{"id":68617,"date":"2026-09-21T10:06:38","date_gmt":"2026-09-21T10:06:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-ca\/uncategorized\/week-ahead-markets-reprice-post-rate-hike-as-usd-gold-and-equities-face-key-tests\/"},"modified":"2026-09-21T10:06:38","modified_gmt":"2026-09-21T10:06:38","slug":"week-ahead-markets-reprice-post-rate-hike-as-usd-gold-and-equities-face-key-tests","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-ca\/featured\/week-ahead-markets-reprice-post-rate-hike-as-usd-gold-and-equities-face-key-tests\/","title":{"rendered":"Semaine \u00e0 venir : les march\u00e9s r\u00e9\u00e9valuent les cours apr\u00e8s la hausse des taux, tandis que le dollar am\u00e9ricain, l\u2019or et les actions font face \u00e0 des tests cl\u00e9s"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/hff6qb5z7p3.sg.larksuite.com\/space\/api\/box\/stream\/download\/asynccode\/?code=ZjY5MjgwOWU4MmJlMWRhNmRiMGMzYjc3ZWVmZjY4ZDNfdHcwZmJaNVlDYWVIVFZQcnZWOHNXWm9rb25UbU5IY1NfVG9rZW46SHJySWJDVmN5b3FGelN4dnZYdmxQbTczZ21nXzE3ODk5NjE5OTE6MTc4OTk2NTU5MV9WNA&amp;add_watermark=true&amp;scene_type=CCM\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Aper\u00e7u<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le 16 septembre, la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale (Fed) a relev\u00e9 sa cible pour le taux des fonds f\u00e9d\u00e9raux de 25 points de base (0,25 point de pourcentage) \u00e0 3,75 %\u20134,00 %, avec l\u2019appui des 12 membres votants.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les projections de la Fed laissent encore entrevoir un resserrement. La projection m\u00e9diane du taux des fonds f\u00e9d\u00e9raux \u00e0 la fin de 2026 est de 4,1 %, et 16 participants sur 18 voient un taux de fin d\u2019ann\u00e9e au-dessus du niveau actuel (milieu de la fourchette).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019\u00e9nergie demeure un risque important pour l\u2019inflation, alors que les risques d\u2019offre de p\u00e9trole au Moyen-Orient restent au centre de l\u2019attention.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les march\u00e9s suivront de pr\u00e8s les PMI \u00ab flash \u00bb (premi\u00e8res estimations) des \u00c9tats-Unis, les nouvelles demandes d\u2019assurance-emploi, la d\u00e9cision de taux de la BNS et les commandes de biens durables pour juger de la croissance et de la demande de main-d\u2019\u0153uvre.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Septembre modifie la trajectoire des taux<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le 16 septembre, le Comit\u00e9 de politique mon\u00e9taire de la Fed (FOMC) a relev\u00e9 sa fourchette cible de 25 points de base \u00e0 3,75 %\u20134,00 %. Le vote 12-0 marque la premi\u00e8re hausse de taux aux \u00c9tats-Unis depuis plus de trois ans, apr\u00e8s un retour des pressions inflationnistes et une hausse des co\u00fbts de l\u2019\u00e9nergie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">In a unanimous vote, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by a quarter percentage point on Wednesday. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/74IgTp67tp\">https:\/\/t.co\/74IgTp67tp<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/2100388049330851855?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 17, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le Sommaire des projections \u00e9conomiques (SEP) de septembre indique un taux m\u00e9dian des fonds f\u00e9d\u00e9raux de 4,1 % \u00e0 la fin de 2026. Sur 18 participants, 16 ont plac\u00e9 leur projection de fin d\u2019ann\u00e9e \u00e0 4,125 % ou 4,375 %, ce qui revient \u00e0 pr\u00e9voir une hausse additionnelle par rapport au milieu de la fourchette actuelle (3,875 %).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En clair, la Fed avance prudemment : d\u2019autres hausses demeurent possibles en 2026, puis une baisse des taux pourrait suivre en 2027.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Une autre hausse reste possible si l\u2019inflation demeure \u00e9lev\u00e9e tandis que l\u2019\u00e9conomie et l\u2019emploi continuent d\u2019encaisser des conditions financi\u00e8res plus serr\u00e9es (cr\u00e9dit plus co\u00fbteux et financement moins facile).