{"id":29631,"date":"2025-12-09T12:20:27","date_gmt":"2025-12-09T12:20:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/in\/?p=29631"},"modified":"2025-12-09T12:20:29","modified_gmt":"2025-12-09T12:20:29","slug":"week-ahead-us-rate-cut-takes-centre-stage","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/week_ahead\/week-ahead-us-rate-cut-takes-centre-stage\/","title":{"rendered":"Week Ahead: US Rate Cut Takes Centre Stage"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"559\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/in\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/cover-1-1024x559.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-29632\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/cover-1-1024x559.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/cover-1-300x164.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/cover-1-768x419.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/cover-1-1536x839.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/cover-1-500x273.jpg 500w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/cover-1-400x218.jpg 400w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/cover-1-350x191.jpg 350w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/cover-1-200x109.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/cover-1.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Key Points<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Fed\u2019s rate decision and Powell\u2019s guidance will set the tone for global markets this week.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders should monitor BOJ commentary closely as yen carry-trade risks continue to rise.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Key data releases include JOLTS, the Federal Funds Rate, and UK GDP.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The charts may look calm, but the underlying risk is building. Any shift in tone from BOJ policymakers could trigger a rapid unwinding of the yen carry trade, one of the major engines behind global market strength this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With the Fed now in blackout mode, markets are left with one dominant assumption: easing is imminent. Although a 3.75% policy rate is widely priced in, the Summary of Economic Projections and Powell\u2019s tone will determine how far markets extend the easing narrative into 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Wall St Week Ahead: Fed&#39;s internal split puts spotlight on Powell&#39;s rate guidance, dissents <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/sggqAcbhLD\">https:\/\/t.co\/sggqAcbhLD<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/sggqAcbhLD\">https:\/\/t.co\/sggqAcbhLD<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Reuters\/status\/1997731615703715867?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 7, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The dot plot will be especially important. Traders want confirmation that the Fed\u2019s outlook aligns with the aggressive path markets have already priced. Any hesitation may lead to broad repricing across currencies and risk assets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>QT Ends and Liquidity Turns<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The end of QT marks a shift back toward supportive liquidity conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The US banking system\u2019s reserves, a key factor in the Fed&#39;s decision to keep shrinking its balance sheet, sank below $3 trillion once again, just as Chair Jerome Powell signaled quantitative tightening could stop in the coming months <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/AfRRfCGASG\">https:\/\/t.co\/AfRRfCGASG<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/1978932631778587032?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 16, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The Fed\u2019s recent <strong>$13.5 billion repo injection<\/strong>, its second largest since the pandemic, signals renewed strain in the financial system. Historically, when QT ends under pressure, QE soon follows. While consensus expects QE to return in 2026, much depends on Fed leadership, as Powell\u2019s term ends in May 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Jerome Powell is expected to push through another quarter-point rate cut this week despite growing unease among fellow Fed policymakers that inflation remains too high <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/0OjGHlmPaz\">https:\/\/t.co\/0OjGHlmPaz<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/1997414864063549897?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 6, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Prediction markets currently place <strong>Kevin Hassett<\/strong> as the frontrunner for the next Fed chair with a 74% probability. If the nomination is announced early, markets may begin reacting to the expected policy stance of the incoming chair rather than Powell\u2019s current tone, potentially accelerating expectations of earlier, deeper cuts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Central Bank Highlights: BOJ, RBA &amp; BOC<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>While US policy shifts toward easing, overseas central banks introduce additional layers of uncertainty, especially the BOJ.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Should the BOJ raise rates from <strong>0.5% to 0.75%<\/strong> on 19 December, the narrowing yield spread between Japan and the US would make yen-funded carry trades more expensive to maintain. This could force investors to unwind positions by selling US assets, creating conditions for a rapid, disorderly correction, similar to past carry-trade squeezes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Speculation is growing that the Bank of Japan is on track to raise interest rates this month but market participants are still betting that the yen will weaken against the dollar <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/FkvZUUUKt3\">https:\/\/t.co\/FkvZUUUKt3<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/1997790797618389023?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 7, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>A BOJ-driven shock could prompt the Fed to ease more aggressively or even accelerate its path toward QE to stabilize liquidity. Short-term volatility would contrast with a longer-term bullish backdrop for risk assets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In addition, traders should keep an eye on the RBA\u2019s policy tone and the BOC\u2019s rate decisions, both of which may shape global sentiment depending on whether they reinforce or contradict the broader easing narrative.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Key Symbols to Watch<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>USDX | USDJPY | EURUSD | XAUUSD | SP500 | BTCUSD<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Upcoming Events<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td>Tue 09 Dec<\/td><td>JPY<\/td><td>BOJ Gov Ueda Speaks<\/td><td>\u2013<\/td><td>\u2013<\/td><td>Hawkish tone may pressure USDJPY lower.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Tue 09 Dec<\/td><td>USD<\/td><td>JOLTS Job Openings<\/td><td>7.14M<\/td><td>\u2013<\/td><td>Weak data could strengthen Fed easing expectations.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Thu 11 Dec<\/td><td>USD<\/td><td>Federal Funds Rate<\/td><td>3.75%<\/td><td>4.00%<\/td><td>Market priced in the cut; Powell\u2019s tone will drive movement.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Fri 12 Dec<\/td><td>GBP<\/td><td>GDP m\/m<\/td><td>0.10%<\/td><td>-0.10%<\/td><td>Potential recovery from prior contraction.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Tue 16 Dec<\/td><td>USD<\/td><td>NFP &amp; Unemployment Rate<\/td><td>\u2013<\/td><td>\u2013<\/td><td>A soft print may accelerate expectations for deeper cuts.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Key Movements of the Week<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>USDX<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"559\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/in\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/USDX-1024x559.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-29633\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/USDX-1024x559.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/USDX-300x164.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/USDX-768x419.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/USDX-1536x839.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/USDX-500x273.jpg 500w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/USDX-400x218.jpg 400w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/USDX-350x191.jpg 350w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/USDX-200x109.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/USDX.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>USDX holds near the 99.10 monitored area with bearish price action anticipated.