{"id":69677,"date":"2026-10-14T05:58:44","date_gmt":"2026-10-14T05:58:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/es-eu\/uncategorized\/us-dollar-trades-near-102-ahead-of-key-cpi-release\/"},"modified":"2026-10-14T05:58:44","modified_gmt":"2026-10-14T05:58:44","slug":"us-dollar-trades-near-102-ahead-of-key-cpi-release","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/es-eu\/analysis\/us-dollar-trades-near-102-ahead-of-key-cpi-release\/","title":{"rendered":"El d\u00f3lar estadounidense cotiza cerca de 102 antes de la publicaci\u00f3n del IPC clave"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6acf0695bdc42.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Claves<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>El \u00cdndice del D\u00f3lar (DXY), que mide el valor del d\u00f3lar frente a una cesta de grandes divisas, cotiza cerca de 102 el 14 de octubre, tras retroceder desde el m\u00e1ximo de 18 meses del lunes (102,37).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>El d\u00f3lar baj\u00f3 en torno a un 0,37% el martes, lastrado por el descenso del precio del petr\u00f3leo y por cambios en lo que el mercado espera de la Reserva Federal (Fed), el banco central de EE. UU.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Se prev\u00e9 que el IPC general de EE. UU. (\u00edndice de precios al consumo, la referencia m\u00e1s seguida de inflaci\u00f3n) suba al 3,6% interanual en septiembre, frente al 3,4% anterior.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Los rendimientos elevados de los bonos del Tesoro de EE. UU. (la rentabilidad que exigen los inversores) siguen apoyando al d\u00f3lar.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Un IPC por encima de lo esperado podr\u00eda impulsar tanto al d\u00f3lar como a los rendimientos; un dato m\u00e1s d\u00e9bil podr\u00eda reactivar las ventas.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>El oro, EURUSD y USDJPY podr\u00edan registrar movimientos m\u00e1s bruscos si los operadores ajustan posiciones tras el dato.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>El pr\u00f3ximo catalizador ser\u00e1 el IPC de EE. UU. (14 de octubre), seguido del IPP de EE. UU. (\u00edndice de precios de producci\u00f3n, inflaci\u00f3n \u201ca la salida de f\u00e1brica\u201d) el 15 de octubre.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Movimiento de mercado<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El rally del d\u00f3lar hasta un<strong> m\u00e1ximo de 18 meses en 102,37 <\/strong>el lunes se fren\u00f3 el martes. El DXY cay\u00f3 alrededor de un <strong>0,37%<\/strong> porque el descenso del petr\u00f3leo redujo parte del miedo a una inflaci\u00f3n persistente y cambiaron las expectativas sobre la Fed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En la \u00faltima sesi\u00f3n, el \u00edndice se mueve en un rango estrecho justo por debajo de 102. La sesi\u00f3n intrad\u00eda (dentro del mismo d\u00eda) ha sido vol\u00e1til: el \u00edndice cay\u00f3 hacia la zona de <strong>101,86<\/strong> y despu\u00e9s rebot\u00f3 hacia 101,90, se\u00f1al de que sigue habiendo compras en las ca\u00eddas antes de la publicaci\u00f3n de datos clave.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Qu\u00e9 vigila el mercado<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La atenci\u00f3n se centra en el IPC de septiembre. Se espera que la inflaci\u00f3n general suba al<strong> 3,6% interanual<\/strong> desde el 3,4%, lo que indicar\u00eda que las presiones de precios siguen siendo dif\u00edciles de bajar. Este informe es clave porque la inflaci\u00f3n es el factor principal para anticipar la pol\u00edtica de la Fed (tipos de inter\u00e9s y ritmo de endurecimiento o relajaci\u00f3n).