{"id":68722,"date":"2026-09-11T06:48:54","date_gmt":"2026-09-11T06:48:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-ca\/uncategorized\/dj30-holds-near-52000-as-cpi-oil-prices-and-fed-rate-bets-drive-market-focus\/"},"modified":"2026-09-11T06:48:54","modified_gmt":"2026-09-11T06:48:54","slug":"dj30-holds-near-52000-as-cpi-oil-prices-and-fed-rate-bets-drive-market-focus","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-ca\/analysis\/dj30-holds-near-52000-as-cpi-oil-prices-and-fed-rate-bets-drive-market-focus\/","title":{"rendered":"Le DJ30 se maintient pr\u00e8s de 52 000 alors que l\u2019IPC, les prix du p\u00e9trole et les paris sur les taux de la Fed focalisent l\u2019attention des march\u00e9s"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/codeZmZlMzhhZmE2ZTQ1YzE5MjU0MjU2YWRmNzAzOTRmZjFfNTJNOTJ0WVFmT240MEtHVkhSWFVSdDJaT3J5bjFTWk5fVG9rZW46SG9NOGJsSFZtb29IaGJ4TUYwN2xuQTRGZzBiXzE3ODkxMDgzNTQ6MTc4OTExMTk1NF9WNAampadd_watermarktrueampscene_typeCCM.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Points cl\u00e9s<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le DJ30 s\u2019\u00e9changeait autour de <strong>52 193<\/strong> apr\u00e8s avoir effac\u00e9 une faiblesse en s\u00e9ance, mais l\u2019indice bute sur une r\u00e9sistance pr\u00e8s de la zone <strong>52 200\u201352 240<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Des donn\u00e9es solides sur l\u2019<strong>indice des prix \u00e0 la production (PPI)<\/strong> (mesure de l\u2019\u00e9volution des prix pay\u00e9s par les producteurs) ont raviv\u00e9 les craintes d\u2019inflation et soutenu l\u2019id\u00e9e d\u2019une possible hausse de taux de la Fed.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les prochaines donn\u00e9es majeures seront l\u2019<strong>indice des prix \u00e0 la consommation (CPI)<\/strong> d\u2019ao\u00fbt (mesure de l\u2019\u00e9volution des prix pay\u00e9s par les m\u00e9nages). Le march\u00e9 veut voir si l\u2019inflation ralentit encore ou repart \u00e0 la hausse.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La hausse du p\u00e9trole a ajout\u00e9 de la pression inflationniste, a pouss\u00e9 les rendements des obligations du Tr\u00e9sor am\u00e9ricain \u00e0 la hausse (taux offerts par la dette de l\u2019\u00c9tat) et a refroidi l\u2019app\u00e9tit pour le risque.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mouvement du march\u00e9<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le DJ30 \u00e9volue pr\u00e8s de 52 193 apr\u00e8s avoir \u00e9chou\u00e9 \u00e0 conserver des gains au-dessus de 52 220, et l\u2019\u00e9lan \u00e0 court terme semble s\u2019essouffler.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019indice a rebondi apr\u00e8s le recul de la s\u00e9ance pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente, alors que le Dow Jones Industrial Average a cl\u00f4tur\u00e9 en baisse de <strong>0,60 % \u00e0 52 064,10<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi les march\u00e9s surveillent<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le march\u00e9 se concentre sur les donn\u00e9es d\u2019ao\u00fbt du <strong>CPI<\/strong> pour savoir si l\u2019inflation continue de se calmer ou si la pression sur les prix revient.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le dernier rapport sur le <strong>PPI<\/strong> a montr\u00e9 que l\u2019inflation des producteurs aux \u00c9tats-Unis a augment\u00e9 de <strong>0,4 % sur un mois<\/strong> en ao\u00fbt, portant le rythme annuel \u00e0 <strong>5,4 %<\/strong>. Cette surprise \u00e0 la hausse renforce l\u2019id\u00e9e que la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale (la <strong>Fed<\/strong>, banque centrale des \u00c9tats-Unis) pourrait garder une politique <strong>restrictive<\/strong> plus longtemps (taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat \u00e9lev\u00e9s pour freiner l\u2019inflation).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le p\u00e9trole demeure aussi un moteur important, le Brent s\u2019\u00e9changeant au-dessus de <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/analysis\/oil-surges-above-100-as-middle-east-supply-risks-intensify\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">100 $ US le baril<\/a>, port\u00e9 par les risques g\u00e9opolitiques.