<br>A move toward <strong>99.40<\/strong> may provide fresh selling opportunities, while continued downside targets <strong>98.50<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>EURUSD<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"559\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/in\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/EURUSD-1024x559.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-29634\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/EURUSD-1024x559.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/EURUSD-300x164.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/EURUSD-768x419.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/EURUSD-1536x839.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/EURUSD-500x273.jpg 500w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/EURUSD-400x218.jpg 400w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/EURUSD-350x191.jpg 350w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/EURUSD-200x109.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/EURUSD.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>A decline into <strong>1.1605<\/strong> could invite bullish responses.<br>Resistance is expected near <strong>1.1710<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>GBPUSD<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"559\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/in\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/GBPUSD-1024x559.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-29635\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/GBPUSD-1024x559.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/GBPUSD-300x164.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/GBPUSD-768x419.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/GBPUSD-1536x839.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/GBPUSD-500x273.jpg 500w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/GBPUSD-400x218.jpg 400w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/GBPUSD-350x191.jpg 350w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/GBPUSD-200x109.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/GBPUSD.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>GBPUSD rejected the <strong>1.3405<\/strong> monitored region.<br>Further downside may test <strong>1.3250<\/strong>, a potential bullish setup zone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>USDJPY<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"559\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/in\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/USDJPY-1024x559.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-29636\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/USDJPY-1024x559.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/USDJPY-300x164.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/USDJPY-768x419.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/USDJPY-1536x839.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/USDJPY-500x273.jpg 500w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/USDJPY-400x218.jpg 400w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/USDJPY-350x191.jpg 350w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/USDJPY-200x109.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/USDJPY.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>USDJPY trades above the descending trendline.<br>If the price climbs further, traders should watch <strong>156.00<\/strong> for bearish reactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Gold (XAUUSD)<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"559\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/in\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/XAUUSD-1024x559.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-29637\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/XAUUSD-1024x559.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/XAUUSD-300x164.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/XAUUSD-768x419.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/XAUUSD-1536x839.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/XAUUSD-500x273.jpg 500w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/XAUUSD-400x218.jpg 400w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/XAUUSD-350x191.jpg 350w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/XAUUSD-200x109.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/XAUUSD.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Gold moved higher before reversing.<br>The key level remains <strong>4175<\/strong>, with a deeper consolidation possibly forming a bullish structure near <strong>4070<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>SP500<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"559\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/in\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/SP500-1024x559.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-29638\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/SP500-1024x559.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/SP500-300x164.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/SP500-768x419.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/SP500-1536x839.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/SP500-500x273.jpg 500w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/SP500-400x218.jpg 400w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/SP500-350x191.jpg 350w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/SP500-200x109.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/SP500.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The SP500 broke above the <strong>6888<\/strong> swing high.<br>Traders should observe behavior inside the ascending channel for directional cues.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Bitcoin (BTCUSD)<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"559\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/in\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/BTCUSD-1024x559.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-29639\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/BTCUSD-1024x559.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/BTCUSD-300x164.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/BTCUSD-768x419.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/BTCUSD-1536x839.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/BTCUSD-500x273.jpg 500w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/BTCUSD-400x218.jpg 400w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/BTCUSD-350x191.jpg 350w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/BTCUSD-200x109.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/12\/BTCUSD.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>BTC pulled back after breaking the <strong>93156<\/strong> swing high.<br>Upside structure may return if the price reclaims <strong>90277<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Bottom Line<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>This week stands at the intersection of shifting US policy and escalating global risks.<br>The anticipated Fed cut, combined with the end of QT, brings liquidity back into focus, while the BOJ\u2019s next step could challenge positions built on years of cheap yen funding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Market conditions may tighten or open rapidly as these forces collide.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Traders should monitor the Fed\u2019s message, signals from global financial plumbing, and key price levels across major assets to navigate this decisive period.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/in\/trade-now\/\" title=\"\">Create a VT Markets account today &amp; start trading!<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Key Points The charts may look calm, but the underlying risk is building. Any shift in tone from BOJ policymakers could trigger a rapid unwinding of the yen carry trade, one of the major engines behind global market strength this year. With the Fed now in blackout mode, markets are left with one dominant assumption: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/week_ahead\/week-ahead-us-rate-cut-takes-centre-stage\/\" class=\"read-more\">Continue Reading<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":29632,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[73],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29631","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-week_ahead"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29631","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29631"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29631\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/29632"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29631"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29631"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29631"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}