constituent pas un conseil financier ni une recommandation officielle de VT Markets. Les traders devraient faire leur propre analyse et g\u00e9rer le risque avec rigueur (par exemple, en limitant la taille des positions et en utilisant des ordres stop).<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pr\u00e9visions S&amp;P 500 : et maintenant?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La prochaine direction du S&amp;P 500 d\u00e9pendra surtout de l\u2019effet des prochains chiffres d\u2019inflation sur les attentes de politique de la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Une inflation plus faible pourrait r\u00e9duire la crainte de taux plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s et soutenir les actions, permettant au S&amp;P 500 de tenter un rebond vers <strong>7 720\u20137 750<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c0 l\u2019inverse, une inflation plus forte ou une nouvelle hausse du p\u00e9trole pourrait renforcer les attentes d\u2019une politique mon\u00e9taire plus restrictive (mesures visant \u00e0 ralentir l\u2019\u00e9conomie en rendant le cr\u00e9dit plus co\u00fbteux) et peser sur les actions. Le march\u00e9 pourrait alors revenir tester la <strong>zone de soutien des 7 675<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">N\u00e9gociez le S&amp;P 500 avec VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">N\u00e9gociez le S&amp;P 500 et acc\u00e9dez \u00e0 des indices mondiaux avec VT Markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Avec des conditions de n\u00e9gociation concurrentielles, des outils de graphiques avanc\u00e9s et plusieurs plateformes, les traders peuvent analyser les mouvements du S&amp;P 500 et g\u00e9rer leurs positions sur les march\u00e9s mondiaux.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Commencez \u00e0 n\u00e9gocier des <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/indices\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">CFD sur indices<\/a> (un contrat qui suit le prix d\u2019un indice, sans d\u00e9tenir l\u2019actif) avec VT Markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi n\u00e9gocier le S&amp;P 500 avec VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">N\u00e9gocier le S&amp;P 500 avec VT Markets donne acc\u00e8s \u00e0 l\u2019un des indices boursiers les plus suivis au monde via des CFD (produits d\u00e9riv\u00e9s qui r\u00e9pliquent les variations de prix), ce qui permet de viser un gain autant en hausse qu\u2019en baisse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>FAQ<\/strong><\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Qu\u2019est-ce qui influence les contrats \u00e0 terme sur le S&amp;P 500 aujourd\u2019hui?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les contrats \u00e0 terme sur le S&amp;P 500 sont influenc\u00e9s par la hausse du p\u00e9trole, les tensions g\u00e9opolitiques et les attentes quant \u00e0 la prochaine d\u00e9cision de taux de la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi la hausse du p\u00e9trole affecte-t-elle le S&amp;P 500?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Un p\u00e9trole plus cher peut alimenter les attentes d\u2019inflation. Le march\u00e9 peut alors anticiper une politique mon\u00e9taire plus restrictive et des co\u00fbts d\u2019emprunt plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s (pr\u00eats et financement plus co\u00fbteux), ce qui nuit souvent aux actions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quels niveaux les traders surveillent-ils sur le S&amp;P 500?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les traders surveillent la <strong>r\u00e9sistance \u00e0 7 690\u20137 700<\/strong> et le <strong>soutien \u00e0 7 675<\/strong> pour d\u00e9terminer le prochain mouvement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Comment les donn\u00e9es d\u2019inflation peuvent-elles influencer le S&amp;P 500?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Une inflation plus forte peut accro\u00eetre les attentes de taux plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s et mettre les actions sous pression. Une inflation plus faible peut r\u00e9duire ces craintes et soutenir les actifs plus risqu\u00e9s.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Commencez \u00e0 n\u00e9gocier d\u00e8s maintenant \u2014 cliquez <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-ca\/trade-now\/\">ici<\/a> pour cr\u00e9er votre compte r\u00e9el VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Les futures du S&#038;P 500 se stabilisent pr\u00e8s de 7 686, mais attention: p\u00e9trole, tensions Iran\u2013\u00c9.-U. et inflation ravivent la volatilit\u00e9. Les march\u00e9s voient 60 % de probabilit\u00e9 d\u2019une hausse de taux de 25 pb.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":68731,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68732","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Les futures du S&amp;P 500 se stabilisent pr\u00e8s de 7 686, mais attention: p\u00e9trole, tensions Iran\u2013\u00c9.-U. et inflation ravivent la volatilit\u00e9. 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