{"id":68433,"date":"2026-10-08T05:57:15","date_gmt":"2026-10-08T05:57:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/uncategorized\/usdx-holds-near-18-month-high-as-fomc-minutes-support-dollar\/"},"modified":"2026-10-08T05:57:15","modified_gmt":"2026-10-08T05:57:15","slug":"usdx-holds-near-18-month-high-as-fomc-minutes-support-dollar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/analysis\/usdx-holds-near-18-month-high-as-fomc-minutes-support-dollar\/","title":{"rendered":"USDX Holds Near 18-Month High as FOMC Minutes Support Dollar"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ac6ff14c7080.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key Points<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Minutes from the September 15\u201316 FOMC meeting showed that policymakers agreed to raise interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the target range to <strong>3.75%\u20134.00%.<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Policymakers remain concerned about persistent inflation and the possibility of further interest rate increases.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders are monitoring movements in other major currencies, particularly the euro and Japanese yen, which have a major influence on the dollar.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>USDX retreats to 101.986, signalling weakening intraday momentum.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>The 102.000<\/strong> zone becomes crucial, traders are watching whether USDX can reclaim this psychological level or extend losses towards 101.980.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Move<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The US Dollar Index remained close to its <strong>18-month high<\/strong> on Thursday, supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve could maintain restrictive monetary policy for longer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The dollar index rose approximately <strong>0.3%<\/strong> on Wednesday to around<strong> 102.23 <\/strong>after the release of the<strong> Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes<\/strong>. The minutes showed that policymakers remained concerned about inflation and considered an additional rate hike potentially necessary.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USDX initially moved between 102.010 and 102.025 before falling towards 101.990. Buyers subsequently pushed the index higher, with a local peak near<strong> 102.038.<\/strong> That recovery proved temporary as USDX lost momentum and fell below its 9-period moving average. A second attempt to recover towards 102.030 also failed, followed by another decline towards <strong>101.986<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why Traders Are Watching<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The US dollar remains a key focus as investors assess whether the Federal Reserve will deliver another interest rate increase before the year end. Minutes from the<strong> September 15\u201316 FOMC meeting <\/strong>showed that policymakers unanimously agreed to raise interest rates by <strong>25 basis points<\/strong>, bringing the target range to <strong>3.75%\u20134.00%.<\/strong> Officials continued to view inflation as its main concern, with some suggesting that existing interest rates might not be enough to slow economic activity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The dollar held near its strongest level in a year-and-a-half in subdued trading at the start of the Asian session on Thursday, after hawkish minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee signaled policymakers at the US central bank viewed inflation as the biggest risk to their\u2026<\/p>&mdash; The Star (@staronline) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/staronline\/status\/2108033386447003996?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 8, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">However, markets are not expecting an immediate increase. Futures pricing indicates approximately a 19% probability of another hike at the Fed&#8217;s October meeting, suggesting traders currently favour a pause before any potential tightening in December. Traders are also monitoring movements in other major currencies, particularly the euro and Japanese yen, which have a major influence on the dollar. A recovery in either currency could place more downward pressure on the index.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Key Trading Levels<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/VANTAGE-USDX\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">USDX chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"VANTAGE:USDX\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Level<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Area<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Technical significance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>102.040\u2013102.051<\/td><td>Major resistance<\/td><td>Local peak area and displayed session high<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>102.020\u2013102.030<\/td><td>Secondary resistance<\/td><td>Repeated intraday recovery and rejection zone<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>102<\/td><td>Immediate resistance<\/td><td>Psychological level near the 9-period moving average<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>101.99<\/td><td>Initial support<\/td><td>Earlier intraday buying interest<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>101.980\u2013101.981<\/td><td>Key support<\/td><td>Lower chart boundary and displayed session low<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The challenge for USDX is reclaiming 102.000, which now acts as resistance after the latest breakdown. A sustained move above this level could allow buyers to retest 102.020\u2013102.030, where previous recovery attempts encountered selling pressure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On the downside, 101.990 is the first area to monitor, although the latest price has already slipped marginally below it. A sustained break beneath 101.980\u2013101.981 would confirm further weakness below the displayed intraday range.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bullish and Bearish Setups<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ac6ff161605e.