{"id":53523,"date":"2026-09-03T08:02:52","date_gmt":"2026-09-03T08:02:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-latam\/uncategorized\/usdx-near-99-50-as-nfp-data-could-shift-fed-rate-expectations\/"},"modified":"2026-09-03T08:02:52","modified_gmt":"2026-09-03T08:02:52","slug":"usdx-near-99-50-as-nfp-data-could-shift-fed-rate-expectations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-latam\/analysis\/usdx-near-99-50-as-nfp-data-could-shift-fed-rate-expectations\/","title":{"rendered":"USDX Near 99.50 as NFP Data Could shift Fed Rate Expectations"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Copy-of-discover-3-2-1024x559.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-66638\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Key Points<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>USDX is trading near the <strong>99.44 area<\/strong> after pulling back from the recent high around <strong>99.57<\/strong> as traders await key US labour market data.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The dollar has gained support from recent shifts in Federal Reserve expectations, while traders monitor whether momentum can continue.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Markets are closely watching the August <strong>Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP)<\/strong> report, with the data expected to provide further clues on the strength of the US labour market.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Wage growth expectations and Treasury yield movements remain key drivers for the US dollar and broader market sentiment.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Move<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USDX traded near the <strong>99.44 area<\/strong> after moving between the session high of <strong>99.57<\/strong> and low of <strong>99.44<\/strong>, as traders balanced recent dollar strength with caution ahead of the upcoming nonfarm payrolls report.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The dollar has gained support from shifting Federal Reserve expectations, with markets reassessing the outlook for future interest-rate decisions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">However, momentum has slowed as traders await fresh labour market data. The upcoming NFP release could provide further insight into the strength of the US economy and influence the next direction for the dollar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why Traders Are Watching<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The US labour market remains a key factor influencing Federal Reserve policy expectations and the dollar outlook.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With markets reassessing the timing of future rate decisions, traders are closely monitoring economic data that could provide further clues on the direction of monetary policy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Key factors being monitored include:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Nonfarm payrolls:<\/strong> A stronger employment report could support USDX by reinforcing expectations for tighter monetary policy.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Wage growth:<\/strong> Higher wage increases may reinforce inflation concerns and influence Fed expectations.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Federal Reserve outlook:<\/strong> Changes in monetary policy expectations remain a key driver for dollar movements.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Treasury yields:<\/strong> Higher yields could provide a boost for the US dollar.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Key Trading Levels<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<script data-wp-block-html=\"js\">\n\n(function() {\n    const widgetConfig = {\n        \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n        \"calendar\": false,\n        \"details\": false,\n        \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n        \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n        \"hide_legend\": false,\n        \"hide_volume\": false,\n        \"hotlist\": false,\n        \"interval\": \"D\",\n        \"locale\": \"en\",\n        \"save_image\": true,\n        \"style\": \"1\",\n        \"symbol\": \"PEPPERSTONE:USDX\",    \n        \"theme\": \"dark\",\n        \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n        \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n        \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n        \"watchlist\": [],\n        \"withdateranges\": false,\n        \"compareSymbols\": [],\n        \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n        \"studies\": [],\n        \"width\": 900,\n        \"height\": 500\n    };\n\n    \n    const script = document.createElement('script');\n    script.type = 'text\/javascript';\n    script.src = 'https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js';\n    script.async = true;\n   \n    script.textContent = JSON.stringify(widgetConfig);\n\n   \n    const container = document.querySelector('.tradingview-widget-container');\n    if (container) {\n        container.appendChild(script);\n    } else {\n        console.error('Not Find Container');\n    }\n})();\n<\/script>\n\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\" style=\"margin:0 auto;\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/PEPPERSTONE-USDX\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">USDX chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\"> by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Price Level<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>What Traders Are Watching<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>99.57<\/td><td>Session high and immediate resistance area<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>99.5<\/td><td>Psychological level and short-term pivot<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>99.44<\/td><td>Current trading area and immediate support<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>99.43<\/td><td>Session low and downside support<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>99.3<\/td><td>Potential support zone if selling pressure increases<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USDX is trading near the <strong>99.44 area<\/strong> after retreating from the <strong>99.57 resistance zone<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A move above <strong>99.50<\/strong> could indicate renewed buying interest, with a break above <strong>99.57<\/strong> potentially opening the way towards further recovery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On the downside, a break below <strong>99.43<\/strong> could increase selling pressure and expose the <strong>99.30 support area<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bullish and Bearish Setups<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/codeMjkzMjRiOTQ0NmY1OTZjY2I4NTc2YmYxMDQyODIwODFfU1VGemdIZmZDZnV1OWRQTnl0Rk1zdktIdzBaOGMzMHVfVG9rZW46SzU1Z2JUSmtNb1pBOXp4Z0xZb2x4TFhQZ0hiXzE3ODg0MTE0NDc6MTc4ODQxNTA0N19WNAampadd_watermarktrueampscene_typeCCM.