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Niveaux de n\u00e9gociation cl\u00e9s<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/VANTAGE-DJ30\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">DJ30 chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\"> by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"VANTAGE:DJ30\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Niveau<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Ce que le march\u00e9 surveille<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>52 275<\/td><td>Sommet r\u00e9cent et r\u00e9sistance imm\u00e9diate \u00e0 franchir<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>52 220<\/td><td>Zone de r\u00e9sistance cl\u00e9 o\u00f9 les vendeurs r\u00e9apparaissent<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>52 193<\/td><td>Zone de n\u00e9gociation actuelle<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>52 190\u201352 195<\/td><td>Zone de la moyenne mobile \u00e0 court terme et support imm\u00e9diat<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>52 180<\/td><td>Premier support sous les prix r\u00e9cents<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>52 085<\/td><td>Plus bas de s\u00e9ance et support important<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>52 000<\/td><td>Support psychologique en cas d\u2019acc\u00e9l\u00e9ration des ventes<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le DJ30 se situe l\u00e9g\u00e8rement sous sa <strong>moyenne mobile<\/strong> \u00e0 court terme (moyenne des prix r\u00e9cents utilis\u00e9e pour lire la tendance), avec la <strong>moyenne mobile sur 9 p\u00e9riodes<\/strong> autour de <strong>52 195<\/strong>. L\u2019indice a eu du mal \u00e0 rester au-dessus de <strong>52 220<\/strong>, ce qui a produit une s\u00e9rie de sommets de plus en plus bas en s\u00e9ance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c0 court terme, l\u2019indice est en <strong>consolidation<\/strong> (phase de pause, sans tendance nette). Les acheteurs d\u00e9fendent encore la zone <strong>52 180\u201352 190<\/strong>, mais le fait de ne pas repasser au-dessus de la moyenne mobile sugg\u00e8re que plusieurs attendent les donn\u00e9es du CPI pour trancher la direction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Sc\u00e9narios haussiers et baissiers<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-8-1024x472.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-68121\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td><strong>Sc\u00e9nario<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>D\u00e9clencheur<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>R\u00e9action possible du march\u00e9<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rupture haussi\u00e8re<\/td><td>Passage au-dessus de 52 220<\/td><td>Les acheteurs pourraient retester 52 275, avec potentiel de hausse si l\u2019\u00e9lan s\u2019acc\u00e9l\u00e8re<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rebond<\/td><td>Maintien au-dessus de 52 180\u201352 190 et retour au-dessus de la moyenne mobile<\/td><td>Retour d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat acheteur vers les r\u00e9sistances<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rupture baissi\u00e8re<\/td><td>Passage sous 52 180<\/td><td>Les vendeurs pourraient viser le support \u00e0 52 085<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>March\u00e9 en range<\/td><td>Maintien entre 52 180 et 52 220<\/td><td>Attente des donn\u00e9es du CPI et des attentes de taux de la Fed pour une direction claire<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le <strong>sc\u00e9nario haussier<\/strong> repose sur un retour au-dessus de <strong>52 220<\/strong> et un d\u00e9passement du sommet de s\u00e9ance \u00e0 <strong>52 275<\/strong>. Cela indiquerait que les acheteurs reprennent la main apr\u00e8s le repli.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le <strong>sc\u00e9nario de rebond<\/strong> met l\u2019accent sur le <strong>support 52 180\u201352 190<\/strong>. Si cette zone tient et que le prix repasse au-dessus de la moyenne mobile, l\u2019indice pourrait tenter une nouvelle pouss\u00e9e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le <strong>sc\u00e9nario baissier<\/strong> se met en place si le DJ30 passe sous <strong>52 180<\/strong>, ce qui confirmerait une pression vendeuse plus forte. Une cassure sous <strong>52 085<\/strong> (plus bas de s\u00e9ance) augmenterait le risque d\u2019un recul plus marqu\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Avis de non-responsabilit\u00e9<\/em><br><em>Les niveaux de prix et sc\u00e9narios ci-dessus refl\u00e8tent l\u2019\u00e9valuation de l\u2019auteur au moment de la r\u00e9daction. Ils ne constituent pas un conseil financier ni une recommandation officielle de VT Markets. Les investisseurs devraient faire leur propre analyse et g\u00e9rer le risque avec soin.