{"id":69894,"date":"2026-10-21T06:45:06","date_gmt":"2026-10-21T06:45:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/uncategorized\/gold-falls-towards-4100-as-oil-prices-fuel-rate-hike-concerns\/"},"modified":"2026-10-21T06:45:06","modified_gmt":"2026-10-21T06:45:06","slug":"gold-falls-towards-4100-as-oil-prices-fuel-rate-hike-concerns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/analysis\/gold-falls-towards-4100-as-oil-prices-fuel-rate-hike-concerns\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold Falls Towards $4,100 as Oil Prices Fuel Rate Hike Concerns"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/gold-1024x573.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-72401\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key Points<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Gold extended losses for a fourth consecutive session as higher oil prices fuelled inflation concerns.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Uncertainty over US-Iran negotiations and tanker attacks kept energy supply risks in focus.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold rates steady next week, while a possible December hike remains a concern.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The 15-minute chart shows gold near $4,120, with resistance at $4,130\u2013$4,132 and support around $4,106\u2013$4,110.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Gold fell towards $4,100 an ounce on Wednesday, extending losses for a fourth consecutive session as elevated oil prices reinforced inflation concerns and expectations for higher borrowing costs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Gold eases as elevated oil prices keep inflation risks in focus <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/CVnOgc7Vo4\">https:\/\/t.co\/CVnOgc7Vo4<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/CVnOgc7Vo4\">https:\/\/t.co\/CVnOgc7Vo4<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Reuters\/status\/2112438777566101828?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 20, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Oil resumed its climb after a diplomat dismissed reports that an agreement to end the US-Iran conflict was imminent, although negotiations remain underway. The uncertain outlook left gold under pressure as traders weighed the implications for monetary policy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why Traders Are Watching Gold<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The main pressure on gold comes from the link between energy prices and interest-rate expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Rising tensions in the Middle East and Eastern Europe, alongside increased attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, have heightened concerns over supply disruptions. Higher oil prices can raise transport and production costs, making inflation harder to contain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That creates a challenge for bullion. Although gold can attract demand during periods of inflation and geopolitical uncertainty, it does not generate interest income. If central banks respond to persistent price pressures with higher rates, interest-bearing assets can become more competitive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Federal Reserve is widely expected to leave rates unchanged next week. However, markets continue to anticipate a possible increase in December, making the Fed\u2019s guidance on inflation and future policy particularly relevant.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Traders are betting overwhelmingly that the Federal Reserve won\u2019t raise interest rates when it meets later this month. But that judgment rests in part on assumptions about how the Fed communicates that may no longer hold under its new chairman. Kevin Warsh has left room to\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/FCQEaLp6LC\">pic.twitter.com\/FCQEaLp6LC<\/a><\/p>&mdash; CNBC (@CNBC) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CNBC\/status\/2111200587769401558?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 16, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A decision to hold rates would therefore offer only part of the picture. Signals that further tightening remains possible could limit gold\u2019s recovery, while a less restrictive message could ease some of the pressure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">US-Iran negotiations remain another potential catalyst. Progress could reduce energy supply concerns, while setbacks could keep oil prices elevated and complicate the inflation outlook.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Key Trading Levels<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/GOLD\/?exchange=TVC\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">GOLD chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"TVC:GOLD\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Price Level<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\"><strong>What Traders Are Watching<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">$4,150\u2013$4,155<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Upper resistance around the earlier intraday high<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">$4,140<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Next recovery reference above immediate resistance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">$4,130\u2013$4,132<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Immediate resistance around the recent rebound high<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">$4,120<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Short-term pivot near the current trading area<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">$4,106\u2013$4,110<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Immediate support around the recent swing low<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">$4,100<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Psychological downside reference<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Gold is consolidating near <strong>$4,120<\/strong> after retreating from <strong>$4,150\u2013$4,155<\/strong>. A sustained break above <strong>$4,132<\/strong> could bring <strong>$4,140<\/strong>, followed by <strong>$4,150\u2013$4,155<\/strong>, into focus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On the downside, a move below <strong>$4,120<\/strong> could lead to another test of <strong>$4,106\u2013$4,110<\/strong>. A sustained break below <strong>$4,106<\/strong> would expose <strong>$4,100<\/strong>, a psychological level not yet tested in the visible chart.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bullish and Bearish Setups<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-1024x471.