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">L\u2019\u00e9nergie reste li\u00e9e aux perspectives d\u2019inflation<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Oil rises after Houthi attack on Saudi capital <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/hIjD2NI5Fc\">https:\/\/t.co\/hIjD2NI5Fc<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/hIjD2NI5Fc\">https:\/\/t.co\/hIjD2NI5Fc<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Reuters\/status\/2101823841949364525?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 21, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le p\u00e9trole continue de compliquer l\u2019\u00e9quation. Le conflit au Moyen-Orient maintient les prix du p\u00e9trole brut \u00e0 un niveau \u00e9lev\u00e9, en perturbant certaines routes d\u2019approvisionnement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Une \u00e9nergie ch\u00e8re se r\u00e9percute sur le transport, la production et, au final, sur les prix pay\u00e9s par les consommateurs. Cela maintient les attentes d\u2019inflation \u00e9lev\u00e9es, m\u00eame si d\u2019autres pressions sur les prix se calment. Le p\u00e9trole brut s\u2019ajoute donc \u00e0 l\u2019inflation PCE (mesure d\u2019inflation privil\u00e9gi\u00e9e par la Fed, bas\u00e9e sur les prix des achats des m\u00e9nages) et aux donn\u00e9es sur l\u2019emploi parmi les indicateurs cl\u00e9s avant la prochaine d\u00e9cision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">La Maison-Blanche et la Fed suivent des voies diff\u00e9rentes<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Aux \u00c9tats-Unis, les attentes diff\u00e8rent entre l\u2019ex\u00e9cutif et la banque centrale.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le pr\u00e9sident Donald Trump continue de plaider pour des taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat de 1 % ou moins. De son c\u00f4t\u00e9, la Fed a relev\u00e9 les taux en septembre en visant un retour de l\u2019inflation vers sa cible de 2 %.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The Federal Reserve is expected to lift interest rates on Wednesday for the first time since 2023. That\u2019s likely to strain Chairman Kevin Warsh\u2019s relationship with President Donald Trump. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/68bhnrRoaR\">https:\/\/t.co\/68bhnrRoaR<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/2100039503196958968?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 16, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les conditions \u00e9conomiques ont probablement pouss\u00e9 Warsh \u00e0 une d\u00e9cision \u00e0 contre-courant des pr\u00e9f\u00e9rences de la Maison-Blanche. Une inflation tenace, une activit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique solide et des inqui\u00e9tudes croissantes sur le march\u00e9 obligataire (o\u00f9 s\u2019\u00e9changent les titres de dette) p\u00e8sent lourd. Avant la r\u00e9union, les march\u00e9s avaient d\u00e9j\u00e0 nettement int\u00e9gr\u00e9 une hausse, et plusieurs analystes avaient averti qu\u2019une inaction pourrait affaiblir la cr\u00e9dibilit\u00e9 de la Fed sur la stabilit\u00e9 des prix (sa capacit\u00e9 \u00e0 ma\u00eetriser l\u2019inflation).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Les march\u00e9s n\u00e9gocient maintenant les effets indirects<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le dollar am\u00e9ricain s\u2019est raffermi apr\u00e8s la d\u00e9cision. Lundi, l\u2019indice du dollar (DXY, qui compare le dollar \u00e0 un panier de grandes devises) \u00e9voluait autour de 100,23. Les rendements des bons du Tr\u00e9sor am\u00e9ricain \u00e0 deux ans sont mont\u00e9s \u00e0 4,76 %, alors que les investisseurs s\u2019ajustaient \u00e0 des taux potentiellement plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les variations des rendements des obligations du Tr\u00e9sor se transmettent rapidement aux devises et aux m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux. Ce lien entre les rendements am\u00e9ricains et l\u2019or reste donc central apr\u00e8s la Fed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019or a d\u2019abord recul\u00e9 apr\u00e8s la hausse, puis s\u2019est repris \u00e0 mesure que le p\u00e9trole et le dollar se d\u00e9tendaient. L\u2019or au comptant (prix imm\u00e9diat, pour livraison rapide) a atteint 4 390,11 $ vendredi et a affich\u00e9 sa premi\u00e8re hausse hebdomadaire en quatre semaines.