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Monthly Archives: October 2026

Canadian dollar steadies as Alberta referendum looms; USD/CAD holds above fair value

Written on October 8, 2026 at 3:37 am, by

USD/CAD trades near 1.4227, above fair value 1.4169, as Alberta referendum risk and technical resistance loom.

Fed minutes signal further tightening as AI demand risks stoke inflation, dollar index holds firm above 102

Written on October 8, 2026 at 3:36 am, by

Fed minutes back 25bp hike; inflation risks persist, AI spending may boost demand; dollar eyes 102.50 breakout.

Gold steadies near August low as weak US jobs data fails to dent yields and dollar

Written on October 8, 2026 at 2:45 am, by

Gold stays near August lows despite weak jobs data; firm yields, dollar cap rallies; $4,100 pivotal.

Eurozone factory rebound holds firm as euro slides on softer ECB stance and fiscal worries

Written on October 8, 2026 at 2:44 am, by

Eurozone recovery stays strong as euro weakens; manufacturing leads, ECB tone softens, low volatility favors bearish options.

Backtest flags softer S&P 500 returns near highs as breadth weakens and rates volatility rises

Written on October 8, 2026 at 2:43 am, by

Backtest flags lower 120-day S&P 500 returns near record highs amid weak breadth, volatile rates, softer credit.

Yen’s carry-trade funding role questioned as rate gap narrows and USD/JPY volatility rises

Written on October 8, 2026 at 2:42 am, by

Yen interventions and BOJ tightening raise volatility, undermining JPY carry funding and favoring options-based strategies.

Fed minutes loom as market underprices hike odds amid rising PCE nowcasts and elevated term premium

Written on October 8, 2026 at 2:41 am, by

Fed minutes may matter less as inflation nowcasts rise, term premium surges, and markets misprice hikes.

Chile Posts $2.047bn September Trade Surplus, Defying Flat Forecast and Supporting Peso Outlook

Written on October 8, 2026 at 2:40 am, by

Chile’s September trade surplus hit $2.047B, smashing flat forecasts, boosting peso outlook and pressuring USD/CLP lower.

EUR/PLN eyes 4.40–4.41 resistance as Poland’s central bank signals November hike risk

Written on October 8, 2026 at 2:39 am, by

EUR/PLN grinds higher toward 4.40–4.41 resistance as NBP holds 3.75%, eyeing hawkish November hike signals.

US dollar seen capped near term despite tech support as Fed hike expectations ease

Written on October 8, 2026 at 2:38 am, by

USD has tech-driven structural support, but cooling data and high yields cap gains; traders should fade rallies.

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