{"id":68044,"date":"2026-09-24T07:57:45","date_gmt":"2026-09-24T07:57:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/es-latam\/uncategorized\/spi200-forecast-australian-shares-rebound-ahead-of-labour-data\/"},"modified":"2026-09-24T07:57:45","modified_gmt":"2026-09-24T07:57:45","slug":"spi200-forecast-australian-shares-rebound-ahead-of-labour-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/es-latam\/analysis\/spi200-forecast-australian-shares-rebound-ahead-of-labour-data\/","title":{"rendered":"Pron\u00f3stico del SPI200: las acciones australianas rebotan antes de los datos de empleo"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Copy-of-discover-7-3-1024x559.webp\" alt=\"SPI200 rebounds after losing session amid rising inflation and looming labour data.\n\" class=\"wp-image-69128\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Puntos clave<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Las acciones australianas siguen sensibles al alza de los rendimientos de los bonos del Tesoro de EE. UU. (la tasa que paga el gobierno y que suele presionar a la baja a las acciones), al repunte del petr\u00f3leo y al regreso de las preocupaciones por inflaci\u00f3n (subida general de precios).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>El mercado sigue de cerca los pr\u00f3ximos datos de empleo de Australia para inferir la trayectoria de tasas del Banco de la Reserva de Australia (RBA).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>El RBA ha se\u00f1alado que una inflaci\u00f3n persistente podr\u00eda requerir m\u00e1s endurecimiento de la pol\u00edtica monetaria (subir tasas o retirar est\u00edmulos para enfriar la econom\u00eda).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>El SPI200 se recuper\u00f3 hacia <strong>8,697<\/strong> tras caer hacia la <strong>zona de soporte en 8,630<\/strong> (nivel donde suele aparecer demanda).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Movimiento del mercado<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Los futuros de acciones australianas rebotaron tras un inicio d\u00e9bil: el SPI200 subi\u00f3 hacia <strong>8,697<\/strong> luego de tocar un m\u00ednimo intrad\u00eda cerca de <strong>8,630<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El SPI200 avanz\u00f3 durante la sesi\u00f3n, recuper\u00e1ndose de la ca\u00edda inicial y marcando m\u00ednimos cada vez m\u00e1s altos. El \u00edndice oper\u00f3 por encima de la <strong>media m\u00f3vil de 9 periodos<\/strong> (promedio de precios de las \u00faltimas 9 velas, usado para medir la tendencia de corto plazo), lo que sugiere una mejora del impulso comprador.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sin embargo, el avance se fren\u00f3 cerca de la <strong>zona de resistencia en 8,700<\/strong> (nivel donde suele aparecer oferta), lo que refleja cautela antes de datos econ\u00f3micos clave y se\u00f1ales de bancos centrales.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Por qu\u00e9 los traders siguen al SPI200<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Los traders est\u00e1n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/what-is-indices-trading-and-how-does-it-work\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> monitoreando el SPI200<\/a> mientras las acciones australianas se estabilizan antes de datos relevantes del mercado laboral, que podr\u00edan mover las expectativas sobre la pol\u00edtica del <strong>Banco de la Reserva de Australia (RBA)<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La recuperaci\u00f3n del SPI200 lleg\u00f3 tras la presi\u00f3n inicial por ca\u00eddas en Wall Street, el alza de los rendimientos de los bonos del Tesoro de EE. UU. y el regreso de temores de inflaci\u00f3n. Rendimientos m\u00e1s altos suelen restar atractivo a las acciones. Adem\u00e1s, el <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/crude-oil-guide-prices-trading-what-is-wti-crude\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">precio del petr\u00f3leo<\/a> por encima de <strong>USD 103<\/strong> aument\u00f3 el foco en posibles presiones inflacionarias.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Con este contexto, el mercado eval\u00faa si los bancos centrales mantendr\u00e1n una postura restrictiva, lo que suele sostener tasas m\u00e1s altas por m\u00e1s tiempo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Millions of Australians are bracing for another massive hit to their hip pockets, with almost every expert tipping the Reserve Bank will hike interest rates next week.<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/tCsLKm0mFv\">https:\/\/t.co\/tCsLKm0mFv<\/a><\/p>&mdash; News24 Australia (@News24Aust) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/News24Aust\/status\/2102839870062489900?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 23, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Niveles clave para operar<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/VANTAGE-SPI200\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">SPI200 chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\"> by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"VANTAGE:SPI200\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": \"100%\",\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Nivel<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Zona de precio<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Explicaci\u00f3n<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Resistencia 1<\/td><td>8,700<\/td><td>Resistencia inmediata donde se fren\u00f3 el rebote<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Resistencia 2<\/td><td>8,750<\/td><td>Superar este nivel podr\u00eda se\u00f1alar un rebote m\u00e1s firme en el corto plazo<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Soporte 1<\/td><td>8,630<\/td><td>M\u00ednimo de la sesi\u00f3n y soporte clave de corto plazo<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Soporte 2<\/td><td>8,600<\/td><td>Soporte \u201cpsicol\u00f3gico\u201d (n\u00famero redondo que suele atraer \u00f3rdenes) si regresa la venta<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Media m\u00f3vil<\/td><td>Cerca de 8,690<\/td><td>Referencia de tendencia de corto plazo seg\u00fan el gr\u00e1fico<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El SPI200 est\u00e1 probando la <strong>resistencia en 8,700<\/strong> tras recuperarse del m\u00ednimo de la sesi\u00f3n. Mantenerse por encima de la <strong>media m\u00f3vil en 8,690<\/strong> podr\u00eda sostener el impulso de corto plazo, mientras que una ruptura por debajo de <strong>8,630<\/strong> puede indicar el regreso de presi\u00f3n bajista.