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Gold was steady as traders weighed the risk of persistent inflation and the path for interest rates after the Federal Reserve\u2019s first hike since 2023 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/X97gb53KIE\">https:\/\/t.co\/X97gb53KIE<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/2101823762790297940?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 21, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les actions am\u00e9ricaines ont connu une semaine plus mitig\u00e9e. Le S&amp;P 500 (indice boursier de 500 grandes soci\u00e9t\u00e9s am\u00e9ricaines) a cl\u00f4tur\u00e9 vendredi \u00e0 7 650,50, en baisse de 0,1 % sur la semaine. Le Nasdaq (indice ax\u00e9 sur les titres technologiques) a gagn\u00e9 0,7 %, tandis que le Dow (indice de 30 grandes entreprises industrielles et de services) a recul\u00e9 de 1,7 %.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Les donn\u00e9es de croissance reviennent au premier plan<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La prochaine publication majeure sur l\u2019inflation aux \u00c9tats-Unis est attendue le 30 septembre, lorsque le Bureau of Economic Analysis rendra public le rapport sur les revenus et d\u00e9penses des m\u00e9nages d\u2019ao\u00fbt, incluant les indices de prix PCE. Ce rapport est important, car il mesure l\u2019\u00e9volution des prix des biens et services achet\u00e9s par les consommateurs et sert de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence principale \u00e0 la Fed pour suivre l\u2019inflation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Fed&#39;s Kashkari says inflation is still too high in &#39;all aspects&#39; of US economy, in Fox News interview <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/IR9V83QxQ6\">https:\/\/t.co\/IR9V83QxQ6<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/IR9V83QxQ6\">https:\/\/t.co\/IR9V83QxQ6<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Reuters\/status\/2101755803057201254?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 20, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le PMI \u00ab flash \u00bb manufacturier est attendu \u00e0 53,4 (contre 53,9), et le PMI \u00ab flash \u00bb des services \u00e0 56,0 (contre 56,5). Les nouvelles demandes d\u2019allocations ch\u00f4mage (premi\u00e8re demande) sont attendues \u00e0 201 000, apr\u00e8s 196 000 la semaine pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente. Un niveau proche de 200 000 cadrerait avec un march\u00e9 du travail encore solide, comme le d\u00e9crit la Fed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Symboles cl\u00e9s \u00e0 surveiller<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USDX | EURUSD | GBPUSD | USDJPY | GOLD<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u00c9v\u00e9nements \u00e0 venir<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Date<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Devise<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>\u00c9v\u00e9nement<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Pr\u00e9vision<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Commentaire des analystes<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>23 Sep 2026<\/td><td>USD<\/td><td>PMI \u00ab flash \u00bb manufacturier<\/td><td>53.4<\/td><td>53.9<\/td><td>Au-dessus de 50, l\u2019industrie est en expansion (activit\u00e9 en hausse). Une surprise \u00e0 la hausse pourrait soutenir les rendements am\u00e9ricains et le dollar.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>23 Sep 2026<\/td><td>USD<\/td><td>PMI \u00ab flash \u00bb des services<\/td><td>56<\/td><td>56.5<\/td><td>Les services restent le moteur de l\u2019\u00e9conomie am\u00e9ricaine. Une activit\u00e9 stable pourrait renforcer l\u2019id\u00e9e d\u2019une Fed plus stricte sur les taux.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>24 Sep 2026<\/td><td>CHF<\/td><td>Taux directeur de la BNS (Banque nationale suisse)<\/td><td>0.00%<\/td><td>0.00%<\/td><td>Un statu quo est largement attendu. Les indications sur l\u2019inflation et le franc suisse pourraient faire bouger le CHF (fortes variations possibles).