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NuScale Power shares hit converging support, suggesting an attractive swing trade with around 40% upside potential

by VT Markets
/
Mar 30, 2026
NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) shares reached a support area on Friday, 27 March 2026. The level combined a horizontal trendline with a descending trendline. The stock is down 82% from its October 2025 high of $57.50. The text frames this drop as a basis for a short-term rebound. It describes the shares as oversold after the six-month fall of 82%. It also links potential demand for nuclear power to the Iran–US war and disruption in the Straits of Hormuz. The piece projects up to 40% upside within weeks. It gives an upside target of $14.30. With NuScale Power (SMR) sitting on a strong technical support level, we are viewing this as a prime setup for a short-term bullish trade. The stock has been beaten down severely since its high back in October 2025, creating an extremely oversold condition. This suggests a high probability of a sharp, fast bounce in the coming weeks. For traders, this points towards using call options to capitalize on the potential upside with defined risk. We’ve seen a surge in options volume, particularly for the April and May 2026 expirations, with call buying outpacing puts by nearly 4-to-1 last Friday. Considering the target of $14.30, looking at out-of-the-money strikes like the $12 or $13 calls could offer significant leverage if the stock moves as anticipated. The geopolitical situation in the Strait of Hormuz is a major catalyst, as recent reports confirm ongoing disruptions are causing global oil futures to spike. This is forcing a renewed focus on energy independence, and we’ve already seen the Global X Uranium ETF (URA) climb 8% last week. This sector-wide tailwind adds credibility to the thesis that NuScale could see a rapid re-rating. However, the heightened tension has pushed implied volatility on SMR options above 95%, making them expensive. This high cost increases the risk of theta decay if the stock moves sideways instead of up. A trader must be confident that the upward move will happen soon to overcome this decay. A more risk-defined strategy would be to use a bull call spread. For example, one could buy the May $11 call and simultaneously sell the May $14 call. This would lower the initial cost and still capture a majority of the expected move toward the $14.30 target, offering a favorable risk-reward profile.

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