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Los rendimientos altos del Tesoro han sido un soporte importante del d\u00f3lar; por eso, cualquier cambio en las expectativas de inflaci\u00f3n puede alterar el sentimiento con rapidez. El IPP del 15 de octubre aporta una segunda lectura de inflaci\u00f3n, lo que puede mantener la volatilidad hasta el jueves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Niveles clave<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/PEPPERSTONE-USDX\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">Gr\u00e1fico de USDX<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;por TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"PEPPERSTONE:USDX\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Nivel<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Tipo<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Relevancia<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>102,37<\/td><td>Resistencia<\/td><td>M\u00e1ximo de 18 meses del lunes<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>102<\/td><td>Pivote \/ psicol\u00f3gico<\/td><td>Nivel redondo clave; recuperarlo favorece a los alcistas<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>101,99<\/td><td>Resistencia intrad\u00eda<\/td><td>M\u00e1ximo de la sesi\u00f3n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>101,86<\/td><td>Soporte intrad\u00eda<\/td><td>M\u00ednimo de la sesi\u00f3n<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El nivel m\u00e1s importante por arriba es <strong>102,37<\/strong>, el m\u00e1ximo de 18 meses del lunes. El precio no logr\u00f3 superar ese techo y el d\u00f3lar corrigi\u00f3, as\u00ed que una vuelta a esa zona puede atraer ventas. Un cierre claro por encima (cierre diario por encima del nivel) apuntar\u00eda a una nueva fase de fortaleza. Justo por debajo est\u00e1 <strong>102,00<\/strong>, que act\u00faa como pivote (zona que separa sesgo alcista o bajista). Con el DXY en torno a <strong>101,9<\/strong>, recuperar y mantener 102,00 mostrar\u00eda que los compradores vuelven a dominar; rechazos repetidos dejar\u00edan al d\u00f3lar m\u00e1s expuesto a ca\u00eddas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>101,99<\/strong> es el m\u00e1ximo de la sesi\u00f3n y la primera resistencia. En la parte baja, <strong>101,86<\/strong> es el m\u00ednimo de la sesi\u00f3n y el soporte m\u00e1s cercano. Si se rompe, aumentan las probabilidades de una correcci\u00f3n m\u00e1s profunda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Escenarios alcista y bajista<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6acf0697307af.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Escenario<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Catalizador<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confirmaci\u00f3n<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Alcista<\/td><td>El IPC sale en 3,6% interanual o por encima, suben los rendimientos del Tesoro y se refuerza una Fed \u201cm\u00e1s dura\u201d (m\u00e1s inclinada a mantener tipos altos)<\/td><td>El DXY recupera y mantiene 102,00, con avance hacia 102,37; un cierre por encima de 102,37 abre la puerta a nuevos m\u00e1ximos de varios meses<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Bajista<\/td><td>El IPC sale por debajo del 3,6% interanual, bajan los rendimientos y se enfr\u00edan las apuestas por una Fed \u201cm\u00e1s dura\u201d<\/td><td>El DXY rompe y mantiene por debajo de 101,86 (m\u00ednimo de la sesi\u00f3n), con objetivo de una correcci\u00f3n mayor; el oro y EURUSD podr\u00edan fortalecerse<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Para un escenario alcista, el \u00edndice debe recuperar <strong>102,00<\/strong> y buscar un nuevo ataque a<strong> 102,37<\/strong>. Un cierre por encima de 102,37 abrir\u00eda la puerta a m\u00e1ximos de varios meses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En un escenario bajista, el DXY caer\u00eda por debajo del <strong>m\u00ednimo de la sesi\u00f3n en 101,86<\/strong>, con los vendedores buscando una correcci\u00f3n m\u00e1s profunda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Aviso<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Empiece a operar ahora \u2014 haga clic <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/es-eu\/trade-now\/\">aqu\u00ed<\/a> para crear su cuenta real de VT Markets.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Atenci\u00f3n al dato: el d\u00f3lar digiere su m\u00e1ximo de 18 meses y el DXY ronda 102. El IPC de EE. UU. decidir\u00e1 el rumbo, con bonos tensionados y oro, euro y yen listos.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69676,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[55],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69677","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Atenci\u00f3n al dato: el d\u00f3lar digiere su m\u00e1ximo de 18 meses y el DXY ronda 102. El IPC de EE. 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