<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>24 Sep 2026<\/td><td>USD<\/td><td>Demandes d\u2019allocations ch\u00f4mage<\/td><td>201K<\/td><td>196K<\/td><td>Un autre r\u00e9sultat solide renforcerait l\u2019id\u00e9e que le march\u00e9 du travail peut absorber des taux plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>25 Sep 2026<\/td><td>USD<\/td><td>Commandes de biens durables m\/m (variation mensuelle)<\/td><td>-0.30%<\/td><td>1.10%<\/td><td>Une lecture plus forte pourrait soutenir les attentes de croissance et les rendements du Tr\u00e9sor.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Principaux mouvements de la semaine<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">USDX<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/hff6qb5z7p3.sg.larksuite.com\/space\/api\/box\/stream\/download\/asynccode\/?code=OWZjMjAyMmU4MjQwNjJkM2I3ODQwNjc2YjQyOGJiZGVfM2VuSDFwTG1Wb3Z4eVVxaFJQYUMzSmN1aWpYY0pEamFfVG9rZW46UGI1eGJrSFNVbzRN0l4aVBjSmxSTmNUZ3hkXzE3ODk5NjIwMzg6MTc4OTk2NTYzOF9WNA&amp;add_watermark=true&amp;scene_type=CCM\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>L\u2019USDX a test\u00e9 la zone de 100,00 une deuxi\u00e8me fois, puis a recul\u00e9. Il faut toutefois plus de confirmation des mouvements de prix.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Si l\u2019indice baisse, surveiller la zone de 99,40.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Si l\u2019USDX se stabilise autour de 100,00 puis remonte, surveiller des signaux de baisse au-dessus de 100,31 ou pr\u00e8s de 100,80.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">EURUSD<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/hff6qb5z7p3.sg.larksuite.com\/space\/api\/box\/stream\/download\/asynccode\/?code=ZmRlMmI5MTkwOTRkNWQ0NTNlNzgzNjJkOGRkZTU3OWVfOVR2WEF2ckJRRlkyeEpzRVQ5Y3gwNVFMcFcxT2kwWE1fVG9rZW46S1JsdWJPd1Znb0VzcFN4alJaRmxnMFVJZ1ZiXzE3ODk5NjIwNTA6MTc4OTk2NTY1MF9WNA&amp;add_watermark=true&amp;scene_type=CCM\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>L\u2019EURUSD se n\u00e9gocie encore pr\u00e8s de la zone suivie \u00e0 1,1490.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Si le taux remonte, surveiller la zone de 1,1530. Une stabilisation (mouvements limit\u00e9s) pourrait ouvrir la porte \u00e0 une poursuite de la hausse.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Si l\u2019EURUSD recule, chercher des signaux de reprise pr\u00e8s de 1,1390.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">GBPUSD<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/hff6qb5z7p3.sg.larksuite.com\/space\/api\/box\/stream\/download\/asynccode\/?code=OGM1NTg2MDdjYTVmZTk3MjZjMWY1Mjg1NDA3MWY4YjhfWWpEalBuT1dsQnVFS2k5eWhCYnpDV3ljMWNRSjhSNGpfVG9rZW46SGpzSGJYQ1lKb2tLazJ4UUhpRGx1bjhmZ2lnXzE3ODk5NjIwNTA6MTc4OTk2NTY1MF9WNA&amp;add_watermark=true&amp;scene_type=CCM\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le GBPUSD a rebondi depuis la zone suivie de 1,3350, mais il faut plus de confirmation.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Si le GBPUSD recule, surveiller des signaux de reprise pr\u00e8s de 1,3290.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">USDJPY<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-14-1024x546.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-68767\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Il fallait plus de momentum baissier (une pression de vente plus forte) pour que le prix descende sous 156,00.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Si l\u2019USDJPY baisse, surveiller des signaux de reprise pr\u00e8s de 155,85.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Si le prix remonte, surveiller des signaux de repli pr\u00e8s de 158,75.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">OR<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/hff6qb5z7p3.sg.larksuite.com\/space\/api\/box\/stream\/download\/asynccode\/?code=YzU3MTVkNmM4ZjQ0ZTQ1ZmEyYTUzNTM1NzVlNzYyNzdfNnVRV0NNTGZxQmtrSDBRc3BDQjRjYlBsT2Q3UUhXTVVfVG9rZW46RVFwbGI3OEhZb0l5MkR4bWxKWmxWbmJ0Z1BoXzE3ODk5NjIwNjk6MTc4OTk2NTY2OV9WNA&amp;add_watermark=true&amp;scene_type=CCM\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Si l\u2019or monte, surveiller les r\u00e9actions du prix lors d\u2019un passage au-dessus de 4403, 4434 ou 4510.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Si le prix d\u00e9passe 4510, surveiller des signaux de repli pr\u00e8s de 4600.