Monthly Archives: April 2026
Amid Middle East conflict, speculators rebuild long dollar positions, favouring it as preferred safe-haven currency, says Foley
Written on April 13, 2026 at 9:19 pm, by josephine
CFTC data show speculators rebuilding long USD positions, boosted by Middle East conflict, despite de-dollarisation pressures.
Societe Generale economists say Eurozone activity weakened in Q1; German industry lagged, with Germany forecast 0.1% QoQ growth
Written on April 13, 2026 at 8:52 pm, by josephine
Euro area Q1 activity disappointed; German industry weak. Oil shock smaller than 2022; wages may rise earlier.
Deutsche Bank says ECB held March rates, expects two 25bp hikes, with markets pricing neutral 2% deposit rate
Written on April 13, 2026 at 8:49 pm, by josephine
ECB holds rates at 2.0%; Deutsche Bank sees two hikes, markets imply third amid weak growth outlook.
INGING economists Virovacz and Taborsky say Tisza’s supermajority eases policy fears, boosting EU ties optimism
Written on April 13, 2026 at 8:22 pm, by josephine
Hungary’s Tisza supermajority eases uncertainty, but EU funds may lag; budget revisions could strain fiscal metrics.
March US existing home sales undershot forecasts, recording 3.98M versus the expected 4.06M estimate
Written on April 13, 2026 at 8:19 pm, by josephine
March US existing home sales missed forecasts: 3.98 million versus 4.06 million expected, signaling weaker market activity.
US existing home sales fell 3.6% month-on-month, reversing a previous 1.7% increase in March
Written on April 13, 2026 at 7:52 pm, by josephine
US existing home sales fell 3.6% in March, reversing February’s 1.7% rise, signalling renewed market weakness.
HSBC says Middle East tensions and oil shocks drive the dollar, boosting USD–oil correlation via safe-haven flows
Written on April 13, 2026 at 7:49 pm, by josephine
HSBC: Middle East tensions and oil prices steer the dollar, with Hormuz disruption risks driving risk-on/off moves.
Following failed US–Iran negotiations, NZD/USD slips to about 0.5830 as oil rises, aiding Fed hawks
Written on April 13, 2026 at 7:28 pm, by josephine
NZD/USD slipped to 0.5830 as failed US-Iran talks lifted dollar demand, oil prices, and Fed hawkish bets.
BBH’s Elias Haddad highlights forthcoming IMF reports, anticipating reduced growth forecasts and gauging global risk conditions
Written on April 13, 2026 at 7:25 pm, by josephine
IMF to cut global growth forecasts; warns energy shock may become fiscal shock amid rising debt costs.
TD Securities strategists say Iran developments, inflation prints and activity data will guide Federal Reserve policy expectations, US macro trends
Written on April 13, 2026 at 7:22 pm, by josephine
TD Securities cites Iran risks, higher oil and inflation data keeping Fed restrictive; sees cuts starting September 2026.