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Setup<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Trigger<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Potential Market Reaction<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Recovery Attempt<\/strong><\/td><td>Hold above 99.43<\/td><td>USDX may retest 99.50 resistance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Bullish Breakout<\/strong><\/td><td>Break above 99.57<\/td><td>Momentum could strengthen towards higher levels<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Range Consolidation<\/strong><\/td><td>Hold between 99.43 and 99.57<\/td><td>USDX may trade sideways ahead of NFP<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Bearish Breakdown<\/strong><\/td><td>Fall below 99.43<\/td><td>Selling pressure could increase towards 99.30<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The <strong>bullish scenario<\/strong> depends on USDX maintaining support above <strong>99.43<\/strong> and recovering towards the <strong>99.50\u201399.57 resistance zone<\/strong>. A break above <strong>99.57<\/strong> could signal renewed dollar strength.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The <strong>bearish scenario<\/strong> becomes more relevant if USDX falls below <strong>99.43<\/strong>, which may indicate weakening momentum and increase the risk of further downside.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Disclaimer<\/em><br><em>The price levels and market scenarios above reflect the author\u2019s assessment at the time of writing. They do not represent financial advice or an official recommendation from VT Markets. Traders should conduct their own analysis and manage risk carefully.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">USDX Prediction: Will NFP Drive the Next Dollar Move?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USDX\u2019s next move will likely depend on whether upcoming labour data supports current Federal Reserve rate expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The August <strong>NFP report<\/strong> is forecast to rebound to <strong>+55K<\/strong>, following July\u2019s <strong>-23K<\/strong> reading, as markets assess whether the US labour market is regaining momentum. Average hourly earnings are expected to rise <strong>0.3% month-on-month<\/strong>, with stronger wage growth potentially keeping inflation concerns elevated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The dollar\u2019s recent strength has been supported by shifting Fed expectations following <strong>Warsh\u2019s hawkish comments<\/strong>. A stronger-than-expected employment report or firmer wage growth could reinforce expectations for tighter monetary policy and support further USDX strength.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Conversely, weaker labour data could reduce rate-hike expectations and weigh on the dollar. If USDX maintains support above the <strong>99.43 level<\/strong>, the index could attempt to recover towards the <strong>99.50\u201399.57 resistance zone<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trade USDX with VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USDX reflects the performance of the US dollar against a basket of major currencies, making it a key indicator of global currency market sentiment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With VT Markets, traders can access USDX alongside forex, indices, commodities and other financial instruments through one platform.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Learn more about trading <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/indices\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Indices<\/a> on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">VT Markets<\/a> today.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why Trade USDX with VT Markets?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USDX provides exposure to broader US dollar trends, allowing traders to track movements driven by monetary policy, economic data and global market conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Whether following Federal Reserve decisions, employment data or currency trends, traders can use VT Markets\u2019 tools to identify potential market opportunities across global markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary>FAQ<\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What factors influence USDX movements?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USDX is influenced by factors including Federal Reserve policy expectations, US economic data, Treasury yields and movements in major currencies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why is NFP important for USDX?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nonfarm payrolls provide insight into US labour market conditions and can influence expectations for Federal Reserve policy. A stronger-than-expected report may support the dollar by increasing expectations for tighter monetary policy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How does wage growth affect the US dollar?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Stronger wage growth can increase inflation concerns, which may influence expectations for interest rates and impact demand for the US dollar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Can USDX be traded as a CFD?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Yes. USDX CFDs allow traders to speculate on dollar index price movements without owning the underlying asset, with the ability to take positions in both rising and falling markets while applying appropriate risk management.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\r\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Start trading now \u2014 click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-latam\/trade-now\/\">here<\/a> to create your real VT Markets account.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USDX remains supported near the 99.50 area as markets reassess Federal Reserve expectations, with upcoming US jobs data likely to shape the next dollar move.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":53522,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[44],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53523","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - 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