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-72404\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\"><strong>Setup<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\"><strong>Trigger<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\"><strong>Potential Market Reaction<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Recovery Attempt<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Hold above $4,120 after a 15-minute close above it<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Gold may retest $4,130\u2013$4,132<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Bullish Breakout<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Sustained 15-minute break above $4,132<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">A recovery could extend towards $4,140, then $4,150\u2013$4,155<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Range Consolidation<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Hold between $4,110 and $4,132<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Prices may continue to fluctuate within the recent range<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Bearish Rejection<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Fail near $4,130\u2013$4,132 and slip below $4,120<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Gold could revisit $4,106\u2013$4,110<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Bearish Breakdown<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Sustained 15-minute break below $4,106<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Selling pressure could extend towards $4,100<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The <strong>bullish case<\/strong> requires a sustained break above <strong>$4,132<\/strong>, with buyers holding that level on a retest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The <strong>bearish case<\/strong> strengthens below <strong>$4,120<\/strong>, with further downside confirmation below <strong>$4,106<\/strong>. Without either move, consolidation remains the near-term outlook.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Disclaimer<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>The price levels and market scenarios above reflect the author\u2019s interpretation of the supplied 15-minute chart at the time of writing and do not represent financial advice or an official recommendation from VT Markets. Traders should conduct their own analysis and manage risk carefully.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Explore Gold Trading with VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/about-vt-markets\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">VT Markets<\/a> provides access to gold CFDs through <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/metatrader-4\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">MetaTrader 4<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/metatrader-5\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">MetaTrader 5<\/a> and the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/vt-markets-app\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">VT Markets app<\/a>, allowing traders to speculate on rising or falling prices without owning physical bullion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For access beyond traditional weekday sessions, explore <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/precious-metals\/xauusd247\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">XAUUSD247<\/a>, which offers gold CFD trading including weekends, subject to product availability and trading conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/precious-metals\/xauusd247\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\" noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ad838e7ef266.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Learn more about <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">trading gold<\/a> with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">VT Markets<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What to Watch Next<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The next catalyst will be whether developments in energy markets and central bank communication change expectations for borrowing costs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Key factors include:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Federal Reserve Meeting:<\/strong> The rate decision and guidance on the conditions that could justify further tightening.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>December Rate Expectations:<\/strong> Whether markets become more or less confident about another increase.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Oil and Shipping Conditions:<\/strong> Changes in crude prices, tanker movements and disruption risks around the Strait of Hormuz.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>US-Iran Negotiations:<\/strong> Evidence of progress or setbacks in efforts to end the conflict.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Treasury Yields and the US Dollar:<\/strong> Whether broader financial conditions reinforce or ease pressure on bullion.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>Frequently Asked Questions<\/strong><\/summary>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why has gold fallen for four consecutive sessions?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Higher oil prices have increased inflation concerns and expectations for higher borrowing costs, putting pressure on non-interest-bearing gold.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Can geopolitical tensions push gold lower?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Yes. While tensions can encourage haven buying, disruptions that lift energy prices may also increase expectations for tighter monetary policy. That effect can outweigh support from haven demand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Is the Federal Reserve expected to raise rates next week?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Fed is widely expected to hold rates steady. Markets remain focused on a possible December increase and any guidance that changes that outlook.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What could change gold\u2019s current outlook?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A shift in oil prices, progress in US-Iran negotiations or a change in Fed guidance could alter the balance between inflation concerns, interest-rate expectations and haven demand.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\r\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Start trading now \u2014 click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/trade-now\">here<\/a> to create your real VT Markets account.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold extended losses for a fourth session as higher oil prices fuelled inflation concerns. Traders are watching Fed signals and support near $4,106\u2013$4,110.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69893,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69894","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Gold extended losses for a fourth session as higher oil prices fuelled inflation concerns. 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