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25

Mar 2026
Commerzbank’s chief economist says March’s steep Ifo fall reflects mounting war risks, not present economic harm

German Ifo index fell in March as war risks rose; Commerzbank warns prolonged Hormuz closure could cut growth.

25

Mar 2026
In the fourth quarter, the US current account beat forecasts, posting minus 190.7 billion versus minus 211 billion forecast

US Q4 current account deficit was $190.7B, smaller than expected $211B, reflecting improved external flows overall.

25

Mar 2026
Germany’s IFO Current Assessment rose to 86.7, surpassing the 86 forecast, reported for March figures

Germany’s Ifo current assessment index rose to 86.7 in March, beating forecasts by 0.7 points.

25

Mar 2026
Switzerland’s ZEW expectations index dropped sharply, falling from 9.8 previously to -35 in March

Switzerland’s ZEW expectations index fell sharply in March, sliding from 9.8 to -35, signaling weaker outlook.

25

Mar 2026
TD Securities expects the US Dollar to rise as risk premia stay high, despite bearish 2026 outlook

TD Securities says dollar may keep rising on risk premia, but war off-ramp could weaken it.

25

Mar 2026
ONS reports UK annual CPI inflation held at 3.0% in February, matching forecasts and January’s pace

UK inflation holds at 3.0% in February; core rises to 3.2%, pushing GBP/USD slightly lower.

25

Mar 2026
Gold eases from weekly highs near $4,600 as USD firms slightly, remaining supported and geopolitically sensitive

Gold pulls back from $4,600 amid Middle East tensions; ceasefire hopes, firmer dollar cap gains, key levels watched.

25

Mar 2026
The PBOC set USD/CNY’s central parity at 6.8911, versus 6.8943 prior and 6.8819 forecast

PBOC set USD/CNY fix at 6.8911, guides exchange-rate stability with policy tools, state oversight, and private banks.

25

Mar 2026
BoJ members said further rate rises are appropriate if the forecast materialises, according to January minutes

BoJ minutes signal further rate hikes possible if forecasts hold, with caution on consumption, financial stability, yen.

25

Mar 2026
AUD/USD holds around 0.7000 weekly, after volatile swings between 0.7120 and 0.6910, before CPI

AUD/USD hovers near 0.7000, driven by Australian CPI, RBA hike bets, and US safe-haven demand.

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