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Monthly Archives: May 2026

Richmond Fed Factory Gauge Surges in May, Complicating Summer Rate-Cut Bets

Written on May 27, 2026 at 7:54 pm, by

Richmond Fed manufacturing index jumped to 13 in May, beating forecasts, challenging rate-cut hopes and shifting positioning.

Canadian Dollar Lags G10 as BoC-Fed Policy Gap Widens, USD/CAD Meets Resistance

Written on May 27, 2026 at 6:57 pm, by

USD/CAD holds firm as BoC-Fed policy divergence widens; resistance near 1.3850 suggests range, CAD undervalued.

RBNZ holds OCR at 2.25% on split vote, lifts rate track and inflation outlook

Written on May 27, 2026 at 6:54 pm, by

RBNZ held rates at 2.25% in split vote, but lifted projections, boosting NZD on hawkish outlook.

US Redbook hits 9% as consumer spending strengthens, keeping Federal Reserve wary on rate cuts

Written on May 27, 2026 at 5:57 pm, by

Redbook jumps to 9%, signaling resilient consumers, keeping Fed hawkish; consider retail calls, Treasury puts, VIX hedges.

Hungary Central Bank Holds at 6.25% as Dovish Tilt Drives June Cut Bets, Forint Support

Written on May 27, 2026 at 5:54 pm, by

Hungary’s central bank held rates at 6.25%, signalled dovishness, and markets priced June cut, forint strength.

ADP Four-Week Employment Average Slips, Fueling Fed Rate-Cut Bets and Volatility Hedging

Written on May 27, 2026 at 5:31 pm, by

ADP four-week job growth slipped to 35.75K, signaling cooling labor momentum and boosting rate-cut expectations.

Brent slips below 50-day average as SocGen flags Hormuz risk and downside levels

Written on May 27, 2026 at 5:24 pm, by

Brent breaks 50-day average, tests $96 support; Hormuz tensions fuel volatility, with outcomes ranging $85–$200.

ADP Four-Week Employment Average Slips, Fueling Fed Rate-Cut Bets and Volatility Hedging

Written on May 27, 2026 at 5:17 pm, by

ADP four-week job growth slipped to 35.75K, signaling cooling labor momentum and boosting rate-cut expectations.

Brent slips below 50-day average as SocGen flags Hormuz risk and downside levels

Written on May 27, 2026 at 5:13 pm, by

Brent breaks 50-day average, tests $96 support; Hormuz tensions fuel volatility, with outcomes ranging $85–$200.

Brent Tests $96 Support as SocGen Flags Hormuz Reopening Scenarios and Volatility-Driven Price Risks

Written on May 27, 2026 at 5:10 pm, by

Brent breaks 50-day average; $96 support crucial. Hormuz reopening may push $85; delays risk $150–$200 spikes.

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