\u200b<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Escenarios alcista y bajista\u200b<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-23-1024x472.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-69129\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Escenario<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Condiciones<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Resultado potencial<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Escenario alcista<\/td><td>El SPI200 supera 8,700 y mantiene impulso por encima de la media m\u00f3vil de corto plazo<\/td><td>Los compradores podr\u00edan apuntar a la resistencia en 8,750 si mejora el \u00e1nimo del mercado<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Escenario bajista<\/td><td>El SPI200 cae por debajo del soporte en 8,630<\/td><td>La presi\u00f3n vendedora podr\u00eda aumentar hacia 8,600<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En un escenario alcista, la clave es que los compradores logren superar la <strong>resistencia en 8,700<\/strong>. De ocurrir, <strong>8,750<\/strong> ser\u00eda el siguiente objetivo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En un escenario bajista, los vendedores necesitan retomar el control por debajo del <strong>soporte en 8,630<\/strong>, lo que podr\u00eda aumentar la presi\u00f3n hacia <strong>8,600<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Aviso legal<\/em><br><em>Los niveles de precio y escenarios anteriores reflejan la evaluaci\u00f3n del autor al momento de escribir. No constituyen asesor\u00eda financiera ni una recomendaci\u00f3n oficial de VT Markets. Cada trader debe hacer su propio an\u00e1lisis y gestionar el riesgo.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pron\u00f3stico del SPI200: qu\u00e9 sigue<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El SPI200 sigue influido por expectativas sobre la pol\u00edtica monetaria local (decisiones de tasas del RBA) y por condiciones globales de mercado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El dato de empleo de Australia estar\u00e1 en foco, despu\u00e9s de que cifras previas mostraran un mercado laboral m\u00e1s d\u00e9bil y un alza del desempleo. Un mercado laboral m\u00e1s s\u00f3lido podr\u00eda reforzar la percepci\u00f3n de fortaleza econ\u00f3mica y apoyar al SPI200. En cambio, datos m\u00e1s d\u00e9biles pueden aumentar la incertidumbre sobre el rumbo de tasas del RBA y presionar al SPI200.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Los traders tambi\u00e9n siguen el petr\u00f3leo y los riesgos geopol\u00edticos, ya que <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/a-complete-guide-to-vt-markets-energies-trading\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">costos de energ\u00eda m\u00e1s altos<\/a> pueden alimentar la inflaci\u00f3n e influir en decisiones de bancos centrales.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Opera SPI200 con VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Accede a oportunidades en SPI200 con condiciones competitivas, plataformas avanzadas y herramientas para seguir \u00edndices globales.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sigue la acci\u00f3n del SPI200 junto con el USDX (\u00edndice del d\u00f3lar, que mide la fortaleza del d\u00f3lar frente a una canasta de monedas), <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/forex\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">forex<\/a> (mercado de divisas), <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/indices\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u00edndices<\/a> y <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/markets\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">otros mercados globales de CFD<\/a> (contratos por diferencia: producto derivado para especular con alzas o bajas sin comprar el activo) en VT Markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>Preguntas frecuentes <\/strong><\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u00bfQu\u00e9 es el SPI200?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El SPI200 es un futuro de \u00edndice burs\u00e1til australiano (contrato para comprar o vender el \u00edndice en una fecha futura) que sigue el desempe\u00f1o de las principales acciones del pa\u00eds y suele reflejar los movimientos del ASX 200.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u00bfPor qu\u00e9 el SPI200 se recuper\u00f3 tras caer?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El SPI200 se recuper\u00f3 porque reaparecieron compradores tras la venta inicial, el \u00edndice volvi\u00f3 por encima de su media m\u00f3vil de corto plazo y se acerc\u00f3 a la resistencia en 8,700.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u00bfQu\u00e9 niveles deben vigilar los traders en el SPI200?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El mercado vigila <strong>8,700 como resistencia<\/strong> y <strong>8,630 como soporte<\/strong>. Un quiebre al alza o a la baja desde esos niveles puede dar se\u00f1ales de direcci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u00bfC\u00f3mo afectan las tasas de inter\u00e9s al SPI200?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tasas m\u00e1s altas pueden encarecer el cr\u00e9dito y reducir el valor te\u00f3rico de las acciones. Adem\u00e1s, los cambios en expectativas de tasas suelen mover el apetito por riesgo.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Comience a operar ahora \u2014 haga clic <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/es-latam\/trade-now\/\">aqu\u00ed<\/a> para crear su cuenta real de VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Atentos: el SPI200 rebota tras tocar 8,630 y apunta a 8,700, con inflaci\u00f3n y petr\u00f3leo sobre USD 103 presionando. El mercado espera empleo australiano para calibrar tasas del RBA.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":68043,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68044","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Atentos: el SPI200 rebota tras tocar 8,630 y apunta a 8,700, con inflaci\u00f3n y petr\u00f3leo sobre USD 103 presionando. 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