{"id":67696,"date":"2026-09-18T05:54:27","date_gmt":"2026-09-18T05:54:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/uncategorized\/gbp-usd-forecast-sterling-tests-key-support-after-september-sell-off\/"},"modified":"2026-09-18T05:54:27","modified_gmt":"2026-09-18T05:54:27","slug":"gbp-usd-forecast-sterling-tests-key-support-after-september-sell-off","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/analysis\/gbp-usd-forecast-sterling-tests-key-support-after-september-sell-off\/","title":{"rendered":"GBP\/USD Forecast: Sterling Tests Key Support After September Sell-Off"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Copy-of-discover-20-1024x559.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-68665\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key Points<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>GBP\/USD has declined nearly <strong>2.5% from its August high<\/strong> after breaking below the September opening range.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Sterling is approaching a key support area after failing to hold above recent resistance levels.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The pair remains below the short-term moving average, showing continued selling pressure.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Upcoming UK and US PMI data could influence the next move as traders reassess economic momentum.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Move<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>GBP\/USD <\/strong>is trading around <strong>1.3358<\/strong> after recovering slightly from recent losses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The pair has struggled to maintain momentum above the <strong>1.3360\u20131.3365 region<\/strong>, where previous rebounds have faced resistance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A recovery above key resistance levels would be needed to improve the short-term outlook.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why Traders Are Watching<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With the Federal Reserve and Bank of England policy meetings now concluded, traders are shifting focus towards incoming economic data for clues on growth performance and future market direction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The upcoming <strong>UK and US Flash Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)<\/strong> releases will provide signals on business and economic activity, which could influence expectations for future monetary policy decisions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Stronger UK data may offer support for sterling, while renewed strength in US economic indicators could favour the dollar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Key Trading Levels<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN --><div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/GBPUSD\/?exchange=OANDA\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">GBPUSD chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\"> by TradingView<\/span><\/div>  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>  {  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,  \"calendar\": false,  \"details\": false,  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,  \"hide_legend\": false,  \"hide_volume\": false,  \"hotlist\": false,  \"interval\": \"D\",  \"locale\": \"en\",  \"save_image\": true,  \"style\": \"1\",  \"symbol\": \"OANDA:GBPUSD\",  \"theme\": \"dark\",  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",  \"watchlist\": [],  \"withdateranges\": false,  \"compareSymbols\": [],  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",  \"studies\": [],  \"width\": 900,  \"height\": 500}  <\/script><\/div><!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Level<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Price Area<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Significance<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Resistance 1<\/td><td>1.3365<\/td><td>Immediate intraday resistance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Resistance 2<\/td><td>1.341<\/td><td>Key recovery level<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Resistance 3<\/td><td>1.3474<\/td><td>Major resistance zone<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Support 1<\/td><td>1.3345<\/td><td>Current support area<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Support 2<\/td><td>1.3255<\/td><td>Next downside target<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Support 3<\/td><td>1.3194<\/td><td>Key Fibonacci support zone<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">GBP\/USD is currently testing the <strong>1.3345 support zone<\/strong>, which acts as the immediate decision point for the next move. A successful defence of this level could allow buyers to target <strong>1.3410 and 1.3474<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">However, a break below support may confirm renewed selling pressure and expose the pair to <strong>1.3255 and 1.3194<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bullish and Bearish Setups<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/codeYTUzZDJhODk5MmQyNmY2YTIyNDY0NjEwYjliYzQ1YzRfUlMyb09PMWk2dDllbVZqcjcwcHBTaUFIMEVxR1BtMWNfVG9rZW46TmpJbWJuTm1rb1lOS094MVBCWWxKMzZFZ1FlXzE3ODk3MDM1NjM6MTc4OTcwNzE2M19WNAampadd_watermarktrueampscene_typeCCM.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Scenario<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Condition<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Key Levels<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Potential Move<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Bullish Setup<\/td><td>Buyers defend support and push price above resistance<\/td><td>Hold above 1.3345; break above 1.3365<\/td><td>Recovery towards 1.3410, followed by 1.3474 if momentum strengthens<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Bearish Setup<\/td><td>Sellers regain control after support breakdown<\/td><td>Break below 1.3345<\/td><td>Further downside towards 1.3255, with 1.3194 as the next major support<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For a bullish scenario, GBP\/USD could attempt a recovery if buyers defend the <strong>1.3345 support zone<\/strong> and push price back above <strong>1.3365<\/strong>. Momentum indicators would need to confirm improving buying pressure for the rebound to extend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For a bearish scenario, a break below <strong>1.3345<\/strong> could signal that sellers remain in control, increasing the risk of a move towards <strong>1.3255<\/strong>. Further weakness below this level may extend the broader September correction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Disclaimer<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>The price levels and market scenarios above reflect the author&#8217;s assessment at the time of writing. They do not represent financial advice or an official recommendation from VT Markets. Traders should conduct their own analysis and manage risk carefully.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\">GBP\/USD Prediction: What\u2019s Next?<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">GBP\/USD remains at a critical point after its recent decline, with the next direction likely dependent on whether buyers can defend current support levels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Flash Manufacturing and Services PMI figures are due from both the UK and U.S. on the 23rd, offering crucial clues on economic performance on both the pound and dollar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If the UK&#8217;s PMI report is weak, it suggests a slowing economy, which can lead to a decline in the pound against the US dollar. Conversely, a strong PMI reading indicates a sturdy economy, which could strengthen the pound.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The US PMI data influences the dollar similarly, affecting the GBP\/USD exchange rate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trade GBP\/USD with VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Trade GBP\/USD with competitive spreads, flexible leverage options and advanced trading platforms designed for forex markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Access GBP\/USD opportunities through MetaTrader 4, MetaTrader 5 and the VT Markets App.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Start a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/forex\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">live account<\/a> with VT Markets today.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>FAQ<\/strong><\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why is GBP\/USD falling?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">GBP\/USD has declined after failing to break higher resistance levels, with sellers gaining control during September. The pair is now testing important technical support zones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What levels should traders watch for GBP\/USD?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Key levels include <strong>1.3410 and 1.3474<\/strong> on the upside, while <strong>1.3345, 1.3255 and 1.3194<\/strong> are important downside levels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What could move GBP\/USD next?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Upcoming UK and US PMI data may influence expectations for economic growth and affect the relative strength of the British pound and US dollar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Is GBP\/USD bullish or bearish?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">GBP\/USD is showing short-term bearish pressure while trading below recent resistance levels. A move above key resistance would be needed to improve the near-term outlook.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\r\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Start trading now \u2014 click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/trade-now\/\">here<\/a> to create your real VT Markets account.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>GBP\/USD is testing a key support zone after a sharp September decline. With central-bank decisions now behind markets, upcoming UK and US PMI data may determine whether sterling stabilises or extends its correction.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":67695,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-67696","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"GBP\/USD is testing a key support zone after a sharp September decline. 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