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">N\u00e9gociez des indices avec VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">G\u00e9rez votre exposition aux march\u00e9s (votre niveau de risque) avec des plateformes de n\u00e9gociation avanc\u00e9es, des conditions concurrentielles et des options de <strong>levier<\/strong> (emprunter pour augmenter la taille d\u2019une position, ce qui amplifie aussi les pertes possibles).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Avec VT Markets, il est possible de n\u00e9gocier des <strong>CFD<\/strong> (contrats sur la diff\u00e9rence : produit d\u00e9riv\u00e9 qui permet de sp\u00e9culer sur la hausse ou la baisse sans d\u00e9tenir l\u2019actif) sur le Dow Jones, ainsi que sur des indices mondiaux, le march\u00e9 des devises (forex), des mati\u00e8res premi\u00e8res, des actions et des FNB (ETF).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi n\u00e9gocier des indices avec VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Avec VT Markets, n\u00e9gociez des indices populaires des \u00c9tats-Unis, d\u2019Europe et d\u2019Asie via MT4, MT5, TradingView et l\u2019application VT Markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>FAQ<\/strong><\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Qu\u2019est-ce qui influence les contrats \u00e0 terme sur le Dow Jones aujourd\u2019hui?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les contrats \u00e0 terme (instruments qui fixent aujourd\u2019hui un prix pour une transaction \u00e0 une date pr\u00e9cise) sur le Dow Jones r\u00e9agissent surtout aux attentes d\u2019inflation, \u00e0 la hausse du p\u00e9trole, aux mouvements des rendements des obligations am\u00e9ricaines et aux sp\u00e9culations sur la prochaine d\u00e9cision de la Fed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi le CPI est-il important pour le Dow Jones?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le CPI donne un portrait de l\u2019inflation aux \u00c9tats-Unis. Un CPI plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 que pr\u00e9vu peut alimenter des attentes de taux plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s, tandis qu\u2019une inflation plus faible tend \u00e0 soutenir les actions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quel est le niveau de r\u00e9sistance cl\u00e9 pour les contrats \u00e0 terme sur le Dow Jones?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La r\u00e9sistance \u00e0 court terme se situe autour de <strong>52 220\u201352 240<\/strong>. Un franchissement pourrait signaler un retour de l\u2019\u00e9lan acheteur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quel est le niveau de support cl\u00e9 pour les contrats \u00e0 terme sur le Dow Jones?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le support imm\u00e9diat se trouve autour de <strong>52 180<\/strong>, puis un support plus solide pr\u00e8s de <strong>52 085<\/strong>, le plus bas r\u00e9cent en s\u00e9ance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Comment le prix du p\u00e9trole influence-t-il le Dow Jones?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Un p\u00e9trole plus cher peut accro\u00eetre les risques d\u2019inflation, ce qui peut pousser les taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat \u00e0 la hausse et peser sur la valeur des actions. \u00c0 l\u2019inverse, les entreprises du secteur de l\u2019\u00e9nergie peuvent profiter de la hausse du brut.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Commencez \u00e0 n\u00e9gocier d\u00e8s maintenant \u2014 cliquez <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-ca\/trade-now\/\">ici<\/a> pour cr\u00e9er votre compte r\u00e9el VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Le Dow Jones plafonne pr\u00e8s de 52 200: attention au CPI d\u2019ao\u00fbt. Un PPI plus fort et un p\u00e9trole au-dessus de 100 $US ravivent l\u2019inflation, gonflent les taux et freinent le risque.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":68721,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68722","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Le Dow Jones plafonne pr\u00e8s de 52 200: attention au CPI d\u2019ao\u00fbt. 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