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Scenario<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confirmation<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Potential movement<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Bullish<\/td><td>Break and hold above 102.000<\/td><td>Recovery towards 102.020\u2013102.030, followed by 102.040<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Recovery pullback<\/td><td>Buyers defend 101.980\u2013101.990<\/td><td>Short-term rebound towards 102.000<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Bearish<\/td><td>Sustained break below 101.980<\/td><td>Further downside pressure and extension below the visible trading range<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The bullish scenario depends on USDX regaining 102.000 and moving back above its 9-period moving average. A successful recovery, particularly with improving buying volume, could suggest that the latest decline is temporary rather than the beginning of a deeper correction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The bearish scenario develops if USDX breaks below 101.980 and remains beneath that level. Continued trading below the declining moving average, combined with further lower highs and stronger selling volume, would reinforce the possibility of an extended intraday decline.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Disclaimer<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>The price levels and market scenarios above reflect the author\u2019s assessment at the time of writing. They do not represent financial advice or an official recommendation from VT Markets. Traders should conduct their own analysis and manage risk carefully.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">USDX Prediction: What&#8217;s Next<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USDX could experience increasing selling pressure if upcoming US economic data suggest that inflation is easing or that economic growth is slowing quicker than expected. Softer inflation readings and weaker employment numbers could reduce expectations for another Fed rate hike, weakening the dollar&#8217;s interest rate advantage. A stronger euro or Japanese yen could also weigh on the index.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On the other hand, USDX could recover if incoming inflation data reinforces the Federal Reserve&#8217;s concerns about price pressures. Higher energy costs, strong consumer spending and elevated Treasury yields could strengthen expectations that US interest rates will remain higher for longer. Additional hawkish comments from Fed policymakers could also provide support, especially if markets begin pricing in a greater chance of another rate hike in December.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trade USDX with VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USDX reflects the performance of the US dollar against a basket of major currencies, making it a key indicator of global currency market sentiment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With VT Markets, traders can access USDX alongside forex, indices, commodities and other financial instruments through one platform.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Learn more about trading<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/forex\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> currency pairs<\/a> on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">VT Markets<\/a> today.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why Trade USDX with VT Markets?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USDX provides exposure to broader US dollar trends, allowing traders to track movements driven by monetary policy, economic data and global market conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Whether following Federal Reserve decisions, employment data or currency trends, traders can use VT Markets\u2019 tools to identify potential market opportunities across global markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Start trading now \u2014 click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-ca\/trade-now\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a> to create your VT Markets account.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>FAQ<\/strong><\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why is the US Dollar Index near an 18-month high?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The dollar has benefited from expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain relatively high interest rates to address persistent inflation. Hawkish FOMC minutes and elevated US Treasury yields have supported demand for the currency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Is USDX bullish or bearish right now?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The supplied 1-minute chart indicates short-term bearish momentum, with USDX trading around 101.986 below its 9-period moving average. However, the broader dollar outlook remains supported by restrictive Federal Reserve policy expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What is the next resistance level for USDX?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The immediate resistance level is 102.000. A sustained move above this level could allow USDX to approach the 102.020\u2013102.030 zone, followed by 102.040.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What happens if USDX falls below 101.980?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A sustained break below 101.980 could signal further short-term selling pressure. Traders would need to monitor subsequent price action and longer timeframes to identify additional support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How do Federal Reserve interest rate hikes affect USDX?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Higher US interest rates can support USDX by increasing the relative attractiveness of dollar-denominated assets. However, the impact depends on market expectations, inflation trends and monetary policies in other major economies.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\r\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Start trading now \u2014 click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/trade-now\/\">here<\/a> to create your real VT Markets account.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The US Dollar Index (USDX) remains near an 18-month high after hawkish Federal Reserve minutes reinforced concerns about persistent inflation. However, the latest chart shows USDX slipping to 101.986, with short-term selling pressure emerging despite expectations of further US interest rate hikes.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":68432,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68433","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The US Dollar Index (USDX) remains near an 18-month high after hawkish Federal Reserve minutes reinforced concerns about persistent inflation. 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