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">En bref<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La Fed a fait passer le march\u00e9 de la question \u00ab y aura-t-il un nouveau resserrement? \u00bb \u00e0 \u00ab jusqu\u2019o\u00f9 ce cycle pourrait-il aller? \u00bb. La fourchette de 3,75 %\u20134,00 %, la projection m\u00e9diane de 4,1 % et la pression persistante des prix de l\u2019\u00e9nergie soutiennent le dollar am\u00e9ricain et les rendements obligataires, puisque les investisseurs anticipent des taux plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s. En parall\u00e8le, l\u2019or et les actions montrent que la r\u00e9action n\u2019est pas uniforme. Les PMI \u00ab flash \u00bb, les demandes d\u2019allocations ch\u00f4mage, la d\u00e9cision de la BNS et les donn\u00e9es sur les biens durables aideront \u00e0 \u00e9valuer si la croissance reste assez forte pour que la Fed resserre encore. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>FAQ<\/strong><\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pourquoi la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale a-t-elle relev\u00e9 les taux en septembre 2026?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La Fed a relev\u00e9 la fourchette cible du taux des fonds f\u00e9d\u00e9raux de 25 points de base \u00e0 3,75 %\u20134,00 %, car l\u2019inflation restait au-dessus de la cible et l\u2019activit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique demeurait solide. Elle a aussi indiqu\u00e9 qu\u2019un resserrement additionnel restait possible si la hausse des prix persistait.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">La Fed pourrait-elle relever encore les taux en 2026?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Oui. Les projections de septembre sugg\u00e8rent qu\u2019une autre hausse demeure possible d\u2019ici la fin de l\u2019ann\u00e9e. Les prochaines donn\u00e9es sur l\u2019inflation, l\u2019emploi et la croissance p\u00e8seront dans la d\u00e9cision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Comment des taux plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s peuvent-ils influencer le dollar am\u00e9ricain?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Des taux am\u00e9ricains plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s peuvent soutenir le dollar, car ils rendent les placements en dollars (obligations, d\u00e9p\u00f4ts, etc.) plus attrayants en comparaison d\u2019autres devises.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quels sont les principaux risques pour les actions am\u00e9ricaines?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Des rendements obligataires plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s restent un frein pour les secteurs sensibles aux taux (comme certaines entreprises de croissance), tandis que des donn\u00e9es \u00e9conomiques trop solides pourraient renforcer l\u2019id\u00e9e de nouvelles hausses de taux.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quels indicateurs surveiller cette semaine?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c0 surveiller : les PMI \u00ab flash \u00bb (industrie et services), les nouvelles demandes d\u2019allocations ch\u00f4mage, la d\u00e9cision de la BNS et les commandes de biens durables aux \u00c9tats-Unis. Ces donn\u00e9es peuvent influencer les attentes sur la croissance, l\u2019inflation et la trajectoire des banques centrales.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Commencez \u00e0 n\u00e9gocier d\u00e8s maintenant \u2014 cliquez <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/fr-ca\/trade-now\/\">ici<\/a> pour cr\u00e9er votre compte r\u00e9el VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Surprise sur les march\u00e9s : la Fed remonte ses taux \u00e0 3,75 %-4,00 % et vise 4,1 % en 2026. \u00c9nergie ch\u00e8re, rendements et dollar grimpent; or et actions h\u00e9sitent. Donn\u00e9es cl\u00e9s \u00e0 venir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":68616,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12,29],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68617","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured","category-week_ahead"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Surprise sur les march\u00e9s : la Fed remonte ses taux \u00e0 3,75 %-4,00 % et vise 4,1 % en 2026. \u00c9nergie ch\u00e8re, rendements et dollar grimpent; or et actions h\u00e9sitent. 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