{"id":23441,"date":"2025-07-21T12:15:40","date_gmt":"2025-07-21T12:15:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/?p=23441"},"modified":"2025-07-21T12:15:40","modified_gmt":"2025-07-21T12:15:40","slug":"yen-rebound-fades-amid-rising-political-risk","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/analysis\/yen-rebound-fades-amid-rising-political-risk\/","title":{"rendered":"Yen rebound fades amid rising political risk"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"536\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/33\/2025\/07\/15-6-1024x536.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23442\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/33\/2025\/07\/15-6-1024x536.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/33\/2025\/07\/15-6-300x157.png 300w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/33\/2025\/07\/15-6-768x402.png 768w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/33\/2025\/07\/15-6-500x262.png 500w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/33\/2025\/07\/15-6-400x209.png 400w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/33\/2025\/07\/15-6-350x183.png 350w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/33\/2025\/07\/15-6-200x105.png 200w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/33\/2025\/07\/15-6.png 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The&nbsp;Japanese yen&nbsp;saw a modest surge following the&nbsp;Upper House election on Sunday, but analysts remain skeptical of its staying power.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Bounce of the Japanese Yen Short-Lived as Political Risk Looms<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>On paper, the market welcomed the fact that Prime Minister&nbsp;Shigeru Ishiba&nbsp;will remain in power despite the ruling coalition&nbsp;losing its majority.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But the tone is far from celebratory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Morning Bid: Could have been worse, is enough for the yen <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/KHozKipc6x\">https:\/\/t.co\/KHozKipc6x<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/KHozKipc6x\">https:\/\/t.co\/KHozKipc6x<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Reuters\/status\/1947196129247912210?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 21, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">BoJ Stays Dovish in the Face of Uncertainty<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The&nbsp;Bank of Japan, already cautious about raising rates, now has even more reason to remain dovish. Heightened political risk tends to favour policy stability over experimentation, and with the&nbsp;spectre of trade tension looming, the BoJ may lean on continuity rather than tightening. This adds an undercurrent of softness to the outlook of the Japanese yen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">USD\/JPY Technical Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/JPY slipped to 147.88&nbsp;by the Monday close, briefly testing&nbsp;intraday lows near 147.69&nbsp;on the back of political headlines.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Remaining under heavy selling pressure with a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, the MACD histogram is firmly negative and expanding. Price also remains decisively below the 30-MA, reinforcing the intraday bearish structure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/33\/2026\/03\/image-20.jpg\" alt=\"usdjpy-usd-jpy-japanese-yen\" class=\"wp-image-26854\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Picture: USDJPY struggles beneath 148.00 as momentum fades. A break below 147.69 opens the door to deeper decline, as seen on the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/vtmarketsapp.onelink.me\/CD7D\/240525WA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">VT Markets app<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The recent move comes amid growing caution from traders following mixed comments from BoJ policymakers last week, where Governor Ueda hinted that \u201cexit from ultra-loose policy will remain gradual.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda ramps up his message that he is going to wait for additional data to make a judgment on the next monetary policy decision <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/wIT299jHR8\">https:\/\/t.co\/wIT299jHR8<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/1940073121211355541?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 1, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Meanwhile, a firmer US dollar has failed to keep USD\/JPY afloat, suggesting potential haven demand for the yen is resurfacing. If 147.69 breaks, eyes shift to the next psychological level at 147.50.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.net\/trade-now\/?utm_campaign=account_c&amp;utm_source=dma&amp;utm_medium=website\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"here\">here<\/a> to open account and start trading.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The&nbsp;Japanese yen&nbsp;saw a modest surge following the&nbsp;Upper House election on Sunday, but analysts remain skeptical of its staying power. Bounce of the Japanese Yen Short-Lived as Political Risk Looms On paper, the market welcomed the fact that Prime Minister&nbsp;Shigeru Ishiba&nbsp;will remain in power despite the ruling coalition&nbsp;losing its majority. But the tone is far from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/analysis\/yen-rebound-fades-amid-rising-political-risk\/\" class=\"read-more\">Continue Reading<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":23442,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23441","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23441","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23441"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23441\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/23442"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23441"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23441"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23441"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}